{"id":17826,"date":"2025-05-13T08:47:42","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T08:47:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=17826"},"modified":"2025-05-13T08:47:42","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T08:47:42","slug":"forex-market-analysis-13-may-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/forex-market-analysis-13-may-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Forex market analysis: 13 May 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/Shares-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17828\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Apple shares jumped after news broke of a temporary pause in US tariffs on Chinese goods, offering some relief to investors worried about the company\u2019s exposure to trade tensions. The move comes at a crucial time for Apple, which has been under growing pressure because of its strong dependence on Chinese manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Apple shares surge as tariff truce offers short-term relief<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Apple Inc. (AAPL) saw its share price jump by 6.1% on Monday, closing at USD 210.79, after former President Donald Trump confirmed a 90-day pause on elevated tariffs targeting Chinese imports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The announcement helped calm investor nerves, particularly given Apple\u2019s substantial dependence on manufacturing in China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Breakingviews &#8211; Apple\u2019s China detox is painful and overdue <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/t3AQKRpCzN\">https:\/\/t.co\/t3AQKRpCzN<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/t3AQKRpCzN\">https:\/\/t.co\/t3AQKRpCzN<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1922144811714248908?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 13, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This rally positioned Apple as one of the top performers among the \u2018Magnificent Seven\u2019 tech stocks, despite the broader year-to-date picture remaining negative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Tariff risk still looms despite relief<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>So far in 2025, AAPL shares are still down over 13%, pressured by persistent geopolitical tensions and ongoing concerns around supply chain stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back in April, Trump\u2019s declaration that tariffs on Chinese goods could rise as high as 145% rattled markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Apple shares fell sharply following the news, as roughly 90% of iPhones\u2014which contribute nearly half of Apple\u2019s quarterly revenue\u2014are assembled in China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During the company\u2019s 1 May earnings call, CEO Tim Cook acknowledged the risks and outlined plans to expand iPhone production in India.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While this move aims to diversify Apple\u2019s manufacturing footprint and reduce reliance on China, it also introduces potential logistical challenges and increased production costs, which could weigh on profit margins in the short term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The new, reduced 30% tariff rate, set for the 90-day window, provides temporary relief but does little to eliminate uncertainty around long-term trade relations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump also suggested Apple is planning substantial domestic investment, claiming in a <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/trump-talks-apple-cook-firm-145150937.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"Monday press conference\">Monday press conference<\/a>: \u201cI spoke to Tim Cook this morning\u2026 he\u2019s going to be building a lot of plants in the United States for Apple.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He hinted at a possible USD 500 billion reshoring roadmap, though no formal details have been confirmed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Technical analysis: Apple eyes further gains after strong breakout<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Apple (AAPL) has staged a strong technical rebound, rallying from a recent low of USD 193.24 to push beyond the key USD 210 resistance level, peaking at USD 211.35.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This move was accompanied by a bullish MACD crossover and a notable expansion in histogram bars\u2014indicators of solid short-term momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/image-10-1024x442-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17827\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">AAPL rebounds from USD 193 low, rallies to USD 211 peak with momentum cooling, as seen on the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/au\/app\/vt-markets-online-trading\/id1372647263?mt=8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"VT Markets app\">VT Markets app<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, the stock is consolidating above the 10-period moving average, while the 30-period MA begins to slope upward\u2014a technical shift often supportive of continued upside momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite minor cooling in MACD strength and histogram compression, the price remains resilient above USD 208, suggesting buy-the-dip activity is still in play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the structure of higher lows remains intact and AAPL can break cleanly above USD 211.35, a push towards the USD 213\u2013USD 215 zone appears feasible in the coming sessions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Outlook: Near-term optimism meets longer-term caution<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the recent tariff pause has buoyed short-term sentiment and triggered a sharp recovery in Apple\u2019s share price, the broader outlook remains mixed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Much of Apple\u2019s near-term performance may hinge on how well the company navigates its evolving production strategy across China, India, and potentially the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Diversifying manufacturing is a sensible move to reduce geopolitical risk, but it also brings higher operational costs, logistical hurdles, and execution risks that could pressure margins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If trade tensions escalate again or Apple fails to communicate a clear, long-term roadmap for its global supply chain, investor confidence could weaken, leading to a pullback in the stock\u2014possibly below the USD 200 mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders and investors should remain cautious, keeping a close eye on geopolitical developments, policy announcements, and any updates from Apple regarding production shifts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Volatility is likely to persist as the company balances growth ambitions with complex global risks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"here\">here<\/a> to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Apple shares jumped after news broke of a temporary pause in US tariffs on Chinese goods, offering some relief to investors worried about the company\u2019s exposure to trade tensions. The move comes at a crucial time for Apple, which has been under growing pressure because of its strong dependence on Chinese manufacturing. Apple shares surge <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/forex-market-analysis-13-may-2025\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":22910,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17826","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17826"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17826\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17826"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17826"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17826"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}