{"id":69771,"date":"2026-10-20T02:50:33","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T02:50:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/uncategorized\/eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe\/"},"modified":"2026-10-20T02:50:33","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T02:50:33","slug":"eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/analysis\/eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD mant\u00e9m-se est\u00e1vel em meio \u00e0 agita\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica em toda a Europa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad6d3bd722b1.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O EURUSD negoceia perto de 1,12181, a subir 0,06%, numa altura em que o d\u00f3lar norte-americano tem dificuldade em definir uma dire\u00e7\u00e3o clara durante a sess\u00e3o asi\u00e1tica de ter\u00e7a-feira.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A agita\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica em Fran\u00e7a e It\u00e1lia aumenta as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a estabilidade europeia, pressionando as a\u00e7\u00f5es (bolsas) da regi\u00e3o e as obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Estado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O diferencial de rendibilidade (spread) entre as obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Estado a 10 anos de Fran\u00e7a e da Alemanha alargou 9,9 pontos base para 147,3 pontos base na segunda-feira.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O \u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar dos EUA (DXY), que mede o d\u00f3lar face a um conjunto de moedas, atingiu 102 na segunda-feira, enquanto a rendibilidade da Treasury a 10 anos se manteve em 5,131%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento de mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD negociou perto de <strong>1,12181<\/strong> durante a sess\u00e3o asi\u00e1tica de ter\u00e7a-feira, com um ganho modesto de <strong>0,06%<\/strong>. Uma melhoria gradual da confian\u00e7a dos investidores deu apoio a moedas mais sens\u00edveis ao risco (moedas que tendem a subir quando o apetite pelo risco aumenta), embora a incerteza pol\u00edtica na Europa tenha limitado a subida do euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O par moveu-se num intervalo intradi\u00e1rio estreito, com um m\u00e1ximo de <strong>1,12203<\/strong> e um m\u00ednimo de <strong>1,12089<\/strong>. A a\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o concentrou-se em torno de <strong>1,12180<\/strong>, sugerindo que nem compradores nem vendedores conseguiram manter o controlo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O \u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar dos EUA (DXY) negociou at\u00e9 <strong>102<\/strong> na segunda-feira, refletindo procura cont\u00ednua apesar das condi\u00e7\u00f5es globais inst\u00e1veis. Entretanto, a rendibilidade da Treasury dos EUA a 10 anos (taxa impl\u00edcita nas obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Estado norte-americano) manteve-se em <strong>5,131%<\/strong>, deixando o EURUSD mais exposto ao sentimento pol\u00edtico na Europa do que \u00e0s taxas das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que os traders est\u00e3o a acompanhar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os desenvolvimentos pol\u00edticos em Fran\u00e7a tornaram-se uma fonte de incerteza para o euro. As autoridades francesas introduziram recolher obrigat\u00f3rio em v\u00e1rias cidades na segunda-feira, ap\u00f3s protestos anti-governo em todo o pa\u00eds terem perturbado a ordem p\u00fablica, aumentando a press\u00e3o nos \u00faltimos meses do mandato do Presidente Emmanuel Macron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A instabilidade aumentou as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com as contas p\u00fablicas de Fran\u00e7a, especialmente enquanto o Parlamento se prepara para a primeira vota\u00e7\u00e3o formal da sec\u00e7\u00e3o de receitas (medidas de impostos e outras entradas) da proposta de <strong>Or\u00e7amento de 2027<\/strong>. Novos desacordos pol\u00edticos podem complicar as negocia\u00e7\u00f5es or\u00e7amentais e a situa\u00e7\u00e3o da d\u00edvida p\u00fablica francesa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os mercados de obriga\u00e7\u00f5es j\u00e1 refletiram estas preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es. O diferencial de rendibilidade (spread) entre as obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Estado a 10 anos de Fran\u00e7a e da Alemanha alargou para <strong>142,3 pontos base<\/strong> na segunda-feira. Um spread mais amplo indica que os investidores exigem um pr\u00e9mio de rendibilidade maior para manter d\u00edvida francesa face \u00e0s obriga\u00e7\u00f5es alem\u00e3s, vistas como mais seguras.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Investors Abandoning French Government Bonds for German Bunds <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5icGXC7osx\">https:\/\/t.co\/5icGXC7osx<\/a><\/p>&mdash; WSJ Markets (@WSJmarkets) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WSJmarkets\/status\/2108361012051136600?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As tens\u00f5es pol\u00edticas estenderam-se tamb\u00e9m a It\u00e1lia, onde o Governo anunciou planos para mobilizar 500 militares ap\u00f3s dois dias de dist\u00farbios. Embora o euro se tenha mantido relativamente est\u00e1vel, a instabilidade em grandes economias europeias pode aumentar a press\u00e3o sobre a moeda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Violent protests spread from France to Italy and Belgium <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/evvm5uqg7i\">https:\/\/t.co\/evvm5uqg7i<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Financial Times (@FT) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/FT\/status\/2112184808025583737?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00edveis-chave para negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/EURUSD\/?exchange=OANDA\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Gr\u00e1fico EURUSD<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;por TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"OANDA:EURUSD\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pre\u00e7o<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Import\u00e2ncia t\u00e9cnica<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 2<\/td><td>1.12203<\/td><td>M\u00e1ximo da sess\u00e3o e n\u00edvel de rutura (breakout, quando o pre\u00e7o ultrapassa uma barreira importante)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 1<\/td><td>1.122<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia psicol\u00f3gica imediata (n\u00edvel \u201credondo\u201d frequentemente observado pelo mercado)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Piv\u00f4<\/td><td>1.1218<\/td><td>Zona atual de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 1<\/td><td>1.1216<\/td><td>N\u00edvel de rea\u00e7\u00e3o no curto prazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 2<\/td><td>1.1214<\/td><td>Suporte intradi\u00e1rio recente<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 3<\/td><td>1.12089<\/td><td>M\u00ednimo da sess\u00e3o e refer\u00eancia para quedas<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD regista uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o de curto prazo, seguida de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o <strong>abaixo de 1,12200<\/strong>. A m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de nove per\u00edodos (MA9, um indicador que suaviza o pre\u00e7o para mostrar a tend\u00eancia) virou em alta ap\u00f3s o ressalto a partir de 1,12140, embora a a\u00e7\u00e3o mais recente sugira perda de for\u00e7a perto da resist\u00eancia. O par teve dificuldade em manter ganhos <strong>acima de 1,12200<\/strong>, tornando este o n\u00edvel de resist\u00eancia imediato a acompanhar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em baixa, <strong>1,12160<\/strong> \u00e9 a primeira zona de suporte. Uma queda abaixo deste n\u00edvel pode expor <strong>1,12140<\/strong>, onde surgiram compradores anteriormente. Um recuo mais profundo at\u00e9 <strong>1,12089<\/strong> sugeriria que a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o perdeu for\u00e7a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad6d3bec05d8.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Objetivo potencial<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rutura em alta<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado acima de 1,12203<\/td><td>1,12220\u20131,12240<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o em alta<\/td><td>Manter acima de 1,12160<\/td><td>1,12180\u20131,12200<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o em baixa<\/td><td>Falha em ultrapassar 1,12200<\/td><td>1,1216<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Quebra em baixa<\/td><td>Queda abaixo de 1,12140<\/td><td>1,12089<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um cen\u00e1rio de alta exigiria que o EURUSD consolidasse suporte <strong>acima de 1,12160<\/strong> antes de testar a zona de resist\u00eancia 1,12200\u20131,12203. Um sentimento de mercado mais favor\u00e1vel ao risco e menor preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o com a pol\u00edtica europeia poderiam apoiar este movimento. Uma rutura confirmada poder\u00e1 permitir uma extens\u00e3o para 1,12220\u20131,12240.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em contrapartida, pode formar-se um cen\u00e1rio de baixa se o EURUSD continuar a enfrentar press\u00e3o vendedora <strong>perto de 1,12200<\/strong>. Uma queda abaixo de 1,12160 enfraqueceria a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o imediata, enquanto uma descida atrav\u00e9s de 1,12140 pode expor o m\u00ednimo da sess\u00e3o em 1,12089. Um novo alargamento do spread entre as obriga\u00e7\u00f5es francesas e alem\u00e3s pode refor\u00e7ar esta press\u00e3o em baixa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e os cen\u00e1rios de mercado acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o constituem aconselhamento financeiro nem uma recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Os traders devem fazer a sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e gerir o risco com cuidado.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o EURUSD: o que se segue?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD pode manter-se num intervalo (range, oscilando entre suporte e resist\u00eancia) no curto prazo, enquanto os traders avaliam a melhoria do apetite global pelo risco face ao aumento da incerteza pol\u00edtica na Europa. A estabilidade do par sugere que os investidores ainda n\u00e3o encaram a agita\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica em Fran\u00e7a como uma crise financeira mais ampla na zona euro. Ainda assim, mais press\u00e3o sobre as obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Estado francesas pode enfraquecer a confian\u00e7a na moeda \u00fanica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O pr\u00f3ximo fator determinante ser\u00e1 a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o em torno do Or\u00e7amento de 2027 de Fran\u00e7a e a rea\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado de obriga\u00e7\u00f5es europeu. Progressos para um acordo or\u00e7amental vi\u00e1vel podem reduzir as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com risco soberano (risco de um Estado ter dificuldades em pagar a sua d\u00edvida) e apoiar o EURUSD. Por outro lado, instabilidade pol\u00edtica prolongada ou spreads mais largos podem empurrar o par para baixo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negocie EURUSD com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD \u00e9 um dos pares de forex (mercado cambial) mais negociados do mundo, oferecendo exposi\u00e7\u00e3o a mudan\u00e7as nas expectativas sobre o Banco Central Europeu, a Reserva Federal, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, o crescimento econ\u00f3mico e o sentimento global de risco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Com a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a>, os traders podem acompanhar os movimentos do EURUSD, analisar tend\u00eancias t\u00e9cnicas e gerir posi\u00e7\u00f5es atrav\u00e9s de plataformas como o MetaTrader 4, o MetaTrader 5 e a aplica\u00e7\u00e3o VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Perguntas frequentes<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Porque \u00e9 que o EURUSD est\u00e1 a negociar perto de 1,12181?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O EURUSD est\u00e1 perto de 1,12181 porque uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o moderada do apetite global pelo risco apoia o euro, enquanto a agita\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica em Fran\u00e7a e It\u00e1lia limita os ganhos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como pode a instabilidade pol\u00edtica em Fran\u00e7a afetar o EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A instabilidade pol\u00edtica pode reduzir a confian\u00e7a nos ativos europeus e aumentar a procura por alternativas mais seguras. Se as rendibilidades das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Estado francesas continuarem a subir face \u00e0s rendibilidades alem\u00e3s, o euro pode enfrentar press\u00e3o vendedora adicional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quais s\u00e3o os principais n\u00edveis de resist\u00eancia para o EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A resist\u00eancia imediata est\u00e1 em 1,12200, seguida do m\u00e1ximo da sess\u00e3o em 1,12203. Uma subida sustentada acima destes n\u00edveis pode apoiar uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 1,12220\u20131,12240.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quais s\u00e3o os principais n\u00edveis de suporte para o EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O suporte imediato \u00e9 1,12160, seguido de 1,12140. Se a press\u00e3o vendedora aumentar, o EURUSD pode voltar a testar o m\u00ednimo da sess\u00e3o em 1,12089.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O EURUSD pode subir apesar da incerteza pol\u00edtica europeia?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sim. O EURUSD pode fortalecer se as rendibilidades das Treasuries dos EUA descerem, se o d\u00f3lar enfraquecer ou se a situa\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica na Europa estabilizar. No entanto, ganhos sustentados provavelmente exigiriam maior for\u00e7a compradora e uma rutura confirmada acima da resist\u00eancia de curto prazo.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EURUSD ronda 1,1218, com avan\u00e7o t\u00edmido, enquanto o d\u00f3lar hesita. Mas a pol\u00edtica aquece: tens\u00e3o em Fran\u00e7a e It\u00e1lia alarga spreads e pressiona ativos, travando o \u00edmpeto do euro.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69770,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EURUSD ronda 1,1218, com avan\u00e7o t\u00edmido, enquanto o d\u00f3lar hesita. 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