{"id":69150,"date":"2026-10-06T02:53:39","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T02:53:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/euro-rebounds-despite-lingering-french-debt-risks\/"},"modified":"2026-10-06T02:53:39","modified_gmt":"2026-10-06T02:53:39","slug":"euro-rebounds-despite-lingering-french-debt-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/analysis\/euro-rebounds-despite-lingering-french-debt-risks\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro Melantun Semula Walaupun Risiko Hutang Perancis Masih Berterusan"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac4607e0a698.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Perkara Utama<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>EURUSD melantun semula daripada <strong>1.12134<\/strong> dan kini menguji <strong>rintangan<\/strong> (paras harga yang sukar ditembusi ke atas) berhampiran <strong>1.12300<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>1.12250 dan 1.12200<\/strong> ialah paras <strong>sokongan<\/strong> utama (paras harga yang cenderung menahan penurunan) jika lantunan ini mula kehilangan momentum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pembeli kembali menguasai pergerakan jangka sangat pendek selepas pasangan ini naik semula melepasi <strong>1.12200<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS<\/strong> (pulangan\/\u201cyield\u201d bon kerajaan AS) dan jangkaan terhadap Fed kekal pemacu utama pergerakan dolar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Kebimbangan fiskal Perancis dan risiko hutang zon euro terus menekan prospek euro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pergerakan Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD mengukuh dalam sesi intrahari terkini, meningkat daripada paras rendah <strong>1.12134<\/strong> kepada sekitar <strong>1.12297<\/strong>. Selepas lonjakan awal, EURUSD bergerak mendatar (konsolidasi) sekitar <strong>1.12250 hingga 1.12270<\/strong> sebelum naik semula. Pergerakan terbaru menghampiri <strong>1.12300<\/strong>, sekali gus hampir dengan paras tertinggi intrahari.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ujian seterusnya ialah sama ada pembeli mampu mengekalkan momentum ini dan menembusi <strong>1.12300<\/strong> dengan jelas. Jika gagal, pasangan ini boleh kembali susut, terutama jika hasil bon AS kekal tinggi atau kebimbangan terhadap kedudukan kewangan kerajaan Eropah bertambah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Pedagang Memerhati<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemulihan jangka pendek ini berlaku ketika latar yang lebih mencabar untuk euro. Kebimbangan terhadap kewangan awam Perancis menekan sentimen euro, manakala hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS yang tinggi terus menyokong dolar. Tekanan ini menyukarkan lantunan EURUSD untuk kekal walaupun jangkaan Fed untuk terus mengetatkan dasar semakin berkurang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The euro sank to a 17-month low after government borrowing costs jumped, especially in France. Laura Cooper of Nuveen told Reuters that markets are reflecting worries that none of the candidates in France&#39;s upcoming election are willing to rein in spending <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bLpXSeB3DZ\">pic.twitter.com\/bLpXSeB3DZ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2107080864425463998?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 5, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Namun, carta terkini menunjukkan pembeli kembali menguasai pergerakan jangka sangat pendek. Kenaikan melepasi <strong>1.12200<\/strong>, diikuti konsolidasi di atas <strong>purata bergerak 9 tempoh<\/strong> (moving average: purata harga bagi 9 batang masa\/\u201ccandlestick\u201d terakhir, digunakan untuk menilai arah aliran), memberi isyarat tekanan jualan buat sementara waktu berkurang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras Dagangan Utama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/EURUSD\/?exchange=OANDA\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">EURUSD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"OANDA:EURUSD\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Paras<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zon<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Kepentingan Teknikal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1.123<\/td><td>Rintangan terdekat<\/td><td>Paras psikologi (angka bulat yang lazim diberi perhatian) sedikit di atas harga semasa dan hampir paras tinggi sesi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1.12298<\/td><td>Paras tinggi intrahari<\/td><td>Harga tertinggi yang ditunjukkan pada carta<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1.1225<\/td><td>Paras penentu jangka pendek (pivot)<\/td><td>Zon konsolidasi selepas penembusan sekitar 04:00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1.122<\/td><td>Sokongan awal<\/td><td>Zon penembusan terdahulu dan paras psikologi jangka pendek<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1.1215<\/td><td>Sokongan kedua<\/td><td>Zon yang kerap didagangkan sebelum penembusan<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1.12134<\/td><td>Paras rendah intrahari<\/td><td>Harga terendah direkodkan dalam sesi yang dipaparkan<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD menghampiri zon rintangan jangka pendek sekitar <strong>1.12300<\/strong>, sedikit di atas paras tinggi sesi pada <strong>1.12298<\/strong>. Jika harga mampu menembusi dan kekal di atas zon ini, ia boleh menandakan lantunan sedang bersambung. Di sebelah bawah, <strong>1.12250<\/strong> ialah zon awal untuk dipantau kerana kawasan ini menjadi tempat harga bergerak mendatar selepas penembusan sebelumnya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Di bawahnya, <strong>1.12200<\/strong> menjadi sokongan penting jangka pendek dan juga zon penembusan terdahulu. Jika harga jatuh menembusi paras ini, tumpuan boleh beralih kepada <strong>1.12150<\/strong>, diikuti paras rendah intrahari <strong>1.12134<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tetapan Bullish dan Bearish<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac4607f6dabd.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tetapan<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pencetus<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pengesahan \/ Zon Seterusnya<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bullish (cenderung naik)<\/td><td>Menembusi dan kekal di atas 1.12300<\/td><td>Harga kekal di atas purata bergerak 9 tempoh yang meningkat, dengan volum lebih kukuh menyokong kenaikan seterusnya.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Penarikan balik (pullback)<\/td><td>Susut ke arah 1.12250<\/td><td>Pembeli mempertahankan zon konsolidasi dan harga kekal di atas purata bergerak yang meningkat, mengekalkan struktur intrahari yang masih positif.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bearish (cenderung turun)<\/td><td>Menembusi bawah 1.12200<\/td><td>Kehilangan zon penembusan boleh membuka ruang ke 1.12150, diikuti paras rendah sesi 1.12134.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Untuk senario bullish, pergerakan yang disahkan melepasi <strong>1.12300<\/strong> menunjukkan pembeli benar-benar meneruskan penembusan, bukan sekadar menguji rintangan. Isyarat ini lebih kukuh jika <strong>volum<\/strong> (jumlah dagangan) meningkat seiring kenaikan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario bearish pula muncul jika harga jatuh menembusi <strong>1.12200<\/strong>. Ini melemahkan lantunan semasa dan memberi petunjuk penjual kembali menguasai, dengan potensi hala tuju ke <strong>1.12150<\/strong> dan paras rendah sesi <strong>1.12134<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Penafian<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Paras harga dan senario pasaran di atas ialah penilaian penulis pada masa penerbitan. Ia bukan nasihat kewangan atau cadangan rasmi daripada VT Markets. Pedagang perlu membuat analisis sendiri dan mengurus risiko dengan teliti.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ramalan EURUSD: Pemacu Utama Seterusnya?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD boleh meneruskan pemulihan jika hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS menurun, dolar hilang momentum dan jangkaan Fed untuk terus mengetatkan dasar semakin pudar. Data inflasi AS atau data pasaran pekerjaan yang lebih lembut turut menyokong pandangan ini, manakala tanda kestabilan dalam pasaran bon Eropah juga boleh membantu euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Di sebelah bawah, EURUSD boleh kembali tertekan jika hasil bon AS kekal tinggi, pegawai Fed menolak jangkaan pelonggaran dasar, atau data AS lebih kukuh daripada jangkaan. Kebimbangan berterusan terhadap kedudukan fiskal Perancis dan risiko hutang zon euro juga boleh menekan mata wang itu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Buat masa ini, pasangan ini sangat sensitif kepada keseimbangan antara <strong>jangkaan kadar faedah AS<\/strong> (hala tuju kadar faedah yang dijangka pasaran) dan <strong>keyakinan terhadap fiskal zon euro<\/strong> (tahap kepercayaan pelabur terhadap kedudukan kewangan kerajaan di Eropah). Faktor ini boleh menentukan sama ada pemulihan intrahari berkembang menjadi lantunan EURUSD yang lebih berpanjangan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Berdagang EURUSD dengan VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD ialah antara pasangan pertukaran asing paling aktif didagangkan di dunia, memberi pendedahan kepada perubahan jangkaan terhadap Bank Pusat Eropah (ECB), Rizab Persekutuan AS (Fed), inflasi, pertumbuhan ekonomi dan sentimen risiko global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dengan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets,<\/a> pedagang boleh memantau pergerakan harga EURUSD, menganalisis trend teknikal dan mengurus posisi melalui platform termasuk <strong>MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5 dan Aplikasi VT Markets<\/strong> (platform dagangan untuk membuka\/menutup posisi serta melihat carta).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apakah hala tuju EURUSD hari ini?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD menunjukkan pemulihan jangka pendek selepas melantun daripada paras rendah intrahari. Momentum bertambah baik, namun hala tuju lebih besar masih bergantung kepada hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS, jangkaan terhadap Fed dan keyakinan terhadap ekonomi zon euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa EURUSD naik?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lantunan terbaru mencerminkan permintaan euro yang pulih dan momentum dolar yang sedikit reda. Jangkaan yang lebih lembut terhadap pengetatan dasar monetari AS boleh menyokong EURUSD, namun hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS yang masih tinggi boleh mengehadkan kenaikan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD kini bullish atau bearish?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kecenderungan jangka pendek adalah sedikit bullish berdasarkan pergerakan harga terkini. Namun, arah keseluruhan masih sensitif kepada perkembangan makroekonomi, khususnya perubahan jangkaan kadar faedah AS dan isu fiskal Eropah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apakah faktor yang mempengaruhi euro berbanding dolar AS?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemacu utama EURUSD termasuk jangkaan dasar ECB dan Fed, hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS, inflasi zon euro, kebimbangan hutang Perancis, data ekonomi dan sentimen risiko pasaran (tahap kesediaan pelabur mengambil risiko).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa kebimbangan hutang Perancis penting untuk EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kebimbangan terhadap kedudukan fiskal Perancis boleh melemahkan keyakinan terhadap euro, terutama jika kos pinjaman kerajaan meningkat atau pelabur lebih berhati-hati terhadap risiko hutang zon euro. Ini boleh menambah tekanan kepada EURUSD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bolehkah EURUSD terus pulih?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pemulihan lanjut mungkin berlaku jika hasil bon AS menurun, dolar melemah dan kebimbangan terhadap keadaan hutang Eropah reda. Kekuatan dolar yang kembali meningkat atau isu fiskal zon euro yang bertambah buruk boleh mengehadkan lantunan.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EURUSD melantun dari 1.12134, kini menguji rintangan 1.12300\u2014adakah ini penembusan sebenar? Sokongan 1.12250\/1.12200 kritikal, dengan hasil bon AS, jangkaan Fed dan risiko fiskal Perancis menekan euro.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69149,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EURUSD melantun dari 1.12134, kini menguji rintangan 1.12300\u2014adakah ini penembusan sebenar? 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