{"id":69731,"date":"2026-10-19T06:53:31","date_gmt":"2026-10-19T06:53:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/bitcoin-rises-as-traders-await-the-feds-october-meeting\/"},"modified":"2026-10-19T06:53:31","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T06:53:31","slug":"bitcoin-rises-as-traders-await-the-feds-october-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/analysis\/bitcoin-rises-as-traders-await-the-feds-october-meeting\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Naik Ketika Pedagang Menantikan Mesyuarat Fed pada Oktober"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad594ee98133.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Perkara Utama<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bitcoin didagangkan berhampiran <strong>$82,621.57<\/strong>, naik 2.05%, selepas pulih daripada paras terendah dalam hari (intraday) $80,902.68.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>IHP (CPI) utama AS meningkat <strong>3.7%<\/strong> tahun ke tahun, manakala inflasi teras (core inflation, iaitu inflasi tanpa item yang sangat berubah-ubah seperti makanan dan tenaga) mencecah <strong>2.6%<\/strong>, mengukuhkan kebimbangan bahawa tekanan harga masih berterusan.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aliran dana ETF spot Bitcoin yang tidak sekata (aliran masuk\/keluar dana) serta hasil (yield) bon Perbendaharaan AS yang tinggi terus mempengaruhi permintaan.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pedagang memantau data ekonomi AS yang akan datang, perubahan hasil bon Perbendaharaan dan kekuatan dolar, serta sama ada pembelian institusi boleh menyokong pemulihan Bitcoin.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mesyuarat Rizab Persekutuan (Federal Reserve\/Fed, bank pusat AS) pada <strong>27\u201328 Oktober<\/strong> kekal sebagai acara dasar utama seterusnya.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pergerakan Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTCUSD)<\/strong> pulih melepasi <strong>$82,000<\/strong> apabila pedagang menilai semula hala tuju kadar faedah Fed susulan data inflasi AS yang lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan. Dalam sesi terkini, Bitcoin didagangkan pada <strong>$82,621.57<\/strong>, selepas mencecah paras terendah intraday <strong>$80,902.68<\/strong> dan paras tertinggi <strong>$82,804.75<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemulihan Bitcoin menunjukkan pembeli masih aktif walaupun tekanan faktor makroekonomi (keadaan ekonomi keseluruhan seperti inflasi, kadar faedah dan pertumbuhan). Namun, harga masih belum membentuk kenaikan yang kukuh melepasi paras tertinggi intraday baru-baru ini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Pedagang Memerhati<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IHP (CPI) utama bagi September mencecah <strong>3.7%<\/strong> tahun ke tahun, melebihi ramalan <strong>3.6%<\/strong>, manakala inflasi teras meningkat ke <strong>2.6%<\/strong>. Angka ini pada awalnya menguatkan jangkaan pengetatan dasar monetari (monetary tightening, iaitu langkah menaikkan kadar faedah dan\/atau mengurangkan rangsangan kewangan). Namun, komen terkini Pengerusi Fed <strong>Kevin Warsh<\/strong> telah mengurangkan jangkaan <strong>kenaikan kadar pada Oktober<\/strong>. Jika Fed mengekalkan kadar tidak berubah, tekanan kenaikan terhadap hasil bon Perbendaharaan boleh berkurang dan menyokong permintaan baharu untuk kripto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh recommitted to delivering price stability ahead of the central bank&#39;s Oct. 28 interest rate decision. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NOakUjwPtb\">https:\/\/t.co\/NOakUjwPtb<\/a><\/p>&mdash; USA TODAY (@USATODAY) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/USATODAY\/status\/2111155299688002000?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kedudukan institusi menambah lagi ketidakpastian. Aliran yang tidak sekata ke dalam ETF spot Bitcoin AS (ETF spot ialah dana dagangan bursa yang memegang aset asas secara langsung, bukannya kontrak hadapan), termasuk iShares Bitcoin Trust milik BlackRock, menunjukkan permintaan institusi belum cukup konsisten untuk mengimbangi tekanan pasaran yang lebih luas. Pedagang kini memantau rapat data ekonomi AS yang akan datang, perubahan hasil bon Perbendaharaan dan kekuatan dolar, serta sama ada pembelian institusi boleh mengekalkan pemulihan Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras Dagangan Utama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSD\/?exchange=CRYPTO\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Harga Bitcoin<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;oleh TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n<p>  {<\/p>\n<p>  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"calendar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"details\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_legend\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hide_volume\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"hotlist\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"interval\": \"D\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"locale\": \"en\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"save_image\": true,<\/p>\n<p>  \"style\": \"1\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"symbol\": \"CRYPTO:BTCUSD\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"theme\": \"dark\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"watchlist\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"withdateranges\": false,<\/p>\n<p>  \"compareSymbols\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",<\/p>\n<p>  \"studies\": [],<\/p>\n<p>  \"width\": 900,<\/p>\n<p>  \"height\": 500<\/p>\n<p>}<\/p>\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Paras<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Harga (USD)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Kepentingan teknikal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan 2<\/td><td>82,804.75<\/td><td>Paras tertinggi intraday yang ditunjukkan dan rujukan untuk penembusan (breakout, iaitu harga melepasi rintangan penting)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan 1<\/td><td>82,700\u201382,750<\/td><td>Puncak kenaikan baru-baru ini dan tekanan jualan<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Zon pivot<\/td><td>82,600\u201382,625<\/td><td>Kawasan pengukuhan segera (consolidation, iaitu harga bergerak dalam julat sempit)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 1<\/td><td>82,400<\/td><td>Sokongan intraday lebih awal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 2<\/td><td>82,350\u201382,375<\/td><td>Asas pemulihan setempat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 3<\/td><td>82,000<\/td><td>Sokongan psikologi (paras nombor bulat yang sering diperhatikan pasaran)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rujukan lebih rendah<\/td><td>80,902.68<\/td><td>Paras terendah sesi yang ditunjukkan<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bitcoin pulih daripada sekitar <strong>$82,350 ke arah $82,800<\/strong> sebelum susut semula ke <strong>$82,621.57<\/strong>. Rintangan terdekat Bitcoin berada antara <strong>$82,700 dan $82,750<\/strong>, iaitu kawasan kenaikan baru-baru ini berdepan tekanan jualan. Pergerakan yang kekal melepasi kawasan ini boleh membuka ruang untuk menguji semula <strong>$82,804.75<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Di bahagian bawah, <strong>$82,600<\/strong> menjadi pivot terdekat (paras rujukan untuk menilai hala tuju seterusnya). Kejatuhan di bawah paras ini boleh menjadikan <strong>$82,400<\/strong> tumpuan, diikuti kawasan pengukuhan terdahulu berhampiran <strong>$82,350<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Paras <strong>$82,000<\/strong> kekal sebagai rujukan psikologi yang penting. Paras terendah sesi <strong>$80,902.68<\/strong> lebih sesuai dilihat sebagai rujukan kejatuhan yang lebih jauh, bukan sokongan yang hampir untuk diuji.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Susun Atur Bullish dan Bearish<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad594efdd582.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pencetus<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sasaran berpotensi<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Implikasi pasaran<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pemulihan bullish<\/td><td>Kekal di atas $82,600<\/td><td>$82,700<\/td><td>Pembeli kembali menguasai hala tuju jangka pendek<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Penembusan bullish<\/td><td>Pergerakan yang kekal di atas $82,750<\/td><td>$82,804.75<\/td><td>Ujian semula paras tertinggi sesi yang ditunjukkan<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Penolakan bearish<\/td><td>Gagal mendapatkan semula $82,700<\/td><td>$82,600<\/td><td>Momentum pemulihan melemah<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Penurunan bearish<\/td><td>Pecah di bawah $82,600<\/td><td>$82,400\u2013$82,350<\/td><td>Zon sokongan terdahulu kembali menjadi tumpuan<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario bullish bergantung pada Bitcoin mengekalkan sokongan sekitar <strong>$82,600<\/strong> dan mendapatkan semula kawasan rintangan <strong>$82,700<\/strong>. Pergerakan melepasi <strong>$82,750<\/strong> dengan volum yang lebih kukuh (jumlah dagangan) boleh membuka laluan ke <strong>$82,804.75<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jika Bitcoin berulang kali gagal pulih melepasi <strong>$82,700<\/strong>, senario bearish boleh terbentuk. Penjual boleh menolak harga kembali ke arah <strong>$82,600<\/strong>. Penurunan yang disahkan (confirmed breakdown, iaitu penembusan ke bawah yang kekal) akan mengalihkan perhatian kepada <strong>$82,400<\/strong> dan julat pengukuhan terdahulu sekitar <strong>$82,350<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Penafian<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Paras harga dan senario pasaran di atas ialah penilaian penulis pada masa artikel ini ditulis. Ia bukan nasihat kewangan atau saranan rasmi daripada VT Markets. Pedagang perlu membuat analisis sendiri dan mengurus risiko dengan teliti.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ramalan Bitcoin: Apa Seterusnya?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hala tuju Bitcoin dalam tempoh terdekat bergantung pada sama ada jangkaan yang semakin reda terhadap kenaikan kadar Fed mampu mengimbangi kebimbangan inflasi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perubahan ini boleh memberi sokongan kepada Bitcoin jika hasil bon Perbendaharaan menjadi stabil dan dolar melemah. Permintaan institusi yang lebih baik serta pemulihan aliran masuk ETF spot Bitcoin boleh mengukuhkan momentum bullish. Sebaliknya, data ekonomi yang lebih kukuh atau tekanan inflasi yang kembali meningkat boleh menaikkan hasil bon dan melemahkan minat terhadap kripto. Aliran keluar ETF yang berterusan juga boleh mengehadkan kemampuan Bitcoin untuk mengekalkan pemulihan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mesyuarat Fed pada <strong>27\u201328 Oktober<\/strong> kekal sebagai acara dasar utama seterusnya, dengan pasaran semakin menilai kemungkinan Fed berehat seketika (pause, iaitu tidak menaikkan kadar) sebelum pengetatan lanjut pada hujung tahun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dagangkan Bitcoin dengan VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kepekaan Bitcoin terhadap data inflasi, jangkaan kadar faedah dan aliran institusi membuka peluang untuk pedagang menilai senario pasaran bullish dan bearish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dengan VT Markets, pedagang boleh mengakses BTCUSD melalui CFD kripto (contract for difference\/kontrak perbezaan, iaitu produk derivatif yang membolehkan anda membuat untung atau rugi berdasarkan perubahan harga tanpa memiliki Bitcoin sebenar). Platform dagangan VT Markets menyediakan carta masa nyata, penunjuk teknikal dan alat pengurusan pesanan untuk membantu pedagang memantau pergerakan pasaran serta mengurus pendedahan (exposure, iaitu tahap risiko kepada pergerakan harga).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Soalan Lazim<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Bitcoin naik walaupun inflasi AS lebih tinggi?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemulihan Bitcoin mencerminkan perubahan jangkaan terhadap dasar Fed. Walaupun inflasi yang lebih tinggi pada awalnya meningkatkan kebimbangan kenaikan kadar, kenyataan berhati-hati daripada pegawai Fed telah mengurangkan jangkaan pengetatan segera, lalu memberi sedikit sokongan kepada aset yang sensitif kepada risiko (risk-sensitive assets, iaitu aset yang mudah berubah apabila sentimen risiko pasaran berubah).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bagaimana kadar faedah Fed mempengaruhi Bitcoin?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kadar faedah yang lebih tinggi boleh menaikkan hasil bon Perbendaharaan dan mengukuhkan dolar AS, menjadikan aset sensitif risiko seperti Bitcoin kurang menarik. Jangkaan kadar yang lebih rendah boleh menyokong permintaan kripto, namun hubungannya tidak semestinya konsisten pada setiap masa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apakah paras rintangan terdekat Bitcoin?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Paras rintangan berada antara $82,700 dan $82,750. Penembusan yang kekal boleh menjadikan paras tertinggi intraday $82,804.75 tumpuan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apakah paras sokongan utama Bitcoin?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sokongan terdekat berada sekitar $82,600, diikuti $82,400 dan $82,350. Paras psikologi $82,000 menjadi rujukan penurunan yang lebih luas jika tekanan jualan meningkat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bolehkah Bitcoin mencecah $83,000 selepas ini?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bitcoin boleh menghampiri $83,000 jika momentum belian bertambah kukuh dan harga menembusi melepasi $82,804.75.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apakah yang patut dipantau pedagang Bitcoin selepas ini?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pedagang boleh memantau data inflasi AS, komunikasi Fed (kenyataan dan ucapan pegawai), hasil bon Perbendaharaan, pergerakan dolar dan aliran ETF spot Bitcoin. Faktor ini boleh mempengaruhi hala tuju Bitcoin menjelang keputusan dasar Oktober.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin pulih ke $82,622 walau CPI AS 3.7% dan inflasi teras 2.6% kekal panas. Aliran ETF spot tak menentu, yield tinggi dan mesyuarat Fed 27\u201328 Okt jadi tumpuan.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69730,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69731","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin pulih ke $82,622 walau CPI AS 3.7% dan inflasi teras 2.6% kekal panas. 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