{"id":69188,"date":"2026-10-05T10:50:47","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T10:50:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/uncategorized\/gold-tests-4210-after-weak-nfp-pushes-treasury-yields-lower\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T10:50:47","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T10:50:47","slug":"gold-tests-4210-after-weak-nfp-pushes-treasury-yields-lower","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/analysis\/gold-tests-4210-after-weak-nfp-pushes-treasury-yields-lower\/","title":{"rendered":"O ouro testa os 4.210 d\u00f3lares ap\u00f3s NFP fraco fazer cair os rendimentos das Treasuries"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Copy-of-discover-12-2-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69959\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pontos-chave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O relat\u00f3rio de emprego dos EUA fora do sector agr\u00edcola (NFP, um indicador mensal que mede quantos empregos foram criados fora da agricultura) aumentou apenas <strong>29.000 em setembro<\/strong>, bem abaixo da <strong>previs\u00e3o de 90.000<\/strong>. O n\u00famero de agosto foi revisto em baixa para 133.000.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os dados fracos do mercado de trabalho reduziram a expectativa de uma nova subida de taxas pela Fed (banco central dos EUA) na reuni\u00e3o de outubro, o que deu um impulso inicial ao ouro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O ouro subiu inicialmente na dire\u00e7\u00e3o dos <strong>4.210 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, mas n\u00e3o conseguiu manter o movimento, \u00e0 medida que os rendimentos das Treasuries (obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Tesouro dos EUA) e o d\u00f3lar recuperaram.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O \u00edndice do d\u00f3lar (DXY\/USDX, que mede a for\u00e7a do d\u00f3lar face a uma cesta de moedas) recuou para perto de <strong>101,9<\/strong>, dando apoio adicional ao ouro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os pr\u00f3ximos fatores decisivos para as expectativas sobre a reuni\u00e3o de outubro ser\u00e3o os dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA e os coment\u00e1rios de membros da Fed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento do mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O d\u00f3lar enfraqueceu e os rendimentos das Treasuries ca\u00edram logo ap\u00f3s a divulga\u00e7\u00e3o, porque o mercado passou a acreditar mais numa Fed sem mexer nas taxas em outubro. O ouro avan\u00e7ou inicialmente para <strong>4.210 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, mas a subida perdeu for\u00e7a quando os rendimentos das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es recuperaram dos m\u00ednimos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O ouro abriu perto de <strong>4.141,67 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, caiu brevemente para <strong>4.124,64 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> e recuperou para <strong>4.149,76 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>. Depois acelerou e voltou a passar pelos 4.140 d\u00f3lares, testando a zona dos 4.150\u20134.155. No entanto, o impulso est\u00e1 a perder for\u00e7a no topo do movimento. O XAUUSD (par ouro\/d\u00f3lar, pre\u00e7o do ouro em d\u00f3lares) negoceia perto da m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 9 per\u00edodos (uma m\u00e9dia dos \u00faltimos 9 per\u00edodos, usada para avaliar a tend\u00eancia de curto prazo), ap\u00f3s ter passado momentaneamente acima dela. Isto sugere recupera\u00e7\u00e3o no curto prazo, mas sem uma rutura clara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que os traders est\u00e3o a acompanhar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O ouro reagiu de imediato ao relat\u00f3rio de emprego dos EUA, mais fraco, com os traders a reduzirem as apostas num endurecimento da Fed no curto prazo (ou seja, novas subidas de taxas). Em setembro, o NFP subiu apenas 29.000, face \u00e0 expectativa de 90.000, e a taxa de desemprego aumentou para 4,2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold Rises as Softer-Than-Expected Inflation Data Tempers Rate-Hike Bets <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CLcXGmwcKF\">https:\/\/t.co\/CLcXGmwcKF<\/a><\/p>&mdash; WSJ Markets (@WSJmarkets) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WSJmarkets\/status\/2106925391101219173?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 5, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O relat\u00f3rio de setembro alterou as expectativas do mercado. Em vez de refor\u00e7ar a hip\u00f3tese de nova subida, aumentou a probabilidade de a Fed fazer uma pausa em outubro. Na segunda-feira, o mercado atribu\u00eda apenas <strong>18%<\/strong> de probabilidade a uma subida de taxas em outubro, embora a possibilidade de uma subida mais tarde no ano continuasse bem presente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Expectativas de taxas mais baixas tendem a baixar os rendimentos das Treasuries e a reduzir o custo de oportunidade de manter metais preciosos (isto \u00e9, o \u201crendimento perdido\u201d por n\u00e3o aplicar o dinheiro em ativos com juros). Um d\u00f3lar mais fraco tamb\u00e9m costuma apoiar o ouro. Ainda assim, a invers\u00e3o de sexta-feira mostrou que a rela\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 autom\u00e1tica: os rendimentos recuperaram ap\u00f3s a queda inicial com o NFP, e as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es persistentes com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o continuam a limitar o quanto o mercado pode afastar a hip\u00f3tese de novas subidas de taxas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Principais n\u00edveis de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/GOLD\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">GOLD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:GOLD\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zona<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Porque \u00e9 importante<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia principal<\/td><td>4.210 USD<\/td><td>Zona da subida ap\u00f3s o NFP e teste recente em alta<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia psicol\u00f3gica<\/td><td>4.200 USD<\/td><td>N\u00famero redondo, muitas vezes relevante para ordens e \u201cbarreiras\u201d do mercado<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia de curto prazo<\/td><td>4.160\u20134.165 USD<\/td><td>Zona do m\u00e1ximo intradi\u00e1rio atual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Piv\u00f4<\/td><td>4.150 USD<\/td><td>Zona do pre\u00e7o atual e refer\u00eancia para a dire\u00e7\u00e3o no curto prazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte<\/td><td>4.140 USD<\/td><td>Zona de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o intradi\u00e1ria e antiga rutura<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte-chave<\/td><td>4.125\u20134.130 USD<\/td><td>Zona do m\u00ednimo intradi\u00e1rio de hoje<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte mais profundo<\/td><td>4.100 USD<\/td><td>N\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico em baixa<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A disputa imediata est\u00e1 nos <strong>4.150 USD<\/strong>. Manter-se acima desta zona pode sustentar a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o at\u00e9 4.160\u20134.165. Uma rutura clara acima dessa \u00e1rea voltaria a colocar os 4.200 em foco, seguidos do pico de sexta-feira nos 4.210.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Abaixo dos 4.150, os traders podem olhar para 4.140 e depois para a zona <strong>4.125\u20134.130<\/strong>. Uma quebra sustentada abaixo desse suporte enfraqueceria a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o e abriria espa\u00e7o para os 4.100.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac34ffe05ae1.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirma\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Alta<\/td><td>Manter acima de 4.150 e quebrar 4.165<\/td><td>Impulso melhora e os rendimentos das Treasuries recuam<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rutura em alta<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado acima de 4.200<\/td><td>Pre\u00e7o mant\u00e9m-se acima do n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico, abrindo reteste dos 4.210<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recuo<\/td><td>Queda para 4.140\u20134.150<\/td><td>Compradores defendem o suporte e o pre\u00e7o recupera acima da m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 9 per\u00edodos<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baixa<\/td><td>Quebra abaixo de 4.125<\/td><td>Rendimentos a subir, d\u00f3lar mais forte ou expectativas de Fed mais agressiva<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baixa mais profunda<\/td><td>Movimento sustentado abaixo de 4.100<\/td><td>Perda da estrutura de curto prazo<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Num cen\u00e1rio de alta, o ouro pode prolongar a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o se os compradores mantiverem o controlo acima dos <strong>4.150<\/strong> e o pre\u00e7o romper <strong>4.160\u20134.165<\/strong>. Uma subida sustentada acima dos <strong>4.200<\/strong> refor\u00e7aria o impulso e voltaria a trazer os <strong>4.210<\/strong> para o centro das aten\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Num cen\u00e1rio de baixa, o ouro pode voltar a ficar sob press\u00e3o se perder os <strong>4.150<\/strong> e recuar abaixo dos <strong>4.140<\/strong>. Uma quebra do suporte <strong>4.125\u20134.130<\/strong> enfraqueceria a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o de curto prazo e pode expor os <strong>4.100<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e os cen\u00e1rios acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o s\u00e3o aconselhamento financeiro nem uma recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Cada trader deve fazer a sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e gerir o risco.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o do ouro: o que se segue?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O relat\u00f3rio NFP mais fraco reduziu o risco imediato de uma nova subida de taxas pela Fed em outubro, o que apoia o ouro. No entanto, a invers\u00e3o de sexta-feira mostra que o metal continua vulner\u00e1vel se os rendimentos das Treasuries voltarem a subir ou se o d\u00f3lar ganhar for\u00e7a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O foco passa agora para os pr\u00f3ximos dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA e para as interven\u00e7\u00f5es de membros da Fed. Uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o mais baixa, em conjunto com um abrandamento do emprego, refor\u00e7a o argumento para uma pausa em outubro. Uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente (isto \u00e9, que n\u00e3o desce de forma clara), sobretudo com coment\u00e1rios mais agressivos da Fed, pode manter os rendimentos elevados e dificultar uma subida sustentada acima dos <strong>4.200<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negociar ouro com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os CFD de XAUUSD (Contratos por Diferen\u00e7a, um produto que permite ganhar ou perder com a varia\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o sem comprar ouro f\u00edsico) d\u00e3o exposi\u00e7\u00e3o aos movimentos do ouro. O ouro \u00e9 normalmente acompanhado em conjunto com o d\u00f3lar, as taxas de juro, as expectativas de infla\u00e7\u00e3o e fatores geopol\u00edticos. Tamb\u00e9m pode ser \u00fatil acompanhar o \u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar (USDX\/DXY). Como o ouro \u00e9 cotado em d\u00f3lares, um d\u00f3lar mais forte tende a pressionar o pre\u00e7o do ouro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Acompanhe o XAUUSD a par do USDX, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">forex<\/a> (mercado cambial), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00edndices<\/a> (cabazes de a\u00e7\u00f5es que representam um mercado) e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/markets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">outros mercados globais de CFD<\/a> (produtos que seguem o pre\u00e7o de ativos sem os deter) na VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Explore todos os produtos de ouro na VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Porque \u00e9 que o ouro subiu ap\u00f3s o relat\u00f3rio NFP dos EUA?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O ouro subiu inicialmente porque o crescimento do emprego em setembro ficou muito abaixo do esperado. Isso reduziu a probabilidade de a Fed subir as taxas em outubro, levando a uma queda inicial dos rendimentos das Treasuries e do d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Qu\u00e3o fraco foi o NFP de setembro?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O NFP aumentou <strong>29.000<\/strong>, face a uma expectativa de cerca de <strong>90.000<\/strong>. A taxa de desemprego tamb\u00e9m subiu para <strong>4,2%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Porque \u00e9 que o ouro recuou depois de tocar nos 4.210 USD?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A reac\u00e7\u00e3o inicial ao NFP perdeu for\u00e7a quando os rendimentos das Treasuries recuperaram e o mercado continuou a considerar a hip\u00f3tese de mais subidas de taxas mais tarde no ano. O ouro devolveu parte dos ganhos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>O que pode mexer com o ouro a seguir?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA, os rendimentos das Treasuries, o d\u00f3lar e coment\u00e1rios de respons\u00e1veis da Fed dever\u00e3o influenciar as expectativas para outubro. O mercado inclina-se para uma pausa, mas a possibilidade de novas subidas mais tarde no ano mant\u00e9m-se.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Surpresa no NFP: EUA criam s\u00f3 29 mil empregos e travam apostas em subida da Fed. Ouro disparou at\u00e9 4.210 d\u00f3lares, mas cedeu com d\u00f3lar e yields. Aten\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 infla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69187,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Surpresa no NFP: EUA criam s\u00f3 29 mil empregos e travam apostas em subida da Fed. Ouro disparou at\u00e9 4.210 d\u00f3lares, mas cedeu com d\u00f3lar e yields. 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