{"id":69293,"date":"2026-10-08T02:50:25","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T02:50:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/uncategorized\/usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T02:50:25","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T02:50:25","slug":"usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/analysis\/usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"USDX mant\u00e9m-se perto de m\u00e1ximos de 18 meses, com as atas do FOMC a sustentarem o d\u00f3lar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac6ff14c7080.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>As atas (resumo detalhado) da reuni\u00e3o de 15\u201316 de setembro do FOMC (comit\u00e9 da Reserva Federal dos EUA que decide as taxas de juro) mostraram que os decisores concordaram em subir as taxas em <strong>25 pontos base<\/strong> (0,25 pontos percentuais), levando o intervalo-alvo para <strong>3,75%\u20134,00%.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os decisores continuam preocupados com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente e com a possibilidade de novas subidas das taxas de juro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os traders (operadores de mercado) acompanham as principais moedas, em particular o euro e o iene japon\u00eas, que influenciam fortemente o d\u00f3lar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O USDX recua para 101,986, sinalizando perda de for\u00e7a no dia.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A zona de <strong>102,000<\/strong> torna-se crucial: o mercado observa se o USDX recupera este n\u00edvel \u201cpsicol\u00f3gico\u201d (n\u00famero redondo que tende a concentrar ordens) ou se prolonga quedas para 101,980.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento de mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O \u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar dos EUA (USDX, que mede o d\u00f3lar face a um cabaz de moedas) manteve-se perto de um <strong>m\u00e1ximo de 18 meses<\/strong> na quinta-feira, apoiado pela expectativa de que a Reserva Federal possa manter uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria restritiva (taxas altas para travar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o) durante mais tempo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O \u00edndice do d\u00f3lar subiu cerca de <strong>0,3%<\/strong> na quarta-feira para perto de <strong>102,23<\/strong>, ap\u00f3s a divulga\u00e7\u00e3o das <strong>atas do FOMC<\/strong>. O documento mostrou que os decisores continuam preocupados com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e admitiram que poder\u00e1 ser necess\u00e1ria uma subida adicional das taxas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O USDX oscilou inicialmente entre 102,010 e 102,025, antes de cair para perto de 101,990. Depois, a compra fez o \u00edndice subir, com um m\u00e1ximo local perto de <strong>102,038<\/strong>. A recupera\u00e7\u00e3o durou pouco: o USDX perdeu for\u00e7a e caiu abaixo da <strong>m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 9 per\u00edodos<\/strong> (m\u00e9dia do pre\u00e7o dos \u00faltimos 9 per\u00edodos, usada para avaliar a tend\u00eancia de curto prazo). Uma segunda tentativa de recuperar at\u00e9 102,030 tamb\u00e9m falhou, seguindo-se nova descida para <strong>101,986<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que o mercado est\u00e1 a acompanhar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O d\u00f3lar continua no centro das aten\u00e7\u00f5es, numa altura em que os investidores avaliam se a Reserva Federal far\u00e1 mais uma subida das taxas at\u00e9 ao final do ano. As atas da <strong>reuni\u00e3o de 15\u201316 de setembro do FOMC<\/strong> mostram que os decisores concordaram por unanimidade em subir as taxas em <strong>25 pontos base<\/strong> (0,25 pontos percentuais), levando o intervalo-alvo para <strong>3,75%\u20134,00%.<\/strong> Os respons\u00e1veis mantiveram a infla\u00e7\u00e3o como principal preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o, com alguns a sugerirem que as taxas atuais podem n\u00e3o chegar para abrandar a economia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ainda assim, o mercado n\u00e3o espera uma subida imediata. Os <strong>futuros<\/strong> (contratos em bolsa que refletem expectativas sobre pre\u00e7os e taxas no futuro) apontam para cerca de <strong>19%<\/strong> de probabilidade de nova subida na reuni\u00e3o de outubro da Fed, o que sugere uma pausa antes de eventual aperto em dezembro. Os traders tamb\u00e9m seguem as grandes moedas, sobretudo o euro e o iene japon\u00eas, que mexem com o d\u00f3lar. Uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o de qualquer uma destas moedas pode aumentar a press\u00e3o de queda sobre o \u00edndice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00edveis-chave de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:USDX\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zona<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Import\u00e2ncia t\u00e9cnica<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,040\u2013102,051<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia principal<\/td><td>Zona de m\u00e1ximo local e m\u00e1ximo da sess\u00e3o mostrado no gr\u00e1fico<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,020\u2013102,030<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia secund\u00e1ria<\/td><td>Zona com v\u00e1rias tentativas de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o no dia, travadas por vendas<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102<\/td><td>Resist\u00eancia imediata<\/td><td>N\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico perto da m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 9 per\u00edodos<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,99<\/td><td>Suporte inicial<\/td><td>Zona onde surgiu compra mais cedo no dia<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,980\u2013101,981<\/td><td>Suporte-chave<\/td><td>Limite inferior do gr\u00e1fico e m\u00ednimo da sess\u00e3o mostrado<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O desafio do USDX \u00e9 recuperar 102,000, que agora funciona como <strong>resist\u00eancia<\/strong> (zona onde o pre\u00e7o tende a travar) ap\u00f3s a quebra recente. Um movimento sustentado acima deste n\u00edvel pode permitir aos compradores voltar a testar 102,020\u2013102,030, onde tentativas anteriores foram travadas por vendas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em baixa, 101,990 \u00e9 a primeira zona a acompanhar, embora o pre\u00e7o j\u00e1 tenha descido ligeiramente abaixo. Uma quebra sustentada de 101,980\u2013101,981 confirmaria mais fragilidade abaixo do intervalo observado no dia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de subida e de queda<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac6ff161605e.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirma\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Movimento potencial<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Subida<\/td><td>Quebra e manuten\u00e7\u00e3o acima de 102,000<\/td><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o para 102,020\u2013102,030, seguida de 102,040<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o ap\u00f3s recuo<\/td><td>Compradores defendem 101,980\u2013101,990<\/td><td>Ressalto de curto prazo para 102,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Queda<\/td><td>Quebra sustentada abaixo de 101,980<\/td><td>Mais press\u00e3o vendedora e extens\u00e3o abaixo do intervalo vis\u00edvel no gr\u00e1fico<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O cen\u00e1rio de subida depende de o USDX recuperar 102,000 e voltar acima da m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 9 per\u00edodos. Uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o com mais <strong>volume<\/strong> (quantidade negociada, que ajuda a avaliar a for\u00e7a do movimento) pode indicar que a descida foi passageira e n\u00e3o o in\u00edcio de uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o mais profunda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O cen\u00e1rio de queda ganha for\u00e7a se o USDX quebrar 101,980 e ficar abaixo. Negociar abaixo da m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel em queda, com <strong>m\u00e1ximos mais baixos<\/strong> (cada tentativa de subida fica abaixo da anterior) e aumento do volume de venda, refor\u00e7a a hip\u00f3tese de descida mais prolongada no dia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e os cen\u00e1rios acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o s\u00e3o aconselhamento financeiro nem uma recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Cada trader deve fazer a sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e gerir o risco com cuidado.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o do USDX: o que se segue<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O USDX pode enfrentar mais press\u00e3o vendedora se os pr\u00f3ximos dados econ\u00f3micos dos EUA indicarem que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 a abrandar ou que o crescimento est\u00e1 a perder for\u00e7a mais depressa do que o esperado. Leituras de infla\u00e7\u00e3o mais baixas e n\u00fameros de emprego mais fracos podem reduzir as expectativas de nova subida da Fed, diminuindo a vantagem do d\u00f3lar por via das taxas de juro. Um euro ou iene mais fortes tamb\u00e9m podem pesar no \u00edndice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por outro lado, o USDX pode recuperar se os dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o confirmarem as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es da Reserva Federal com a press\u00e3o nos pre\u00e7os. Custos de energia mais elevados, consumo forte e <strong>rendibilidades<\/strong> mais altas das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Tesouro (juros pagos pela d\u00edvida dos EUA, muitas vezes chamados \u201cyields\u201d) podem refor\u00e7ar a ideia de taxas altas por mais tempo. Coment\u00e1rios mais <strong>duros<\/strong> (tom que aponta para taxas mais altas) por parte de membros da Fed tamb\u00e9m podem dar suporte, sobretudo se o mercado passar a atribuir maior probabilidade a nova subida em dezembro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negociar USDX com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O USDX mostra o desempenho do d\u00f3lar dos EUA face a um cabaz de moedas principais, sendo um indicador relevante do sentimento no mercado cambial global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Com a VT Markets, os traders podem aceder ao USDX juntamente com forex (mercado de c\u00e2mbio), \u00edndices, mat\u00e9rias-primas e outros instrumentos financeiros numa \u00fanica plataforma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Saiba mais sobre negocia\u00e7\u00e3o de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pares de moedas<\/a> na <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Porque negociar USDX com a VT Markets?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O USDX d\u00e1 exposi\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s tend\u00eancias mais amplas do d\u00f3lar, permitindo acompanhar movimentos influenciados pela pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria, dados econ\u00f3micos e condi\u00e7\u00f5es globais de mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ao seguir decis\u00f5es da Reserva Federal, dados de emprego ou tend\u00eancias cambiais, os traders podem usar as ferramentas da VT Markets para identificar oportunidades nos mercados globais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Porque est\u00e1 o \u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar dos EUA perto de um m\u00e1ximo de 18 meses?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O d\u00f3lar tem beneficiado da expectativa de que a Reserva Federal manter\u00e1 taxas de juro relativamente altas para combater uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente. Atas do FOMC com tom mais duro e rendibilidades elevadas das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Tesouro dos EUA t\u00eam sustentado a procura pela moeda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O USDX est\u00e1 em subida ou em queda neste momento?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O gr\u00e1fico de 1 minuto indica press\u00e3o de curto prazo em baixa, com o USDX perto de 101,986 abaixo da m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 9 per\u00edodos. Ainda assim, a perspetiva mais ampla para o d\u00f3lar continua apoiada pela expectativa de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria restritiva.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Qual \u00e9 o pr\u00f3ximo n\u00edvel de resist\u00eancia do USDX?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A resist\u00eancia imediata \u00e9 102,000. Um movimento sustentado acima deste n\u00edvel pode levar o USDX \u00e0 zona 102,020\u2013102,030 e depois a 102,040.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que acontece se o USDX cair abaixo de 101,980?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uma quebra sustentada abaixo de 101,980 pode sinalizar mais press\u00e3o vendedora no curto prazo. Os traders devem acompanhar o comportamento do pre\u00e7o e horizontes temporais mais longos para identificar novos suportes (zonas onde a queda pode travar).<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00f3lar \u00e0 prova dos 102: atas do FOMC revelam subida de 25 pb para 3,75%-4,00% e mant\u00eam foco na infla\u00e7\u00e3o. USDX recua para 101,986; traders vigilantes ao euro\/iene. Pausa em outubro.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69292,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69293","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"D\u00f3lar \u00e0 prova dos 102: atas do FOMC revelam subida de 25 pb para 3,75%-4,00% e mant\u00eam foco na infla\u00e7\u00e3o. USDX recua para 101,986; traders vigilantes ao euro\/iene. 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