{"id":69305,"date":"2026-10-08T06:53:44","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T06:53:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T06:53:44","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T06:53:44","slug":"nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/analysis\/nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Nikkei 225 Lanjutkan Rentetan Kerugian ketika Harga Minyak dan Kebimbangan Kadar Faedah Membebani Saham Jepun"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac714dbae53b.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Perkara Utama<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Nikkei 225 diniagakan sekitar <strong>69,520<\/strong>, turun 0.23%, apabila indeks ini masih sukar mendapatkan semula momentum di bawah paras 70,000.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Harga minyak dan risiko inflasi menjejaskan sentimen. Kebergantungan Jepun kepada import tenaga dari Timur Tengah meningkatkan kebimbangan terhadap pendapatan syarikat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Haluan kadar faedah Bank of Japan (BoJ) yang tidak menentu menambah tekanan kepada indeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS yang tinggi (pulangan bon kerajaan AS) serta jangkaan dasar Rizab Persekutuan (Fed) yang lebih ketat menyumbang kepada selera risiko global yang lebih lemah.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paras <strong>sokongan 69,500<\/strong> menjadi tumpuan, manakala pemulihan <strong>melepasi 69,600<\/strong> boleh memperbaiki gambaran teknikal jangka pendek.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pergerakan Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nikkei 225 kembali menerima tekanan jualan apabila pelabur menilai semula prospek ekonomi Jepun dalam keadaan kos tenaga yang meningkat, dasar kewangan yang semakin ketat dan ketidaktentuan geopolitik. Indeks kini diniagakan sekitar<strong> 69,520.97<\/strong>, turun 157 mata atau 0.23%. Paras tertinggi sesi ialah 70,011.97 dan paras terendah 69,236.97. Nikkei sebelum ini pulih dari sekitar 69,370, naik menghampiri 69,600 sebelum kehilangan momentum dan gagal membuat kenaikan yang kekal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pergerakan harga terkini menunjukkan indeks berlegar <strong>sedikit di atas 69,500<\/strong>, menjadikan kawasan ini sokongan segera yang penting. Jika jatuh di bawahnya, indeks boleh menguji <strong>zon 69,450\u201369,400<\/strong>. Jika pulih ke arah <strong>69,600<\/strong>, ini memberi isyarat sentimen jangka pendek semakin baik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Pedagang Memerhati<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Penurunan terbaru berlaku susulan pengambilan untung (menjual untuk mengunci keuntungan) dalam saham teknologi dan semikonduktor Jepun. Advantest, Tokyo Electron dan Kioxia antara yang terjejas pada penurunan Rabu apabila pelabur mengurangkan pendedahan selepas kenaikan sebelum ini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kenaikan harga minyak kekal menjadi kebimbangan utama. Minyak mentah Brent diniagakan <strong>melebihi AS$100<\/strong> setong susulan gangguan bekalan di Timur Tengah. Jepun mengimport kira-kira 94% minyak mentahnya dari Timur Tengah, menyebabkan perniagaan domestik terdedah kepada perubahan harga tenaga. Kos yang lebih tinggi boleh menekan margin keuntungan (bezanya antara hasil jualan dan kos), khususnya bagi pengeluar, syarikat penerbangan dan pengangkutan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Japanese stocks fell for a second day, tracking a Wall Street selloff as persistently high oil prices revived inflation concerns and weighed on equities near record highs <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bb8p32PWhX\">https:\/\/t.co\/bb8p32PWhX<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2108022120902959431?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Haluan kadar faedah BoJ yang tidak menentu turut menambah tekanan. Inflasi pengguna teras Tokyo meningkat kepada 2.7% pada September, mengukuhkan jangkaan BoJ boleh menaikkan kadar faedah. Kos pinjaman yang lebih tinggi boleh mengurangkan pelaburan perniagaan dan menekan penilaian saham (nilai harga saham berdasarkan jangkaan keuntungan). Pada masa sama, hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS yang tinggi dan jangkaan dasar Fed yang lebih ketat menyumbang kepada selera risiko global yang lemah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras Dagangan Utama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-NIKKEI225\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Carta NIKKEI225<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;oleh TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:NIKKEI225\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Paras<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Kawasan<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Kepentingan teknikal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69,600<\/td><td>Rintangan segera<\/td><td>Kawasan paras tinggi intrahari (dalam hari) yang berulang dan beberapa kenaikan gagal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69,550<\/td><td>Rintangan jangka terdekat<\/td><td>Kawasan lantunan terkini yang menunjukkan momentum menaik semakin lemah<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69,500<\/td><td>Sokongan segera<\/td><td>Paras psikologi (angka bulat yang sering diperhatikan) dan kawasan harga berlegar<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69,450<\/td><td>Sokongan kedua<\/td><td>Kawasan reaksi harga intrahari sebelum ini<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69,400<\/td><td>Sokongan lebih rendah<\/td><td>Zon pemulihan awal dan satu lagi paras angka bulat penting<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nikkei 225 kini diniagakan hampir <strong>69,520<\/strong>, iaitu antara sokongan segera 69,500 dan rintangan sekitar 69,550. Purata bergerak 9 tempoh (purata harga bagi 9 tempoh dagangan untuk melihat arah trend) mula mendatar selepas kenaikan sebelum ini, menandakan momentum menaik semakin pudar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jika indeks kekal menembusi <strong>69,550<\/strong>, laluan boleh terbuka untuk menguji semula<strong> 69,600<\/strong>. Namun, jika 69,500 gagal bertahan, indeks boleh susut ke arah 69,450 dan seterusnya 69,400.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Susun Atur Bullish dan Bearish<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac714dd49d50.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pencetus<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pergerakan harga berpotensi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Penembusan menaik (bullish breakout)<\/td><td>Pecah dan kekal di atas 69,550<\/td><td>Boleh mendorong pergerakan ke 69,600 jika momentum belian meningkat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pemulihan menaik (bullish recovery)<\/td><td>Lantunan dari 69,500<\/td><td>Pembeli mungkin cuba mendapatkan semula 69,550 sambil mempertahankan sokongan segera<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pecah jatuh (bearish breakdown)<\/td><td>Pergerakan berterusan di bawah 69,500<\/td><td>Boleh mendedahkan 69,450, kemudian 69,400<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Jualan berterusan<\/td><td>Pecah di bawah 69,400<\/td><td>Boleh meningkatkan tekanan turun ke arah paras rendah yang kelihatan berhampiran 69,370<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario menaik memerlukan pembeli mempertahankan 69,500 dan menolak indeks dengan jelas melepasi rintangan segera. Jumlah dagangan belian yang lebih tinggi (volume, iaitu bilangan transaksi) menguatkan isyarat tersebut. Sebaliknya, jika indeks pecah di bawah 69,500, terutama apabila aktiviti jualan meningkat, ini boleh menandakan penjual kembali menguasai pergerakan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Penafian<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Paras harga dan senario pasaran di atas ialah penilaian penulis pada masa penerbitan. Ia bukan nasihat kewangan atau saranan rasmi VT Markets. Pedagang perlu membuat analisis sendiri dan mengurus risiko dengan teliti.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ramalan Nikkei 225: Pemacu Utama?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nikkei 225 boleh menerima tekanan penurunan tambahan jika ketegangan Timur Tengah meningkat dan harga minyak mentah terus naik. Kos tenaga yang lebih tinggi akan menaikkan perbelanjaan operasi syarikat Jepun dan boleh melemahkan jangkaan pendapatan syarikat. Kenaikan kadar faedah lanjut oleh BoJ juga boleh menekan sentimen. Inflasi yang berpanjangan, bersama kos pinjaman yang lebih tinggi, boleh melemahkan pelaburan dan menekan saham.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sebaliknya, Nikkei boleh pulih jika harga minyak susut atau inflasi kembali stabil. Pendekatan pengetatan dasar kewangan yang lebih perlahan oleh BoJ boleh menyokong keyakinan pelabur. Permintaan baharu terhadap saham teknologi dan semikonduktor juga boleh menjadi sokongan. Pendapatan syarikat yang kukuh atau pemulihan lebih luas dalam saham global boleh menarik semula minat ke pasaran saham Jepun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dagang Nikkei 225 dengan VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pedagang yang mahu mengikuti pergerakan pasaran saham Jepun boleh mengakses CFD indeks Nikkei 225 melalui VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dagangan indeks<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cfd-shares\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> CFD<\/a> membolehkan pedagang membuat posisi ketika harga naik atau turun tanpa memiliki saham sebenar. CFD (kontrak untuk perbezaan) ialah perjanjian untuk membayar perbezaan harga antara masa buka dan tutup dagangan. Melalui platform VT Markets, pedagang boleh memantau pasaran, menggunakan penunjuk teknikal (alat kiraan pada carta untuk membantu baca trend) dan mengurus posisi dengan alat pengurusan risiko seperti henti rugi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Nikkei 225 jatuh?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nikkei 225 tertekan akibat kenaikan harga minyak, kebimbangan kadar faedah Jepun dan AS, serta aktiviti pengambilan untung dalam saham teknologi dan semikonduktor utama. Ketidaktentuan geopolitik turut melemahkan sentimen pelabur global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bolehkah Nikkei 225 pulih melepasi 70,000?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemulihan melepasi 70,000 masih berpotensi jika harga minyak stabil, kebimbangan kadar faedah reda dan permintaan terhadap saham Jepun bertambah baik. Namun, indeks perlu mengatasi rintangan lebih hampir dahulu, termasuk 69,550 dan 69,600.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bagaimana harga minyak mempengaruhi Nikkei 225?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jepun sangat bergantung pada import tenaga. Harga minyak yang naik boleh meningkatkan kos pengeluaran dan pengangkutan, menekan margin keuntungan syarikat, dan menyumbang kepada inflasi. Tekanan ini biasanya melemahkan sentimen terhadap saham Jepun, walaupun syarikat berkaitan tenaga mungkin mendapat manfaat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bagaimana Bank of Japan mempengaruhi Nikkei 225?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">BoJ mempengaruhi pasaran saham melalui keputusan kadar faedah dan hala tuju dasar kewangan. Kadar faedah lebih tinggi boleh menaikkan kos pembiayaan dan menekan penilaian saham, manakala dasar yang kurang ketat boleh menyokong harga saham.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nikkei 225 susut 0.23% ke 69,520, gagal kekal di bawah 70,000. Minyak Brent >AS$100, risiko inflasi dan ketidaktentuan BoJ\/Fed menekan sentimen; sokongan 69,500 kritikal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69304,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69305","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nikkei 225 susut 0.23% ke 69,520, gagal kekal di bawah 70,000. 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