{"id":69866,"date":"2026-10-23T02:58:41","date_gmt":"2026-10-23T02:58:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/brent-oil-hits-114-as-us-iran-tensions-escalate\/"},"modified":"2026-10-23T02:58:41","modified_gmt":"2026-10-23T02:58:41","slug":"brent-oil-hits-114-as-us-iran-tensions-escalate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/analysis\/brent-oil-hits-114-as-us-iran-tensions-escalate\/","title":{"rendered":"Minyak Brent Cecah AS$114 ketika Ketegangan AS\u2013Iran Memuncak"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6adac5f3d359f.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Perkara Utama<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Minyak mentah Brent meningkat kepada sekitar <strong>AS$114<\/strong> setong susulan ketegangan AS\u2013Iran yang semakin memuncak.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ketidaktentuan geopolitik yang kembali meningkat di Timur Tengah menambah kebimbangan terhadap potensi gangguan pengeluaran minyak.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sokongan awal berada sekitar <strong>AS$114.20\u2013AS$114.30<\/strong>, manakala rintangan berhampiran <strong>AS$114.833\u2013AS$115.00<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paras psikologi <strong>AS$120<\/strong> boleh menjadi tumpuan jika ketegangan terus memacu kenaikan yang berterusan.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pedagang menilai sama ada kenaikan terkini didorong oleh kebimbangan geopolitik yang sementara, atau risiko gangguan bekalan yang lebih berpanjangan.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pergerakan Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Minyak Brent meningkat melepasi <strong>AS$114<\/strong>, dengan sesi terkini menunjukkan lonjakan ketara daripada <strong>AS$113.60\u2013AS$113.80<\/strong> sebelum harga bergerak mendatar (konsolidasi) berhampiran <strong>AS$114.50<\/strong>. Pembeli kemudian pulih selepas penurunan ke arah <strong>AS$114.20\u2013AS$114.30<\/strong>, menjadikan harga terkini <strong>AS$114.578<\/strong>, sedikit di atas purata bergerak sembilan tempoh (penunjuk teknikal yang mengira purata harga bagi 9 lilin\/bar untuk melihat arah trend).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kenaikan ini berlaku ketika kebimbangan kembali memuncak mengenai ketegangan AS\u2013Iran dan keselamatan penghantaran tenaga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udd0a Oil prices are climbing again after fresh attacks in Saudi Arabia and no diplomatic breakthrough in either the Middle East or Ukraine. Today&#39;s Reuters Morning Bid podcast looks at why energy markets remain under pressure <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VltXj6XRvv\">https:\/\/t.co\/VltXj6XRvv<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DmTV0z87Ca\">pic.twitter.com\/DmTV0z87Ca<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2113242742146916686?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 22, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bagi pedagang minyak, persoalan utama ialah sama ada risiko penghantaran yang meningkat akan membawa kepada kehilangan bekalan yang berpanjangan. Ketidaktentuan geopolitik boleh menaikkan harga dengan cepat, namun untuk mengekalkan kenaikan itu biasanya memerlukan bukti bahawa jumlah minyak (tong) yang sampai kepada pembeli benar-benar berkurang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Pedagang Memerhati<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Selat Hormuz kekal penting untuk prospek pasaran kerana ia menghubungkan pengeluar utama Teluk dengan pasaran global. Kira-kira <strong>20 juta tong sehari<\/strong> melalui selat itu pada <strong>2024<\/strong>, bersamaan sekitar <strong>20% penggunaan cecair petroleum global<\/strong> (jumlah penggunaan produk minyak seperti minyak mentah, kondensat dan bahan api lain). Angka asas ini menunjukkan betapa besarnya kesan jika laluan tersebut terganggu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Harga minyak mentah yang lebih tinggi juga meningkatkan inflasi (kenaikan umum harga barangan dan perkhidmatan). Bahan api yang lebih mahal boleh menaikkan kos pengangkutan dan pengeluaran, manakala kenaikan yang berpanjangan boleh mempengaruhi jangkaan inflasi (apa yang pengguna dan perniagaan jangka tentang inflasi pada masa depan). Jangkaan ini kemudian mempengaruhi tindak balas dasar monetari (langkah bank pusat melalui kadar faedah dan bekalan wang) terhadap kejutan harga minyak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Futures were under pressure as escalating concern about Mideast conflict pushed oil futures higher, spurring inflation fears with US midterm elections less than two weeks away <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IZ5xCMoNWz\">https:\/\/t.co\/IZ5xCMoNWz<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2113295576557121994?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 22, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oleh itu, kenaikan tenaga yang berterusan boleh merumitkan alasan untuk menurunkan kadar faedah AS. Pada masa yang sama, bil bahan api yang lebih tinggi boleh melemahkan perbelanjaan isi rumah dan aktiviti perniagaan, menyebabkan pembuat dasar perlu menilai kedua-dua tekanan inflasi dan risiko pertumbuhan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras Dagangan Utama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/UKOUSD\/?exchange=VANTAGE\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Carta UKOUSD<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;oleh TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n<p>  {<\/p>\n<p>  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"calendar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"details\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_legend\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_volume\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hotlist\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"interval\": \"D\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"locale\": \"en\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"save_image\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"style\": \"1\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:UKOUSD\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"theme\": \"dark\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"watchlist\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"withdateranges\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"compareSymbols\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"studies\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"width\": 900,<\/p>\n<p>  \"height\": 500<\/p>\n<p>}<\/p>\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Paras<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Peranan<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Kepentingan<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>AS$120.00<\/td><td>Rujukan psikologi<\/td><td>Paras kenaikan yang lebih luas jika rali benar-benar berkembang melepasi AS$115.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>AS$114.833\u2013AS$115.00<\/td><td>Rintangan utama jangka dekat<\/td><td>Menggabungkan paras tinggi yang dipaparkan dengan halangan nombor bulat seterusnya.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>AS$114.60\u2013AS$114.70<\/td><td>Rintangan berdekatan<\/td><td>Kawasan atas pergerakan mendatar (konsolidasi) selepas lonjakan awal.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>AS$114.20\u2013AS$114.30<\/td><td>Sokongan awal<\/td><td>Zon penurunan terkini yang menarik pembeli kembali.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>AS$114.00<\/td><td>Sokongan pertengahan<\/td><td>Rujukan nombor bulat dalam kenaikan sebelum ini.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>AS$113.54\u2013AS$113.70<\/td><td>Zon sokongan lebih rendah<\/td><td>Merangkumi paras rendah yang dipaparkan iaitu AS$113.542 dan asas sebelum rali.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UKOUSD kekal berhampiran bahagian atas julat yang kelihatan, namun pembeli masih belum membentuk penembusan baharu. Dagangan yang kekal di atas <strong>AS$114.60\u2013AS$114.70<\/strong> akan menjadikan paras tinggi yang dipaparkan <strong>AS$114.833<\/strong> dan halangan <strong>AS$115.00<\/strong> lebih menjadi tumpuan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Di sebelah bawah, <strong>AS$114.20\u2013AS$114.30<\/strong> ialah kawasan terkini di mana jualan (tekanan penjual) menarik permintaan semula. Jika zon ini ditembusi ke bawah, ia memberi isyarat pembetulan yang lebih dalam (retracement: penurunan sementara dalam aliran menaik) ke arah <strong>AS$114.00<\/strong>, dengan asas terdahulu <strong>AS$113.54\u2013AS$113.70<\/strong> menjadi penting jika jualan berterusan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Susun Atur Bullish dan Bearish<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6adac5f4e2863.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pengesahan yang Perlu Diperhati<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Paras Berpotensi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sambungan bullish (kenaikan berterusan)<\/td><td>Penembusan yang kekal di atas AS$114.70, diikuti ujian AS$114.833\u2013AS$115.00<\/td><td>AS$115 pada awalnya; AS$120 menjadi relevan jika kenaikan yang lebih luas terbentuk<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pembetulan bearish (penurunan sementara)<\/td><td>Penembusan di bawah AS$114.20 dan percubaan gagal untuk kembali melepasi AS$114.20\u2013AS$114.30<\/td><td>AS$114.00, diikuti AS$113.70\u2013AS$113.54<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario <strong>bullish<\/strong> bergantung kepada UKOUSD menembusi di atas <strong>AS$114.70<\/strong> dan kekal pada paras itu, yang menunjukkan pembeli semakin menguasai pasaran selepas fasa konsolidasi. Pergerakan yang berterusan <strong>melepasi AS$115<\/strong> boleh menyokong kenaikan yang lebih luas, dengan <strong>AS$120<\/strong> menjadi rujukan lebih jauh jika kebimbangan bekalan meningkat. Penembusan yang gagal diikuti kejatuhan di bawah <strong>AS$114.20<\/strong> akan melemahkan pandangan ini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario <strong>bearish<\/strong> akan lebih kukuh jika UKOUSD jatuh di bawah <strong>AS$114.20<\/strong> dan sukar untuk pulih semula melepasi <strong>AS$114.20\u2013AS$114.30<\/strong>. Ini menunjukkan zon sokongan terbaru sedang bertukar menjadi rintangan (paras yang menghalang kenaikan), sekali gus membuka ruang kepada <strong>AS$114.00<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Penafian<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Paras harga dan senario pasaran di atas ialah tafsiran penulis berdasarkan carta 15 minit yang diberikan pada masa penulisan, dan bukan nasihat kewangan atau saranan rasmi daripada VT Markets. Pedagang perlu membuat analisis sendiri dan mengurus risiko dengan teliti.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ramalan UKOUSD: Apa Seterusnya?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UKOUSD boleh meneruskan kenaikan jika ketegangan AS\u2013Iran meningkat, kelewatan penghantaran bertambah buruk atau kerosakan yang disahkan mengurangkan pengeluaran dan eksport minyak. Harga boleh susut jika rundingan bertambah baik, keadaan penghantaran kembali stabil atau bekalan nyata lebih kukuh daripada yang ditakuti. Peningkatan mengejut dalam inventori minyak mentah AS (stok simpanan minyak yang dilaporkan) juga boleh menekan sentimen, terutama jika disertai petanda permintaan bahan api yang lebih lemah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemangkin seterusnya ialah perkembangan melibatkan AS dan Iran, bukti perubahan aliran fizikal minyak (penghantaran sebenar minyak, bukan hanya dagangan kertas), serta data inventori AS yang akan datang. EIA (Energy Information Administration, agensi data tenaga AS) biasanya menerbitkan Laporan Status Petroleum Mingguan pada hari Rabu jam <strong>10:30 pagi Waktu Timur AS<\/strong>, jadi pedagang perlu memantau laporan ini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dagangkan UKOUSD dengan VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dengan VT Markets, pedagang boleh mengakses CFD minyak (Contract for Difference: produk derivatif yang menjejaki pergerakan harga tanpa memiliki aset fizikal) dan bertindak balas terhadap pergerakan pasaran melalui posisi long dan short (long: beli untuk untung jika harga naik; short: jual untuk untung jika harga turun), bergantung pada pandangan pasaran mereka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">VT Markets menyediakan akses kepada platform dagangan termasuk MetaTrader 5 (MT5), Web Trading dan Aplikasi VT Markets, bersama alat carta dan sumber analisis pasaran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Soalan Lazim<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apakah UKOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UKOUSD ialah CFD tunai minyak mentah Brent yang disebut harga dalam dolar AS. Ia memberi pendedahan kepada pergerakan harga Brent tanpa pemilikan atau penghantaran minyak fizikal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa minyak Brent didagangkan melebihi AS$114?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Carta terkini menunjukkan UKOUSD pada <strong>AS$114.578<\/strong>, dengan latar ketegangan AS\u2013Iran yang meningkat serta kebimbangan terhadap kebolehpercayaan penghantaran minyak dari Timur Tengah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bolehkah UKOUSD mencecah AS$120?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Eskalasi lanjut atau kehilangan bekalan yang berterusan boleh menyokong kenaikan tambahan. Namun, pembeli perlu melepasi <strong>AS$114.833\u2013AS$115.00<\/strong> terlebih dahulu. Paras <strong>AS$120<\/strong> kekal sebagai rujukan psikologi bersyarat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras sokongan apa yang perlu diperhati oleh pedagang?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sokongan awal berada sekitar <strong>AS$114.20\u2013AS$114.30<\/strong>, diikuti <strong>AS$114.00<\/strong> dan zon lebih rendah <strong>AS$113.54\u2013AS$113.70<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apa yang boleh menyebabkan harga minyak jatuh?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kemajuan diplomatik, penghantaran yang lebih lancar, bekalan yang lebih kukuh atau permintaan yang lebih lemah boleh mengurangkan tekanan kenaikan. Data inventori juga boleh mengubah jangkaan tentang tahap keketatan pasaran (pasaran ketat bermaksud bekalan terhad berbanding permintaan).<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brent melompat ke sekitar AS$114 setong susulan eskalasi AS\u2013Iran, mencetus kebimbangan gangguan Selat Hormuz. Pedagang memantau rintangan AS$115, sokongan AS$114.20; paras psikologi AS$120 jadi tumpuan.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69865,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69866","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Brent melompat ke sekitar AS$114 setong susulan eskalasi AS\u2013Iran, mencetus kebimbangan gangguan Selat Hormuz. 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