{"id":23441,"date":"2025-07-21T12:15:40","date_gmt":"2025-07-21T12:15:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=23441"},"modified":"2025-07-21T12:15:40","modified_gmt":"2025-07-21T12:15:40","slug":"yen-rebound-fades-amid-rising-political-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/yen-rebound-fades-amid-rising-political-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"Yen rebound fades amid rising political risk"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/07\/15-6-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23442\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/07\/15-6-1024x536.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/07\/15-6-300x157.png 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/07\/15-6-768x402.png 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/07\/15-6-500x262.png 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/07\/15-6-400x209.png 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/07\/15-6-350x183.png 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/07\/15-6-200x105.png 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/07\/15-6.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The&nbsp;Japanese yen&nbsp;saw a modest surge following the&nbsp;Upper House election on Sunday, but analysts remain skeptical of its staying power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Bounce of the Japanese Yen Short-Lived as Political Risk Looms<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On paper, the market welcomed the fact that Prime Minister&nbsp;Shigeru Ishiba&nbsp;will remain in power despite the ruling coalition&nbsp;losing its majority.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the tone is far from celebratory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Morning Bid: Could have been worse, is enough for the yen <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KHozKipc6x\">https:\/\/t.co\/KHozKipc6x<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KHozKipc6x\">https:\/\/t.co\/KHozKipc6x<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1947196129247912210?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 21, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">BoJ Stays Dovish in the Face of Uncertainty<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The&nbsp;Bank of Japan, already cautious about raising rates, now has even more reason to remain dovish. Heightened political risk tends to favour policy stability over experimentation, and with the&nbsp;spectre of trade tension looming, the BoJ may lean on continuity rather than tightening. This adds an undercurrent of softness to the outlook of the Japanese yen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">USD\/JPY Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD\/JPY slipped to 147.88&nbsp;by the Monday close, briefly testing&nbsp;intraday lows near 147.69&nbsp;on the back of political headlines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Remaining under heavy selling pressure with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, the MACD histogram is firmly negative and expanding. Price also remains decisively below the 30-MA, reinforcing the intraday bearish structure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/image-20.jpg\" alt=\"usdjpy-usd-jpy-japanese-yen\" class=\"wp-image-26854\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: USDJPY struggles beneath 148.00 as momentum fades. A break below 147.69 opens the door to deeper decline, as seen on the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The recent move comes amid growing caution from traders following mixed comments from BoJ policymakers last week, where Governor Ueda hinted that \u201cexit from ultra-loose policy will remain gradual.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ramps up his message that he is going to wait for additional data to make a judgment on the next monetary policy decision <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wIT299jHR8\">https:\/\/t.co\/wIT299jHR8<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1940073121211355541?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 1, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, a firmer US dollar has failed to keep USD\/JPY afloat, suggesting potential haven demand for the yen is resurfacing. If 147.69 breaks, eyes shift to the next psychological level at 147.50.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"here\">here<\/a> to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The&nbsp;Japanese yen&nbsp;saw a modest surge following the&nbsp;Upper House election on Sunday, but analysts remain skeptical of its staying power. Bounce of the Japanese Yen Short-Lived as Political Risk Looms On paper, the market welcomed the fact that Prime Minister&nbsp;Shigeru Ishiba&nbsp;will remain in power despite the ruling coalition&nbsp;losing its majority. But the tone is far from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/yen-rebound-fades-amid-rising-political-risk\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":23442,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Japanese yen saw a modest surge following the Upper House election on Sunday, but analysts remain skeptical of its staying power. 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Bounce of the Japanese Yen Short-Lived as Political Risk Looms On paper, the market welcomed the fact that Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba will remain in power despite the ruling coalition losing its majority. But the tone is far from","og:url":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/yen-rebound-fades-amid-rising-political-risk\/","article:published_time":"2025-07-21T12:15:40+00:00","article:modified_time":"2025-07-21T12:15:40+00:00","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:title":"Yen rebound fades amid rising political risk - VT Markets","twitter:description":"The Japanese yen saw a modest surge following the Upper House election on Sunday, but analysts remain skeptical of its staying power. Bounce of the Japanese Yen Short-Lived as Political Risk Looms On paper, the market welcomed the fact that Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba will remain in power despite the ruling coalition losing its majority. But the tone is far from"},"aioseo_meta_data":{"post_id":"23441","title":null,"description":null,"keywords":null,"keyphrases":null,"primary_term":null,"canonical_url":null,"og_title":null,"og_description":null,"og_object_type":"default","og_image_type":"default","og_image_url":null,"og_image_width":null,"og_image_height":null,"og_image_custom_url":null,"og_image_custom_fields":null,"og_video":null,"og_custom_url":null,"og_article_section":null,"og_article_tags":null,"twitter_use_og":false,"twitter_card":"default","twitter_image_type":"default","twitter_image_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_fields":null,"twitter_title":null,"twitter_description":null,"schema":{"blockGraphs":[],"customGraphs":[],"default":{"data":{"Article":[],"Course":[],"Dataset":[],"FAQPage":[],"Movie":[],"Person":[],"Product":[],"ProductReview":[],"Car":[],"Recipe":[],"Service":[],"SoftwareApplication":[],"WebPage":[]},"graphName":"","isEnabled":true},"graphs":[]},"schema_type":"default","schema_type_options":null,"pillar_content":false,"robots_default":true,"robots_noindex":false,"robots_noarchive":false,"robots_nosnippet":false,"robots_nofollow":false,"robots_noimageindex":false,"robots_noodp":false,"robots_notranslate":false,"robots_max_snippet":null,"robots_max_videopreview":null,"robots_max_imagepreview":"large","priority":null,"frequency":null,"local_seo":null,"seo_analyzer_scan_date":"2026-07-27 10:40:42","breadcrumb_settings":null,"limit_modified_date":false,"open_ai":null,"ai":null,"created":"2026-04-21 06:24:38","updated":"2026-07-27 10:40:42"},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">&raquo;<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/category\/analysis\/\" title=\"Today&apos;s Analysis\">Today's Analysis<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">&raquo;<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\tYen rebound fades amid rising political risk\n<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu"},{"label":"Today's Analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/category\/analysis\/"},{"label":"Yen rebound fades amid rising political risk","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/yen-rebound-fades-amid-rising-political-risk\/"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23441","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23441"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23441\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23442"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23441"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23441"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23441"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}