{"id":69842,"date":"2026-10-20T03:58:18","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T03:58:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/uncategorized\/eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe\/"},"modified":"2026-10-20T03:58:18","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T03:58:18","slug":"eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/analysis\/eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD se mant\u00e9m est\u00e1vel em meio a turbul\u00eancias pol\u00edticas na Europa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad6d3bd722b1.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O EURUSD opera perto de 1,12181, com alta de 0,06%, enquanto o d\u00f3lar dos EUA tem dificuldade para definir uma dire\u00e7\u00e3o clara durante a sess\u00e3o asi\u00e1tica de ter\u00e7a-feira.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A instabilidade pol\u00edtica na Fran\u00e7a e na It\u00e1lia aumenta as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a estabilidade europeia, pressionando a\u00e7\u00f5es da regi\u00e3o e t\u00edtulos p\u00fablicos.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O spread (diferen\u00e7a) entre os rendimentos dos t\u00edtulos p\u00fablicos de 10 anos da Fran\u00e7a e da Alemanha aumentou 9,9 pontos-base para 147,3 pontos-base na segunda-feira.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O \u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar (DXY, indicador que mede o d\u00f3lar contra uma cesta de moedas) chegou a 102 na segunda-feira, enquanto o rendimento do Treasury (t\u00edtulo do governo dos EUA) de 10 anos ficou em 5,131%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento do mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD foi negociado perto de <strong>1,12181<\/strong> durante a sess\u00e3o asi\u00e1tica de ter\u00e7a-feira, registrando leve alta de <strong>0,06%.<\/strong> Uma melhora gradual na confian\u00e7a dos investidores favoreceu moedas mais sens\u00edveis ao apetite por risco (moedas que tendem a subir quando o mercado est\u00e1 mais otimista), embora a incerteza pol\u00edtica na Europa tenha limitado o avan\u00e7o do euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O par oscilou em uma faixa estreita no dia, com m\u00e1xima de <strong>1,12203<\/strong> e m\u00ednima de <strong>1,12089.<\/strong> O movimento de pre\u00e7os ficou concentrado em torno de <strong>1,12180<\/strong>, indicando que nem compradores nem vendedores conseguiram manter controle consistente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O \u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar (DXY) chegou a <strong>102<\/strong> na segunda-feira, refletindo demanda ainda firme apesar do cen\u00e1rio global inst\u00e1vel. J\u00e1 o rendimento do Treasury (t\u00edtulo do governo dos EUA) de 10 anos permaneceu em <strong>5,131%<\/strong>, deixando o EURUSD mais exposto ao humor pol\u00edtico europeu do que \u00e0s oscila\u00e7\u00f5es dos juros americanos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que os traders est\u00e3o acompanhando<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os desdobramentos pol\u00edticos na Fran\u00e7a viraram uma fonte de incerteza para o euro. Autoridades francesas impuseram toques de recolher (restri\u00e7\u00e3o de circula\u00e7\u00e3o em determinados hor\u00e1rios) em v\u00e1rias cidades na segunda-feira ap\u00f3s protestos anti-governo em todo o pa\u00eds interromperem a ordem p\u00fablica, aumentando a press\u00e3o nos meses finais do mandato do presidente Emmanuel Macron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A turbul\u00eancia elevou as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a situa\u00e7\u00e3o fiscal (contas p\u00fablicas) da Fran\u00e7a, especialmente enquanto o Parlamento se prepara para a primeira vota\u00e7\u00e3o formal da parte de receitas do proposto <strong>Or\u00e7amento de 2027<\/strong>. Novos impasses pol\u00edticos podem dificultar as negocia\u00e7\u00f5es fiscais e afetar a d\u00edvida do governo franc\u00eas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O mercado de t\u00edtulos j\u00e1 refletiu essas preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es. O spread (diferen\u00e7a) de rendimento entre os t\u00edtulos p\u00fablicos de 10 anos da Fran\u00e7a e da Alemanha ampliou para <strong>142,3 pontos-base<\/strong> na segunda-feira. Esse aumento do spread indica que investidores est\u00e3o exigindo um retorno maior para manter t\u00edtulos franceses em compara\u00e7\u00e3o aos alem\u00e3es, que s\u00e3o vistos como mais seguros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Investors Abandoning French Government Bonds for German Bunds <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5icGXC7osx\">https:\/\/t.co\/5icGXC7osx<\/a><\/p>&mdash; WSJ Markets (@WSJmarkets) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WSJmarkets\/status\/2108361012051136600?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As tens\u00f5es pol\u00edticas tamb\u00e9m chegaram \u00e0 It\u00e1lia, onde o governo anunciou planos de mobilizar 500 soldados ap\u00f3s dois dias de instabilidade. Embora o euro tenha se mantido relativamente est\u00e1vel, a instabilidade em economias relevantes da Europa pode aumentar a press\u00e3o sobre a moeda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Violent protests spread from France to Italy and Belgium <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/evvm5uqg7i\">https:\/\/t.co\/evvm5uqg7i<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Financial Times (@FT) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/FT\/status\/2112184808025583737?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00edveis-chave para negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/EURUSD\/?exchange=OANDA\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Gr\u00e1fico do EURUSD<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;por TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n<p>  {<\/p>\n<p>  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"calendar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"details\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_legend\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_volume\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hotlist\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"interval\": \"D\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"locale\": \"en\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"save_image\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"style\": \"1\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"symbol\": \"OANDA:EURUSD\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"theme\": \"dark\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"watchlist\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"withdateranges\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"compareSymbols\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"studies\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"width\": 900,<\/p>\n<p>  \"height\": 500<\/p>\n<p>}<\/p>\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pre\u00e7o<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Import\u00e2ncia t\u00e9cnica<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 2<\/td><td>1,12203<\/td><td>M\u00e1xima da sess\u00e3o e n\u00edvel de rompimento (ponto em que o pre\u00e7o pode acelerar se superar)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 1<\/td><td>1,122<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia psicol\u00f3gica imediata (n\u00famero \u201credondo\u201d que costuma atrair ordens)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Piv\u00f4<\/td><td>1,1218<\/td><td>\u00c1rea atual de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 1<\/td><td>1,1216<\/td><td>N\u00edvel de rea\u00e7\u00e3o no curto prazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 2<\/td><td>1,1214<\/td><td>Suporte intradi\u00e1rio recente<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 3<\/td><td>1,12089<\/td><td>M\u00ednima da sess\u00e3o e refer\u00eancia de queda<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD mostra recupera\u00e7\u00e3o no curto prazo e depois entra em consolida\u00e7\u00e3o (fase de \u201candar de lado\u201d) <strong>abaixo de 1,12200<\/strong>. A m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de nove per\u00edodos (MA9, indicador que suaviza o pre\u00e7o para ajudar a ver a tend\u00eancia) virou para cima ap\u00f3s o repique a partir de 1,12140, mas a a\u00e7\u00e3o recente sugere perda de for\u00e7a perto da resist\u00eancia. O par teve dificuldade para sustentar ganhos <strong>acima de 1,12200<\/strong>, tornando esse o n\u00edvel de resist\u00eancia imediato mais importante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na queda, <strong>1,12160<\/strong> \u00e9 a primeira \u00e1rea de suporte. Um movimento abaixo desse n\u00edvel pode expor <strong>1,12140<\/strong>, onde compradores apareceram antes. Uma queda mais profunda at\u00e9 <strong>1,12089<\/strong> indicaria que a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o perdeu tra\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad6d3bec05d8.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alvo potencial<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rompimento de alta<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado acima de 1,12203<\/td><td>1,12220\u20131,12240<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o de alta<\/td><td>Manter acima de 1,12160<\/td><td>1,12180\u20131,12200<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o de baixa<\/td><td>Falha em romper 1,12200<\/td><td>1,1216<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rompimento para baixo<\/td><td>Queda abaixo de 1,12140<\/td><td>1,12089<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um cen\u00e1rio de alta exigiria que o EURUSD firmasse suporte <strong>acima de 1,12160<\/strong> antes de testar a zona de resist\u00eancia em 1,12200\u20131,12203. Melhora no apetite por risco e redu\u00e7\u00e3o das preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es pol\u00edticas na Europa podem apoiar esse movimento. Um rompimento confirmado pode abrir espa\u00e7o para avan\u00e7o at\u00e9 1,12220\u20131,12240.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por outro lado, um cen\u00e1rio de baixa pode ganhar for\u00e7a se o EURUSD continuar encontrando press\u00e3o vendedora <strong>perto de 1,12200<\/strong>. Uma queda abaixo de 1,12160 enfraqueceria a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o imediata, enquanto a perda de 1,12140 pode levar o pre\u00e7o de volta \u00e0 m\u00ednima da sess\u00e3o, em 1,12089. Nova abertura do spread entre t\u00edtulos franceses e alem\u00e3es pode refor\u00e7ar essa press\u00e3o de queda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e os cen\u00e1rios de mercado acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o s\u00e3o aconselhamento financeiro nem recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Cada trader deve fazer sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e controlar o risco com aten\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o para o EURUSD: o que vem a seguir?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD pode seguir dentro de uma faixa no curto prazo, enquanto o mercado equilibra a melhora do apetite global por risco com a crescente incerteza pol\u00edtica na Europa. A estabilidade do par sugere que investidores ainda n\u00e3o trataram a turbul\u00eancia pol\u00edtica na Fran\u00e7a como uma crise financeira mais ampla na zona do euro. Ainda assim, mais press\u00e3o sobre os t\u00edtulos do governo franc\u00eas pode enfraquecer a confian\u00e7a na moeda \u00fanica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O pr\u00f3ximo grande catalisador (fator que pode mexer com o pre\u00e7o) ser\u00e1 o avan\u00e7o em torno do Or\u00e7amento de 2027 da Fran\u00e7a e a rea\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado de t\u00edtulos europeu. Progresso rumo a um acordo fiscal vi\u00e1vel pode reduzir o medo de risco soberano (risco de o governo ter dificuldades para honrar suas d\u00edvidas) e dar suporte ao EURUSD. Em contrapartida, instabilidade pol\u00edtica prolongada ou spreads mais abertos podem levar o par para baixo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negocie EURUSD com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD \u00e9 um dos pares de forex (mercado de c\u00e2mbio) mais negociados do mundo, permitindo acompanhar mudan\u00e7as de expectativa sobre o Banco Central Europeu, o Federal Reserve, infla\u00e7\u00e3o, crescimento econ\u00f4mico e apetite global por risco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Com a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets,<\/a> traders podem acompanhar os movimentos do EURUSD, analisar tend\u00eancias t\u00e9cnicas e gerenciar posi\u00e7\u00f5es em plataformas como MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5 e o app da VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Perguntas frequentes<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que o EURUSD est\u00e1 sendo negociado perto de 1,12181?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD est\u00e1 perto de 1,12181 porque uma melhora moderada no apetite global por risco sustenta o euro, enquanto a instabilidade pol\u00edtica na Fran\u00e7a e na It\u00e1lia limita os ganhos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como a instabilidade pol\u00edtica na Fran\u00e7a pode afetar o EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A instabilidade pol\u00edtica pode reduzir a confian\u00e7a em ativos europeus e aumentar a busca por alternativas mais seguras. Se os rendimentos dos t\u00edtulos do governo franc\u00eas continuarem subindo em rela\u00e7\u00e3o aos t\u00edtulos alem\u00e3es, o euro pode sofrer press\u00e3o adicional de venda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quais s\u00e3o os principais n\u00edveis de resist\u00eancia do EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A resist\u00eancia imediata est\u00e1 em 1,12200, seguida pela m\u00e1xima da sess\u00e3o em 1,12203. Um rompimento sustentado acima desses n\u00edveis pode favorecer uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o rumo a 1,12220\u20131,12240.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quais s\u00e3o os principais n\u00edveis de suporte do EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O suporte imediato \u00e9 1,12160, seguido por 1,12140. Se a press\u00e3o vendedora aumentar, o EURUSD pode voltar a testar a m\u00ednima da sess\u00e3o em 1,12089.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O EURUSD pode subir mesmo com a incerteza pol\u00edtica na Europa?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sim. O EURUSD pode ganhar for\u00e7a se os rendimentos dos Treasuries ca\u00edrem, o d\u00f3lar enfraquecer ou o quadro pol\u00edtico europeu estabilizar. Por\u00e9m, para sustentar a alta, o mercado tende a precisar de mais for\u00e7a compradora e de um rompimento confirmado acima da resist\u00eancia de curto prazo.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aten\u00e7\u00e3o ao euro: EURUSD ronda 1,1218 com alta t\u00edmida, enquanto crise pol\u00edtica na Fran\u00e7a e It\u00e1lia amplia spreads soberanos. D\u00f3lar firme (DXY 102) e Treasury a 5,13% mant\u00eam volatilidade contida.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69841,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69842","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Aten\u00e7\u00e3o ao euro: EURUSD ronda 1,1218 com alta t\u00edmida, enquanto crise pol\u00edtica na Fran\u00e7a e It\u00e1lia amplia spreads soberanos. 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