{"id":68800,"date":"2026-08-24T03:46:58","date_gmt":"2026-08-24T03:46:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/uncategorized\/nzdusd-tests-0-60-as-us-dollar-weakens\/"},"modified":"2026-08-24T03:46:58","modified_gmt":"2026-08-24T03:46:58","slug":"nzdusd-tests-0-60-as-us-dollar-weakens","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/nzdusd-tests-0-60-as-us-dollar-weakens\/","title":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD testuje poziom 0,60 w obliczu os\u0142abienia dolara USA"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-post-featured-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1250\" height=\"700\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/09\/NZDUSD.webp\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"object-fit:cover;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/09\/NZDUSD.webp 1250w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/09\/NZDUSD-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/09\/NZDUSD-1024x573.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/09\/NZDUSD-768x430.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/09\/NZDUSD-500x280.webp 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/09\/NZDUSD-400x224.webp 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/09\/NZDUSD-350x196.webp 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/09\/NZDUSD-200x112.webp 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1250px) 100vw, 1250px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZDUSD wzr\u00f3s\u0142 w poniedzia\u0142ek, bo szeroka s\u0142abo\u015b\u0107 dolara ameryka\u0144skiego wspiera\u0142a dolara nowozelandzkiego i inne g\u0142\u00f3wne waluty. Dolar pozostawa\u0142 pod presj\u0105 po tym, jak ameryka\u0144ski Departament Skarbu (US Treasury) zwi\u0119kszy\u0142 zakupy (odkupy) d\u0142ugoterminowych obligacji rz\u0105dowych, co skierowa\u0142o uwag\u0119 rynku na rentowno\u015bci obligacji USA (czyli oprocentowanie d\u0142ugu skarbowego) i polityk\u0119 fiskaln\u0105 (decyzje pa\u0144stwa o wydatkach i podatkach). Ten ruch przybli\u017cy\u0142 NZDUSD do najwy\u017cszych poziom\u00f3w od ok. trzech miesi\u0119cy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kluczowe punkty<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>NZDUSD handlowano w pobli\u017cu <strong>0,5973<\/strong>, blisko trzy miesi\u0119cznego szczytu, poniewa\u017c dolar nowozelandzki korzysta\u0142 na szerokiej s\u0142abo\u015bci dolara USA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>US Treasury zwi\u0119kszy\u0142 odkup d\u0142ugoterminowych obligacji do co najmniej <strong>4 mld USD na jedn\u0105 operacj\u0119<\/strong>, co nasili\u0142o presj\u0119 na dolara.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rynek obserwuje <strong>op\u00f3r 0,6000<\/strong> (poziom, przy kt\u00f3rym kurs cz\u0119sto ma trudno\u015b\u0107 z dalszym wzrostem) oraz <strong>wsparcie 0,5850<\/strong> (poziom, przy kt\u00f3rym kurs cz\u0119sto przestaje spada\u0107), gdzie przebiega <strong>20-dniowa SMA<\/strong> (prosta \u015brednia krocz\u0105ca z 20 dni, popularny wska\u017anik trendu).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dlaczego warto obserwowa\u0107<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZDUSD pokazuje warto\u015b\u0107 dolara nowozelandzkiego wzgl\u0119dem dolara USA, dlatego para jest wra\u017cliwa na oczekiwania dotycz\u0105ce polityki pieni\u0119\u017cnej (czyli decyzji bank\u00f3w centralnych o stopach i p\u0142ynno\u015bci) w obu gospodarkach, zmiany st\u00f3p procentowych oraz og\u00f3lny trend dolara. Ostatni ruch wynika g\u0142\u00f3wnie z czynnik\u00f3w ze strony USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">US Treasury <a href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/news\/press-releases\/sb0607\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">podwoi\u0142 wielko\u015b\u0107 cz\u0119\u015bci odkup\u00f3w d\u0142ugoterminowych obligacji do co najmniej 4 mld USD na operacj\u0119<\/a>, obejmuj\u0105c papiery o terminie zapadalno\u015bci 10\u201330 lat (czyli obligacje, kt\u00f3re wygasaj\u0105 za 10 do 30 lat). Komunikat pocz\u0105tkowo obni\u017cy\u0142 rentowno\u015bci d\u0142ugoterminowych obligacji USA i os\u0142abi\u0142 dolara. Reuters poda\u0142 w poniedzia\u0142ek, \u017ce <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/dollar-trading-near-multi-month-lows-restrained-by-debt-nerves-2026-08-24\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">dolar utrzymywa\u0142 si\u0119 blisko minim\u00f3w z wielu miesi\u0119cy<\/a>, a dolary nowozelandzki i australijski zbli\u017cy\u0142y si\u0119 do trzy miesi\u0119cznych maksim\u00f3w.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Osobnym czynnikiem krajowym jest polityka pieni\u0119\u017cna Nowej Zelandii. Inflacja roczna wynosi <strong>4,1%<\/strong>, czyli powy\u017cej <strong>celu RBNZ 1\u20133% w \u015brednim okresie<\/strong> (RBNZ to bank centralny Nowej Zelandii). Jednocze\u015bnie <strong>Official Cash Rate (OCR)<\/strong> wynosi <strong>2,50%<\/strong> (to g\u0142\u00f3wna stopa procentowa banku centralnego, wyznaczaj\u0105ca koszt pieni\u0105dza w gospodarce).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbnz.govt.nz\/monetary-policy\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/codeMjljZWFjZGIwMWQwMjliMTNmNmMyMDQ5OWJjYTMzNmRfbGk0U0FaU21nNmZjM0toOEp0REwzcnpNTE45dHJnTlhfVG9rZW46SmZEVmJWSGpPb0JxcEt4ZFpQcGw4SlNQZ2RlXzE3ODc1NDI1OTI6MTc4NzU0NjE5Ml9WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">RBNZ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbnz.govt.nz\/news-and-events\/news\/2026\/07\/ocr-increased-to-2-50-to-return-inflation-to-2-percent\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">podni\u00f3s\u0142 OCR o 25 punkt\u00f3w bazowych<\/a> w lipcu i wskaza\u0142, \u017ce prawdopodobne jest dalsze ograniczanie bod\u017ac\u00f3w monetarnych (czyli stopniowe zacie\u015bnianie polityki, np. przez wy\u017csze stopy). Kolejna decyzja o stopach i komunikat w sprawie polityki pieni\u0119\u017cnej s\u0105 zaplanowane na <strong>2 wrze\u015bnia 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dla NZDUSD kluczowe jest, czy kurs zdo\u0142a przebi\u0107 <strong>0,6000<\/strong> (czyli trwale wyj\u015b\u0107 wy\u017cej), czy raczej zatrzyma si\u0119 i utrzyma powy\u017cej rosn\u0105cego kr\u00f3tkoterminowego wsparcia trendu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kluczowe poziomy dla rynku<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/vt-markets-app\/?utm_source=&#038;utm_content=DMA\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">NZDUSD rate tradable on VT Markets<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-symbol-overview.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"lineWidth\": 2,\n  \"lineType\": 1,\n  \"chartType\": \"area\",\n  \"showVolume\": false,\n  \"fontColor\": \"rgb(106, 109, 120)\",\n  \"gridLineColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.06)\",\n  \"volumeUpColor\": \"rgba(34, 171, 148, 0.5)\",\n  \"volumeDownColor\": \"rgba(247, 82, 95, 0.5)\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"widgetFontColor\": \"#DBDBDB\",\n  \"upColor\": \"#22ab94\",\n  \"downColor\": \"#f7525f\",\n  \"borderUpColor\": \"#22ab94\",\n  \"borderDownColor\": \"#f7525f\",\n  \"wickUpColor\": \"#22ab94\",\n  \"wickDownColor\": \"#f7525f\",\n  \"colorTheme\": \"dark\",\n  \"isTransparent\": false,\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"chartOnly\": false,\n  \"scalePosition\": \"right\",\n  \"scaleMode\": \"Normal\",\n  \"fontFamily\": \"-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Trebuchet MS, Roboto, Ubuntu, sans-serif\",\n  \"valuesTracking\": \"3\",\n  \"changeMode\": \"price-and-percent\",\n  \"symbols\": [\n    [\n      \"VANTAGE:NZDUSD|1D\"\n    ]\n  ],\n  \"dateRanges\": [\n    \"1d|1\",\n    \"1m|30\",\n    \"3m|60\",\n    \"12m|1D\",\n    \"60m|1W\",\n    \"all|1M\"\n  ],\n  \"fontSize\": \"10\",\n  \"headerFontSize\": \"medium\",\n  \"autosize\": true,\n  \"dateFormat\": \"MMM dd, yyyy\",\n  \"width\": \"100%\",\n  \"height\": \"100%\",\n  \"noTimeScale\": false,\n  \"hideDateRanges\": true,\n  \"showMA\": true,\n  \"maLength\": \"9\",\n  \"maLineColor\": \"#2962FF\",\n  \"maLineWidth\": 1,\n  \"hideMarketStatus\": false,\n  \"hideSymbolLogo\": false\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END --><br>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>0,6120:<\/strong> szerszy op\u00f3r i ostatnia g\u00f3rna granica przedzia\u0142u waha\u0144<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>0,6000:<\/strong> psychologiczny op\u00f3r w kr\u00f3tkim terminie (okr\u0105g\u0142y poziom, na kt\u00f3ry rynek cz\u0119sto reaguje)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>0,5973:<\/strong> bie\u017c\u0105ca strefa handlu<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>0,5850:<\/strong> kr\u00f3tkoterminowe wsparcie w pobli\u017cu 20-dniowej SMA (\u015bredniej z 20 dni)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>0,5800:<\/strong> ni\u017csze wsparcie<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>0,5580:<\/strong> szerszy punkt odniesienia po stronie spadkowej i okolice ostatnich do\u0142k\u00f3w<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Analiza techniczna<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/codeYzk3YjQ1NmU1NzMzN2NlMzViOTliNDRkNTQ3ZDEwOTRfNXJZRTJYYzVZRGt2b2FZOWRsaEVlc3ZyU3BsbEZRR29fVG9rZW46WFBSSWJWM25Wb0NSSTJ4alJnN2x1eDI0Z3lnXzE3ODc1NDI1OTI6MTc4NzU0NjE5Ml9WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZDUSD jest notowany w pobli\u017cu <strong>0,5973<\/strong>, powy\u017cej <strong>20-dniowej SMA na ok. 0,5848<\/strong>. Para odrobi\u0142a spadki z czerwca i lipca i przesuwa si\u0119 w stron\u0119 g\u00f3rnej cz\u0119\u015bci ostatniego przedzia\u0142u waha\u0144. Utrzymanie powy\u017cej 20-dniowej SMA wspiera kr\u00f3tkoterminowy trend wzrostowy, a <strong>0,6000<\/strong> to kolejny wa\u017cny test (okr\u0105g\u0142y poziom cz\u0119sto dzia\u0142a jak bariera).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>RSI (14) wynosi ok. 57,5<\/strong>, czyli powy\u017cej neutralnego poziomu 50 oraz powy\u017cej <strong>50-okresowej \u015bredniej ruchomej RSI w okolicach 48,9<\/strong>. RSI (wska\u017anik si\u0142y wzgl\u0119dnej) mierzy tempo ruchu ceny; wy\u017cszy odczyt sugeruje mocniejszy popyt. Jednocze\u015bnie RSI pozostaje poni\u017cej 70, co zwykle uznaje si\u0119 za stref\u0119 wykupienia (gdy wzrost jest na tyle szybki, \u017ce ro\u015bnie ryzyko korekty).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Najbli\u017cszy przedzia\u0142 techniczny to wsparcie 0,5850 i op\u00f3r 0,6000.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trwa\u0142e wybicie powy\u017cej <strong>0,6000<\/strong> oznacza\u0142oby kontynuacj\u0119 odbicia i skierowa\u0142oby uwag\u0119 na stref\u0119 <strong>0,6120<\/strong>. Spadek poni\u017cej <strong>0,5850<\/strong> i 20-dniowej SMA os\u0142abi\u0142by uk\u0142ad w kr\u00f3tkim terminie i ponownie zwr\u00f3ci\u0142 uwag\u0119 na <strong>0,5800<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Scenariusz wzrostowy:<\/strong> zyskuje na znaczeniu, je\u015bli NZDUSD wybije powy\u017cej <strong>0,6000<\/strong> i utrzyma si\u0119 ponad tym poziomem. Wtedy kolejnym poziomem do obserwacji staje si\u0119 okolica <strong>0,6120<\/strong>.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Scenariusz spadkowy:<\/strong> pojawia si\u0119, je\u015bli NZDUSD spadnie poni\u017cej wsparcia <strong>0,5850<\/strong> i 20-dniowej SMA. Utrzymanie si\u0119 poni\u017cej tej strefy zwi\u0119ksza ryzyko ruchu w kierunku <strong>0,5800<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>Zastrze\u017cenie:<\/strong> Podane poziomy cenowe i scenariusze odzwierciedlaj\u0105 opini\u0119 autora w momencie publikacji i nie stanowi\u0105 porady inwestycyjnej ani oficjalnej rekomendacji VT Markets. Przed podj\u0119ciem decyzji warto wykona\u0107 w\u0142asn\u0105 analiz\u0119 i kontrolowa\u0107 ryzyko.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Najbli\u017csze czynniki rynkowe<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Poza wykresem rynek obserwuje <strong>decyzj\u0119 RBNZ 2 wrze\u015bnia<\/strong>, rentowno\u015bci obligacji USA oraz informacje o programie odkupu obligacji przez US Treasury. Inwestorzy czekaj\u0105 te\u017c na szczeg\u00f3\u0142y proponowanych sankcji USA wobec Iranu, a kolejne sygna\u0142y z polityki gospodarczej USA mog\u0105 wp\u0142yn\u0105\u0107 na dolara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Handluj NZDUSD w VT Markets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZDUSD to kurs wymiany dolara nowozelandzkiego do dolara USA. <strong>CFD<\/strong> na NZDUSD (kontrakt na r\u00f3\u017cnic\u0119 kursow\u0105, czyli instrument pozwalaj\u0105cy zarabia\u0107 na zmianie ceny bez posiadania waluty) umo\u017cliwia zaj\u0119cie pozycji na ruchy tej pary bez fizycznej wymiany walut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para reaguje na oczekiwania wobec RBNZ i Rezerwy Federalnej (Fed), zmiany st\u00f3p procentowych, dane makro i nastroje wobec dolara. Ma to znaczenie zw\u0142aszcza wtedy, gdy zmieniaj\u0105 si\u0119 oczekiwania co do polityki pieni\u0119\u017cnej w Nowej Zelandii i USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Tap to Reveal FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br><br>Co dzieje si\u0119 z NZDUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZDUSD ro\u015bnie, bo s\u0142abszy dolar USA wspiera dolara nowozelandzkiego. Rynek \u015bledzi sytuacj\u0119 na rynku obligacji USA oraz oczekiwania wobec RBNZ, gdy kurs zbli\u017ca si\u0119 do 0,6000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Czym r\u00f3\u017cni si\u0119 NZDUSD od CFD na NZDUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZDUSD to kurs wymiany mi\u0119dzy dolarem nowozelandzkim a dolarem USA. CFD na NZDUSD to instrument, kt\u00f3ry pozwala spekulowa\u0107 na zmianie kursu bez kupowania i sprzedawania walut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Czy mog\u0119 handlowa\u0107 NZDUSD w VT Markets?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tak. VT Markets oferuje CFD na NZDUSD, a tak\u017ce narz\u0119dzia analityczne do \u015bledzenia czynnik\u00f3w takich jak polityka bank\u00f3w centralnych, stopy procentowe i ruchy dolara USA.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Zacznij handlowa\u0107 teraz \u2014 kliknij <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/trade-now\/\">tutaj<\/a>, aby za\u0142o\u017cy\u0107 swoje prawdziwe konto VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NZDUSD pnie si\u0119 do 0,5973 i celuje w 0,6000, korzystaj\u0105c na s\u0142abo\u015bci dolara po odkupach obligacji USA. Kluczowe poziomy: wsparcie 0,5850, op\u00f3r 0,6120. RBNZ 2 wrze\u015bnia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68799,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"NZDUSD pnie si\u0119 do 0,5973 i celuje w 0,6000, korzystaj\u0105c na s\u0142abo\u015bci dolara po odkupach obligacji USA. Kluczowe poziomy: wsparcie 0,5850, op\u00f3r 0,6120. 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