Australia’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell to 4.3% in October, edging below the forecasted 4.4%. This reflects positive employment trends in the country’s economy.<\/p>\n
In other market developments, the AUD\/JPY has revisited a yearly high to 101.60, driven by the robust Australian employment data. The USD\/INR saw an increase due to foreign outflows from the Indian stock market.<\/p>\n
The EUR\/USD hovered around 1.1590, stabilised by the end of the US government shutdown after a 43-day impasse. Meanwhile, GBP\/USD was subdued at approximately 1.3120, with traders anticipating the UK’s Q3 GDP data release.<\/p>\n
Gold experienced an upward movement, reaching a three-week peak of around $4,213. This surge was prompted by expectations of a dovish policy shift by the US Federal Reserve, given the potential economic impacts of the recent US government shutdown.<\/p>\n
Stellar (XLM) was trading positively, approaching a key resistance level of $0.297. Market optimism was attributed to its collaboration with Turbo Energy and Taurus S.A. on renewable energy projects.<\/p>\n
In the bond market context, European indices fared well, however, the FTSE 100 saw a minor decline. In contrast, Hyperliquid (HYPE) maintained above $38 despite incurring a $4.9 million loss.<\/p>\n
With Australia’s unemployment rate dropping to 4.3% in October, we see a sign of continued economic resilience that markets did not fully anticipate. This stronger-than-expected labor market suggests the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will have little reason to consider easing its policy stance. We believe this reinforces the case for a hawkish hold from the RBA through the end of the year.<\/p>\n
The latest Q3 2025 inflation report showed core CPI at 4.1%, which is still uncomfortably above the RBA’s target band. This strong employment figure, combined with that persistent inflation, makes a near-term rate cut highly improbable. Therefore, the Australian dollar is likely to find continued support.<\/p>\n
For derivative traders, this situation points toward bullish strategies on the Aussie dollar over the coming weeks. We are looking at buying AUD\/USD call options with expirations in January 2026 to capitalize on potential upside momentum. These positions benefit from a strengthening local currency driven by a central bank that is forced to remain vigilant on inflation.<\/p>\n
We can see a parallel to the period in 2023 when a similarly tight labor market consistently led to hawkish surprises from the RBA, even as other global central banks were signaling a pause. Back then, the market repeatedly underestimated the RBA’s resolve, creating profitable trends in the currency. Today’s data suggests we may be entering a similar phase.<\/p>\n
While the local picture is strong, we are also watching market volatility, with the VIX currently holding around an elevated 19.5 level. This suggests some broader market uncertainty, making defined-risk option strategies more appealing than leveraged futures positions. The focus should be on pairs where there is a clear central bank policy divergence, such as against the Japanese Yen or Swiss Franc.<\/p>\n
Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Australia\u2019s jobless rate dips to 4.3%, boosting AUD\/JPY; gold rises on Fed policy shift expectations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":16960,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34775","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34775"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34775\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16960"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34775"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34775"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34775"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}