{"id":33867,"date":"2025-11-04T00:14:54","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T16:14:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/the-us-dollar-could-rise-above-7-1280-according-to-uob-group-but-may-struggle-to-hold-it\/"},"modified":"2025-11-04T00:14:54","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T16:14:54","slug":"the-us-dollar-could-rise-above-7-1280-according-to-uob-group-but-may-struggle-to-hold-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/live-updates\/the-us-dollar-could-rise-above-7-1280-according-to-uob-group-but-may-struggle-to-hold-it\/","title":{"rendered":"The US Dollar could rise above 7.1280 according to UOB Group, but may struggle to hold it"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The US Dollar (USD) has scope to edge above 7.1280 against the Chinese Yuan (CNH). However, maintaining a position above this level may be challenging. Analysts from UOB Group suggest an upward move requires closing above 7.1280, potentially targeting 7.1370. <\/p>\n<p>Recent analysis suggests the USD\/CNH upward momentum is slightly increasing. On a 24-hour view, USD could edge past 7.1280, but sustaining above it may not occur. A drop to 7.1160 or 7.1100 is possible. In the next one to three weeks, a previously negative outlook has been revised to neutral. The USD&#8217;s stability is anticipated between 7.0920 and 7.1280, needing a close above 7.1280 for further advances. As long as 7.1020 is not breached, the chance for a close above 7.1280 remains.<\/p>\n<h3>Other Market Updates<\/h3>\n<p>Other market updates include gold remaining range-bound above $4,000 due to US Dollar strength and Fed caution. The EUR\/USD holds near three-month lows, while AUD\/USD declines before a Reserve Bank of Australia policy meeting. Globally, risk sentiment is wary due to economic events, with meme coins like Dogecoin experiencing downturns as interest decreases. Cardano (ADA) sees a 6% price slip and a bearish trend.<\/p>\n<p>We are seeing upward momentum build for the US Dollar against the Chinese Yuan, but a sustained advance is not yet certain. For the coming weeks, traders should watch the 7.1280 level closely, as a daily close above this mark would be the signal for a potential move toward 7.1370. Until then, any push above 7.1280 is likely to be temporary, with key support holding at 7.1020.<\/p>\n<p>This view is strengthened by recent economic data out of China. The Caixin Manufacturing PMI released for October 2025 came in at 50.1, indicating only marginal expansion and a slight slowdown from the previous month. This weaker industrial outlook gives the People&#8217;s Bank of China reason to maintain a looser policy stance, which can weigh on the Yuan.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm despite a weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI of 48.7. The market appears more focused on the relatively strong US labor market, as the October non-farm payrolls report from last Friday showed a resilient 210,000 jobs were added. This divergence reinforces the idea that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates higher for longer compared to its global peers.<\/p>\n<h3>Options Strategy and Currency Pressures<\/h3>\n<p>Given the uncertainty around the key 7.1280 resistance level, a defined-risk options strategy could be prudent. We believe a bull call spread on USD\/CNH, perhaps buying the 7.1300 call and selling the 7.1400 call, offers an effective way to position for a potential breakout. This strategy would capitalize on a move higher while limiting the upfront cost and potential loss if the resistance holds.<\/p>\n<p>The dollar&#8217;s strength is pressuring other major currencies, with EUR\/USD trading near three-month lows around 1.1520. Looking back, we see a clear policy divergence that began solidifying in mid-2025, as inflation in the Eurozone cooled faster than in the United States. Recent Eurozone CPI data for October 2025 registered at 2.2%, increasing speculation that the European Central Bank may be in a position to cut rates before the Fed.<\/p>\n<p>Gold is also feeling the effects, remaining capped even at its historically high level above $4,000 per ounce. We remember the powerful rally from the sub-$2,000 levels seen back in 2023, which was fueled by inflationary fears. Now, in late 2025, the high interest rate environment makes holding a non-yielding asset like gold expensive, limiting its upside despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CNH eyes 7.1280 breakout; sustaining above remains tough amid cautious sentiment and revised neutral outlook.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":16966,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33867","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33867"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33867\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33867"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33867"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33867"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}