{"id":69183,"date":"2026-10-05T07:04:49","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T07:04:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/uncategorized\/nas100-tests-31000-as-weak-nfp-cuts-fed-hike-bets\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T07:04:49","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T07:04:49","slug":"nas100-tests-31000-as-weak-nfp-cuts-fed-hike-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/analysis\/nas100-tests-31000-as-weak-nfp-cuts-fed-hike-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"NASDAQ 100 testa os 31.000 pontos, com a fraqueza do NFP a reduzir as apostas numa subida das taxas da Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/nas100.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69933\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pontos-chave<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>O NFP (relat\u00f3rio de emprego nos EUA fora do sector agr\u00edcola) de setembro ficou em <strong>+29 mil<\/strong> face aos <strong>+90 mil<\/strong> esperados; agosto foi revisto em baixa para <strong>+133 mil<\/strong>, de +162 mil.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A taxa de desemprego subiu para <strong>4,2%<\/strong>, de 4,1%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A probabilidade de uma subida de taxas pela Fed (banco central dos EUA) em outubro caiu para cerca de <strong>22,7%<\/strong>, face a 64,2% uma semana antes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>O Nasdaq Composite avan\u00e7ou <strong>1,19%<\/strong> na sexta-feira e fechou em <strong>27.190,86<\/strong>. A Nvidia subiu cerca de 1,3% e a Tesla disparou 4,7%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Os pr\u00f3ximos catalisadores (fatores que podem mexer com o mercado) incluem <strong>dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA<\/strong> e declara\u00e7\u00f5es da Fed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento de mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O NAS100 negociava em <strong>30.853,50<\/strong>, mais 25,20 pontos, ou 0,08%, face ao fecho anterior de <strong>30.828,30<\/strong>. Abriu em <strong>30.869,21<\/strong> e oscilou entre um m\u00e1ximo da sess\u00e3o de <strong>31.013,25<\/strong> e um m\u00ednimo de <strong>30.828,25<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No gr\u00e1fico de ticks (gr\u00e1fico com movimentos muito curtos, registo a registo), o pre\u00e7o est\u00e1 a consolidar (a mexer de lado) em torno de 30.850\u201330.860, com v\u00e1rias tentativas de subida. A subida at\u00e9 30.880 foi rapidamente anulada, enquanto surgiram compradores ap\u00f3s uma queda anterior perto de 30.830. O NAS100 est\u00e1 agora a negociar perto e ligeiramente abaixo da sua m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 9 per\u00edodos (m\u00e9dia do pre\u00e7o dos \u00faltimos 9 intervalos), o que sugere um impulso de curto prazo mais fraco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O que os traders est\u00e3o a acompanhar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O fraco relat\u00f3rio de emprego de setembro, com cria\u00e7\u00e3o de empregos de <strong>29 mil<\/strong> e desemprego a subir para <strong>4,2%<\/strong>, reduziu a probabilidade de uma subida de taxas pela Fed em outubro para cerca de <strong>22,7%<\/strong>, face a <strong>64,2%<\/strong> uma semana antes. Expectativas de taxas mais baixas tendem a favorecer a\u00e7\u00f5es tecnol\u00f3gicas e de crescimento, porque o seu valor depende mais do custo do financiamento (juros e empr\u00e9stimos). O <strong>Nasdaq Composite<\/strong> somou <strong>1,19%<\/strong> para <strong>27.190,86<\/strong>, liderado por Tesla e Nvidia, refletindo esse efeito.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The U.S. economy created far fewer jobs than expected in September, pointing to a surprising soft spot in the labor market and broader economy.<br><br>Nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 29,000 for the month while the unemployment rate increased to 4.2%, the Bureau of Labor\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0Ezz21OVH6\">pic.twitter.com\/0Ezz21OVH6<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2106005311475581366?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A grande quest\u00e3o \u00e9 se se trata de uma mudan\u00e7a duradoura ou apenas de uma rea\u00e7\u00e3o de um dia. Um mercado de trabalho a arrefecer apoia a ideia de uma Fed mais paciente, mas os dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA e as declara\u00e7\u00f5es da Fed podem alterar rapidamente esta vis\u00e3o. Por isso, o mercado est\u00e1 atento aos pr\u00f3ximos indicadores norte-americanos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00edveis-chave de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/CAPITALCOM-NAS100\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Gr\u00e1fico do NAS100<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;por TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"CAPITALCOM:NAS100\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\u00edvel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pre\u00e7o<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tipo<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">O que significa<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resist\u00eancia<\/td><td>31.000<\/td><td>N\u00famero redondo, perto do m\u00e1ximo de hoje de 30.966,7<\/td><td>Um fecho di\u00e1rio acima confirmaria uma rutura em alta (breakout)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Piv\u00f4<\/td><td>30.800<\/td><td>M\u00e1ximos de junho e zona do pre\u00e7o atual<\/td><td>Manter-se acima mant\u00e9m os compradores no controlo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte<\/td><td>30.000<\/td><td>N\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico (n\u00famero redondo), base da consolida\u00e7\u00e3o no in\u00edcio de outubro<\/td><td>Primeira zona a vigiar numa corre\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Suporte principal<\/td><td>29.000<\/td><td>M\u00ednimos do intervalo de agosto-setembro<\/td><td>Uma quebra indicaria uma mudan\u00e7a mais ampla na estrutura do mercado<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O \u00edndice tem subido de forma consistente desde o in\u00edcio de agosto, mas o volume (quantidade de negocia\u00e7\u00f5es) manteve-se est\u00e1vel, sem picos. Isso torna a confirma\u00e7\u00e3o mais importante junto da resist\u00eancia. Alguns traders poder\u00e3o esperar por um fecho di\u00e1rio acima de <strong>31.000<\/strong> antes de tratar o movimento como uma rutura em alta (breakout), e poder\u00e3o acompanhar <strong>30.000<\/strong> para perceber se os compradores defendem a tend\u00eancia em caso de recuo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de alta e de baixa<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac34713b5a64.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cen\u00e1rio<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Gatilho<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirma\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Alta<\/td><td>Fecho di\u00e1rio acima de 31.000<\/td><td>Impulso forte, infla\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA mais baixa do que o esperado<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Corre\u00e7\u00e3o<\/td><td>Recuo em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 30.800 ou 30.000<\/td><td>O pre\u00e7o respeita o suporte e a tend\u00eancia mant\u00e9m-se<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baixa<\/td><td>Fecho di\u00e1rio abaixo de 30.000<\/td><td>Infla\u00e7\u00e3o acima do esperado ou coment\u00e1rios agressivos (hawkish) da Fed, ou seja, a sinalizar taxas mais altas<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um fecho di\u00e1rio acima de <strong>31.000<\/strong> refor\u00e7aria o cen\u00e1rio de alta, sobretudo se a infla\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA vier mais baixa e mantiver contidas as expectativas de subida de taxas. Um recuo para <strong>30.800<\/strong> pode continuar a ser visto como uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o dentro da tend\u00eancia, se os compradores defenderem o n\u00edvel. J\u00e1 uma descida at\u00e9 <strong>30.000<\/strong> colocaria o suporte mais forte \u00e0 prova. Um fecho di\u00e1rio abaixo de <strong>30.000<\/strong>, especialmente com infla\u00e7\u00e3o acima do esperado ou coment\u00e1rios agressivos (hawkish) da Fed, enfraqueceria a estrutura atual e aumentaria o risco de uma queda mais ampla.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Declara\u00e7\u00e3o de responsabilidade<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Os n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o e os cen\u00e1rios de mercado acima refletem a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do autor no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o constituem aconselhamento financeiro nem uma recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o oficial da VT Markets. Cada trader deve fazer a sua pr\u00f3pria an\u00e1lise e gerir o risco com disciplina.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previs\u00e3o para o NAS100<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A infla\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA continua a ser o fator mais importante. N\u00fameros mais baixos podem ajudar o \u00edndice a manter-se acima de <strong>30.800<\/strong> e a aproximar-se de <strong>31.000<\/strong>, enquanto uma leitura mais alta pode empurr\u00e1-lo para <strong>30.000<\/strong> e, possivelmente, <strong>29.000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Negociar NAS100 com a VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O NAS100 tende a mexer quando as expectativas sobre as taxas da Fed e o apetite global pelo risco (disponibilidade dos investidores para comprar ativos mais arriscados) se alinham.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Com a VT Markets, os traders podem aceder a CFD (contratos por diferen\u00e7a, um instrumento que permite ganhar ou perder com a varia\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o sem comprar o ativo) do NAS100, al\u00e9m de SP500, DJ30, forex (mercado cambial), ouro, petr\u00f3leo, a\u00e7\u00f5es, ETF (fundos cotados em bolsa) e outros mercados globais de CFD, numa s\u00f3 plataforma. Isto permite acompanhar o Nasdaq 100 e tamb\u00e9m movimentos relacionados em grandes tecnol\u00f3gicas, no d\u00f3lar, nos juros das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Tesouro dos EUA (Treasury yields) e no sentimento do mercado acionista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Use as ferramentas de gr\u00e1ficos da VT Markets para acompanhar suportes, resist\u00eancias, m\u00e9dias m\u00f3veis e ruturas (breakouts) \u00e0 medida que se forma a pr\u00f3xima oportunidade no NAS100.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Porque \u00e9 que o Nasdaq subiu ap\u00f3s o NFP?<\/strong> Dados fracos de emprego reduziram a probabilidade de subida de taxas pela Fed em outubro, o que tende a apoiar a\u00e7\u00f5es tecnol\u00f3gicas e de crescimento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Qual foi o resultado do NFP de setembro?<\/strong> +29 mil face a +90 mil esperados, com o desemprego a subir para 4,2% de 4,1%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Quais s\u00e3o os n\u00edveis principais do NAS100?<\/strong> Resist\u00eancia perto de 31.000, com suporte em 30.000 e depois 29.000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>O que pode mexer com o Nasdaq a seguir?<\/strong> Dados de infla\u00e7\u00e3o nos EUA e declara\u00e7\u00f5es da Fed, que influenciam se o mercado continua a retirar do pre\u00e7o a hip\u00f3tese de subida de taxas em outubro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Posso negociar o Nasdaq com a VT Markets?<\/strong> Sim. CFD do Nasdaq permitem especular sobre subidas ou descidas de pre\u00e7o sem deter os ativos subjacentes (os t\u00edtulos reais).<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comece a negociar agora \u2014 clique <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pt-eu\/trade-now\/\">aqui<\/a> para criar a sua conta real da VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Choque no NFP trava Fed e impulsiona Nasdaq: emprego cria s\u00f3 29 mil, desemprego sobe a 4,2% e probabilidade de subida em outubro cai para 22,7%. NAS100 consolida; olhos na infla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69182,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Choque no NFP trava Fed e impulsiona Nasdaq: emprego cria s\u00f3 29 mil, desemprego sobe a 4,2% e probabilidade de subida em outubro cai para 22,7%. 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