{"id":69481,"date":"2026-10-13T02:53:38","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T02:53:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/gold-struggles-below-4200-as-cpi-and-ppi-could-trigger-the-next-big-move\/"},"modified":"2026-10-13T02:53:38","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T02:53:38","slug":"gold-struggles-below-4200-as-cpi-and-ppi-could-trigger-the-next-big-move","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/analysis\/gold-struggles-below-4200-as-cpi-and-ppi-could-trigger-the-next-big-move\/","title":{"rendered":"Emas Bergelut di Bawah AS$4,200 ketika CPI dan PPI Berpotensi Mencetuskan Pergerakan Besar Seterusnya"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/goldrice-1-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-71062\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Perkara Utama<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Emas (XAUUSD, iaitu harga emas berbanding dolar AS) diniagakan sekitar $4,155.50, turun 0.38%, apabila tekanan jualan mengekalkan harga di bawah paras psikologi $4,200 (paras bulat yang sering jadi tumpuan pasaran).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dolar AS yang lebih kukuh dan hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS (Treasury yields, iaitu pulangan bon kerajaan AS) yang tinggi terus menekan emas, kerana emas tidak memberi faedah\/hasil (\u201cnon-yielding\u201d, maksudnya tidak membayar kupon atau dividen).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Harga minyak melebihi $100 setong meningkatkan kebimbangan inflasi, lalu menaikkan jangkaan bahawa Rizab Persekutuan (Federal Reserve\/Fed, bank pusat AS) boleh mengekalkan kadar faedah yang tinggi untuk tempoh lebih lama.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Inflasi utama AS (headline CPI, ukuran inflasi keseluruhan) dijangka meningkat kira-kira 3.6% tahun ke tahun pada September, menjadikan fokus kembali kepada inflasi dan hala tuju kadar faedah.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Data CPI AS pada 14 Oktober dan PPI pada 15 Oktober boleh menentukan hala tuju emas seterusnya; inflasi lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan berpotensi memanjangkan penurunan, manakala bacaan lebih rendah boleh menyokong pemulihan.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pergerakan Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pada Isnin, emas susut kira-kira 0.6% kepada <strong>$4,169.10 setiap auns<\/strong>, memadam kenaikan awal apabila dolar mengukuh dan kebimbangan inflasi kembali. Tekanan jualan berterusan, dengan XAUUSD pada <strong>$4,155.50<\/strong>, turun <strong>$15.99 atau 0.38%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dalam sesi dagangan terbaru, emas diniagakan <strong>melebihi $4,160<\/strong> sebelum pulih ke arah <strong>$4,168\u2013$4,170<\/strong>. Namun pemulihan itu kehilangan tenaga, menyebabkan harga jatuh <strong>ke sekitar $4,153<\/strong>. Selepas penurunan, emas cuba stabil <strong>berhampiran $4,155\u2013$4,157<\/strong>, tetapi minat belian kekal terhad. Purata bergerak jangka pendek (moving average, purata harga dalam tempoh tertentu untuk melihat arah trend) juga mendatar, menandakan pergerakan mendatar (consolidation) dan bukannya pemulihan yang jelas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pergerakan ini menunjukkan pasaran masih sukar memulihkan momentum kenaikan, dengan pedagang memberi tumpuan sama ada data inflasi akan mengukuhkan dolar atau membuka ruang lantunan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Pedagang Memberi Tumpuan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dua laporan inflasi AS yang akan datang boleh menentukan sama ada emas meneruskan penurunan atau mula pulih. <strong>Indeks Harga Pengguna (CPI)<\/strong>, dijadualkan pada Rabu, 14 Oktober, dijangka menunjukkan inflasi utama meningkat kira-kira <strong>3.6%<\/strong> tahun ke tahun pada September. <strong>Indeks Harga Pengeluar (PPI)<\/strong>, dijadualkan pada Khamis, 15 Oktober, memberi gambaran tekanan kos di peringkat perniagaan (harga yang dibayar\/dikenakan oleh pengeluar). Kedua-duanya boleh memberi kesan besar kepada harga emas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Harga minyak <strong>melebihi $100<\/strong> setong turut memainkan peranan penting. Walaupun ketidakstabilan geopolitik boleh menaikkan permintaan \u201caset selamat\u201d (safe-haven, aset yang biasanya dicari ketika pasaran berisiko) seperti emas, kenaikan minyak juga boleh menguatkan jangkaan dasar monetari lebih ketat (tighter monetary policy, iaitu kadar faedah tinggi\/kurang rangsangan). Ini mewujudkan tekanan bertentangan untuk emas, apabila permintaan aset selamat mungkin diimbangi oleh dolar lebih kuat dan hasil bon lebih tinggi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold held a loss as the spreading conflict in the Middle East stoked fears that further energy supply disruptions could keep inflation elevated and increase the prospects for interest-rate hikes <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/C5h4OcGTMe\">https:\/\/t.co\/C5h4OcGTMe<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2109800083394863198?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 13, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras Dagangan Utama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/GOLD\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">GOLD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:GOLD\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Paras<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Harga<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Kepentingan teknikal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan 2<\/td><td>$4,230<\/td><td>Had atas zon pemulihan<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan 1<\/td><td>$4,200<\/td><td>Paras psikologi dan paras pemulihan penting<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan terdekat<\/td><td>$4,170\u2013$4,175<\/td><td>Julat dagangan terbaru dan zon berpotensi berlaku jualan<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Harga semasa<\/td><td>$4,155.50<\/td><td>Rujukan carta<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 1<\/td><td>$4,150<\/td><td>Paras ke bawah terdekat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 2<\/td><td>$4,100<\/td><td>Sokongan psikologi utama seterusnya<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jika harga bergerak dan kekal di bawah <strong>$4,150<\/strong>, ini menunjukkan momentum menurun (bearish, kecenderungan harga untuk jatuh) masih menguasai pasaran dan boleh membuka ruang ke arah <strong>$4,100<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sebaliknya, emas perlu pulih <strong>melepasi $4,170\u2013$4,175<\/strong> sebelum menguji $4,200. Jika berjaya menembusi dan kekal <strong>di atas $4,200<\/strong> dengan momentum yang semakin baik, tumpuan boleh beralih kepada $4,230.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Susun Atur Bullish dan Bearish<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acd94e2345af.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pencetus utama<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sasaran harga berpotensi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bullish (harga cenderung naik)<\/td><td>CPI atau PPI lebih rendah daripada jangkaan melemahkan dolar AS, manakala emas bertahan di $4,150 dan menembusi $4,170\u2013$4,175.<\/td><td>$4,200, diikuti $4,230<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bearish (harga cenderung turun)<\/td><td>Inflasi lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan menguatkan dolar AS dan hasil bon Perbendaharaan, menolak emas di bawah $4,150.<\/td><td>$4,100<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemulihan bullish boleh berlaku jika inflasi AS yang lebih perlahan mengurangkan jangkaan Fed akan terus mengetatkan dasar (tough\/ketatkan, maksudnya kekalkan\/naikkan kadar faedah), membolehkan emas mengumpul semula momentum <strong>di atas $4,170\u2013$4,175<\/strong> dan berpotensi menguji $4,200.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Namun, tekanan bearish boleh meningkat jika CPI dan PPI melebihi jangkaan, menyokong dolar dan menolak XAUUSD <strong>di bawah $4,150 ke arah $4,100<\/strong>. Dengan emas kini sekitar $4,155.50 pada carta, data inflasi yang bakal diumumkan boleh menentukan sama ada harga stabil atau meneruskan penurunan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Penafian<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Paras harga dan senario pasaran di atas ialah penilaian penulis ketika artikel ini ditulis. Ia bukan nasihat kewangan atau cadangan rasmi daripada VT Markets. Pedagang perlu membuat analisis sendiri dan mengurus risiko dengan teliti.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ramalan Emas: Apa Yang Boleh Menggerakkan Harga?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bacaan CPI dan PPI yang lebih rendah daripada jangkaan boleh menaikkan emas dengan melemahkan dolar AS dan menurunkan hasil bon Perbendaharaan, sekali gus memberi ruang untuk XAUUSD pulih. Ketegangan geopolitik yang meningkat dan permintaan aset selamat yang lebih tinggi juga boleh menyokong harga emas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sebaliknya, inflasi yang lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan boleh menekan emas kerana mengukuhkan jangkaan Fed yang lebih tegas (hawkish, cenderung mengetatkan dasar dengan kadar faedah tinggi) dan mengekalkan kadar faedah pada paras tinggi. Dolar AS yang lebih kukuh, hasil bon yang meningkat serta kebimbangan inflasi berterusan akibat harga minyak melebihi $100 setong boleh menambah tekanan jualan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dagangkan CFD Emas dengan VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emas kekal antara pasaran yang paling dipantau apabila pedagang menilai perubahan jangkaan inflasi, hala tuju kadar faedah dan sentimen risiko global (risk sentiment, tahap selera pasaran terhadap risiko).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dengan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a>, pedagang boleh memantau pergerakan XAUUSD bersama USDX (indeks dolar AS), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">forex<\/a> (pertukaran mata wang), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">indeks<\/a> dan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/markets\/\">pasaran CFD global lain<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Platform ini menyediakan alat untuk memantau pergerakan harga, menganalisis carta dan menjejak paras teknikal utama apabila keadaan pasaran berubah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Dagangkan CFD Emas dengan VT Markets?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CFD emas (Contract for Difference, kontrak yang menjejaki perubahan harga tanpa memiliki emas fizikal) membolehkan pedagang mengambil peluang daripada turun naik harga emas tanpa menyimpan emas sebenar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fleksibiliti ini membolehkan pedagang melihat bagaimana emas bertindak balas terhadap pemacu pasaran utama, termasuk data inflasi, jangkaan dasar bank pusat dan pergerakan dolar AS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dengan VT Markets, pedagang boleh mengakses pergerakan harga emas bersama pasaran CFD lain melalui satu akaun dagangan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Soalan Lazim (FAQ)<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa emas jatuh di bawah $4,200?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emas ditekan oleh dolar AS yang lebih kukuh, hasil bon Perbendaharaan yang tinggi, serta kebimbangan inflasi yang berterusan boleh mendorong Fed mengekalkan dasar monetari ketat (restrictive, kadar faedah tinggi\/kurang rangsangan). Keadaan ini boleh mengurangkan permintaan terhadap aset yang tidak memberi hasil seperti emas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Adakah harga emas akan naik selepas data CPI AS?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emas boleh naik jika CPI lebih rendah daripada jangkaan dan menyebabkan dolar melemah atau hasil bon menurun. Namun, bacaan inflasi yang lebih tinggi boleh memanjangkan tekanan jualan, terutama jika pasaran meningkatkan jangkaan kenaikan kadar faedah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bilakah data CPI dan PPI AS akan dikeluarkan?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Laporan CPI AS bagi September dijadualkan pada 14 Oktober 2026, manakala PPI pada 15 Oktober 2026. Kedua-duanya dijadualkan pada 8:30 pagi Waktu Timur (Eastern Time) AS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bolehkah emas jatuh ke arah $4,100?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emas boleh bergerak ke arah $4,100 jika harga menembusi di bawah $4,150 dan tekanan jualan berterusan. Inflasi AS yang lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan, dolar yang meningkat atau hasil bon yang lebih tinggi boleh menyumbang kepada penurunan tersebut.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emas XAUUSD susut ke $4,155 bawah $4,200 ketika dolar dan hasil bon AS melonjak. Minyak $100 cetus risiko inflasi; tumpuan kini pada CPI\/PPI AS penentu hala tuju seterusnya.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69480,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69481","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Emas XAUUSD susut ke $4,155 bawah $4,200 ketika dolar dan hasil bon AS melonjak. 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