{"id":69473,"date":"2026-10-12T07:07:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T07:07:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/uncategorized\/brent-oil-falls-as-trumps-energy-ceasefire-announcement-weighs-on-prices\/"},"modified":"2026-10-12T07:07:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T07:07:12","slug":"brent-oil-falls-as-trumps-energy-ceasefire-announcement-weighs-on-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/analysis\/brent-oil-falls-as-trumps-energy-ceasefire-announcement-weighs-on-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr\u00f3leo Brent cai com an\u00fancio de Trump sobre cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico a pressionar os pre\u00e7os"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc78f318dcd.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O UKOUSD negoceia nos $106,969, menos $1,829 (-1,68%), depois de um m\u00e1ximo de $108,718 e um m\u00ednimo de $105,433.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os futuros do Brent (contratos para compra\/venda numa data futura) ca\u00edram no in\u00edcio da sess\u00e3o de segunda-feira, ap\u00f3s o Presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, anunciar um cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico entre a R\u00fassia e a Ucr\u00e2nia.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O Presidente ucraniano, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, disse que aguardava detalhes do acordo proposto, enquanto a R\u00fassia n\u00e3o confirmou publicamente a sua participa\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os ataques dos Houthi \u00e0 Ar\u00e1bia Saudita, incluindo a\u00e7\u00f5es mortais no aeroporto internacional de Riade, continuam a aumentar as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a estabilidade regional e com poss\u00edveis interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no fornecimento de energia.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os investidores acompanham os dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA, a reuni\u00e3o de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria da Reserva Federal (Fed, o banco central dos EUA) em outubro e novos desenvolvimentos que possam afetar a oferta de energia da R\u00fassia e do M\u00e9dio Oriente.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento do mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo recuaram na segunda-feira, 12 de outubro de 2026, depois de o Presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, ter anunciado um cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico entre a R\u00fassia e a Ucr\u00e2nia, o que aumentou a expectativa de menos interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no fornecimento de energia russa. Os futuros do Brent ca\u00edram <strong>para $106,969, menos 1,68%<\/strong>. O an\u00fancio surgiu ap\u00f3s um acordo separado entre EUA e R\u00fassia, destinado a colocar mais gas\u00f3leo russo (diesel) no mercado. Ainda assim, o cessar-fogo anunciado n\u00e3o foi transformado, at\u00e9 ao momento, num acordo confirmado entre Kiev e Moscovo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Apesar da queda mais ampla, o UKOUSD recuperou de cerca de <strong>$106,40<\/strong> para perto de $107,00 durante a sess\u00e3o observada. A recupera\u00e7\u00e3o mostra que h\u00e1 compradores em n\u00edveis mais baixos, embora o recuo do dia indique que a press\u00e3o vendedora ainda n\u00e3o desapareceu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que os investidores est\u00e3o a acompanhar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Se o cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia avan\u00e7ar, pode reduzir as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a oferta que t\u00eam sustentado o pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo nos \u00faltimos meses. No entanto, continua a haver incerteza. Sem confirma\u00e7\u00e3o dos dois governos, o mercado pode inverter rapidamente a rea\u00e7\u00e3o ao an\u00fancio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ao mesmo tempo, as for\u00e7as Houthi intensificaram os ataques contra a Ar\u00e1bia Saudita. Ataques ao aeroporto internacional de Riade no fim de semana fizeram pelo menos 12 mortos no s\u00e1bado, com mais uma morte reportada ap\u00f3s o ataque de domingo. Estes epis\u00f3dios voltaram a levantar preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a seguran\u00e7a na regi\u00e3o, sobretudo porque incidentes com petroleiros (navios de transporte de crude) perto do Estreito de Ormuz continuam a amea\u00e7ar rotas cr\u00edticas de transporte de energia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Embora n\u00e3o haja indica\u00e7\u00e3o de perdas equivalentes na produ\u00e7\u00e3o de petr\u00f3leo, o risco de perturba\u00e7\u00f5es no transporte mar\u00edtimo, subida dos custos de seguro e problemas nas infraestruturas de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o continua a dar suporte \u00e0s cota\u00e7\u00f5es do crude.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00edveis t\u00e9cnicos principais<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/UKOIL\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">UKOIL chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:UKOIL\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel de pre\u00e7o<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tipo<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Import\u00e2ncia t\u00e9cnica<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$107,00\u2013$107,05<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia<\/td><td>M\u00e1ximo recente intradi\u00e1rio (durante o dia) e n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico (valor redondo, muitas vezes relevante)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$106,85\u2013$106,90<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia imediata<\/td><td>Zona de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o recente (fase de pre\u00e7os a oscilar num intervalo)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$106,80<\/td><td>Suporte imediato<\/td><td>\u00c1rea de rutura recente (quebra de um intervalo anterior) e zona de m\u00e9dias m\u00f3veis (indicadores que suavizam o pre\u00e7o ao longo do tempo)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$106,60\u2013$106,65<\/td><td>Suporte secund\u00e1rio<\/td><td>Zona de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o intradi\u00e1ria anterior<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$106,40\u2013$106,45<\/td><td>Suporte inferior<\/td><td>Limite inferior do intervalo observado na sess\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O UKOUSD recuperou de cerca de <strong>$106,40<\/strong> para perto de $107,00. O n\u00edvel de $107,00 \u00e9 a resist\u00eancia imediata a vigiar. A cota\u00e7\u00e3o chegou a passar acima desta \u00e1rea, mas recuou, sinal de que os vendedores continuam ativos junto ao limite superior do intervalo vis\u00edvel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em baixa, $106,80 \u00e9 a primeira zona onde os compradores podem tentar segurar a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o. Uma quebra abaixo pode expor <strong>$106,60<\/strong>, seguida dos m\u00ednimos anteriores perto de $106,40.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de subida e de queda<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc78f656f5a.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Objetivos potenciais<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sinal de invalida\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rutura em alta<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado acima de $107,05<\/td><td>$107,20 e depois $107,40<\/td><td>Revers\u00e3o abaixo de $106,85<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o em alta<\/td><td>Pre\u00e7o mant\u00e9m-se acima de $106,80<\/td><td>$106,95\u2013$107,05<\/td><td>Quebra abaixo de $106,60<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o em baixa<\/td><td>Falha em superar $107,00\u2013$107,05<\/td><td>$106,80 e depois $106,60<\/td><td>Rutura sustentada acima de $107,05<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Quebra em baixa<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado abaixo de $106,60<\/td><td>$106,45 e depois $106,40<\/td><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o acima de $106,80<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um cen\u00e1rio de alta pode ganhar for\u00e7a se o UKOUSD mantiver o suporte <strong>acima de $106,80<\/strong> e conseguir quebrar a resist\u00eancia em $107,00\u2013$107,05. Esse movimento indicaria refor\u00e7o do impulso comprador de curto prazo, abrindo caminho para $107,20 e $107,40.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um cen\u00e1rio de baixa pode surgir se o UKOUSD n\u00e3o conseguir ultrapassar a resist\u00eancia perto de $107,00 e recuar <strong>abaixo de $106,80<\/strong>. Uma quebra adicional abaixo de $106,60 enfraqueceria a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do dia e colocaria em foco $106,45\u2013$106,40.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e cen\u00e1rios acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da escrita. N\u00e3o constituem aconselhamento financeiro nem uma recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Cada investidor deve fazer a sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e gerir o risco com cuidado.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o para o UKOUSD: o que pode faz\u00ea-lo subir ou descer?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ataques a infraestruturas energ\u00e9ticas, perturba\u00e7\u00f5es prolongadas com petroleiros ou um colapso nas negocia\u00e7\u00f5es do cessar-fogo podem voltar a alimentar receios de falta de oferta. Uma procura global acima do esperado tamb\u00e9m pode sustentar os pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por outro lado, a confirma\u00e7\u00e3o de um cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico R\u00fassia-Ucr\u00e2nia, mais oferta de combust\u00edveis russos, melhorias nas condi\u00e7\u00f5es de navega\u00e7\u00e3o no M\u00e9dio Oriente ou dados econ\u00f3micos mais fracos podem reduzir as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a oferta e pressionar as cota\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Al\u00e9m da geopol\u00edtica, os investidores preparam-se para os dados do \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os no Consumidor (IPC, a medida mais usada para a infla\u00e7\u00e3o) dos EUA, previstos para quarta-feira, 14 de outubro. Uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o acima do esperado pode refor\u00e7ar a expectativa de uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria restritiva da Reserva Federal (Fed), apoiando o d\u00f3lar. Um d\u00f3lar mais forte tende a pressionar mat\u00e9rias-primas cotadas em d\u00f3lares, como o petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O enquadramento geral continua sujeito a invers\u00f5es r\u00e1pidas, porque mudan\u00e7as na oferta f\u00edsica (entregas reais), negocia\u00e7\u00f5es diplom\u00e1ticas e condi\u00e7\u00f5es de seguran\u00e7a no M\u00e9dio Oriente podem alterar as expectativas do mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negociar UKOUSD com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os mercados do petr\u00f3leo continuam sens\u00edveis \u00e0 geopol\u00edtica, \u00e0 oferta de energia e aos dados econ\u00f3micos. Para quem acompanha o UKOUSD, seguir estes fatores e os n\u00edveis t\u00e9cnicos ajuda a enquadrar as mudan\u00e7as do mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Com a VT Markets, \u00e9 poss\u00edvel negociar CFDs (contratos por diferen\u00e7a, instrumentos que permitem ganhar ou perder com a varia\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o sem comprar o ativo) sobre petr\u00f3leo, com posi\u00e7\u00f5es longas (apostar na subida) ou curtas (apostar na queda), conforme a perspetiva do investidor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A VT Markets disponibiliza plataformas como MetaTrader 5 (MT5), Web Trading e a aplica\u00e7\u00e3o VT Markets, al\u00e9m de ferramentas de gr\u00e1ficos e recursos de an\u00e1lise de mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Perguntas frequentes<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Porque est\u00e1 o UKOUSD a cair hoje?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O UKOUSD est\u00e1 sob press\u00e3o depois de Donald Trump ter anunciado um cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico proposto entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia, aumentando a expectativa de menos interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no fornecimento russo. Parte do receio imediato sobre a oferta diminuiu, mas o acordo ainda n\u00e3o foi confirmado por ambos os pa\u00edses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo vai continuar a cair?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S\u00e3o poss\u00edveis novas quedas se o cessar-fogo avan\u00e7ar e mais energia russa chegar ao mercado. No entanto, novos ataques na Ar\u00e1bia Saudita e os riscos no transporte mar\u00edtimo perto do Estreito de Ormuz podem limitar a descida ou provocar uma nova recupera\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como \u00e9 que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA afeta o UKOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o mais alta nos EUA pode influenciar as expectativas sobre as taxas de juro da Reserva Federal (Fed) e o valor do d\u00f3lar. Um d\u00f3lar mais forte tende a pressionar o petr\u00f3leo cotado em d\u00f3lares. Al\u00e9m disso, o receio de abrandamento econ\u00f3mico pode reduzir as expectativas de procura de crude. Interrup\u00e7\u00f5es na oferta podem contrariar estes efeitos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c9 poss\u00edvel comprar e vender UKOUSD na VT Markets?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A VT Markets oferece negocia\u00e7\u00e3o de CFDs sobre petr\u00f3leo, permitindo a clientes eleg\u00edveis abrir posi\u00e7\u00f5es longas ou curtas sem deter petr\u00f3leo f\u00edsico.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brent desce 1,68% para 106,97 d\u00f3lares ap\u00f3s an\u00fancio de cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico R\u00fassia-Ucr\u00e2nia, ainda sem confirma\u00e7\u00e3o. Riscos no M\u00e9dio Oriente mant\u00eam pr\u00e9mio. Mercado foca IPC dos EUA e Fed: volatilidade \u00e0 vista.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69472,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69473","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Brent desce 1,68% para 106,97 d\u00f3lares ap\u00f3s an\u00fancio de cessar-fogo energ\u00e9tico R\u00fassia-Ucr\u00e2nia, ainda sem confirma\u00e7\u00e3o. Riscos no M\u00e9dio Oriente mant\u00eam pr\u00e9mio. 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