{"id":69324,"date":"2026-10-08T06:50:31","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T06:50:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/uncategorized\/nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T06:50:31","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T06:50:31","slug":"nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/analysis\/nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Nikkei 225 prolonga sequ\u00eancia de perdas, enquanto os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo e as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com as taxas de juro pressionam as a\u00e7\u00f5es japonesas"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac714dbae53b.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O Nikkei 225 negoceia perto de <strong>69.520<\/strong>, a cair 0,23%, com o \u00edndice a ter dificuldade em recuperar for\u00e7a abaixo dos 70.000.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo e o risco de infla\u00e7\u00e3o condicionam o sentimento: a depend\u00eancia do Jap\u00e3o das importa\u00e7\u00f5es de energia do M\u00e9dio Oriente aumenta as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com os lucros das empresas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A trajet\u00f3ria incerta das taxas de juro do Banco do Jap\u00e3o (o banco central japon\u00eas) acrescenta press\u00e3o ao \u00edndice.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>As yields (taxas de juro de mercado) elevadas das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Tesouro dos EUA e a expectativa de uma pol\u00edtica mais restritiva da Reserva Federal (Fed, banco central dos EUA) reduziram o apetite global pelo risco.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O suporte em <strong>69.500<\/strong> est\u00e1 no centro das aten\u00e7\u00f5es; uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o <strong>acima de 69.600<\/strong> poder\u00e1 melhorar a leitura t\u00e9cnica de curto prazo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento de mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Nikkei 225 voltou a ser pressionado por vendas, numa altura em que os investidores reavaliam as perspetivas da economia japonesa perante custos de energia mais altos, condi\u00e7\u00f5es monet\u00e1rias mais apertadas (menos est\u00edmulos e\/ou taxas de juro mais elevadas) e incerteza geopol\u00edtica. O \u00edndice negoceia atualmente em torno de <strong>69.520,97<\/strong>, menos 157 pontos, ou -0,23%. Na sess\u00e3o, tocou num m\u00e1ximo de 70.011,97 e num m\u00ednimo de 69.236,97. O Nikkei recuperou inicialmente a partir de cerca de 69.370, subindo at\u00e9 perto de 69.600, mas perdeu for\u00e7a e n\u00e3o conseguiu uma quebra em alta sustentada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A a\u00e7\u00e3o recente dos pre\u00e7os mostra o \u00edndice <strong>ligeiramente acima de 69.500<\/strong>, tornando esta zona um suporte imediato importante (n\u00edvel onde, em teoria, a procura tende a travar quedas). Uma descida abaixo deste patamar poder\u00e1 expor a <strong>zona 69.450\u201369.400<\/strong>, enquanto uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a <strong>69.600<\/strong> sugeriria melhoria do sentimento no curto prazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que os traders est\u00e3o a acompanhar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A corre\u00e7\u00e3o mais recente surge depois de realiza\u00e7\u00e3o de mais-valias (investidores a vender para \u201cfixar\u201d ganhos) em a\u00e7\u00f5es tecnol\u00f3gicas e de semicondutores japonesas. A Advantest, a Tokyo Electron e a Kioxia estiveram entre as mais afetadas na queda de quarta-feira, \u00e0 medida que os investidores reduziram exposi\u00e7\u00e3o ap\u00f3s a subida anterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A subida do pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo continua a ser uma grande preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o. O crude Brent tem negociado <strong>acima de 100 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> por barril, em contexto de perturba\u00e7\u00f5es na oferta no M\u00e9dio Oriente. O Jap\u00e3o importa cerca de 94% do seu crude do M\u00e9dio Oriente, deixando as empresas mais expostas \u00e0s oscila\u00e7\u00f5es do custo da energia. Custos mais altos podem comprimir margens (diferen\u00e7a entre receitas e custos), sobretudo em fabricantes, companhias a\u00e9reas e empresas de transportes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Japanese stocks fell for a second day, tracking a Wall Street selloff as persistently high oil prices revived inflation concerns and weighed on equities near record highs <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bb8p32PWhX\">https:\/\/t.co\/bb8p32PWhX<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2108022120902959431?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A incerteza quanto ao caminho das taxas de juro do Banco do Jap\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m pesa. A infla\u00e7\u00e3o \u201ccore\u201d (infla\u00e7\u00e3o subjacente, que exclui itens mais vol\u00e1teis para mostrar a tend\u00eancia) em T\u00f3quio acelerou para 2,7% em setembro, refor\u00e7ando as expectativas de que o banco central possa subir taxas. Custos de financiamento mais altos podem reduzir o investimento das empresas e pressionar as avalia\u00e7\u00f5es das a\u00e7\u00f5es (pre\u00e7os em bolsa face aos lucros esperados). Ao mesmo tempo, as yields elevadas das Treasuries (obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Tesouro dos EUA) e a expectativa de uma Fed mais restritiva enfraqueceram o apetite global pelo risco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00edveis-chave de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-NIKKEI225\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">NIKKEI225 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:NIKKEI225\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zona<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Import\u00e2ncia t\u00e9cnica<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69.600<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia imediata<\/td><td>Zona de m\u00e1ximos intradi\u00e1rios repetidos e subidas falhadas<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69.550<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia de curto prazo<\/td><td>Zona de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o recente onde a for\u00e7a compradora perdeu intensidade<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69.500<\/td><td>Suporte imediato<\/td><td>N\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico e zona recente de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o (pre\u00e7o a oscilar num intervalo)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69.450<\/td><td>Suporte secund\u00e1rio<\/td><td>Zona com rea\u00e7\u00f5es anteriores do pre\u00e7o no intradi\u00e1rio<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69.400<\/td><td>Suporte inferior<\/td><td>Zona de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o anterior e n\u00edvel \u201credondo\u201d relevante<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Nikkei 225 negoceia perto de <strong>69.520<\/strong>, entre o suporte imediato em 69.500 e a resist\u00eancia em torno de 69.550. A m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 9 per\u00edodos (m\u00e9dia do pre\u00e7o dos \u00faltimos 9 per\u00edodos, usada para avaliar a tend\u00eancia) ficou mais plana ap\u00f3s a subida anterior, sugerindo perda de for\u00e7a compradora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uma quebra sustentada <strong>acima de 69.550<\/strong> pode abrir caminho para novo teste a <strong>69.600<\/strong>. Se 69.500 ceder, o \u00edndice poder\u00e1 recuar para 69.450 e depois 69.400.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac714dd49d50.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Movimento potencial do pre\u00e7o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rutura em alta<\/td><td>Quebra e manuten\u00e7\u00e3o acima de 69.550<\/td><td>Pode favorecer um movimento at\u00e9 69.600 se a for\u00e7a compradora aumentar<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o em alta<\/td><td>Rea\u00e7\u00e3o a partir de 69.500<\/td><td>Os compradores podem tentar recuperar 69.550, defendendo o suporte imediato<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rutura em baixa<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado abaixo de 69.500<\/td><td>Pode expor 69.450 e depois 69.400<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Vendas prolongadas<\/td><td>Quebra abaixo de 69.400<\/td><td>Pode aumentar a press\u00e3o em baixa at\u00e9 ao m\u00ednimo vis\u00edvel perto de 69.370<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um cen\u00e1rio positivo exige que os compradores defendam 69.500 e empurrem o \u00edndice de forma clara acima da resist\u00eancia imediata. Um volume de compra mais elevado (mais transa\u00e7\u00f5es a subir) ajudaria a confirmar. Em sentido contr\u00e1rio, uma quebra abaixo de 69.500, sobretudo com aumento da atividade vendedora, pode indicar que os vendedores voltam a ganhar controlo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Declara\u00e7\u00e3o de responsabilidade<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e cen\u00e1rios acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da publica\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o constituem aconselhamento financeiro nem uma recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Cada investidor deve fazer a sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e gerir o risco com cuidado.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o para o Nikkei 225: principais fatores?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Nikkei 225 poder\u00e1 sofrer mais press\u00e3o em baixa se as tens\u00f5es no M\u00e9dio Oriente aumentarem e o pre\u00e7o do crude continuar a subir. Energia mais cara eleva os custos operacionais das empresas japonesas e pode piorar as expectativas de lucros. Novas subidas de taxas pelo Banco do Jap\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m podem pesar no sentimento. Infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente, com custos de financiamento mais altos, tende a travar o investimento e a pressionar as a\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negociar o Nikkei 225 com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os traders que pretendam acompanhar o mercado acionista japon\u00eas podem aceder a CFDs (contratos por diferen\u00e7a: um derivado que replica a varia\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o, sem comprar o ativo) sobre o \u00edndice Nikkei 225 atrav\u00e9s da VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Negociar CFDs sobre \u00edndices permite abrir posi\u00e7\u00f5es tanto para subida como para queda, sem deter as a\u00e7\u00f5es subjacentes. Nas plataformas da VT Markets, \u00e9 poss\u00edvel acompanhar o mercado, usar indicadores t\u00e9cnicos (ferramentas com base em pre\u00e7os e volume) e gerir posi\u00e7\u00f5es com instrumentos de controlo de risco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Porque est\u00e1 o Nikkei 225 a cair?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Nikkei 225 est\u00e1 sob press\u00e3o devido \u00e0 subida do petr\u00f3leo, \u00e0s preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com as taxas de juro no Jap\u00e3o e nos EUA e \u00e0 realiza\u00e7\u00e3o de mais-valias em grandes tecnol\u00f3gicas e empresas de semicondutores. A incerteza geopol\u00edtica tamb\u00e9m enfraqueceu o sentimento global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O Nikkei 225 pode voltar a subir acima de 70.000?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o acima de 70.000 \u00e9 poss\u00edvel se o petr\u00f3leo estabilizar, as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com as taxas de juro diminu\u00edrem e a procura por a\u00e7\u00f5es japonesas melhorar. Antes disso, o \u00edndice ter\u00e1 de ultrapassar resist\u00eancias mais pr\u00f3ximas, como 69.550 e 69.600.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como \u00e9 que o pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo afeta o Nikkei 225?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Jap\u00e3o depende muito de energia importada. A subida do petr\u00f3leo pode aumentar custos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o e transporte, reduzir margens e alimentar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o. Isso tende a piorar o sentimento em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s a\u00e7\u00f5es japonesas, embora empresas ligadas \u00e0 energia possam beneficiar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como \u00e9 que o Banco do Jap\u00e3o influencia o Nikkei 225?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Banco do Jap\u00e3o influencia o mercado acionista atrav\u00e9s das decis\u00f5es de taxas de juro e das indica\u00e7\u00f5es sobre a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria (orienta\u00e7\u00e3o sobre o que poder\u00e1 fazer a seguir). Taxas mais altas aumentam custos de financiamento e podem pressionar avalia\u00e7\u00f5es; uma perspetiva menos restritiva pode apoiar os pre\u00e7os das a\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Devo negociar o Nikkei 225 agora?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Depende da sua estrat\u00e9gia, toler\u00e2ncia ao risco e horizonte de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o. Muitos traders preferem esperar por uma rutura confirmada em alta ou em baixa, em vez de decidirem com base num \u00fanico movimento de curto prazo.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O Nikkei 225 vacila nos 69.520: petr\u00f3leo acima dos 100 d\u00f3lares, tens\u00e3o no M\u00e9dio Oriente e yields dos EUA travam o apetite ao risco. Suporte nos 69.500 pode decidir pr\u00f3ximo movimento.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69323,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"O Nikkei 225 vacila nos 69.520: petr\u00f3leo acima dos 100 d\u00f3lares, tens\u00e3o no M\u00e9dio Oriente e yields dos EUA travam o apetite ao risco. 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