{"id":23046,"date":"2025-03-13T16:11:05","date_gmt":"2025-03-13T16:11:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=17574"},"modified":"2025-03-13T16:11:05","modified_gmt":"2025-03-13T16:11:05","slug":"forex-market-analysis-13-march-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/forex-market-analysis-13-march-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Forex market analysis: 13 March 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/16-8-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17576\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oil prices dipped as traders weighed stronger demand prospects against concerns over trade tensions and rising supply. While fuel consumption remains solid, uncertainty surrounding tariffs and OPEC+ production is keeping the market on edge. Investors are closely monitoring geopolitical risks, production trends, and economic signals that could influence the next move in oil prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Oil prices slip amid rising tariff concerns and market uncertainty<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Oil prices edged lower on Thursday, reversing part of the previous session\u2019s gains as investors balanced escalating trade tensions against expectations of stronger seasonal demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The mood at Houston\u2019s annual oil and gas get-together has been upbeat on the prospects for the industry under a fossil fuel-friendly Trump. But some of the biggest oil traders are getting more bearish on the outlook for crude prices <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/YdEwOFFaDO\">https:\/\/t.co\/YdEwOFFaDO<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1899845818259062964?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 12, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled at USD 67.53, down 0.17%, after briefly reaching USD 67.77 earlier in the session. Brent crude followed a similar pattern, dipping 0.1% to USD 70.88 per barrel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The decline comes after a 2% rally on Wednesday, driven by unexpectedly tight US oil and fuel inventories.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a 5.7 million-barrel drop in US gasoline stockpiles\u2014far exceeding analysts\u2019 forecasts of a 1.9 million-barrel draw.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, US crude inventories rose by 1.4 million barrels, a smaller-than-expected increase that signals steady demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Trade tensions cloud market outlook<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the price dip, global economic uncertainty remains a dominant theme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>US President Donald Trump\u2019s latest tariff threats on European Union goods, along with Canada and Mexico preparing retaliatory measures, have added to investor concerns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders fear that prolonged trade disputes could slow global economic growth, potentially reducing energy demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, the market is closely monitoring OPEC+ production levels. The latest data indicates an increase of 363,000 barrels per day in February, largely due to higher output from Kazakhstan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While OPEC has maintained its global demand growth forecast for 2025, traders remain cautious about potential supply-side pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Technical analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Crude oil (CL-OIL) is currently trading at USD 67.53, reflecting a 0.17% decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The session high of USD 67.77 encountered resistance near USD 67.86, leading to consolidation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/dma_13032025.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17575\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Crude oil stalls at resistance near USD 67.86, consolidation ahead, as seen on the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/au\/app\/vt-markets-online-trading\/id1372647263?mt=8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"VT Markets app\">VT Markets app<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Short-term moving averages (5, 10, 30 periods) suggest an overall uptrend, but signs of exhaustion are emerging.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The MACD remains positive, though a slight loss of momentum hints at a possible retracement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub><strong>Bullish scenario:<\/strong> A break above USD 67.86 could pave the way for a move towards USD 68.20.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub><strong>Bearish scenario:<\/strong> If prices decline further, key support lies at USD 67.00, with additional downside risk towards USD 66.50.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Short-term volatility is likely to persist, with tariff developments, OPEC+ decisions, and economic data releases serving as major catalysts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The sharp drop in US gasoline inventories indicates robust seasonal demand, which could cushion further losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, any escalation in trade disputes or a rise in OPEC+ output may cap the upside potential for oil prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"here\">here<\/a> to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oil prices dipped as traders weighed stronger demand prospects against concerns over trade tensions and rising supply. While fuel consumption remains solid, uncertainty surrounding tariffs and OPEC+ production is keeping the market on edge. Investors are closely monitoring geopolitical risks, production trends, and economic signals that could influence the next move in oil prices. Oil <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/forex-market-analysis-13-march-2025\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":22876,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23046","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23046","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23046"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23046\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22876"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23046"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23046"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23046"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}