{"id":69769,"date":"2026-10-19T10:50:38","date_gmt":"2026-10-19T10:50:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/uncategorized\/crude-oil-falls-as-russian-supply-weighs-on-prices\/"},"modified":"2026-10-19T10:50:38","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T10:50:38","slug":"crude-oil-falls-as-russian-supply-weighs-on-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/analysis\/crude-oil-falls-as-russian-supply-weighs-on-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr\u00f3leo bruto cai \u00e0 medida que a oferta russa pressiona os pre\u00e7os"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad5be2ebfef4.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O USOUSD interrompeu uma sequ\u00eancia de sete sess\u00f5es de ganhos, enquanto os traders reavaliavam a poss\u00edvel entrada de mais combust\u00edvel russo no mercado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A decis\u00e3o do Presidente Donald Trump de suspender temporariamente san\u00e7\u00f5es e tarifas sobre a R\u00fassia aumentou as expectativas de maior oferta mundial de petr\u00f3leo.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ataques a petroleiros perto do Estreito de Ormuz e ataques ucranianos a infraestruturas petrol\u00edferas russas continuam a p\u00f4r em risco o abastecimento.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O aumento mais forte do que o esperado dos pre\u00e7os das importa\u00e7\u00f5es nos EUA refor\u00e7ou as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, antes da decis\u00e3o de taxas de juro da Reserva Federal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A resist\u00eancia est\u00e1 em 98,500\u201398,550, enquanto os suportes em 98,400 e 98,350 podem definir o pr\u00f3ximo movimento de curto prazo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento de mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os pre\u00e7os do crude nos EUA recuaram na segunda-feira, <strong>19 de outubro<\/strong>, terminando uma s\u00e9rie de sete sess\u00f5es de ganhos, \u00e0 medida que os traders voltaram a avaliar as condi\u00e7\u00f5es de oferta global depois de Washington ter decidido aliviar restri\u00e7\u00f5es \u00e0s exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de energia russas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil falls from five-month high as supply intact despite fighting<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tzZ3wSPxU1\">https:\/\/t.co\/tzZ3wSPxU1<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Business Times (@BusinessTimes) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BusinessTimes\/status\/2112064964999479304?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O <strong>West Texas Intermediate (WTI)<\/strong> \u2014 a principal refer\u00eancia de crude dos EUA \u2014 negociava perto de <strong>98,498<\/strong> na sess\u00e3o mais recente. Teve oscila\u00e7\u00f5es fortes dentro do dia, incluindo uma subida breve at\u00e9 <strong>98,550<\/strong>, seguida de uma queda r\u00e1pida para <strong>98,370<\/strong>. Depois, os pre\u00e7os recuperaram em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a <strong>98,500<\/strong>, sinal de que os compradores voltaram a entrar a n\u00edveis mais baixos, apesar das perdas na sess\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que os traders est\u00e3o a acompanhar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A queda seguiu-se \u00e0 decis\u00e3o do Presidente Donald Trump de suspender temporariamente san\u00e7\u00f5es e tarifas sobre a R\u00fassia, o que pode permitir que mais combust\u00edvel russo entre nos mercados internacionais. Esta mudan\u00e7a de pol\u00edtica reduziu algumas preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es imediatas com falta de oferta, sobretudo numa altura em que a Turquia se prepara para absorver mais exporta\u00e7\u00f5es russas de gas\u00f3leo. Ainda assim, os ataques a petroleiros perto do Estreito de Ormuz e os ataques com drones da Ucr\u00e2nia a infraestruturas petrol\u00edferas russas mant\u00eam os riscos de oferta em n\u00edveis elevados.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Ukraine launched a massive overnight aerial attack, sending hundreds of drones toward targets in Moscow and St. Petersburg, striking a major oil terminal again despite pressure from President Trump to end such attacks. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tvt1mylRon\">https:\/\/t.co\/tvt1mylRon<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ABC News (@ABC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ABC\/status\/2111800494121247112?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria dos EUA \u00e9 outra pe\u00e7a do puzzle. Em setembro, os pre\u00e7os das importa\u00e7\u00f5es subiram mais do que o esperado, em parte por causa de custos de energia mais elevados, refor\u00e7ando as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente. Se a Fed avan\u00e7ar com mais uma subida de taxas, isso pode pressionar ainda mais os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os traders acompanham a pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o do <strong>Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)<\/strong> \u2014 o \u00f3rg\u00e3o da Reserva Federal que decide as taxas de juro \u2014, os dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o <strong>PCE<\/strong> (despesa de consumo pessoal, um indicador de infla\u00e7\u00e3o acompanhado de perto pela Fed) e as evolu\u00e7\u00f5es que afetam o fornecimento de energia da R\u00fassia e do M\u00e9dio Oriente, \u00e0 procura de sinais sobre a dire\u00e7\u00e3o futura dos pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00edveis-chave de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/USOIL\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Gr\u00e1fico do USOIL<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;por TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:USOIL\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pre\u00e7o (USD)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Import\u00e2ncia t\u00e9cnica<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 2<\/td><td>98.55<\/td><td>M\u00e1ximo recente no dia e resist\u00eancia superior<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia 1<\/td><td>98.5<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia imediata e zona onde o pre\u00e7o tem recuado repetidamente<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pre\u00e7o atual<\/td><td>98.498<\/td><td>\u00daltimo pre\u00e7o cotado<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 1<\/td><td>98.45<\/td><td>Suporte de curto prazo e zona de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o (fase lateral, com pouca dire\u00e7\u00e3o)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 2<\/td><td>98.4<\/td><td>M\u00ednimo de rea\u00e7\u00e3o anterior e suporte psicol\u00f3gico (n\u00edvel \u201credondo\u201d que tende a atrair aten\u00e7\u00e3o)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte 3<\/td><td>98.370\u201398.350<\/td><td>Zona onde houve recupera\u00e7\u00e3o intradi\u00e1ria e suporte inferior<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O USOUSD enfrenta resist\u00eancia imediata em <strong>98,500<\/strong>, onde as tentativas recentes de prolongar a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o t\u00eam falhado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em baixa, <strong>98,450<\/strong> \u00e9 a primeira \u00e1rea de suporte. Uma queda abaixo desse n\u00edvel pode expor <strong>98,400<\/strong>, seguida da <strong>zona 98,370\u201398,350<\/strong>, onde surgiram compradores anteriormente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A <strong>m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de nove per\u00edodos<\/strong> (um indicador que calcula o pre\u00e7o m\u00e9dio das \u00faltimas nove sess\u00f5es para ajudar a perceber a tend\u00eancia) continua pr\u00f3xima do pre\u00e7o atual, sugerindo pouca convic\u00e7\u00e3o direcional. Com os pre\u00e7os a oscilarem em torno de <strong>98,500<\/strong>, os traders podem esperar por uma rutura sustentada em alta ou em baixa \u2014 ou seja, um movimento que se mantenha \u2014 antes de definir a pr\u00f3xima dire\u00e7\u00e3o de curto prazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad5be3019fb6.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Objetivo potencial<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Implica\u00e7\u00e3o para o mercado<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o em alta<\/td><td>Pre\u00e7o mant\u00e9m-se acima de 98.500<\/td><td>98.55<\/td><td>Compradores recuperam o controlo no curto prazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rutura em alta<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado acima de 98.550<\/td><td>Mais subida, por confirmar<\/td><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o ganha for\u00e7a<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o em baixa<\/td><td>Pre\u00e7o n\u00e3o consegue manter 98.500<\/td><td>98.45<\/td><td>Press\u00e3o vendedora regressa<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rutura em baixa<\/td><td>Pre\u00e7o cai abaixo de 98.400<\/td><td>98.370\u201398.350<\/td><td>Movimento de queda ganha for\u00e7a<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um cen\u00e1rio de alta pode desenvolver-se se o USOUSD formar suporte <strong>acima de 98,500<\/strong>. Isso indicaria que os compradores est\u00e3o a superar a press\u00e3o vendedora imediata, podendo permitir que o pre\u00e7o volte a testar <strong>98,550<\/strong>. Um movimento sustentado acima dessa resist\u00eancia pode abrir espa\u00e7o para mais ganhos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em contrapartida, um cen\u00e1rio de baixa pode surgir se os pre\u00e7os n\u00e3o conseguirem manter a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o perto de <strong>98,500<\/strong>. Uma descida abaixo de <strong>98,450<\/strong> colocaria <strong>98,400<\/strong> em foco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e os cen\u00e1rios de mercado acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o constituem aconselhamento financeiro nem uma recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Os traders devem fazer a sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e gerir o risco com cuidado.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o para o USOUSD: o que se segue?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Embora a suspens\u00e3o das san\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA introduza uma poss\u00edvel fonte adicional de oferta de combust\u00edveis, o mercado continua incerto quanto \u00e0 aplica\u00e7\u00e3o e \u00e0 estabilidade dessa medida. Os ataques que afetam o Estreito de Ormuz e a infraestrutura energ\u00e9tica russa tamb\u00e9m limitam a descida: qualquer perturba\u00e7\u00e3o no transporte mar\u00edtimo ou em instala\u00e7\u00f5es de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o pode renovar o interesse de compra no crude.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A infla\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA e as expectativas para as taxas de juro tamb\u00e9m influenciam a perspetiva. Se a Reserva Federal mantiver uma orienta\u00e7\u00e3o restritiva \u2014 isto \u00e9, sinalizar taxas altas por mais tempo \u2014, um d\u00f3lar mais forte e expectativas de procura mais fracas podem pesar no crude. Por outro lado, um al\u00edvio das preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o pode apoiar o sentimento do mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negociar USOUSD com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os traders podem aceder ao USOUSD atrav\u00e9s da VT Markets e acompanhar os movimentos do crude com a app da VT Markets, o MetaTrader 4 e o MetaTrader 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo podem reagir rapidamente a mudan\u00e7as nas expectativas de oferta global, a acontecimentos geopol\u00edticos, a dados de invent\u00e1rios (reservas armazenadas) e a perturba\u00e7\u00f5es no transporte mar\u00edtimo. Estes fatores podem afetar o ritmo do pre\u00e7o e aumentar a volatilidade (oscila\u00e7\u00f5es mais fortes) do mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Perguntas frequentes <\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Porque \u00e9 que o USOUSD est\u00e1 a cair hoje?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O USOUSD recuou porque os EUA suspenderam temporariamente san\u00e7\u00f5es e tarifas sobre a R\u00fassia, aumentando as expectativas de mais exporta\u00e7\u00f5es russas de combust\u00edveis. A perspetiva de maior oferta pressionou os pre\u00e7os do crude, apesar de continuarem os riscos geopol\u00edticos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quais s\u00e3o os principais n\u00edveis de suporte e resist\u00eancia do USOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A resist\u00eancia imediata est\u00e1 perto de 98,500 e 98,550. O suporte est\u00e1 em torno de 98,450 e 98,400, seguido da zona mais baixa 98,370\u201398,350.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo podem subir apesar do aumento das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es russas?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sim. Novos ataques a infraestruturas energ\u00e9ticas, restri\u00e7\u00f5es no Estreito de Ormuz ou perturba\u00e7\u00f5es nas rotas mar\u00edtimas podem reduzir a oferta dispon\u00edvel e sustentar os pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como \u00e9 que a Reserva Federal pode afetar os pre\u00e7os do USOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Taxas de juro mais altas podem fortalecer o d\u00f3lar e enfraquecer as expectativas de atividade econ\u00f3mica e de procura de petr\u00f3leo. Uma orienta\u00e7\u00e3o menos restritiva \u2014 ou seja, sinal de menos subidas ou cortes \u2014 pode dar algum apoio, embora as condi\u00e7\u00f5es de oferta f\u00edsica (produ\u00e7\u00e3o, exporta\u00e7\u00f5es e transporte) continuem a ser decisivas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que devem os traders acompanhar a seguir no USOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os traders podem acompanhar a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es russas de combust\u00edveis, perturba\u00e7\u00f5es no transporte no M\u00e9dio Oriente, dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA e a pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o da Reserva Federal.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O crude WTI quebrou sete sess\u00f5es de ganhos: Trump alivia san\u00e7\u00f5es \u00e0 R\u00fassia e o mercado antecipa mais oferta. Mas Ormuz, ataques na R\u00fassia e a Fed mant\u00eam volatilidade; 98,50 dita rumo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69768,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69769","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"O crude WTI quebrou sete sess\u00f5es de ganhos: Trump alivia san\u00e7\u00f5es \u00e0 R\u00fassia e o mercado antecipa mais oferta. 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