{"id":69830,"date":"2026-10-19T08:01:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-19T08:01:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/uncategorized\/crude-oil-falls-as-russian-supply-weighs-on-prices\/"},"modified":"2026-10-19T08:01:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T08:01:32","slug":"crude-oil-falls-as-russian-supply-weighs-on-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/analysis\/crude-oil-falls-as-russian-supply-weighs-on-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr\u00f3leo bruto cai com oferta russa pressionando os pre\u00e7os"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad5be2ebfef4.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O USOUSD interrompeu uma sequ\u00eancia de sete preg\u00f5es de alta, enquanto traders reavaliaram a possibilidade de retorno de mais combust\u00edveis russos ao mercado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A decis\u00e3o do presidente Donald Trump de suspender temporariamente san\u00e7\u00f5es e tarifas contra a R\u00fassia elevou a expectativa de maior oferta global de petr\u00f3leo.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ataques a navios-tanque perto do Estreito de Hormuz e ofensivas ucranianas contra infraestrutura petrol\u00edfera russa seguem amea\u00e7ando a oferta.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pre\u00e7os de importa\u00e7\u00e3o mais fortes nos EUA refor\u00e7aram preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o antes da decis\u00e3o de juros do Federal Reserve (Fed, o banco central dos EUA).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A resist\u00eancia fica em torno de 98,500\u201398,550, enquanto os suportes em 98,400 e 98,350 podem definir o pr\u00f3ximo movimento de curto prazo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento do mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo bruto nos EUA recuaram na segunda-feira, <strong>19 de outubro<\/strong>, encerrando uma sequ\u00eancia de sete preg\u00f5es de alta, \u00e0 medida que traders reavaliaram as condi\u00e7\u00f5es de oferta global ap\u00f3s Washington decidir aliviar restri\u00e7\u00f5es \u00e0s exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de energia da R\u00fassia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil falls from five-month high as supply intact despite fighting<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tzZ3wSPxU1\">https:\/\/t.co\/tzZ3wSPxU1<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Business Times (@BusinessTimes) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BusinessTimes\/status\/2112064964999479304?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O <strong>West Texas Intermediate (WTI)<\/strong>, refer\u00eancia do petr\u00f3leo dos EUA, era negociado perto de <strong>98,498<\/strong> na \u00faltima sess\u00e3o. Houve fortes oscila\u00e7\u00f5es ao longo do dia, incluindo um avan\u00e7o r\u00e1pido at\u00e9 <strong>98,550<\/strong>, seguido de uma queda at\u00e9 <strong>98,370<\/strong>. Depois, os pre\u00e7os voltaram a se aproximar de <strong>98,500<\/strong>, sinal de que compradores retornaram em n\u00edveis mais baixos, apesar das perdas do preg\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que os traders est\u00e3o de olho<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O recuo veio ap\u00f3s o presidente Donald Trump decidir suspender temporariamente san\u00e7\u00f5es e tarifas contra a R\u00fassia, o que pode permitir que mais combust\u00edveis russos entrem no mercado internacional. A mudan\u00e7a de pol\u00edtica reduziu parte do temor imediato de falta de oferta, especialmente com a Turquia se preparando para absorver mais exporta\u00e7\u00f5es russas de diesel. Ainda assim, ataques a navios-tanque perto do Estreito de Hormuz e ataques com drones da Ucr\u00e2nia contra infraestrutura de petr\u00f3leo da R\u00fassia mant\u00eam os riscos de oferta elevados.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Ukraine launched a massive overnight aerial attack, sending hundreds of drones toward targets in Moscow and St. Petersburg, striking a major oil terminal again despite pressure from President Trump to end such attacks. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tvt1mylRon\">https:\/\/t.co\/tvt1mylRon<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ABC News (@ABC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ABC\/status\/2111800494121247112?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria dos EUA \u00e9 outra pe\u00e7a do quebra-cabe\u00e7a. Os pre\u00e7os de importa\u00e7\u00e3o de setembro subiram mais do que o esperado, em parte por causa do encarecimento da energia, refor\u00e7ando a preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o com uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o que demora a ceder (alta persistente de pre\u00e7os). Se o Fed decidir elevar os juros novamente, isso tende a pressionar o petr\u00f3leo, porque juros maiores podem reduzir o ritmo da economia e o consumo de energia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os traders acompanham a pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o do <strong>Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)<\/strong>, o comit\u00ea do Fed que decide os juros, os n\u00fameros de infla\u00e7\u00e3o do <strong>PCE<\/strong> (\u00edndice de pre\u00e7os de gastos de consumo, o indicador de infla\u00e7\u00e3o preferido do Fed) e novidades sobre a oferta de energia da R\u00fassia e do Oriente M\u00e9dio em busca de sinais sobre a dire\u00e7\u00e3o futura dos pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00edveis-chave para operar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/USOIL\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Gr\u00e1fico do USOIL<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;por TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n<p>  {<\/p>\n<p>  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"calendar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"details\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_legend\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_volume\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hotlist\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"interval\": \"D\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"locale\": \"en\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"save_image\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"style\": \"1\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"symbol\": \"TVC:USOIL\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"theme\": \"dark\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"watchlist\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"withdateranges\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"compareSymbols\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"studies\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"width\": 900,<\/p>\n<p>  \"height\": 500<\/p>\n<p>}<\/p>\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pre\u00e7o (USD)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Import\u00e2ncia t\u00e9cnica<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 2<\/td><td>98,55<\/td><td>Pico recente no intradi\u00e1rio e resist\u00eancia superior (faixa que costuma travar a alta)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 1<\/td><td>98,5<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia imediata e \u00e1rea de rejei\u00e7\u00e3o recorrente (onde o pre\u00e7o tenta subir e volta)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pre\u00e7o atual<\/td><td>98,498<\/td><td>\u00daltima cota\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 1<\/td><td>98,45<\/td><td>Suporte de curto prazo e zona de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o (per\u00edodo de lateraliza\u00e7\u00e3o)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 2<\/td><td>98,4<\/td><td>Fundo de rea\u00e7\u00e3o anterior e suporte psicol\u00f3gico (n\u00famero redondo observado pelo mercado)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 3<\/td><td>98,370\u201398,350<\/td><td>Zona de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o no intradi\u00e1rio e suporte inferior<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O USOUSD enfrenta resist\u00eancia imediata em <strong>98,500<\/strong>, onde tentativas recentes de estender a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o conseguiram se sustentar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na queda, <strong>98,450<\/strong> \u00e9 a primeira \u00e1rea de suporte. Um movimento abaixo desse n\u00edvel pode abrir espa\u00e7o para <strong>98,400<\/strong>, seguido da <strong>faixa de 98,370\u201398,350<\/strong>, onde compradores apareceram anteriormente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A <strong>m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de nove per\u00edodos<\/strong> (m\u00e9dia do pre\u00e7o dos \u00faltimos nove candles, usada para indicar a tend\u00eancia) segue perto do pre\u00e7o atual, o que sugere pouca convic\u00e7\u00e3o direcional. Com o mercado oscilando ao redor de <strong>98,500<\/strong>, traders podem esperar por um <strong>rompimento<\/strong> (quando o pre\u00e7o supera um n\u00edvel e se mant\u00e9m) ou por uma <strong>perda do suporte<\/strong> antes de definir o pr\u00f3ximo rumo no curto prazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad5be3019fb6.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alvo potencial<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Implica\u00e7\u00e3o para o mercado<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o de alta<\/td><td>Pre\u00e7o se mant\u00e9m acima de 98,500<\/td><td>98,55<\/td><td>Compradores retomam o controle no curto prazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rompimento de alta<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado acima de 98,550<\/td><td>Mais alta, ainda sem confirma\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><td>For\u00e7a maior na recupera\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o de baixa<\/td><td>Pre\u00e7o n\u00e3o consegue sustentar 98,500<\/td><td>98,45<\/td><td>Press\u00e3o vendedora volta<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Perda de suporte (baixa)<\/td><td>Pre\u00e7o cai abaixo de 98,400<\/td><td>98,370\u201398,350<\/td><td>Movimento de queda ganha for\u00e7a<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um cen\u00e1rio de alta pode ganhar forma se o USOUSD firmar suporte <strong>acima de 98,500<\/strong>. Isso indicaria que os compradores est\u00e3o superando a press\u00e3o vendedora imediata, abrindo espa\u00e7o para um novo teste de <strong>98,550<\/strong>. Um avan\u00e7o sustentado acima dessa resist\u00eancia pode dar base a novas altas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">J\u00e1 um cen\u00e1rio de baixa pode aparecer se o pre\u00e7o n\u00e3o conseguir manter a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o perto de <strong>98,500<\/strong>. Uma queda abaixo de <strong>98,450<\/strong> colocaria <strong>98,400<\/strong> no radar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso legal<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o para o USOUSD: o que vem a seguir?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Embora a suspens\u00e3o das san\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA tenha criado a possibilidade de oferta adicional de combust\u00edveis, o mercado ainda tem d\u00favidas sobre como essa medida ser\u00e1 aplicada e por quanto tempo ela vai durar. Ataques que afetam o Estreito de Hormuz e a infraestrutura de energia da R\u00fassia tamb\u00e9m limitam quedas mais fortes, porque qualquer interrup\u00e7\u00e3o em rotas de navega\u00e7\u00e3o ou em instala\u00e7\u00f5es de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o pode reacender a demanda por petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A infla\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA e as expectativas de juros tamb\u00e9m influenciam o cen\u00e1rio. Se o Federal Reserve mantiver uma postura restritiva (juros altos por mais tempo), um d\u00f3lar mais forte e a expectativa de demanda menor podem pesar sobre o petr\u00f3leo. Por outro lado, sinais de al\u00edvio na infla\u00e7\u00e3o podem melhorar o humor do mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negocie USOUSD com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders podem acessar o USOUSD pela VT Markets e acompanhar os movimentos do petr\u00f3leo pelo aplicativo da VT Markets, pelo MetaTrader 4 e pelo MetaTrader 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo podem reagir rapidamente a mudan\u00e7as na expectativa de oferta global, a eventos geopol\u00edticos, a dados de estoques e a interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no transporte mar\u00edtimo. Esses fatores podem acelerar o movimento dos pre\u00e7os e aumentar a volatilidade (oscila\u00e7\u00f5es mais intensas) do mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Com as ferramentas de gr\u00e1ficos e an\u00e1lise de mercado da VT Markets, traders conseguem acompanhar o ritmo do pre\u00e7o (momentum), identificar suportes e resist\u00eancias e avaliar poss\u00edveis estrat\u00e9gias para o USOUSD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Perguntas frequentes <\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que o USOUSD est\u00e1 caindo hoje?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O USOUSD caiu porque os EUA suspenderam temporariamente san\u00e7\u00f5es e tarifas contra a R\u00fassia, elevando a expectativa de mais exporta\u00e7\u00f5es russas de combust\u00edveis. A perspectiva de oferta adicional pressionou o petr\u00f3leo, apesar de os riscos geopol\u00edticos continuarem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quais s\u00e3o os principais n\u00edveis de suporte e resist\u00eancia do USOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A resist\u00eancia imediata est\u00e1 perto de 98,500 e 98,550. Os suportes ficam em torno de 98,450 e 98,400, seguidos pela faixa inferior de 98,370\u201398,350.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O petr\u00f3leo pode subir mesmo com o aumento das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es russas?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sim. Novos ataques a infraestrutura de energia, restri\u00e7\u00f5es no Estreito de Hormuz ou interrup\u00e7\u00f5es em rotas de navega\u00e7\u00e3o podem reduzir a oferta dispon\u00edvel e sustentar os pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como o Federal Reserve pode afetar os pre\u00e7os do USOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Juros mais altos podem fortalecer o d\u00f3lar e diminuir a expectativa de atividade econ\u00f4mica e de demanda por petr\u00f3leo. Uma perspectiva menos restritiva para a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria pode dar suporte, embora as condi\u00e7\u00f5es reais de oferta (produ\u00e7\u00e3o, exporta\u00e7\u00f5es e log\u00edstica) continuem sendo decisivas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que os traders devem acompanhar a seguir no USOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders podem acompanhar novidades sobre exporta\u00e7\u00f5es russas de combust\u00edveis, problemas no transporte no Oriente M\u00e9dio, dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA e a pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o do Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Virada no petr\u00f3leo: o WTI interrompe sete altas com al\u00edvio tempor\u00e1rio de san\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA \u00e0 R\u00fassia, elevando oferta. Geopol\u00edtica em Hormuz sustenta risco; infla\u00e7\u00e3o americana e Fed ditam volatilidade.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69829,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Virada no petr\u00f3leo: o WTI interrompe sete altas com al\u00edvio tempor\u00e1rio de san\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA \u00e0 R\u00fassia, elevando oferta. 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