{"id":69301,"date":"2026-10-07T11:59:37","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T11:59:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/uncategorized\/weak-jobs-strong-gold-is-it-really-that-straightforward\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T11:59:37","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T11:59:37","slug":"weak-jobs-strong-gold-is-it-really-that-straightforward","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/featured\/weak-jobs-strong-gold-is-it-really-that-straightforward\/","title":{"rendered":"Empregos fracos, ouro forte? \u00c9 realmente t\u00e3o simples assim?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac602538cfa9.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), ou relat\u00f3rio de empregos fora do setor agr\u00edcola dos EUA, \u00e9 um dos indicadores econ\u00f4micos mais acompanhados pelos mercados globais e um dos que mais consegue provocar oscila\u00e7\u00f5es fortes no ouro. A rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u201ccl\u00e1ssica\u201d parece simples: dados de emprego melhores do que o esperado tendem a sustentar os juros dos Treasuries (t\u00edtulos do governo dos EUA) e o d\u00f3lar, o que pode pressionar o ouro. J\u00e1 dados mais fracos costumam derrubar juros e d\u00f3lar, o que pode favorecer o metal. Na pr\u00e1tica, isso \u00e9 um ponto de partida, n\u00e3o uma regra fixa.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para quem est\u00e1 come\u00e7ando, um <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/a-complete-beginners-guide-to-gold-trading\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">guia completo para iniciantes em negocia\u00e7\u00e3o de ouro<\/a> ou aprender a operar <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/xau-usd-trading-a-beginners-guide-to-gold-vs-us-dollar\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">XAU\/USD<\/a> (ouro em d\u00f3lares) ajuda a entender essas din\u00e2micas.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O NFP n\u00e3o \u201cdefine\u201d diretamente o pre\u00e7o do ouro. O relat\u00f3rio mexe, principalmente, com as expectativas sobre a pol\u00edtica do Federal Reserve (Fed), o banco central dos EUA. Essas expectativas influenciam os juros dos Treasuries, o d\u00f3lar e o custo de oportunidade (o que voc\u00ea deixa de ganhar) ao manter ouro, que n\u00e3o paga juros. O relat\u00f3rio de setembro mostrou por que esse caminho \u00e9 importante e por que n\u00e3o basta olhar apenas o n\u00famero principal de vagas.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que o NFP realmente diz ao mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Muita gente fala do NFP como se o n\u00famero de vagas fosse \u201co relat\u00f3rio inteiro\u201d, mas o mercado tamb\u00e9m observa: taxa de desemprego, crescimento dos sal\u00e1rios, participa\u00e7\u00e3o na for\u00e7a de trabalho (percentual de pessoas trabalhando ou procurando emprego) e revis\u00f5es dos meses anteriores (quando o dado passado \u00e9 recalculado com informa\u00e7\u00f5es novas). Esses itens podem apontar dire\u00e7\u00f5es diferentes: as vagas podem vir acima do esperado enquanto os sal\u00e1rios desaceleram; o desemprego pode subir mesmo com cria\u00e7\u00e3o de vagas; e um n\u00famero forte pode parecer bem mais fraco se meses anteriores forem revisados para baixo.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por isso, a pergunta n\u00e3o \u00e9 s\u00f3 \u201ccriou emprego?\u201d. A quest\u00e3o central \u00e9 se o relat\u00f3rio, no conjunto, veio mais forte ou mais fraco do que o mercado esperava e se isso muda a expectativa para o Fed. Entender <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/how-to-trade-interest-rate-expectations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">como operar expectativas de juros<\/a> \u00e9 essencial nesses dias, especialmente quando h\u00e1 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/mixed-economic-signals-how-investors-should-respond\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sinais econ\u00f4micos mistos<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">US job growth slowed more than expected in September and the nonfarm payrolls count for the prior two months was revised sharply lower, almost taking another interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve this month off the table <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2lEChNt9wF\">https:\/\/t.co\/2lEChNt9wF<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/YB8ljDZbU5\">pic.twitter.com\/YB8ljDZbU5<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2106104431762977233?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O relat\u00f3rio de setembro foi mais direto. O NFP mostrou aumento de apenas 29 mil vagas, contra expectativa ao redor de 90 mil. A taxa de desemprego subiu de 4,1% para 4,2%, enquanto o ganho m\u00e9dio por hora avan\u00e7ou s\u00f3 0,1% no m\u00eas (m\u00eas contra m\u00eas), abaixo do esperado (0,3%). Al\u00e9m disso, a cria\u00e7\u00e3o de vagas de agosto foi revisada para baixo, de 162 mil para 133 mil. Diferente de meses com mensagens mistas, os dados de setembro trouxeram um quadro mais fraco do mercado de trabalho dos EUA.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Isso mostra por que a \u201csurpresa\u201d em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao esperado pesa mais do que o n\u00famero em si. Criar 100 mil vagas pode ser forte se o mercado esperava 50 mil, mas fraco se a proje\u00e7\u00e3o era 150 mil. Por isso, a rea\u00e7\u00e3o costuma acontecer pelo tamanho da diferen\u00e7a entre o resultado e o consenso, e n\u00e3o pelo n\u00famero isolado. Quem usa estrat\u00e9gia para <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/5-steps-to-trade-forex-on-news-releases\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">operar c\u00e2mbio (forex) com base em not\u00edcias<\/a> precisa considerar esse \u201cgap\u201d de expectativa.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que o crescimento dos sal\u00e1rios importa<\/h2>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os sal\u00e1rios s\u00e3o uma parte-chave porque influenciam como o Fed avalia a infla\u00e7\u00e3o. Quando empresas disputam trabalhadores, os sal\u00e1rios podem subir mais r\u00e1pido, aumentando custos e mantendo a infla\u00e7\u00e3o pressionada. Sal\u00e1rios mais fracos sugerem que a press\u00e3o no mercado de trabalho est\u00e1 diminuindo.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The US added fewer jobs than expected in September and wage growth slowed, signaling some caution among employers amid rising costs: Evening Briefing Americas <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HZSu2UI5HB\">https:\/\/t.co\/HZSu2UI5HB<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2106159831635710021?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Assim, a alta de 0,1% em setembro no ganho m\u00e9dio por hora refor\u00e7ou a fraqueza do dado de vagas. Com pouca cria\u00e7\u00e3o de empregos, desemprego maior e revis\u00e3o negativa de agosto, o relat\u00f3rio trouxe poucos sinais de melhora do mercado de trabalho.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A rea\u00e7\u00e3o inicial do mercado refletiu isso. O ouro saltou de perto de US$ 4.186 para acima de US$ 4.225, enquanto os juros dos Treasuries ca\u00edram e o d\u00f3lar enfraqueceu. \u00c0 primeira vista, o \u201cmanual\u201d funcionou: emprego fraco, juros menores, d\u00f3lar mais fraco e ouro em alta.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mas o movimento n\u00e3o durou.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como o NFP realmente mexe com o ouro<\/h2>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uma forma mais \u00fatil de entender a rela\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 \u201cNFP fraco = ouro sobe\u201d, e sim:<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Dados de emprego \u2192 expectativas para o Fed \u2192 juros dos Treasuries e d\u00f3lar \u2192 ouro<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um relat\u00f3rio de emprego mais fraco pode reduzir a chance de o Fed voltar a apertar a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria (subir juros). Isso tende a pressionar para baixo os juros dos Treasuries, principalmente os de curto prazo (mais sens\u00edveis ao que o Fed deve fazer). Uma perspectiva de juros mais baixos tamb\u00e9m pode enfraquecer o d\u00f3lar. Esses dois fatores podem ajudar o ouro porque, com juros menores, cai o custo de oportunidade de manter um ativo que n\u00e3o paga juros.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold edged up after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed the impact of a slowdown in the US jobs market and higher bond yields on the Federal Reserve\u2019s path for interest rates <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/perHKmcAHc\">https:\/\/t.co\/perHKmcAHc<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2106918548111048978?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 5, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para analisar melhor esses fatores entre mercados, muitos traders estudam <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/why-does-dxy-rise-in-uncertain-markets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">por que o DXY sobe em momentos de incerteza<\/a> (DXY \u00e9 o \u00edndice do d\u00f3lar, uma medida da for\u00e7a da moeda americana contra uma cesta de moedas) e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/us-treasury-yields-and-gold-why-traders-watch-real-rates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">juros dos Treasuries e ouro: por que acompanhar os juros reais<\/a> (juros reais s\u00e3o o retorno \u201cdescontada\u201d a infla\u00e7\u00e3o). Entender <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/how-to-read-the-10-year-treasury-yield-chart\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">como ler o gr\u00e1fico do juro do Treasury de 10 anos<\/a> e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/how-to-analyse-treasury-yield-breakouts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">como analisar rompimentos nos juros<\/a> ajuda em eventos macro.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os juros reais tamb\u00e9m importam porque mostram o ganho do investidor depois de considerar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o. Para o ouro, isso \u00e0s vezes traz um sinal mais claro do que olhar apenas os juros nominais (os juros \u201ccheios\u201d, antes de descontar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mas os juros longos dos Treasuries s\u00e3o influenciados por mais coisas al\u00e9m do Fed: expectativa de infla\u00e7\u00e3o, necessidade de financiamento do governo, oferta de t\u00edtulos (quando o Tesouro emite mais pap\u00e9is), crescimento econ\u00f4mico e o \u201cpr\u00eamio\u201d extra que o investidor exige para ficar mais tempo com um t\u00edtulo longo (pr\u00eamio de prazo). Essa diferen\u00e7a ficou clara depois do NFP de setembro.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que o ouro virou ap\u00f3s o NFP de setembro<\/h2>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Logo ap\u00f3s o relat\u00f3rio, os juros ca\u00edram porque o mercado diminuiu a chance de uma nova alta de juros do Fed no curto prazo. O juro do Treasury de 10 anos recuou cerca de 8 pontos-base (ponto-base \u00e9 0,01 ponto percentual), mas a queda virou r\u00e1pido. No fim do dia, o juro de 10 anos se recuperou e terminou mais alto, perto de 5,26%.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O ouro acompanhou a mudan\u00e7a no mercado de t\u00edtulos. Depois de subir acima de US$ 4.225, virou e acabou voltando para abaixo do n\u00edvel anterior ao NFP.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O ponto principal \u00e9 que o relat\u00f3rio de emprego n\u00e3o \u201cficou forte\u201d de repente. Ele continuou fraco. O que mudou foi o foco do mercado.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold edges lower with focus on Fed minutes, rate path clues <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/aM9hZePCP2\">https:\/\/t.co\/aM9hZePCP2<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/aM9hZePCP2\">https:\/\/t.co\/aM9hZePCP2<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2107684856901582924?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 7, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os investidores voltaram a olhar para for\u00e7as maiores que j\u00e1 vinham mantendo os juros longos altos: a infla\u00e7\u00e3o seguia acima da meta do Fed, a energia estava cara, o financiamento do governo e a emiss\u00e3o de Treasuries continuavam no radar, e os juros de longo prazo j\u00e1 estavam perto de m\u00e1ximas de v\u00e1rias d\u00e9cadas.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O NFP fraco mexeu com a expectativa de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria, mas n\u00e3o eliminou essas press\u00f5es. Por isso, n\u00e3o d\u00e1 para analisar um indicador sozinho. O ouro reage n\u00e3o s\u00f3 ao dado, mas ao jeito como o mercado \u201ctraduz\u201d esse dado em juros, c\u00e2mbio e expectativa de juros. Usar <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/top-down-analysis-in-trading-a-cfd-traders-guide\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">an\u00e1lise top-down<\/a> (come\u00e7ar pelo cen\u00e1rio macro e ir afunilando) em negocia\u00e7\u00e3o de CFD (Contrato por Diferen\u00e7a, um tipo de opera\u00e7\u00e3o que replica a varia\u00e7\u00e3o de pre\u00e7o sem comprar o ativo) ou fazer <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/how-to-conduct-scenario-analysis-in-cfd-trading\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">an\u00e1lise de cen\u00e1rios<\/a> (mapear poss\u00edveis resultados e rea\u00e7\u00f5es) ajuda a se preparar para essas viradas.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O primeiro movimento nem sempre \u00e9 o movimento final<\/h2>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O NFP de setembro n\u00e3o \u201cquebrou\u201d a rela\u00e7\u00e3o comum entre emprego e ouro. A primeira rea\u00e7\u00e3o seguiu o padr\u00e3o: emprego mais fraco do que o esperado, sal\u00e1rios decepcionando, desemprego subindo, juros caindo no come\u00e7o, d\u00f3lar enfraquecendo e ouro subindo.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A virada veio depois, quando os juros dos Treasuries se recuperaram e o suporte por tr\u00e1s da alta inicial do ouro desapareceu.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Essa \u00e9 uma das li\u00e7\u00f5es mais importantes em grandes divulga\u00e7\u00f5es. A manchete explica o primeiro impulso, mas n\u00e3o define o dia inteiro. Depois que a volatilidade inicial passa, vale observar se os mercados que \u201ccarregam\u201d o sinal (juros e d\u00f3lar) continuam confirmando o movimento.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Se o ouro sobe ap\u00f3s um NFP fraco enquanto os juros seguem caindo e o d\u00f3lar continua pressionado, o movimento fica mais \u201cconfirmado\u201d. Se os juros se recuperam ou o d\u00f3lar volta a ganhar for\u00e7a, o cen\u00e1rio muda e o ouro pode devolver parte ou tudo do ganho. Aplicar <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/trade-risk-management-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">boas pr\u00e1ticas de gest\u00e3o de risco<\/a> (tamanho de posi\u00e7\u00e3o, stop e limite de perda) \u00e9 essencial em viradas ap\u00f3s not\u00edcias.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O CPI \u00e9 o pr\u00f3ximo grande teste<\/h2>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A pr\u00f3xima pe\u00e7a importante \u00e9 a infla\u00e7\u00e3o. Para entender melhor, veja o <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/complete-consumer-price-index-guide-2025-smarter-investing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">guia completo do CPI (\u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor)<\/a> e avalie <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/gold-and-inflation-is-gold-really-an-inflation-hedge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">se o ouro realmente protege contra a infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a> (hedge \u00e9 prote\u00e7\u00e3o, uma forma de reduzir risco).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os dados de emprego de setembro sugerem que o mercado de trabalho dos EUA est\u00e1 perdendo f\u00f4lego, reduzindo a press\u00e3o por uma alta imediata de juros pelo Fed. Ainda assim, emprego mais fraco sozinho pode n\u00e3o mudar o rumo da pol\u00edtica do banco central, porque a infla\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 a outra metade da conta.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Isso torna o pr\u00f3ximo CPI especialmente relevante.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um CPI mais fraco do que o esperado refor\u00e7aria a mensagem do mercado de trabalho. Se emprego e infla\u00e7\u00e3o esfriam ao mesmo tempo, o Fed teria menos motivo para manter um aperto forte. Se isso tamb\u00e9m derrubar juros e d\u00f3lar, o ouro teria um sinal mais firme para sustentar alta.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">High inflation alone isn\u2019t bad for US Treasuries \u2014 instead, it\u2019s a rapid increase in the pace of price growth that does the most damage, according to a study by Man Group <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bAZJIkRWQl\">https:\/\/t.co\/bAZJIkRWQl<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2107513723174658316?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 6, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um CPI mais forte do que o esperado pode gerar o oposto. Infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente lembraria o mercado de que o Fed n\u00e3o pode olhar s\u00f3 para a fraqueza do emprego. Mesmo com desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado de trabalho, os juros podem precisar ficar altos por mais tempo se a infla\u00e7\u00e3o continuar resistente (sticky: dif\u00edcil de ceder).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Perguntas frequentes (FAQ)<\/strong><\/summary>\n<ol start=\"1\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Um NFP fraco significa automaticamente que o ouro vai subir?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e3o. Embora emprego fraco frequentemente derrube os juros dos Treasuries e o d\u00f3lar (o que pode ajudar o ouro), o NFP n\u00e3o determina o pre\u00e7o do metal sozinho. O que pesa \u00e9 como o dado altera a expectativa para a pol\u00edtica do Fed, que ent\u00e3o afeta juros, d\u00f3lar e ouro.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<ol start=\"2\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Por que o ouro virou e caiu ap\u00f3s subir com o NFP fraco de setembro?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Apesar da rea\u00e7\u00e3o inicial ao emprego fraco, o mercado voltou rapidamente a focar em fatores mais amplos: press\u00e3o inflacion\u00e1ria, energia cara e grande volume de emiss\u00e3o de Treasuries (maior oferta de t\u00edtulos). Com a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do juro de 10 anos, a for\u00e7a por tr\u00e1s da alta do ouro enfraqueceu, e o pre\u00e7o devolveu o movimento.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<ol start=\"3\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Quais partes do NFP acompanhar al\u00e9m do n\u00famero principal de vagas?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vale acompanhar a taxa de desemprego, o ganho m\u00e9dio por hora (sal\u00e1rios), a participa\u00e7\u00e3o na for\u00e7a de trabalho e as revis\u00f5es dos meses anteriores. Sinais mistos \u2014 como sal\u00e1rios desacelerando ao mesmo tempo em que o n\u00famero de vagas vem forte \u2014 podem mudar a leitura sobre o que o Fed far\u00e1 com os juros.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<ol start=\"4\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Por que o CPI \u00e9 t\u00e3o importante para quem opera ouro depois do NFP?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O NFP mostra o ritmo do mercado de trabalho, enquanto o CPI mostra melhor a press\u00e3o de infla\u00e7\u00e3o e se o Fed pode aliviar ou precisa manter juros altos. Se a infla\u00e7\u00e3o continuar forte, o Fed pode manter juros elevados por mais tempo mesmo com emprego esfriando. Isso tende a sustentar os juros dos Treasuries e limitar o espa\u00e7o de alta do ouro.<\/p>\n<p><\/p><\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NFP \u00e9 o gatilho que balan\u00e7a o ouro: n\u00e3o \u00e9 s\u00f3 vagas, mas sal\u00e1rios, desemprego e revis\u00f5es. Setembro veio fraco, metal saltou e virou com juros longos retomando; CPI decide.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69300,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-learn"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"NFP \u00e9 o gatilho que balan\u00e7a o ouro: n\u00e3o \u00e9 s\u00f3 vagas, mas sal\u00e1rios, desemprego e revis\u00f5es. 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