{"id":69549,"date":"2026-10-12T08:18:45","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T08:18:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/uncategorized\/brent-oil-falls-as-trumps-energy-ceasefire-announcement-weighs-on-prices\/"},"modified":"2026-10-12T08:18:45","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T08:18:45","slug":"brent-oil-falls-as-trumps-energy-ceasefire-announcement-weighs-on-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/analysis\/brent-oil-falls-as-trumps-energy-ceasefire-announcement-weighs-on-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr\u00f3leo Brent cai com an\u00fancio de Trump sobre cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico pressionando os pre\u00e7os"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc78f318dcd.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O UKOUSD \u00e9 negociado a US$ 106,969, queda de US$ 1,829 (-1,68%), com m\u00e1xima de US$ 108,718 e m\u00ednima de US$ 105,433.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os contratos futuros (acordos para comprar ou vender no futuro) do petr\u00f3leo Brent ca\u00edram no in\u00edcio do preg\u00e3o de segunda-feira, ap\u00f3s o presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, anunciar um cessar-fogo no setor de energia entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O presidente ucraniano, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, disse que aguardava detalhes do acordo proposto, enquanto a R\u00fassia ainda n\u00e3o confirmou publicamente a participa\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ataques dos Houthis \u00e0 Ar\u00e1bia Saudita, incluindo a\u00e7\u00f5es letais no aeroporto internacional de Riad, seguem elevando a preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o com a estabilidade regional e com poss\u00edveis interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no fornecimento de energia.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders (operadores de mercado) acompanham dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA, a reuni\u00e3o de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria do Federal Reserve (Fed, o banco central americano) em outubro e novos fatos que possam afetar a oferta de energia da R\u00fassia e do Oriente M\u00e9dio.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento do mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo recuaram na segunda-feira, 12 de outubro de 2026, depois que o an\u00fancio do presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, sobre um cessar-fogo no setor de energia entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia aumentou a expectativa de menos interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no fornecimento russo. Os futuros do Brent ca\u00edram <strong>para US$ 106,969, baixa de 1,68%<\/strong>. O an\u00fancio veio ap\u00f3s um acordo separado entre EUA e R\u00fassia para colocar mais diesel russo no mercado. Ainda assim, a informa\u00e7\u00e3o sobre o cessar-fogo n\u00e3o virou um acordo confirmado entre Kyiv e Moscou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Apesar da queda mais ampla, o UKOUSD se recuperou de perto de <strong>US$ 106,40<\/strong> para a regi\u00e3o de US$ 107,00 na janela observada. A alta indica que ainda h\u00e1 compradores em n\u00edveis mais baixos, mas a queda do dia mostra que a press\u00e3o vendedora n\u00e3o desapareceu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que os traders est\u00e3o atentos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Se o cessar-fogo proposto para energia entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia for implementado, pode reduzir o medo de falta de oferta que sustentou os pre\u00e7os nos \u00faltimos meses. Por\u00e9m, ainda h\u00e1 d\u00favidas sobre a execu\u00e7\u00e3o. Sem confirma\u00e7\u00e3o dos dois governos, o mercado pode reverter rapidamente a rea\u00e7\u00e3o ao an\u00fancio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ao mesmo tempo, as for\u00e7as Houthis intensificaram ataques contra a Ar\u00e1bia Saudita. Ataques ao aeroporto internacional de Riad no fim de semana mataram pelo menos 12 pessoas no s\u00e1bado, com outra morte registrada ap\u00f3s o ataque de domingo. As a\u00e7\u00f5es reacenderam temores sobre a seguran\u00e7a na regi\u00e3o, enquanto incidentes com navios-tanque (embarca\u00e7\u00f5es que transportam petr\u00f3leo) perto do Estreito de Ormuz continuam amea\u00e7ando rotas de transporte de energia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Embora n\u00e3o haja evid\u00eancia de perdas equivalentes na produ\u00e7\u00e3o de petr\u00f3leo, o risco de problemas no transporte mar\u00edtimo, alta no custo de seguro e danos \u00e0 infraestrutura de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o segue dando sustenta\u00e7\u00e3o aos pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Principais n\u00edveis para negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/UKOIL\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Gr\u00e1fico do UKOIL<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;por TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:UKOIL\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel de pre\u00e7o<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tipo<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Import\u00e2ncia t\u00e9cnica<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>US$ 107,00\u2013US$ 107,05<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia<\/td><td>M\u00e1xima recente no intradi\u00e1rio e barreira psicol\u00f3gica (n\u00edvel \u201credondo\u201d que costuma atrair ordens)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>US$ 106,85\u2013US$ 106,90<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia imediata<\/td><td>\u00c1rea de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o recente (per\u00edodo em que o pre\u00e7o ficou \u201cde lado\u201d)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>US$ 106,80<\/td><td>Suporte imediato<\/td><td>Regi\u00e3o de rompimento recente e de m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel (indicador que suaviza o pre\u00e7o para mostrar a tend\u00eancia)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>US$ 106,60\u2013US$ 106,65<\/td><td>Suporte secund\u00e1rio<\/td><td>Zona de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o intradi\u00e1ria anterior<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>US$ 106,40\u2013US$ 106,45<\/td><td>Suporte inferior<\/td><td>Limite inferior da faixa de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o observada<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O UKOUSD se recuperou de aproximadamente <strong>US$ 106,40<\/strong> para perto de US$ 107,00. O n\u00edvel de US$ 107,00 \u00e9 a resist\u00eancia imediata a acompanhar. O pre\u00e7o chegou a passar por pouco acima dessa \u00e1rea antes de recuar, sinal de que vendedores seguem ativos perto do topo da faixa observada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na queda, US$ 106,80 \u00e9 a primeira \u00e1rea em que compradores podem tentar sustentar a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o. Se romper abaixo dessa zona, o pre\u00e7o pode buscar <strong>US$ 106,60<\/strong> e, depois, as m\u00ednimas anteriores perto de US$ 106,40.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc78f656f5a.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alvos potenciais<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sinal de invalida\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rompimento altista<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado acima de US$ 107,05<\/td><td>US$ 107,20 e depois US$ 107,40<\/td><td>Revers\u00e3o abaixo de US$ 106,85<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o altista<\/td><td>Pre\u00e7o se mant\u00e9m acima de US$ 106,80<\/td><td>US$ 106,95\u2013US$ 107,05<\/td><td>Queda abaixo de US$ 106,60<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o baixista<\/td><td>Falha em romper US$ 107,00\u2013US$ 107,05<\/td><td>US$ 106,80 e depois US$ 106,60<\/td><td>Rompimento sustentado acima de US$ 107,05<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rompimento para baixo<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado abaixo de US$ 106,60<\/td><td>US$ 106,45 e depois US$ 106,40<\/td><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o acima de US$ 106,80<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um cen\u00e1rio de alta pode ganhar for\u00e7a se o UKOUSD se mantiver <strong>acima de US$ 106,80<\/strong> e conseguir romper a resist\u00eancia em US$ 107,00\u2013US$ 107,05. Isso indicaria aumento do impulso comprador no curto prazo, com espa\u00e7o para buscar US$ 107,20 e US$ 107,40.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um cen\u00e1rio de baixa pode aparecer se o UKOUSD n\u00e3o superar a resist\u00eancia perto de US$ 107,00 e recuar <strong>abaixo de US$ 106,80<\/strong>. Se depois cair abaixo de US$ 106,60, a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o intradi\u00e1ria perde for\u00e7a e traz US$ 106,45\u2013US$ 106,40 para o radar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o do UKOUSD: o que pode levar para cima ou para baixo?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ataques a instala\u00e7\u00f5es de energia, problemas prolongados com navios-tanque ou o fracasso nas negocia\u00e7\u00f5es de cessar-fogo podem reativar o medo de falta de oferta. Uma demanda global mais forte do que o esperado (consumo maior de petr\u00f3leo) tamb\u00e9m pode sustentar os pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por outro lado, a confirma\u00e7\u00e3o de um cessar-fogo no setor de energia entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia, mais oferta de combust\u00edveis russos, melhora nas condi\u00e7\u00f5es de navega\u00e7\u00e3o no Oriente M\u00e9dio ou dados econ\u00f4micos fracos podem reduzir a preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o com oferta e pressionar os pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Al\u00e9m da geopol\u00edtica, traders tamb\u00e9m se preparam para o \u00edndice de pre\u00e7os ao consumidor (CPI, indicador de infla\u00e7\u00e3o) dos EUA, previsto para quarta-feira, 14 de outubro. Uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o acima do esperado pode refor\u00e7ar a expectativa de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria mais dura do Federal Reserve (como juros mais altos por mais tempo), fortalecendo o d\u00f3lar. Um d\u00f3lar mais forte tende a pesar sobre commodities (mat\u00e9rias-primas) cotadas em d\u00f3lar, como o petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negocie UKOUSD com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os mercados de petr\u00f3leo seguem sens\u00edveis a eventos geopol\u00edticos, mudan\u00e7as na oferta e dados econ\u00f4micos. Para quem acompanha o UKOUSD, observar esses fatores junto com n\u00edveis t\u00e9cnicos pode ajudar a entender as mudan\u00e7as de cen\u00e1rio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Com a VT Markets, \u00e9 poss\u00edvel negociar CFDs (contratos por diferen\u00e7a, um derivativo que replica a varia\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o sem comprar o ativo f\u00edsico) de petr\u00f3leo e operar comprado (ganha com alta) ou vendido (ganha com queda), conforme a sua vis\u00e3o de mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A VT Markets oferece plataformas como MetaTrader 5 (MT5), Web Trading (plataforma no navegador) e o aplicativo VT Markets, al\u00e9m de ferramentas de gr\u00e1fico e materiais de an\u00e1lise de mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Perguntas frequentes<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que o UKOUSD est\u00e1 caindo hoje?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O UKOUSD est\u00e1 pressionado porque o an\u00fancio de Donald Trump sobre um poss\u00edvel cessar-fogo no setor de energia entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia aumentou a expectativa de menos interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no fornecimento russo. Isso reduziu parte do medo imediato de falta de oferta, embora o acordo ainda n\u00e3o tenha sido confirmado pelos dois pa\u00edses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo v\u00e3o continuar caindo?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Novas quedas s\u00e3o poss\u00edveis se o cessar-fogo proposto for implementado e mais oferta russa chegar ao mercado. Por\u00e9m, ataques renovados \u00e0 Ar\u00e1bia Saudita e riscos para a navega\u00e7\u00e3o perto do Estreito de Ormuz podem limitar as perdas ou provocar uma nova recupera\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como a infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA afeta o UKOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Infla\u00e7\u00e3o mais alta nos EUA pode influenciar as expectativas de juros do Federal Reserve e o valor do d\u00f3lar. Um d\u00f3lar mais forte pode pressionar o petr\u00f3leo, que \u00e9 cotado em d\u00f3lar. Al\u00e9m disso, o temor de desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica pode reduzir a expectativa de demanda por petr\u00f3leo. Interrup\u00e7\u00f5es de oferta podem compensar esses efeitos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c9 poss\u00edvel operar compra e venda de UKOUSD na VT Markets?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A VT Markets oferece negocia\u00e7\u00e3o de CFDs de petr\u00f3leo, permitindo que clientes eleg\u00edveis operem comprado ou vendido sem possuir petr\u00f3leo f\u00edsico.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petr\u00f3leo Brent cai 1,68% a US$ 106,97: Trump fala em cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico R\u00fassia-Ucr\u00e2nia e alivia temor de oferta. Mas Houthis e Ormuz mant\u00eam pr\u00eamio de risco; mercado mira CPI e Fed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69548,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69549","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Petr\u00f3leo Brent cai 1,68% a US$ 106,97: Trump fala em cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico R\u00fassia-Ucr\u00e2nia e alivia temor de oferta. 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