{"id":69720,"date":"2026-10-16T06:49:53","date_gmt":"2026-10-16T06:49:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/uncategorized\/new-zealand-dollar-recovers-from-18-month-low\/"},"modified":"2026-10-16T06:49:53","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T06:49:53","slug":"new-zealand-dollar-recovers-from-18-month-low","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/new-zealand-dollar-recovers-from-18-month-low\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar nowozelandzki odbija od 18-miesi\u0119cznego minimum"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad198d674702.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Kluczowe punkty<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>NZD\/USD odbija w kierunku 0,5640, odrabiaj\u0105c straty po spadku do najni\u017cszego poziomu od 18 miesi\u0119cy, poniewa\u017c spadaj\u0105ce rentowno\u015bci obligacji USA os\u0142abiaj\u0105 dolara.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Oczekiwania na podwy\u017ck\u0119 st\u00f3p w RBNZ wspieraj\u0105 kiwi, po tym jak g\u0142\u00f3wny ekonomista Paul Conway zasugerowa\u0142, \u017ce najbardziej prawdopodobny jest wzrost oficjalnej stopy procentowej (OCR, czyli podstawowej stopy banku centralnego Nowej Zelandii).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dane z USA o inflacji i wydatkach nadal s\u0105 mocne, co podtrzymuje scenariusz dalszego zacie\u015bniania polityki Fed (czyli kolejnych podwy\u017cek st\u00f3p), mimo ostatniej s\u0142abo\u015bci dolara.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Kolejnym kluczowym impulsem dla rynku b\u0119dzie raport o inflacji w Nowej Zelandii za III kwarta\u0142. Publikacja mo\u017ce wp\u0142yn\u0105\u0107 na notowania przed posiedzeniem RBNZ 28 pa\u017adziernika.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Op\u00f3r techniczny wypada przy 0,5640, a wsparcie w okolicach 0,5635 i 0,5630 mo\u017ce przes\u0105dzi\u0107, czy kr\u00f3tkoterminowe odbicie b\u0119dzie kontynuowane.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ruch rynkowy<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dolar nowozelandzki umocni\u0142 si\u0119 w pi\u0105tek, kontynuuj\u0105c odbicie od <strong>18-miesi\u0119cznego do\u0142ka<\/strong>, poniewa\u017c spadek rentowno\u015bci obligacji skarbowych USA wywiera\u0142 presj\u0119 na dolara ameryka\u0144skiego.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZD\/USD w trakcie szerszego odbicia wzr\u00f3s\u0142 w okolice <strong>0,5620<\/strong>, a w ostatniej sesji para by\u0142a notowana na poziomie <strong>0,56398<\/strong>, zyskuj\u0105c <strong>0,35%<\/strong>. Ruch w ci\u0105gu dnia pokazuje popraw\u0119 popytu na kiwi po kilku tygodniach silnej presji sprzeda\u017cowej.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">W tym tygodniu kiwi zyska\u0142 oko\u0142o <strong>0,3%<\/strong>, co daje szans\u0119 na przerwanie siedmiotygodniowej serii spadk\u00f3w. Cho\u0107 odbicie sugeruje, \u017ce presja spadkowa s\u0142abnie, szerszy obraz pozostaje wra\u017cliwy na oczekiwania dotycz\u0105ce st\u00f3p procentowych w Nowej Zelandii i w USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dlaczego inwestorzy to obserwuj\u0105<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Odbicie NZD\/USD przyci\u0105gn\u0119\u0142o uwag\u0119, poniewa\u017c rynek ponownie ocenia perspektywy polityki pieni\u0119\u017cnej Banku Rezerw Nowej Zelandii (<strong>RBNZ<\/strong>) oraz Rezerwy Federalnej (Fed, czyli banku centralnego USA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">W czwartek g\u0142\u00f3wny ekonomista RBNZ, Paul Conway, wskaza\u0142, \u017ce decyzja o stopach procentowych pod koniec pa\u017adziernika nie jest przes\u0105dzona. Jednocze\u015bnie decydenci nadal uznaj\u0105 podwy\u017ck\u0119 OCR za najbardziej prawdopodobny scenariusz, cho\u0107 moment pozostaje niepewny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Te wypowiedzi wspar\u0142y dolara nowozelandzkiego, bo wzmocni\u0142y oczekiwania, \u017ce koszt kredytu mo\u017ce wzrosn\u0105\u0107. Wy\u017csze stopy procentowe cz\u0119sto zwi\u0119kszaj\u0105 atrakcyjno\u015b\u0107 waluty, zw\u0142aszcza gdy inwestorzy spodziewaj\u0105 si\u0119 zmniejszenia r\u00f3\u017cnicy mi\u0119dzy stopami w danym kraju a stopami za granic\u0105. Jednocze\u015bnie spadek rentowno\u015bci obligacji USA os\u0142abi\u0142 dolara, tworz\u0105c korzystniejsze warunki dla NZD\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The dollar just had its worst day in over a month, despite ongoing inflation pressures.<br><br>The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3% Thursday as worries about AI pushed investors into Treasuries, sending yields lower.<br><br>Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/8fRrZnimK4\">https:\/\/t.co\/8fRrZnimK4<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SMu0yejZEh\">pic.twitter.com\/SMu0yejZEh<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Yahoo Finance (@YahooFinance) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/YahooFinance\/status\/2110864560487804938?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 15, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kluczowe poziomy dla handlu<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/NZDUSD\/?exchange=OANDA\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Wykres NZDUSD<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"OANDA:NZDUSD\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Poziom<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Kurs<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Znaczenie techniczne<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Najbli\u017cszy op\u00f3r<\/td><td>0.564<\/td><td>Psychologiczny poziom w pobli\u017cu dziennego maksimum na wykresie<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Op\u00f3r kr\u00f3tkoterminowy<\/td><td>0.5638<\/td><td>Ostatnia strefa uspokojenia notowa\u0144 przed kolejnym ruchem w g\u00f3r\u0119<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Najbli\u017csze wsparcie<\/td><td>0.5635<\/td><td>Poprzednia strefa wybicia oraz uspokojenia notowa\u0144<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Drugie wsparcie<\/td><td>0.563<\/td><td>Wcze\u015bniejszy zakres waha\u0144 w ci\u0105gu dnia<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ni\u017csze wsparcie<\/td><td>0.56275<\/td><td>Przybli\u017cony obszar startu widocznego odbicia<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para u\u0142o\u017cy\u0142a seri\u0119 coraz wy\u017cszych szczyt\u00f3w i coraz wy\u017cszych do\u0142k\u00f3w, a jednocze\u015bnie utrzymuje si\u0119 powy\u017cej dziewi\u0119ciookresowej \u015bredniej krocz\u0105cej (czyli \u015bredniej ceny z ostatnich 9 \u015bwiec na wykresie). Najbli\u017cszy op\u00f3r znajduje si\u0119 przy <strong>0,56400<\/strong>, gdzie NZD\/USD zbli\u017ca si\u0119 do g\u00f3rnej granicy widocznego zakresu waha\u0144. Trwa\u0142e wybicie powy\u017cej tego poziomu mo\u017ce oznacza\u0107, \u017ce kupuj\u0105cy nadal kontroluj\u0105 rynek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Po stronie spadkowej <strong>0,56350<\/strong> to pierwsza istotna strefa wsparcia, poniewa\u017c wcze\u015bniej rynek stabilizowa\u0142 si\u0119 tam w trakcie odbicia. Spadek poni\u017cej tego poziomu mo\u017ce otworzy\u0107 drog\u0119 do 0,56300, gdzie kurs porusza\u0142 si\u0119 przed ruchem w g\u00f3r\u0119.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Scenariusze wzrostowe i spadkowe<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad198d7efc97.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Scenariusz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sygna\u0142<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Potencjalny cel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Znaczenie dla rynku<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Wzrostowe wybicie<\/td><td>Trwa\u0142e wybicie powy\u017cej 0,56400<\/td><td>Dalszy ruch w g\u00f3r\u0119, cel nieokre\u015blony<\/td><td>Mo\u017cliwa kontynuacja ruchu wzrostowego<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Kontynuacja wzrost\u00f3w<\/td><td>Kurs utrzymuje si\u0119 powy\u017cej 0,56350<\/td><td>0,56380\u20130,56400<\/td><td>Kupuj\u0105cy podtrzymuj\u0105 odbicie<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Spadkowe odrzucenie<\/td><td>Kurs nie przebija 0,56400<\/td><td>0,5635<\/td><td>Mo\u017cliwa kr\u00f3tkoterminowa korekta<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Spadkowe wybicie w d\u00f3\u0142<\/td><td>Kurs spada poni\u017cej 0,56350<\/td><td>0,56300\u20130,56275<\/td><td>Odbicie traci si\u0142\u0119<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Scenariusz wzrostowy mo\u017ce si\u0119 rozwin\u0105\u0107, je\u015bli NZD\/USD utrzyma si\u0119 powy\u017cej <strong>0,56350<\/strong> i skutecznie przebije 0,56400. Uk\u0142ad coraz wy\u017cszych szczyt\u00f3w i coraz wy\u017cszych do\u0142k\u00f3w sugeruje, \u017ce kupuj\u0105cy nabieraj\u0105 rozp\u0119du, co potwierdza rosn\u0105ca dziewi\u0119ciookresowa \u015brednia krocz\u0105ca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Scenariusz spadkowy mo\u017ce pojawi\u0107 si\u0119, je\u015bli NZD\/USD napotka poda\u017c (presj\u0119 sprzeda\u017cy) w okolicach <strong>0,56400<\/strong> i nie zbuduje wy\u017cszego zakresu waha\u0144. Pocz\u0105tkowy spadek w stron\u0119 0,56350 b\u0119dzie testem si\u0142y ostatniego wybicia. Je\u015bli to wsparcie p\u0119knie, para mo\u017ce cofn\u0105\u0107 si\u0119 do 0,56300, a nast\u0119pnie do ni\u017cszego obszaru waha\u0144 w okolicach 0,56275.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Zastrze\u017cenie<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Podane poziomy cenowe i scenariusze rynkowe odzwierciedlaj\u0105 ocen\u0119 autora w momencie publikacji. Nie stanowi\u0105 porady finansowej ani oficjalnej rekomendacji VT Markets. Przed zawarciem transakcji warto wykona\u0107 w\u0142asn\u0105 analiz\u0119 i uwa\u017cnie kontrolowa\u0107 ryzyko.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Prognoza NZDUSD: co mo\u017ce podnie\u015b\u0107 lub obni\u017cy\u0107 kurs w najbli\u017cszym czasie?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kolejnym wa\u017cnym impulsem b\u0119dzie raport o inflacji w Nowej Zelandii za III kwarta\u0142, oczekiwany w przysz\u0142ym tygodniu. Jako ostatnia du\u017ca publikacja makro przed posiedzeniem RBNZ 28 pa\u017adziernika, dane mog\u0105 zmieni\u0107 rynkowe oczekiwania co do terminu i prawdopodobie\u0144stwa podwy\u017cki st\u00f3p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wy\u017csza od oczekiwa\u0144 inflacja mog\u0142aby wzmocni\u0107 argumenty za bardziej restrykcyjn\u0105 polityk\u0105 pieni\u0119\u017cn\u0105 (czyli wy\u017cszymi stopami) i wesprze\u0107 kiwi. Z kolei ni\u017csza inflacja mog\u0142aby os\u0142abi\u0107 oczekiwania na szybk\u0105 podwy\u017ck\u0119 st\u00f3p, ograniczaj\u0105c odbicie waluty. Dalszy spadek rentowno\u015bci obligacji USA m\u00f3g\u0142by te\u017c wspiera\u0107 par\u0119, bo zmniejsza atrakcyjno\u015b\u0107 aktyw\u00f3w wycenianych w dolarze.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jednak odbicie mo\u017ce napotka\u0107 op\u00f3r, je\u015bli inflacja w Nowej Zelandii oka\u017ce si\u0119 ni\u017csza od prognoz albo je\u015bli dane z USA wzmocni\u0105 scenariusz kolejnych podwy\u017cek st\u00f3p przez Fed. Ka\u017cdy z tych czynnik\u00f3w mo\u017ce przesun\u0105\u0107 oczekiwania dotycz\u0105ce st\u00f3p na korzy\u015b\u0107 dolara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Handluj NZDUSD z VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZD\/USD to jedna z g\u0142\u00f3wnych par walutowych dost\u0119pnych w ofercie VT Markets. Dost\u0119p do rynku walutowego jest mo\u017cliwy przez aplikacj\u0119 VT Markets, MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5 oraz inne wspierane platformy transakcyjne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dzi\u0119ki wykresom w czasie rzeczywistym, wska\u017anikom technicznym (czyli narz\u0119dziom opartym na cenie i wolumenie) oraz narz\u0119dziom do analizy rynku, inwestorzy mog\u0105 \u015bledzi\u0107 ruchy NZD\/USD i ocenia\u0107, jak publikacje danych, oczekiwania dotycz\u0105ce st\u00f3p oraz decyzje bank\u00f3w centralnych wp\u0142ywaj\u0105 na kursy walut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Za\u0142\u00f3\u017c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rachunek rzeczywisty<\/a> i sprawd\u017a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pary Forex<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/precious-metals\/xauusd\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">z\u0142oto<\/a> i inne instrumenty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Najcz\u0119\u015bciej zadawane pytania (FAQ)<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dlaczego NZD\/USD ro\u015bnie?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZD\/USD umocni\u0142 si\u0119, poniewa\u017c spadek rentowno\u015bci obligacji USA os\u0142abi\u0142 dolara, a bardziej \u201ejastrz\u0119bie\u201d komentarze (czyli sugeruj\u0105ce wy\u017csze stopy) g\u0142\u00f3wnego ekonomisty RBNZ Paula Conwaya wspar\u0142y oczekiwania na mo\u017cliw\u0105 podwy\u017ck\u0119 st\u00f3p w Nowej Zelandii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jakie s\u0105 kluczowe poziomy wsparcia dla NZD\/USD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Najbli\u017csze wsparcie to okolice 0,56350, nast\u0119pnie 0,56300 i 0,56275. To poziomy, przy kt\u00f3rych kurs ostatnio stabilizowa\u0142 si\u0119 i budowa\u0142 odbicie, co wida\u0107 na wykresie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jak inflacja w Nowej Zelandii mo\u017ce wp\u0142yn\u0105\u0107 na NZD\/USD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inflacja wy\u017csza od oczekiwa\u0144 mo\u017ce zwi\u0119kszy\u0107 prawdopodobie\u0144stwo podwy\u017cki st\u00f3p przez RBNZ, co mo\u017ce wspiera\u0107 dolara nowozelandzkiego. S\u0142absza inflacja mo\u017ce obni\u017cy\u0107 szanse na podwy\u017ck\u0119 i wywo\u0142a\u0107 presj\u0119 spadkow\u0105 na NZD\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kiedy b\u0119dzie kolejna decyzja RBNZ w sprawie st\u00f3p?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kolejna decyzja RBNZ w sprawie st\u00f3p jest zaplanowana na 28 pa\u017adziernika 2026 r., zgodnie z podanymi informacjami rynkowymi. Inwestorzy b\u0119d\u0105 \u015bledzi\u0107 dane o inflacji za III kwarta\u0142 przed posiedzeniem, szukaj\u0105c wskaz\u00f3wek co do kierunku polityki banku centralnego.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Czy NZD\/USD mo\u017ce dalej rosn\u0105\u0107?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZD\/USD mo\u017ce przed\u0142u\u017cy\u0107 odbicie, je\u015bli para wybije powy\u017cej 0,56400, a oczekiwania dotycz\u0105ce st\u00f3p pozostan\u0105 korzystne dla kiwi. Jednak wi\u0119kszy popyt na dolara lub s\u0142absze dane z Nowej Zelandii mog\u0105 odwr\u00f3ci\u0107 kr\u00f3tkoterminowy trend.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Zacznij handlowa\u0107 teraz \u2014 kliknij <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/trade-now\/\">tutaj<\/a>, aby za\u0142o\u017cy\u0107 swoje prawdziwe konto VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kiwi wraca do gry: NZD\/USD odbija od 18-miesi\u0119cznego do\u0142ka dzi\u0119ki spadkowi rentowno\u015bci USA i oczekiwaniom podwy\u017cki st\u00f3p RBNZ. Uwaga na inflacj\u0119 NZ i op\u00f3r 0,5640.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69719,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69720","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Kiwi wraca do gry: NZD\/USD odbija od 18-miesi\u0119cznego do\u0142ka dzi\u0119ki spadkowi rentowno\u015bci USA i oczekiwaniom podwy\u017cki st\u00f3p RBNZ. 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