{"id":69821,"date":"2026-10-21T06:53:30","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T06:53:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/gold-falls-towards-4100-as-oil-prices-fuel-rate-hike-concerns\/"},"modified":"2026-10-21T06:53:30","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T06:53:30","slug":"gold-falls-towards-4100-as-oil-prices-fuel-rate-hike-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/analysis\/gold-falls-towards-4100-as-oil-prices-fuel-rate-hike-concerns\/","title":{"rendered":"Emas Susut ke Paras Hampir AS$4,100 ketika Harga Minyak Cetus Kebimbangan Kenaikan Kadar Faedah"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-72401\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Perkara Utama<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Emas meneruskan penurunan untuk sesi keempat berturut-turut apabila harga minyak yang lebih tinggi mencetuskan kebimbangan inflasi (kenaikan umum harga barangan dan perkhidmatan).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ketidakpastian rundingan AS-Iran dan serangan ke atas kapal tangki mengekalkan fokus kepada risiko bekalan tenaga.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rizab Persekutuan (Federal Reserve\/Fed, bank pusat AS) dijangka mengekalkan kadar faedah minggu depan, namun kemungkinan kenaikan pada Disember masih menjadi kebimbangan.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Carta 15 minit menunjukkan emas berhampiran $4,120, dengan rintangan pada $4,130\u2013$4,132 dan sokongan sekitar $4,106\u2013$4,110.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emas susut menghampiri $4,100 seauns pada Rabu, meneruskan penurunan untuk sesi keempat berturut-turut apabila harga minyak yang kekal tinggi mengukuhkan kebimbangan inflasi dan jangkaan kos pinjaman yang lebih tinggi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold eases as elevated oil prices keep inflation risks in focus <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CVnOgc7Vo4\">https:\/\/t.co\/CVnOgc7Vo4<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CVnOgc7Vo4\">https:\/\/t.co\/CVnOgc7Vo4<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2112438777566101828?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Minyak kembali meningkat selepas seorang diplomat menolak laporan bahawa perjanjian untuk menamatkan konflik AS-Iran sudah hampir dicapai, walaupun rundingan masih berjalan. Ketidaktentuan ini menekan emas apabila pedagang menilai kesannya terhadap dasar monetari (cara bank pusat mengurus kadar faedah dan bekalan wang).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Pedagang Memerhati Emas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tekanan utama ke atas emas berpunca daripada kaitan antara harga tenaga dan jangkaan kadar faedah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ketegangan yang meningkat di Timur Tengah dan Eropah Timur, serta pertambahan serangan ke atas kapal tangki di Selat Hormuz, menaikkan kebimbangan gangguan bekalan. Harga minyak yang lebih tinggi boleh menaikkan kos pengangkutan dan pengeluaran, lalu menyukarkan inflasi dikawal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ini menjadi cabaran untuk emas jongkong (bullion, emas fizikal berbentuk jongkong). Walaupun emas boleh menarik permintaan ketika inflasi dan ketidaktentuan geopolitik, emas tidak memberi pendapatan faedah. Jika bank pusat bertindak balas terhadap tekanan harga yang berterusan dengan menaikkan kadar, aset yang memberi faedah (seperti deposit tetap atau bon) boleh menjadi lebih menarik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fed dijangka mengekalkan kadar tidak berubah minggu depan. Namun, pasaran masih menjangkakan kemungkinan kenaikan pada Disember, menjadikan panduan Fed mengenai inflasi dan hala tuju dasar seterusnya sangat penting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Traders are betting overwhelmingly that the Federal Reserve won\u2019t raise interest rates when it meets later this month. But that judgment rests in part on assumptions about how the Fed communicates that may no longer hold under its new chairman. Kevin Warsh has left room to\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FCQEaLp6LC\">pic.twitter.com\/FCQEaLp6LC<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2111200587769401558?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Keputusan mengekalkan kadar hanya menunjukkan sebahagian gambaran. Isyarat bahawa pengetatan lanjut (menaikkan kadar atau mengurangkan sokongan kewangan) masih berkemungkinan boleh mengehadkan pemulihan emas, manakala mesej yang kurang ketat boleh mengurangkan tekanan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rundingan AS-Iran juga kekal sebagai pemangkin (perkara yang boleh menggerakkan harga). Kemajuan boleh mengurangkan kebimbangan bekalan tenaga, manakala kegagalan boleh mengekalkan harga minyak tinggi dan merumitkan prospek inflasi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras Dagangan Utama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/GOLD\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Carta GOLD<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;oleh TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n<p>  {<\/p>\n<p>  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"calendar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"details\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_legend\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_volume\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hotlist\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"interval\": \"D\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"locale\": \"en\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"save_image\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"style\": \"1\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"symbol\": \"TVC:GOLD\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"theme\": \"dark\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"watchlist\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"withdateranges\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"compareSymbols\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"studies\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"width\": 900,<\/p>\n<p>  \"height\": 500<\/p>\n<p>}<\/p>\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Paras Harga<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Perkara yang Dipantau Pedagang<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,150\u2013$4,155<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Rintangan lebih tinggi berhampiran paras tertinggi intrahari (paras tertinggi dalam hari)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,140<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Rujukan pemulihan seterusnya di atas rintangan terdekat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,130\u2013$4,132<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Rintangan terdekat berhampiran paras tinggi lantunan terkini<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,120<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Paras penentu jangka pendek (pivot, titik penentu arah) berhampiran kawasan dagangan semasa<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,106\u2013$4,110<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Sokongan terdekat berhampiran paras rendah ayunan terkini (swing low, paras rendah sementara sebelum harga melantun)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,100<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Rujukan penurunan psikologi (paras bulat yang sering menarik perhatian pasaran)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emas sedang mengukuh (consolidating, bergerak dalam julat sempit) berhampiran <strong>$4,120<\/strong> selepas berundur daripada <strong>$4,150\u2013$4,155<\/strong>. Tembusan kukuh di atas <strong>$4,132<\/strong> boleh mengalihkan tumpuan kepada <strong>$4,140<\/strong>, diikuti <strong>$4,150\u2013$4,155<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Di bahagian bawah, pergerakan di bawah <strong>$4,120<\/strong> boleh membawa kepada ujian semula <strong>$4,106\u2013$4,110<\/strong>. Tembusan kukuh di bawah <strong>$4,106<\/strong> akan mendedahkan <strong>$4,100<\/strong>, iaitu paras psikologi yang belum diuji dalam carta yang dipaparkan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tetapan Bullish dan Bearish<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-1024x471.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-72404\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Tetapan<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Pencetus<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Reaksi Pasaran Berpotensi<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Cubaan Pemulihan<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Kekal di atas $4,120 selepas penutupan carta 15 minit di atas paras itu<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Emas mungkin menguji semula $4,130\u2013$4,132<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Tembusan Bullish<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Tembusan 15 minit yang kukuh di atas $4,132<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Pemulihan boleh melanjutkan kenaikan ke arah $4,140, kemudian $4,150\u2013$4,155<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Pengukuhan Dalam Julat<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Kekal antara $4,110 dan $4,132<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Harga mungkin terus turun naik dalam julat terkini<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Penolakan Bearish<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Gagal melepasi $4,130\u2013$4,132 dan susut di bawah $4,120<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Emas boleh kembali ke $4,106\u2013$4,110<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Pecahan Bearish<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Pecahan 15 minit yang kukuh di bawah $4,106<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Tekanan jualan boleh bersambung ke arah $4,100<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario <strong>bullish<\/strong> memerlukan tembusan kukuh di atas <strong>$4,132<\/strong>, dengan pembeli mempertahankan paras itu ketika ujian semula.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario <strong>bearish<\/strong> menjadi lebih kuat di bawah <strong>$4,120<\/strong>, dengan pengesahan penurunan seterusnya di bawah <strong>$4,106<\/strong>. Jika tiada pergerakan ini, pengukuhan kekal sebagai jangkaan terdekat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Penafian<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Paras harga dan senario pasaran di atas ialah tafsiran penulis berdasarkan carta 15 minit yang diberikan pada masa penulisan, dan bukan nasihat kewangan atau saranan rasmi daripada VT Markets. Pedagang perlu membuat analisis sendiri dan mengurus risiko dengan teliti.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Terokai Dagangan Emas bersama VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/about-vt-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a> menyediakan akses kepada CFD emas (Contract for Difference, kontrak yang membolehkan anda mengaut untung atau rugi berdasarkan perubahan harga tanpa memiliki emas fizikal) melalui <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/metatrader-4\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MetaTrader 4<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/metatrader-5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MetaTrader 5<\/a> dan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/vt-markets-app\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">aplikasi VT Markets<\/a>, membolehkan pedagang membuat spekulasi (membuat taruhan berdasarkan jangkaan) sama ada harga naik atau turun tanpa memiliki jongkong emas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Untuk akses di luar sesi dagangan hari bekerja, terokai <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/precious-metals\/xauusd247\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">XAUUSD247<\/a>, yang menawarkan dagangan CFD emas termasuk hujung minggu, tertakluk kepada ketersediaan produk dan syarat dagangan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/precious-metals\/xauusd247\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad838e7ef266.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Perkara yang Perlu Dipantau Seterusnya<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemangkin seterusnya ialah sama ada perkembangan pasaran tenaga dan komunikasi bank pusat mengubah jangkaan terhadap kos pinjaman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Faktor utama termasuk:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mesyuarat Rizab Persekutuan:<\/strong> Keputusan kadar dan panduan tentang keadaan yang boleh menghalalkan pengetatan lanjut (menaikkan kadar atau mengurangkan sokongan kewangan).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Jangkaan Kadar Disember:<\/strong> Sama ada pasaran semakin yakin atau kurang yakin tentang satu lagi kenaikan.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Keadaan Minyak dan Perkapalan:<\/strong> Perubahan harga minyak mentah, pergerakan kapal tangki dan risiko gangguan sekitar Selat Hormuz.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Rundingan AS-Iran:<\/strong> Tanda kemajuan atau kemunduran dalam usaha menamatkan konflik.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Hasil Perbendaharaan (Treasury Yields) dan Dolar AS:<\/strong> Sama ada keadaan kewangan yang lebih luas menguatkan atau mengurangkan tekanan ke atas emas jongkong. (Hasil Perbendaharaan ialah pulangan yang diminta pelabur untuk memegang bon kerajaan AS; apabila hasil naik, kos peluang memegang emas biasanya meningkat.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Soalan Lazim<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa emas jatuh empat sesi berturut-turut?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Harga minyak yang lebih tinggi meningkatkan kebimbangan inflasi dan jangkaan kos pinjaman yang lebih tinggi, lalu menekan emas yang tidak memberi faedah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bolehkah ketegangan geopolitik menolak emas lebih rendah?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ya. Walaupun ketegangan boleh mendorong pembelian aset selamat (haven, aset yang biasanya dicari ketika risiko meningkat), gangguan yang menaikkan harga tenaga juga boleh meningkatkan jangkaan dasar monetari yang lebih ketat. Kesan ini boleh mengatasi sokongan daripada permintaan aset selamat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Adakah Fed dijangka menaikkan kadar minggu depan?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fed dijangka mengekalkan kadar. Pasaran menumpukan kepada kemungkinan kenaikan pada Disember dan sebarang panduan yang mengubah jangkaan itu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apa yang boleh mengubah prospek semasa emas?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perubahan harga minyak, kemajuan rundingan AS-Iran atau perubahan panduan Fed boleh mengubah keseimbangan antara kebimbangan inflasi, jangkaan kadar faedah dan permintaan aset selamat.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emas jatuh empat sesi ke paras hampir AS$4,100: minyak kekal tinggi, risiko Selat Hormuz dan rundingan AS-Iran cetus inflasi. Fed dijangka kekal, namun kebarangkalian kenaikan Disember menekan. Paras tumpuan AS$4,120.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69820,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Emas jatuh empat sesi ke paras hampir AS$4,100: minyak kekal tinggi, risiko Selat Hormuz dan rundingan AS-Iran cetus inflasi. Fed dijangka kekal, namun kebarangkalian kenaikan Disember menekan. 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