{"id":69143,"date":"2026-10-05T07:05:36","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T07:05:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/nas100-tests-31000-as-weak-nfp-cuts-fed-hike-bets\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T07:05:36","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T07:05:36","slug":"nas100-tests-31000-as-weak-nfp-cuts-fed-hike-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/analysis\/nas100-tests-31000-as-weak-nfp-cuts-fed-hike-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"NAS100 Uji Paras 31,000 apabila NFP Lemah Kurangkan Pertaruhan Kenaikan Kadar Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/nas100.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69933\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perkara Utama<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls, iaitu pertambahan pekerjaan baharu di AS selain sektor pertanian) bagi September hanya <strong>+29K<\/strong> berbanding jangkaan <strong>+90K<\/strong>; data Ogos disemak turun kepada <strong>+133K<\/strong> daripada +162K.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Kadar pengangguran meningkat kepada <strong>4.2%<\/strong> daripada 4.1%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Kebarangkalian Fed menaikkan kadar faedah pada Oktober turun kepada sekitar <strong>22.7%<\/strong>, daripada 64.2% seminggu sebelumnya.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nasdaq Composite (indeks pasaran saham yang menjejaki banyak saham tersenarai di Nasdaq) naik <strong>1.19%<\/strong> pada Jumaat untuk ditutup pada <strong>27,190.86<\/strong>. Nvidia meningkat kira-kira 1.3% manakala Tesla melonjak 4.7%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pemangkin seterusnya (faktor yang boleh menggerakkan pasaran) termasuk <strong>data inflasi AS<\/strong> dan kenyataan Fed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pergerakan Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NAS100 didagangkan pada <strong>30,853.50<\/strong>, naik 25.20 mata atau 0.08% berbanding penutupan sebelumnya <strong>30,828.30<\/strong>. Harga dibuka pada <strong>30,869.21<\/strong> dan bergerak dalam julat sesi antara paras tertinggi <strong>31,013.25<\/strong> dan terendah <strong>30,828.25<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pada carta tick (carta pergerakan harga yang memaparkan setiap perubahan kecil), harga sedang mendatar sekitar 30,850\u201330,860, dengan beberapa cubaan untuk naik. Kenaikan ke arah 30,880 cepat berpatah balik, manakala pembeli muncul selepas penurunan awal ke sekitar 30,830. NAS100 kini diniagakan hampir, dan sedikit di bawah, purata bergerak 9 tempoh (moving average, iaitu purata harga untuk beberapa tempoh bagi menunjukkan arah aliran), menandakan momentum jangka pendek lebih perlahan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Pedagang Memerhati<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Laporan pekerjaan September yang lemah, dengan pertambahan pekerjaan <strong>29K<\/strong> dan pengangguran naik ke <strong>4.2%<\/strong>, mengurangkan peluang Fed menaikkan kadar pada Oktober kepada sekitar <strong>22.7%<\/strong> daripada <strong>64.2%<\/strong> seminggu lalu. Jangkaan kadar faedah yang lebih rendah biasanya menyokong saham teknologi dan saham pertumbuhan (saham syarikat yang dijangka berkembang pantas), kerana penilaian (valuation, iaitu anggaran nilai syarikat di pasaran) sensitif terhadap kos pinjaman. <strong>Nasdaq Composite<\/strong> naik <strong>1.19%<\/strong> untuk ditutup pada <strong>27,190.86<\/strong>, dipacu Tesla dan Nvidia\u2014contoh jelas kesan tersebut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The U.S. economy created far fewer jobs than expected in September, pointing to a surprising soft spot in the labor market and broader economy.<br><br>Nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 29,000 for the month while the unemployment rate increased to 4.2%, the Bureau of Labor\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0Ezz21OVH6\">pic.twitter.com\/0Ezz21OVH6<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2106005311475581366?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Persoalan utama ialah sama ada ini perubahan berterusan atau sekadar reaksi sehari. Pasaran buruh yang semakin \u201csejuk\u201d menyokong hujah Fed boleh bersabar, tetapi data inflasi AS dan kenyataan Fed boleh mengubah pandangan itu dengan cepat. Sebab itu pedagang memantau data AS yang akan datang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras Dagangan Penting<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/CAPITALCOM-NAS100\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">NAS100 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"CAPITALCOM:NAS100\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Paras<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Harga<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Jenis<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Maksudnya<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan<\/td><td>31,000<\/td><td>Nombor bulat, berhampiran paras tinggi hari ini 30,966.7<\/td><td>Penutupan harian di atas paras ini mengesahkan penembusan (breakout, iaitu harga melepasi rintangan dengan lebih kukuh)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Titik pivot<\/td><td>30,800<\/td><td>Paras tinggi Jun dan harga semasa<\/td><td>Kekal di atasnya bermakna pembeli masih menguasai<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan<\/td><td>30,000<\/td><td>Paras psikologi (paras nombor bulat yang sering jadi tumpuan), asas pergerakan mendatar awal Oktober<\/td><td>Kawasan awal untuk dipantau jika berlaku pembetulan (pullback, iaitu harga susut sementara dalam aliran menaik)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan utama<\/td><td>29,000<\/td><td>Paras rendah dalam julat Ogos\u2013September<\/td><td>Jika tembus, ia menandakan perubahan struktur yang lebih besar<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Indeks meningkat secara beransur-ansur sejak awal Ogos, tetapi volum (jumlah dagangan) kekal sederhana, tidak melonjak. Ini menjadikan pengesahan penting berhampiran rintangan. Pedagang mungkin menunggu penutupan harian di atas <strong>31,000<\/strong> sebelum menganggap pergerakan ini sebagai penembusan, dan memerhati <strong>30,000<\/strong> untuk melihat sama ada pembeli mempertahankan aliran jika harga berundur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Susunan Bullish dan Bearish<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac34713b5a64.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Susunan<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pencetus<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pengesahan<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bullish (bias menaik)<\/td><td>Penutupan harian di atas 31,000<\/td><td>Momentum kuat, data inflasi AS lebih rendah (lebih \u201csejuk\u201d)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pullback (pembetulan sementara)<\/td><td>Susut ke arah 30,800 atau 30,000<\/td><td>Harga kekal di paras sokongan dan aliran utama masih utuh<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bearish (bias menurun)<\/td><td>Penutupan harian di bawah 30,000<\/td><td>Data inflasi tinggi atau kenyataan Fed lebih \u201chawkish\u201d (cenderung mahu kadar faedah lebih tinggi\/kekal ketat)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Penutupan harian di atas <strong>31,000<\/strong> akan mengukuhkan pandangan menaik, terutama jika data inflasi AS yang lebih rendah mengekalkan jangkaan kenaikan kadar pada tahap rendah. Susut ke arah <strong>30,800<\/strong> masih boleh dianggap sebagai pembetulan dalam aliran yang lebih besar jika pembeli mempertahankan paras itu, manakala pergerakan lebih dalam ke <strong>30,000<\/strong> akan menguji sokongan yang lebih kuat. Penutupan harian di bawah <strong>30,000<\/strong>, khususnya jika disertai data inflasi tinggi atau kenyataan Fed yang hawkish, akan melemahkan struktur semasa dan meningkatkan risiko penurunan yang lebih luas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Penafian<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Paras harga dan senario pasaran di atas ialah penilaian penulis ketika artikel ditulis. Ia bukan nasihat kewangan atau saranan rasmi daripada VT Markets. Pedagang perlu buat analisis sendiri dan urus risiko dengan teliti.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ramalan NAS100<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bias jangka dekat kekal berhati-hati tetapi cenderung menaik selagi NAS100 bertahan di atas 30,000. Data inflasi AS yang lebih rendah atau kenyataan Fed yang \u201cdovish\u201d (lebih cenderung melonggarkan dasar\/kurang agresif menaikkan kadar) akan mengukuhkan pandangan menolak kenaikan kadar, manakala kekuatan berterusan saham seperti Nvidia dan Tesla boleh mengangkat indeks keseluruhan. Penutupan harian di atas <strong>31,000<\/strong> akan mengesahkan penembusan dan boleh menarik pembeli yang mengejar momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dari sudut penurunan, bacaan inflasi yang tinggi atau kenyataan Fed yang hawkish boleh dengan cepat menghidupkan semula jangkaan kenaikan kadar. Kelemahan pasaran buruh juga boleh menjadi risiko jika pelabur mula melihatnya sebagai tanda pertumbuhan perlahan, bukan isyarat dasar monetari lebih longgar, sekali gus mengurangkan sokongan kepada saham teknologi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Data inflasi AS kekal faktor utama yang boleh mengubah arah. Angka yang lebih rendah boleh membantu indeks kekal di atas <strong>30,800<\/strong> dan bergerak ke arah <strong>31,000<\/strong>, manakala inflasi yang tinggi boleh menolak indeks ke arah <strong>30,000<\/strong> dan berpotensi <strong>29,000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dagangkan NAS100 dengan VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NAS100 biasanya lebih aktif apabila jangkaan kadar faedah Fed dan selera risiko global (risk appetite, iaitu kecenderungan pelabur mengambil risiko) bergerak seiring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dengan VT Markets, pedagang boleh mengakses CFD NAS100 (CFD, kontrak perbezaan\u2014produk dagangan yang membolehkan anda membuat spekulasi harga naik atau turun tanpa memiliki aset) bersama SP500, DJ30, forex (pertukaran mata wang), emas, minyak, saham, ETF (dana dagangan bursa, iaitu dana yang didagangkan seperti saham), dan pasaran CFD global lain dalam satu platform. Ini memudahkan pedagang menjejaki Nasdaq 100 sambil memantau pergerakan berkaitan seperti saham mega-cap teknologi (syarikat bernilai pasaran sangat besar), dolar AS, hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS (Treasury yields, iaitu pulangan bon kerajaan AS), dan sentimen saham yang lebih luas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gunakan alat carta VT Markets untuk memantau sokongan, rintangan, purata bergerak, dan corak penembusan apabila susunan dagangan NAS100 seterusnya terbentuk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Mengapa Nasdaq naik selepas laporan NFP?<\/strong> Data pekerjaan yang lemah mengurangkan jangkaan kenaikan kadar Fed pada Oktober, yang biasanya menyokong saham teknologi dan saham pertumbuhan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Apakah keputusan NFP September?<\/strong> +29K berbanding jangkaan +90K, dengan kadar pengangguran meningkat kepada 4.2% daripada 4.1%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Apakah paras penting NAS100 untuk dipantau?<\/strong> Rintangan sekitar 31,000, dengan sokongan pada 30,000 dan kemudian 29,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Apa yang boleh menggerakkan Nasdaq selepas ini?<\/strong> Data inflasi AS dan kenyataan Fed, yang akan menentukan sama ada pasaran terus menolak kemungkinan kenaikan kadar pada Oktober.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kejutan NFP lemah (+29K) melonjakkan Nasdaq, sementara odds kenaikan kadar Fed Oktober merosot ke 22.7%. NAS100 mendatar; fokus penembusan 31,000. Pemangkin: inflasi AS, nada Fed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69142,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Kejutan NFP lemah (+29K) melonjakkan Nasdaq, sementara odds kenaikan kadar Fed Oktober merosot ke 22.7%. NAS100 mendatar; fokus penembusan 31,000. 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