{"id":69828,"date":"2026-10-19T07:58:42","date_gmt":"2026-10-19T07:58:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/uncategorized\/bitcoin-rises-as-traders-await-the-feds-october-meeting\/"},"modified":"2026-10-19T07:58:42","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T07:58:42","slug":"bitcoin-rises-as-traders-await-the-feds-october-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/analysis\/bitcoin-rises-as-traders-await-the-feds-october-meeting\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin sobe enquanto investidores aguardam a reuni\u00e3o do Fed em outubro"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad594ee98133.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O Bitcoin \u00e9 negociado perto de <strong>US$ 82.621,57<\/strong>, alta de 2,05%, ap\u00f3s se recuperar de uma m\u00ednima intradi\u00e1ria de US$ 80.902,68 (menor pre\u00e7o do dia).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O CPI cheio (infla\u00e7\u00e3o oficial dos EUA) subiu <strong>3,7%<\/strong> em 12 meses, enquanto a infla\u00e7\u00e3o subjacente (n\u00facleo, que exclui itens mais vol\u00e1teis como alimentos e energia) chegou a <strong>2,6%<\/strong>, refor\u00e7ando preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com press\u00f5es de pre\u00e7os persistentes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fluxos irregulares (entradas e sa\u00eddas) em ETFs de Bitcoin \u00e0 vista nos EUA e juros elevados dos Treasuries (t\u00edtulos do governo americano) continuam influenciando a demanda.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders acompanham os pr\u00f3ximos indicadores econ\u00f4micos dos EUA, mudan\u00e7as nos rendimentos dos Treasuries e na for\u00e7a do d\u00f3lar, e se as compras institucionais (de grandes gestores e fundos) conseguem sustentar a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do Bitcoin.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A reuni\u00e3o do Federal Reserve de <strong>27\u201328 de outubro<\/strong> segue como o pr\u00f3ximo grande evento de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento do mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTCUSD)<\/strong> voltou a subir acima de <strong>US$ 82.000<\/strong> enquanto traders reavaliavam o cen\u00e1rio de juros do Federal Reserve ap\u00f3s dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA mais fortes do que o esperado. Na sess\u00e3o mais recente, o Bitcoin era negociado a <strong>US$ 82.621,57<\/strong>, ap\u00f3s cair at\u00e9 <strong>US$ 80.902,68<\/strong> (m\u00ednima do dia) e tocar a m\u00e1xima em <strong>US$ 82.804,75<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do Bitcoin indica que ainda h\u00e1 compradores ativos apesar da press\u00e3o do cen\u00e1rio macroecon\u00f4mico (juros, infla\u00e7\u00e3o e d\u00f3lar), mas o pre\u00e7o ainda n\u00e3o confirmou um rompimento firme acima da m\u00e1xima intradi\u00e1ria recente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que os traders est\u00e3o acompanhando<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O CPI cheio de setembro chegou a <strong>3,7%<\/strong> em 12 meses, acima da proje\u00e7\u00e3o de <strong>3,6%<\/strong>, enquanto a infla\u00e7\u00e3o subjacente (n\u00facleo) subiu para <strong>2,6%<\/strong>. Esses n\u00fameros, no primeiro momento, aumentaram a expectativa de mais aperto monet\u00e1rio (alta de juros e\/ou condi\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras mais r\u00edgidas). Por\u00e9m, coment\u00e1rios mais recentes do presidente do Fed, <strong>Kevin Warsh<\/strong>, reduziram as chances de uma <strong>alta de juros em outubro<\/strong>. Se o Fed mantiver a taxa inalterada, isso pode aliviar a press\u00e3o de alta nos rendimentos dos Treasuries (juros dos t\u00edtulos) e favorecer uma retomada da demanda por criptomoedas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh recommitted to delivering price stability ahead of the central bank&#39;s Oct. 28 interest rate decision. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NOakUjwPtb\">https:\/\/t.co\/NOakUjwPtb<\/a><\/p>&mdash; USA TODAY (@USATODAY) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/USATODAY\/status\/2111155299688002000?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O posicionamento institucional adiciona incerteza. Fluxos irregulares (entradas e sa\u00eddas) para ETFs de Bitcoin \u00e0 vista nos EUA, incluindo o iShares Bitcoin Trust da BlackRock, sugerem que a demanda institucional n\u00e3o tem sido forte de forma consistente para compensar a press\u00e3o mais ampla do mercado. Agora, traders monitoram de perto os pr\u00f3ximos dados econ\u00f4micos dos EUA, mudan\u00e7as nos rendimentos dos Treasuries e na for\u00e7a do d\u00f3lar, e se as compras institucionais conseguem sustentar a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Principais n\u00edveis para operar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSD\/?exchange=CRYPTO\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;por TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n<p>  {<\/p>\n<p>  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"calendar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"details\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_legend\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_volume\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hotlist\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"interval\": \"D\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"locale\": \"en\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"save_image\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"style\": \"1\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"symbol\": \"CRYPTO:BTCUSD\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"theme\": \"dark\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"watchlist\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"withdateranges\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"compareSymbols\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"studies\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"width\": 900,<\/p>\n<p>  \"height\": 500<\/p>\n<p>}<\/p>\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pre\u00e7o (USD)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Import\u00e2ncia t\u00e9cnica (o que o n\u00edvel indica)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 2<\/td><td>82,804.75<\/td><td>M\u00e1xima intradi\u00e1ria exibida e refer\u00eancia para confirmar rompimento (quando o pre\u00e7o supera um topo)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 1<\/td><td>82,700\u201382,750<\/td><td>Topos recentes da alta e faixa com press\u00e3o vendedora<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Zona de piv\u00f4<\/td><td>82,600\u201382,625<\/td><td>\u00c1rea imediata de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o (quando o pre\u00e7o \u201canda de lado\u201d)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 1<\/td><td>82,400<\/td><td>Suporte intradi\u00e1rio anterior (regi\u00e3o onde o pre\u00e7o encontrou compras)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 2<\/td><td>82,350\u201382,375<\/td><td>Base local da recupera\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 3<\/td><td>82,000<\/td><td>Suporte psicol\u00f3gico (n\u00famero \u201credondo\u201d que tende a atrair aten\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Refer\u00eancia inferior<\/td><td>80,902.68<\/td><td>M\u00ednima exibida da sess\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Bitcoin se recuperou de cerca de <strong>US$ 82.350 para a regi\u00e3o de US$ 82.800<\/strong> antes de recuar para <strong>US$ 82.621,57<\/strong>. A resist\u00eancia mais pr\u00f3xima est\u00e1 entre <strong>US$ 82.700 e US$ 82.750<\/strong>, faixa em que as altas recentes encontraram venda. Uma alta sustentada acima dessa regi\u00e3o pode estimular um novo teste de <strong>US$ 82.804,75<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na queda, <strong>US$ 82.600<\/strong> funciona como o piv\u00f4 mais pr\u00f3ximo (n\u00edvel central que ajuda a definir vi\u00e9s de curto prazo). Uma perda desse patamar pode colocar <strong>US$ 82.400<\/strong> no radar, seguida pela antiga \u00e1rea de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o perto de <strong>US$ 82.350<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No quadro mais amplo, o n\u00edvel de <strong>US$ 82.000<\/strong> segue como refer\u00eancia psicol\u00f3gica importante. A m\u00ednima da sess\u00e3o em <strong>US$ 80.902,68<\/strong> funciona mais como refer\u00eancia de risco na queda do que como um suporte imediato j\u00e1 sendo testado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad594efdd582.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho (o que precisa acontecer)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alvo potencial<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Implica\u00e7\u00e3o para o mercado<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o altista<\/td><td>Manter acima de US$ 82.600<\/td><td>US$ 82.700<\/td><td>Compradores retomam o controle no curto prazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rompimento altista<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado acima de US$ 82.750<\/td><td>US$ 82.804,75<\/td><td>Reteste da m\u00e1xima intradi\u00e1ria exibida<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o baixista<\/td><td>N\u00e3o consegue retomar US$ 82.700<\/td><td>US$ 82.600<\/td><td>Perde for\u00e7a a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rompimento baixista<\/td><td>Quebra abaixo de US$ 82.600<\/td><td>US$ 82.400\u2013US$ 82.350<\/td><td>Antigas zonas de suporte voltam ao foco<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O cen\u00e1rio de alta depende de o Bitcoin sustentar o suporte em torno de <strong>US$ 82.600<\/strong> e recuperar a faixa de resist\u00eancia em <strong>US$ 82.700<\/strong>. Um avan\u00e7o acima de <strong>US$ 82.750<\/strong>, com volume mais forte (maior quantidade negociada, sugerindo convic\u00e7\u00e3o), pode abrir caminho para <strong>US$ 82.804,75<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Se o Bitcoin falhar repetidamente em voltar acima de <strong>US$ 82.700<\/strong>, ganha for\u00e7a o cen\u00e1rio de baixa. Vendedores podem puxar o pre\u00e7o de volta para <strong>US$ 82.600<\/strong>. Uma quebra confirmada (queda com continuidade, n\u00e3o apenas um \u201ctoque\u201d) desloca a aten\u00e7\u00e3o para <strong>US$ 82.400<\/strong> e para a faixa de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o anterior perto de <strong>US$ 82.350<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e os cen\u00e1rios de mercado acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o s\u00e3o orienta\u00e7\u00e3o de investimento nem recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Cada trader deve fazer sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e controlar o risco com cuidado.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o do Bitcoin: e agora?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A dire\u00e7\u00e3o do Bitcoin no curto prazo vai depender de as menores apostas em uma alta de juros pelo Federal Reserve conseguirem compensar as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Esse movimento pode dar algum suporte ao Bitcoin se os rendimentos dos Treasuries se estabilizarem e o d\u00f3lar perder for\u00e7a. Uma melhora na demanda institucional e a volta das entradas em ETFs de Bitcoin \u00e0 vista podem refor\u00e7ar o impulso de alta. Por outro lado, dados econ\u00f4micos mais fortes ou nova press\u00e3o inflacion\u00e1ria podem empurrar os rendimentos para cima e reduzir o apetite por criptomoedas (ativos mais sens\u00edveis ao risco). Sa\u00eddas cont\u00ednuas de ETFs tamb\u00e9m podem limitar a capacidade do Bitcoin de manter a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A reuni\u00e3o do Federal Reserve de <strong>27\u201328 de outubro<\/strong> segue como o pr\u00f3ximo grande evento de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria, com o mercado cada vez mais ponderando a chance de uma pausa antes de novo aperto mais adiante no ano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negocie Bitcoin com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A sensibilidade do Bitcoin a dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o, expectativas de juros e fluxo institucional cria oportunidades para traders avaliarem cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na VT Markets, \u00e9 poss\u00edvel acessar o BTCUSD por meio de CFDs de criptomoedas (Contrato por Diferen\u00e7a: derivativo em que voc\u00ea busca lucrar com a varia\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o, sem comprar o Bitcoin). Isso permite operar tanto na alta quanto na queda. As plataformas da VT Markets oferecem gr\u00e1ficos em tempo real, indicadores t\u00e9cnicos (m\u00e9tricas usadas para analisar pre\u00e7o e tend\u00eancia) e ferramentas de ordens para acompanhar o mercado e controlar a exposi\u00e7\u00e3o (tamanho do risco na posi\u00e7\u00e3o).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Perguntas frequentes<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que o Bitcoin est\u00e1 subindo apesar da infla\u00e7\u00e3o mais alta nos EUA?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do Bitcoin reflete a mudan\u00e7a nas expectativas sobre a pol\u00edtica do Federal Reserve. Embora a infla\u00e7\u00e3o mais alta tenha aumentado, inicialmente, o receio de alta de juros, coment\u00e1rios mais cautelosos de dirigentes do Fed reduziram a chance de aperto imediato (subida r\u00e1pida de juros), o que ajuda ativos mais sens\u00edveis ao risco, como o Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como os juros do Federal Reserve afetam o Bitcoin?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Juros mais altos tendem a elevar os rendimentos dos Treasuries e fortalecer o d\u00f3lar, o que costuma reduzir a atratividade de ativos sens\u00edveis ao risco, como o Bitcoin. Expectativas de juros menores podem apoiar a demanda por criptomoedas, embora essa rela\u00e7\u00e3o nem sempre seja est\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Qual \u00e9 a resist\u00eancia imediata do Bitcoin?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A resist\u00eancia est\u00e1 entre US$ 82.700 e US$ 82.750. Um rompimento sustentado pode colocar em foco a m\u00e1xima intradi\u00e1ria de US$ 82.804,75.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quais s\u00e3o os principais suportes do Bitcoin?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O suporte mais imediato est\u00e1 perto de US$ 82.600, seguido por US$ 82.400 e US$ 82.350. O n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico de US$ 82.000 serve como refer\u00eancia mais ampla na queda se a press\u00e3o vendedora aumentar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O Bitcoin pode chegar a US$ 83.000 na pr\u00f3xima etapa?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Bitcoin pode se aproximar de US$ 83.000 se o impulso comprador ganhar for\u00e7a e o pre\u00e7o romper acima de US$ 82.804,75.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que os traders de Bitcoin devem acompanhar a seguir?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders podem acompanhar os dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA, comunica\u00e7\u00f5es do Federal Reserve (falas e sinaliza\u00e7\u00f5es), rendimentos dos Treasuries, movimentos do d\u00f3lar e os fluxos dos ETFs de Bitcoin \u00e0 vista. Esses fatores podem influenciar a dire\u00e7\u00e3o do Bitcoin antes da decis\u00e3o de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria de outubro.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin volta a defender os US$ 82 mil e testa resist\u00eancias, mesmo com CPI cheio em 3,7% e n\u00facleo em 2,6%. ETFs inst\u00e1veis e Treasuries altos seguem no radar, com Fed em 27\u201328\/10.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69827,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin volta a defender os US$ 82 mil e testa resist\u00eancias, mesmo com CPI cheio em 3,7% e n\u00facleo em 2,6%. 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