{"id":68822,"date":"2026-09-24T07:58:39","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T07:58:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/uncategorized\/spi200-forecast-australian-shares-rebound-ahead-of-labour-data\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T07:58:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T07:58:39","slug":"spi200-forecast-australian-shares-rebound-ahead-of-labour-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/analysis\/spi200-forecast-australian-shares-rebound-ahead-of-labour-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Previs\u00e3o do SPI200: A\u00e7\u00f5es australianas se recuperam antes dos dados de emprego"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Copy-of-discover-7-3-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"SPI200 rebounds after losing session amid rising inflation and looming labour data.\n\" class=\"wp-image-69128\"\/><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><p><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>As a\u00e7\u00f5es australianas seguem sens\u00edveis \u00e0 alta dos rendimentos (juros) dos t\u00edtulos do Tesouro dos EUA, ao avan\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo e ao retorno das preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o (alta generalizada de pre\u00e7os).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O mercado acompanha os pr\u00f3ximos dados de emprego da Austr\u00e1lia em busca de sinais sobre a trajet\u00f3ria de juros do Banco da Reserva da Austr\u00e1lia (RBA, o banco central do pa\u00eds).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O RBA sinalizou que uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente pode exigir mais aperto monet\u00e1rio (eleva\u00e7\u00e3o de juros e outras medidas para esfriar a economia).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O SPI200 se recuperou para perto de <strong>8.697<\/strong> ap\u00f3s cair at\u00e9 a <strong>regi\u00e3o de suporte em 8.630<\/strong> durante a sess\u00e3o.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento do mercado<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os futuros de a\u00e7\u00f5es australianas reagiram ap\u00f3s um come\u00e7o fraco: o SPI200 subiu para perto de <strong>8.697<\/strong> depois de tocar a m\u00ednima do dia ao redor de <strong>8.630<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ao longo da sess\u00e3o, o SPI200 ganhou for\u00e7a e passou a fazer m\u00ednimas mais altas (sinal de melhora no curto prazo). O \u00edndice ficou acima da <strong>m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 9 per\u00edodos<\/strong> (um indicador que calcula o pre\u00e7o m\u00e9dio dos \u00faltimos 9 candles\/dias e ajuda a enxergar a dire\u00e7\u00e3o de curto prazo), sugerindo melhora do impulso comprador.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mesmo assim, o movimento perdeu f\u00f4lego perto da <strong>resist\u00eancia em 8.700<\/strong> (faixa em que o pre\u00e7o costuma ter dificuldade para avan\u00e7ar), mostrando cautela antes de dados econ\u00f4micos e sinais do banco central.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que os traders est\u00e3o de olho no SPI200<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders est\u00e3o<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/what-is-indices-trading-and-how-does-it-work\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> monitorando o SPI200<\/a> porque as a\u00e7\u00f5es australianas se recuperam antes de dados importantes do mercado de trabalho, que podem influenciar as expectativas sobre os pr\u00f3ximos passos do <strong>Banco da Reserva da Austr\u00e1lia (RBA)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A recupera\u00e7\u00e3o veio ap\u00f3s press\u00e3o gerada por quedas em Wall Street, alta dos rendimentos dos Treasuries (t\u00edtulos do governo dos EUA, refer\u00eancia global de juros) e novas preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o. Juros mais altos nos t\u00edtulos tendem a pesar sobre a\u00e7\u00f5es, porque aumentam a atratividade da renda fixa e diminuem o valor presente dos lucros futuros. Al\u00e9m disso, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/crude-oil-guide-prices-trading-what-is-wti-crude\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">o petr\u00f3leo<\/a> acima de <strong>US$ 103<\/strong> refor\u00e7ou a aten\u00e7\u00e3o para o risco de infla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Com isso, o mercado reavalia o cen\u00e1rio de juros, tentando entender se os bancos centrais seguir\u00e3o mais conservadores (mantendo juros altos por mais tempo).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Millions of Australians are bracing for another massive hit to their hip pockets, with almost every expert tipping the Reserve Bank will hike interest rates next week.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tCsLKm0mFv\">https:\/\/t.co\/tCsLKm0mFv<\/a><\/p>&mdash; News24 Australia (@News24Aust) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/News24Aust\/status\/2102839870062489900?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Principais n\u00edveis para trading<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-SPI200\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Gr\u00e1fico do SPI200<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> por TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:SPI200\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": \"100%\",\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>N\u00edvel<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Regi\u00e3o de pre\u00e7o<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Explica\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 1<\/td><td>8.700<\/td><td>Primeira barreira onde a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o perdeu for\u00e7a<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 2<\/td><td>8.750<\/td><td>Se romper acima, pode indicar recupera\u00e7\u00e3o mais forte no curto prazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 1<\/td><td>8.630<\/td><td>M\u00ednima da sess\u00e3o e suporte importante no curto prazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 2<\/td><td>8.600<\/td><td>Suporte psicol\u00f3gico (n\u00famero \u201credondo\u201d que costuma atrair aten\u00e7\u00e3o) se a press\u00e3o vendedora voltar<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>M\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel<\/td><td>Perto de 8.690<\/td><td>Refer\u00eancia de tend\u00eancia de curto prazo no gr\u00e1fico<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No momento, o SPI200 testa a <strong>resist\u00eancia em 8.700<\/strong> ap\u00f3s se recuperar da m\u00ednima do dia. Ficar acima da <strong>m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel em 8.690<\/strong> pode manter o vi\u00e9s positivo no curto prazo. J\u00e1 uma queda abaixo de <strong>8.630<\/strong> pode sinalizar retorno da press\u00e3o de baixa.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-23-1024x472.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69129\"\/><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Cen\u00e1rio<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Condi\u00e7\u00f5es<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Poss\u00edvel resultado<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cen\u00e1rio de alta<\/td><td>O SPI200 rompe 8.700 e sustenta o movimento acima da m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de curto prazo<\/td><td>Compradores podem mirar a resist\u00eancia em 8.750 com melhora do sentimento<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cen\u00e1rio de baixa<\/td><td>O SPI200 cai abaixo do suporte em 8.630<\/td><td>A press\u00e3o de venda pode aumentar em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 8.600<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No cen\u00e1rio de alta, o ponto central \u00e9 se os compradores conseguem levar o \u00edndice acima da <strong>resist\u00eancia em 8.700<\/strong>. Se isso acontecer, <strong>8.750<\/strong> vira o pr\u00f3ximo alvo.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No cen\u00e1rio de baixa, os vendedores precisam retomar o controle abaixo do <strong>suporte em 8.630<\/strong>, o que pode aumentar a press\u00e3o at\u00e9 <strong>8.600<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><br><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e os cen\u00e1rios acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da publica\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o s\u00e3o aconselhamento financeiro nem recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Fa\u00e7a sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e controle o risco.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que esperar do SPI200<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O SPI200 segue influenciado por expectativas de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria na Austr\u00e1lia e pelo cen\u00e1rio global.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os dados de emprego da Austr\u00e1lia devem ganhar aten\u00e7\u00e3o ap\u00f3s n\u00fameros anteriores mostrarem enfraquecimento do mercado de trabalho e alta do desemprego. Um mercado de trabalho mais forte pode sustentar a vis\u00e3o de economia resiliente e ajudar o SPI200. J\u00e1 dados fracos podem aumentar a incerteza sobre a trajet\u00f3ria do RBA e pressionar o \u00edndice.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negocie SPI200 com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Acesse oportunidades no SPI200 com condi\u00e7\u00f5es competitivas, plataformas avan\u00e7adas e ferramentas para acompanhar \u00edndices globais.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Acompanhe o SPI200 junto com USDX (\u00edndice do d\u00f3lar, que mede a for\u00e7a do d\u00f3lar contra uma cesta de moedas), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">forex<\/a> (mercado de c\u00e2mbio), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00edndices<\/a> e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/markets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">outros mercados globais de CFD<\/a> (Contrato por Diferen\u00e7a, um derivativo que replica a varia\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o sem comprar o ativo) na VT Markets.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Perguntas frequentes<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que \u00e9 o SPI200?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O SPI200 \u00e9 um contrato futuro (derivativo negociado para uma data futura) ligado a um \u00edndice de a\u00e7\u00f5es australianas, usado para acompanhar as maiores empresas do pa\u00eds e, na pr\u00e1tica, costuma refletir os movimentos do ASX 200.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por que o SPI200 se recuperou ap\u00f3s cair no in\u00edcio?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O SPI200 reagiu com a volta de compradores ap\u00f3s a venda inicial, recuperando a regi\u00e3o acima da m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de curto prazo e se aproximando da resist\u00eancia em 8.700.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quais n\u00edveis acompanhar no SPI200?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O mercado acompanha <strong>8.700 como resist\u00eancia<\/strong> e <strong>8.630 como suporte<\/strong>. Um rompimento para cima ou para baixo pode apontar o pr\u00f3ximo movimento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como os juros afetam o SPI200?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Juros mais altos aumentam o custo de financiamento das empresas e podem pressionar a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o das a\u00e7\u00f5es. Mudan\u00e7as nas expectativas de juros tamb\u00e9m mexem com o apetite ao risco dos investidores.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-latam\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aten\u00e7\u00e3o ao gatilho: o SPI200 reage e volta a 8.697 ap\u00f3s tocar 8.630, mas trava em 8.700. Rendimentos dos Treasuries, petr\u00f3leo a US$103 e infla\u00e7\u00e3o elevam cautela antes do emprego australiano e sinais do RBA.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68821,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68822","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Aten\u00e7\u00e3o ao gatilho: o SPI200 reage e volta a 8.697 ap\u00f3s tocar 8.630, mas trava em 8.700. 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