{"id":69745,"date":"2026-10-20T02:53:27","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T02:53:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe\/"},"modified":"2026-10-20T02:53:27","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T02:53:27","slug":"eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/analysis\/eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Kekal Stabil Ketika Ketidakstabilan Politik Melanda Seluruh Eropah"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad6d3bd722b1.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Perkara Utama<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>EURUSD didagangkan berhampiran 1.12181, naik 0.06%, apabila dolar AS gagal menunjukkan hala tuju yang jelas pada sesi Asia hari Selasa.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ketegangan politik di Perancis dan Itali mencetuskan kebimbangan terhadap kestabilan Eropah, lalu menekan saham serantau dan bon kerajaan (bon yang diterbitkan kerajaan untuk meminjam wang).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Perbezaan hasil (\u201cspread\u201d, iaitu jurang pulangan) bon kerajaan 10 tahun Perancis\u2013Jerman melebar 9.9 mata asas kepada 147.3 mata asas pada Isnin.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Indeks Dolar AS mencecah 102 pada Isnin, manakala hasil Perbendaharaan AS 10 tahun kekal pada 5.131%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pergerakan Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD didagangkan berhampiran <strong>1.12181<\/strong> pada sesi Asia hari Selasa, mencatat kenaikan kecil <strong>0.06%<\/strong>. Peningkatan perlahan dalam keyakinan pelabur menyokong mata wang yang sensitif kepada risiko (mata wang yang biasanya mengukuh apabila pasaran sanggup mengambil risiko), namun ketidakpastian politik di Eropah mengehadkan kenaikan euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pasangan mata wang ini bergerak dalam julat harian yang sempit, dengan paras tertinggi <strong>1.12203<\/strong> dan terendah <strong>1.12089<\/strong>. Pergerakan harga kekal tertumpu sekitar <strong>1.12180<\/strong>, menunjukkan pembeli dan penjual masih belum menguasai pasaran secara konsisten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Indeks Dolar AS diniagakan setinggi <strong>102<\/strong> pada Isnin, mencerminkan permintaan yang masih wujud walaupun keadaan global tidak menentu. Sementara itu, hasil Perbendaharaan AS 10 tahun kekal pada <strong>5.131%<\/strong>, menjadikan EURUSD lebih dipengaruhi sentimen politik Eropah berbanding pergerakan hasil bon AS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Pedagang Memerhati<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perkembangan politik di Perancis menjadi punca ketidakpastian terhadap euro. Pihak berkuasa Perancis melaksanakan perintah berkurung (sekatan pergerakan pada waktu tertentu) di beberapa bandar pada Isnin selepas protes anti-kerajaan di seluruh negara mengganggu ketenteraman awam, sekali gus menambah tekanan pada bulan-bulan terakhir penggal Presiden Emmanuel Macron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ketegangan ini meningkatkan kebimbangan terhadap kedudukan fiskal Perancis (keadaan kewangan kerajaan, termasuk hasil dan perbelanjaan), khususnya ketika Parlimen bersedia untuk undian rasmi pertama bagi bahagian hasil (cukai dan kutipan) dalam cadangan <strong>bajet 2027<\/strong>. Pertikaian politik yang berterusan boleh menyukarkan rundingan fiskal dan menambah risiko terhadap hutang kerajaan Perancis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pasaran bon sudah mencerminkan kebimbangan tersebut. Jurang hasil (spread) antara bon kerajaan 10 tahun Perancis dan Jerman melebar kepada <strong>142.3 mata asas<\/strong> pada Isnin. Spread yang melebar menunjukkan pelabur meminta pulangan tambahan (premium hasil) untuk memegang hutang Perancis berbanding bon Jerman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Investors Abandoning French Government Bonds for German Bunds <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5icGXC7osx\">https:\/\/t.co\/5icGXC7osx<\/a><\/p>&mdash; WSJ Markets (@WSJmarkets) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WSJmarkets\/status\/2108361012051136600?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ketegangan politik turut merebak ke Itali, apabila kerajaan mengumumkan rancangan untuk mengerahkan 500 anggota tentera susulan dua hari kekacauan. Walaupun euro kekal agak stabil, ketidakstabilan dalam ekonomi utama Eropah boleh meningkatkan tekanan ke atas mata wang tersebut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Violent protests spread from France to Italy and Belgium <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/evvm5uqg7i\">https:\/\/t.co\/evvm5uqg7i<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Financial Times (@FT) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/FT\/status\/2112184808025583737?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras Dagangan Utama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/EURUSD\/?exchange=OANDA\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Carta EURUSD<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;oleh TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n<p>  {<\/p>\n<p>  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"calendar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"details\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_legend\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_volume\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hotlist\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"interval\": \"D\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"locale\": \"en\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"save_image\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"style\": \"1\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"symbol\": \"OANDA:EURUSD\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"theme\": \"dark\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"watchlist\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"withdateranges\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"compareSymbols\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"studies\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"width\": 900,<\/p>\n<p>  \"height\": 500<\/p>\n<p>}<\/p>\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Paras<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Harga<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Kepentingan teknikal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan 2<\/td><td>1.12203<\/td><td>Tertinggi sesi dan paras pencetus \u201cbreakout\u201d (pecah naik melepasi halangan)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan 1<\/td><td>1.122<\/td><td>Rintangan psikologi terdekat (paras bulat yang sering diperhatikan pasaran)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pivot<\/td><td>1.1218<\/td><td>Kawasan dagangan semasa<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 1<\/td><td>1.1216<\/td><td>Paras reaksi jangka dekat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 2<\/td><td>1.1214<\/td><td>Sokongan intrahari (dalam hari) terkini<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 3<\/td><td>1.12089<\/td><td>Terendah sesi dan rujukan penurunan<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD menunjukkan pemulihan jangka pendek sebelum mendatar (konsolidasi, iaitu bergerak dalam julat sempit) <strong>di bawah 1.12200<\/strong>. Purata bergerak 9 tempoh (MA9, iaitu purata harga bagi 9 tempoh dagangan untuk melihat hala tuju trend) mula menaik selepas lantunan dari 1.12140, namun pergerakan harga terkini menunjukkan momentum (kekuatan pergerakan) semakin perlahan berhampiran rintangan. Pasangan ini sukar mengekalkan kenaikan <strong>melepasi 1.12200<\/strong>, menjadikan paras ini rintangan terdekat untuk dipantau.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Di bahagian bawah, <strong>1.12160<\/strong> ialah sokongan pertama. Pergerakan di bawah paras ini boleh membuka laluan kepada <strong>1.12140<\/strong>, iaitu kawasan pembeli sebelum ini muncul. Penurunan lebih dalam ke arah <strong>1.12089<\/strong> akan menunjukkan pemulihan telah kehilangan momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tetapan Bullish dan Bearish<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad6d3bec05d8.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pencetus<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sasaran berpotensi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Breakout bullish (pecah naik)<\/td><td>Pergerakan kekal di atas 1.12203<\/td><td>1.12220\u20131.12240<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pemulihan bullish<\/td><td>Kekal di atas 1.12160<\/td><td>1.12180\u20131.12200<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Penolakan bearish (gagal tembus)<\/td><td>Gagal menembusi 1.12200<\/td><td>1.1216<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Breakdown bearish (pecah turun)<\/td><td>Pecah di bawah 1.12140<\/td><td>1.12089<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario bullish memerlukan EURUSD membina sokongan <strong>di atas 1.12160<\/strong> sebelum menguji zon rintangan 1.12200\u20131.12203. Sentimen risiko yang bertambah baik dan kebimbangan politik Eropah yang reda boleh menyokong pergerakan ini. Breakout yang disahkan boleh membolehkan pasangan ini melanjutkan kenaikan ke 1.12220\u20131.12240.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sebaliknya, senario bearish boleh terbentuk jika EURUSD terus menerima tekanan jualan <strong>berhampiran 1.12200<\/strong>. Pecah di bawah 1.12160 akan melemahkan pemulihan semasa, manakala penurunan melepasi 1.12140 boleh mendedahkan terendah sesi pada 1.12089. Spread hasil bon Perancis\u2013Jerman yang terus melebar boleh menguatkan tekanan penurunan ini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Penafian<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Paras harga dan senario pasaran di atas ialah penilaian penulis pada masa penulisan. Ia bukan nasihat kewangan atau cadangan rasmi daripada VT Markets. Pedagang perlu membuat analisis sendiri dan mengurus risiko dengan teliti.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ramalan EURUSD: Apa Seterusnya?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD berkemungkinan kekal bergerak dalam julat (range-bound, iaitu naik turun dalam lingkungan tertentu) dalam masa terdekat apabila pedagang menimbang peningkatan selera risiko global berbanding ketidakpastian politik yang semakin ketara di Eropah. Kestabilan pasangan ini menunjukkan pelabur belum menganggap ketegangan politik di Perancis sebagai krisis kewangan zon euro yang lebih besar. Namun, tekanan lanjut ke atas bon kerajaan Perancis boleh melemahkan keyakinan terhadap mata wang tunggal (euro).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemangkin utama seterusnya ialah perkembangan berkaitan bajet Perancis 2027 dan reaksi pasaran bon Eropah. Kemajuan ke arah persetujuan fiskal yang boleh dilaksanakan boleh meredakan kebimbangan risiko kedaulatan (sovereign risk, iaitu risiko kerajaan gagal membayar hutang) dan menyokong EURUSD. Sebaliknya, ketegangan politik berlarutan atau spread hasil bon yang melebar boleh menolak pasangan ini lebih rendah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dagangkan EURUSD dengan VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD ialah antara pasangan forex (pertukaran mata wang asing) paling aktif didagangkan di dunia, memberi pendedahan kepada perubahan jangkaan terhadap Bank Pusat Eropah (ECB), Rizab Persekutuan AS (Fed), inflasi, pertumbuhan ekonomi dan sentimen risiko global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dengan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets,<\/a> pedagang boleh memantau pergerakan harga EURUSD, menganalisis trend teknikal dan mengurus posisi melalui platform termasuk MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5 dan Aplikasi VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Soalan Lazim<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa EURUSD diniagakan berhampiran 1.12181?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD diniagakan berhampiran 1.12181 apabila pemulihan kecil selera risiko global menyokong euro, namun ketegangan politik di Perancis dan Itali mengehadkan kenaikan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bagaimana ketegangan politik Perancis boleh menjejaskan EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ketidakstabilan politik boleh melemahkan keyakinan terhadap aset Eropah dan meningkatkan permintaan kepada pilihan yang lebih selamat (safe haven, iaitu aset yang biasanya dianggap lebih stabil ketika pasaran bergolak). Jika hasil bon kerajaan Perancis terus meningkat berbanding hasil bon Jerman, euro boleh menerima tekanan jualan tambahan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apakah paras rintangan utama untuk EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rintangan terdekat berada pada 1.12200, diikuti paras tertinggi sesi pada 1.12203. Pecahan yang kekal di atas paras ini boleh menyokong pemulihan ke arah 1.12220\u20131.12240.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apakah paras sokongan utama untuk EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sokongan terdekat ialah 1.12160, diikuti 1.12140. Jika tekanan jualan meningkat, EURUSD boleh menguji semula terendah sesi pada 1.12089.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bolehkah EURUSD naik walaupun politik Eropah tidak menentu?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ya. EURUSD boleh mengukuh jika hasil Perbendaharaan AS menurun, dolar melemah atau keadaan politik Eropah kembali stabil. Namun, kenaikan yang berterusan biasanya memerlukan momentum belian yang lebih kukuh dan breakout yang disahkan melepasi rintangan jangka dekat.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Euro kekal rapuh: EURUSD sekitar 1.1218 apabila dolar AS mendatar, namun ketegangan politik Perancis-Itali melebarkan spread bon Perancis\u2013Jerman. Pedagang pantau rintangan 1.1220 dan pemangkin bajet 2027.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69744,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69745","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Euro kekal rapuh: EURUSD sekitar 1.1218 apabila dolar AS mendatar, namun ketegangan politik Perancis-Itali melebarkan spread bon Perancis\u2013Jerman. 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