{"id":17691,"date":"2025-04-14T10:03:19","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T10:03:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=17691"},"modified":"2025-04-14T10:03:19","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T10:03:19","slug":"forex-market-analysis-14-april-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/forex-market-analysis-14-april-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Forex market analysis: 14 April 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/53-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17696\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As the new trading week begins, investors are navigating a landscape shaped by recent market volatility following the introduction of new US tariffs. Today&#8217;s focus will be on inflation expectations, central bank commentary, and corporate earnings\u2014all key drivers that could influence overall market sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>KEY INDICATORS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>US consumer inflation expectations (March)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sup>The Federal Reserve Bank of New York is set to release its monthly survey, offering insights into consumers\u2019 inflation expectations.<\/sup><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>This data is crucial for gauging potential shifts in consumer behaviour and future monetary policy decisions.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Federal reserve speeches<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>Several Federal Reserve officials, including Patrick Harker and Raphael Bostic, are scheduled to speak.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Their remarks will be closely analysed for clues regarding the Fed\u2019s stance on interest rates and the broader economic outlook.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>International data releases<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub><strong>Japan:<\/strong> Reports on industrial production and capacity utilisation will offer insight into the health of Japan\u2019s manufacturing sector.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub><strong>Switzerland:<\/strong> The release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) will provide an update on inflationary pressures within the Swiss economy.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/20250414-121002.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17692\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>MARKET MOVERS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/20250414-121010-1024x498.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17693\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Possible long preference<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Long positions above 1.14198 with targets at 1.14401 and 1.14759 in extension.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Alternative scenario<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Below 1.13638, look for further downside towards 1.13256 and 1.12815.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The RSI indicates further upside potential.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Asia FX weak with Chinese yuan down; dollar hits 3-year low amid brief tariff relief<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most Asian currencies weakened on Monday. The Chinese yuan remained fragile amid limited relief on US trade tariffs, while ongoing concerns over economic headwinds pushed the US dollar to a three-year low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Japanese yen outperformed, trading near its strongest level in six months as demand for safe havens remained high. The USD\/JPY pair fell 0.3% to 143.09.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chinese yuan dips as Beijing sets weak midpoint; trade data positive<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>The onshore USD\/CNY pair rose 0.2% after another weak midpoint fix from the People\u2019s Bank of China. The pair remained close to a 17-year high reached last week.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The PBOC has set a weaker midpoint in seven of the past eight sessions, with Beijing appearing to devalue the yuan to counteract steep US tariffs.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Last week, Trump hiked tariffs on China to a staggering 145%, with Beijing retaliating with 125% tariffs.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Gold prices dip from record highs amid some US tariff relief<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold prices fell from record highs on Monday as risk appetite improved marginally following the US signalling some exemptions from steep trade tariffs against China, although sentiment remained largely cautious.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sup>Spot gold fell 0.3% to USD 3,225.79\/oz.<\/sup><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Gold futures expiring in June dropped 0.1% to USD 3,240.87\/oz by 5:12 AM GMT.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Spot gold remained close to the record high of USD 3,245.69\/oz reached last week.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Gold pressured by brief tariff relief as risk appetite recovers<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>Losses in gold came amid gains in risk-driven markets, with Asian stocks mostly rallying on Monday. US stock index futures also rose during Asian trading hours.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Beijing announced 125% retaliatory tariffs against the US in response to Trump\u2019s latest move, showing little intention of backing down.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Platinum futures rose 0.8% to USD 951.90\/oz.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Silver futures fell 0.3% to USD 31.827\/oz.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Among industrial metals, copper futures on the London Metal Exchange steadied at USD 9,152.90 per tonne.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>XAU\/USD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/20250414-121017-1024x521.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17694\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Possible long preference<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Long positions above 3,235.41 with targets at 3,246.42 and 3,262.65 in extension.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Alternative scenario<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Below 3,209.91, expect further downside towards 3,194.27 and 3,176.88.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>While further consolidation cannot be ruled out, it is expected to remain limited.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>TODAY\u2019S NEWS HEADLINES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hong Kong shares rise over 2% to lead gains in Asia after Trump pauses tariffs on consumer electronics<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Monday as US President Donald Trump paused tariffs on some consumer electronics, boosting risk sentiment.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Hong Kong stocks led gains in the region, with the Hang Seng Index ending the day 2.4% higher at 21,417.40.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The Hang Seng Tech Index rose 2.34% to 5,015.12.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Mainland China\u2019s CSI 300 increased 0.23% to close at 3,759.14.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Japan\u2019s benchmark Nikkei 225 ended the day 1.18% higher at 33,982.36.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>In South Korea, the Kospi index added 0.95% to close at 2,455.89.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Meanwhile, Australia\u2019s S&amp;P\/ASX 200 rose 1.34% to close at 7,748.60.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Japan\u2019s Nikkei jumps over 9% to lead gains in Asia after Trump pauses tariffs<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>Asia-Pacific markets rose on Thursday, following Wall Street\u2019s biggest burst of buying since 2008, after US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on higher tariffs for all nations except China.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>US futures fell, even as Trump\u2019s pledge to pause tariffs on some trading partners for 90 days spurred a massive surge on Wall Street.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Overnight in the US, the broad-based S&amp;P 500 skyrocketed 9.52% to close at 5,456.90 \u2014 its biggest one-day gain since 2008.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2026\/04\/20250414-121023.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17695\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>European markets close lower as traders brace for Trump\u2019s tariff plans<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>European markets closed lower on Wednesday as global traders braced themselves for a raft of fresh trade tariffs due to be announced by US President Donald Trump\u2019s administration.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>After rebounding on Tuesday, the regional Stoxx 600 index closed down 0.6%. Most sectors recorded declines, though retail and utilities stocks posted slight gains.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Germany\u2019s DAX dropped 0.7%, while France\u2019s CAC 40 was down 0.2%.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The UK\u2019s FTSE 100 fell 0.3%.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"here\">here<\/a> to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the new trading week begins, investors are navigating a landscape shaped by recent market volatility following the introduction of new US tariffs. Today&#8217;s focus will be on inflation expectations, central bank commentary, and corporate earnings\u2014all key drivers that could influence overall market sentiment. KEY INDICATORS US consumer inflation expectations (March) Federal reserve speeches International <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/analysis\/forex-market-analysis-14-april-2025\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":22897,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17691","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17691"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17691\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17691"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17691"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/pl-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17691"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}