{"id":69140,"date":"2026-10-05T06:54:19","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T06:54:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/week-ahead-weak-us-jobs-shift-fed-outlook-as-gold-usd-and-sp-500-react\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T06:54:19","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T06:54:19","slug":"week-ahead-weak-us-jobs-shift-fed-outlook-as-gold-usd-and-sp-500-react","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/featured\/week-ahead-weak-us-jobs-shift-fed-outlook-as-gold-usd-and-sp-500-react\/","title":{"rendered":"Minggu Hadapan: Pasaran Buruh AS yang Lemah Ubah Jangkaan Terhadap Fed apabila Emas, USD dan S&#038;P 500 Bertindak Balas"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Copy-of-discover-12-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69906\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Gambaran Keseluruhan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) AS September\u2014iaitu jumlah pekerjaan baharu di luar sektor pertanian\u2014hanya naik 29,000, manakala kadar pengangguran meningkat ke 4.2%. Ini menyebabkan jangkaan pasaran terhadap satu lagi kenaikan kadar faedah Rizab Persekutuan (Fed) pada Oktober merosot ketara.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pergerakan awal selepas NFP tidak kekal di semua pasaran. Hasil (yield) bon Perbendaharaan AS melonjak semula, lalu menekan emas dan Bitcoin untuk susut daripada kenaikan awal, manakala saham AS lebih stabil.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Indeks Dolar AS (US Dollar Index\/USDX atau DXY\u2014ukuran kekuatan dolar berbanding bakul mata wang utama) kekal sensitif kepada perubahan jangkaan kadar. EURUSD dan GBPUSD boleh mendapat manfaat jika jualan dolar berterusan.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pedagang akan memerhati aktiviti sektor perkhidmatan AS, minit mesyuarat Fed, serta pergerakan yield bon AS. Ucapan Gabenor Bank of Japan (BOJ) Kazuo Ueda juga penting untuk petunjuk hala tuju USDJPY.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jangkaan Kenaikan Kadar Fed Menurun<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Minggu penuh pertama Oktober bermula dengan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/5-steps-to-trade-forex-on-news-releases\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pasaran menyesuaikan diri<\/a> kepada data buruh AS yang jauh lebih lemah. NFP September meningkat hanya 29,000, jauh di bawah jangkaan 90,000. Kadar pengangguran naik daripada 4.1% kepada 4.2%, manakala purata pendapatan sejam (average hourly earnings\u2014ukuran pertumbuhan gaji) naik hanya 0.1% bulan ke bulan. Semakan data (revisions\u2014pembetulan angka bulan lalu) turut melemahkan gambaran sebelum ini. Pertumbuhan pekerjaan Ogos disemak turun daripada 162,000 kepada 133,000, manakala semakan bagi Julai dan Ogos secara gabungan mengurangkan 60,000 pekerjaan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Laporan ini meneruskan perubahan yang sudah bermula lebih awal minggu itu. Kekosongan jawatan (job openings\u2014bilangan jawatan kosong) AS jatuh 256,000 kepada 7.079 juta, manakala inflasi PCE yang lebih lembut (PCE inflation\u2014ukuran inflasi pilihan Fed berdasarkan perbelanjaan pengguna) mengurangkan tekanan kepada Fed untuk segera menaikkan kadar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bond traders pared back their expectations for another Federal Reserve interest-rate hike this month on indications of weakness in the US labor market <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/19EPODQqGQ\">https:\/\/t.co\/19EPODQqGQ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2106044101430804728?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jangkaan pasaran berubah pantas. Kebarangkalian kenaikan kadar Fed pada Oktober sebelum ini hampir 70% pada awal minggu lalu. Ia turun ke sekitar 38% apabila data lebih lemah muncul, kemudian merosot kepada kira-kira 22% selepas laporan pekerjaan Jumaat. Kini pasaran menilai sama ada kelemahan data buruh mampu mengekalkan jangkaan kadar yang rendah, sedangkan inflasi, harga minyak, dan yield bon Perbendaharaan jangka panjang kekal tinggi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFP Ubah Jangkaan Kadar, Tetapi Yield Menyukarkan Reaksi<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Data pekerjaan yang lemah mengurangkan jangkaan pengetatan dasar monetari (monetary tightening\u2014kadar faedah dinaikkan untuk mengekang inflasi). Yield bon Perbendaharaan pada awalnya jatuh dan dolar AS melemah, manakala emas, Bitcoin dan saham AS meningkat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Namun, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/how-to-read-the-10-year-treasury-yield-chart\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">yield bon Perbendaharaan 10 tahun<\/a> (penanda aras kos pinjaman jangka panjang AS) turun ke sekitar 5.16% selepas NFP sebelum berpatah balik naik semula kemudian. Pelabur kembali memberi perhatian kepada risiko inflasi, harga minyak yang tinggi, serta kebimbangan tentang hutang kerajaan dan bekalan bon Perbendaharaan (Treasury supply\u2014jumlah bon yang diterbitkan kerajaan).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Why surging Treasury yields don\u2019t signal a U.S. &#39;fiscal apocalypse&#39; \u2014 yet <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gBzhgst2KH\">https:\/\/t.co\/gBzhgst2KH<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2106931289680916646?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 5, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ini menghasilkan situasi bercampur. Pasaran semakin kurang yakin Fed akan menaikkan kadar lagi pada Oktober, tetapi pelabur masih bimbang inflasi dalam jangka lebih panjang. Jika jangkaan kadar Fed jangka pendek kekal lebih \u201cdovish\u201d (dovish\u2014cenderung tidak menaikkan kadar), tetapi yield jangka panjang kekal tinggi, dolar mungkin sukar mendapat sokongan meluas. Pada masa sama, aset sensitif kepada kadar seperti emas dan saham teknologi masih boleh tertekan apabila yield melonjak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dolar AS Diuji Selepas Penetapan Harga Semula Pasca-NFP<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Indeks Dolar AS turun daripada sekitar 102.00 kepada kira-kira 101.66 sejurus selepas laporan pekerjaan apabila pedagang mengurangkan jangkaan kenaikan kadar Oktober. Indeks kemudian pulih ke sekitar 101.92 apabila yield melantun, namun masih di bawah paras sebelum NFP. Perbezaan kadar faedah relatif, jangkaan pertumbuhan AS, permintaan \u201csafe haven\u201d (safe haven\u2014aset\/mata wang yang dicari ketika pasaran berisiko), serta yield jangka panjang <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/why-does-dxy-rise-in-uncertain-markets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">terus mempengaruhi hala tuju<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The dollar fell to a session low on Friday after a report showed the US added fewer jobs than expected in September, leading traders to trim bets the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/y1IM1GpVd1\">https:\/\/t.co\/y1IM1GpVd1<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2106076790728847776?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX sudah menembusi paras tinggi ayunan (swing high\u2014paras puncak terdahulu) 101.473, namun laporan ini masih cenderung kepada kemungkinan penurunan semula. Pergerakan ke arah <strong>101.00<\/strong> akan mengembalikan kawalan kepada penjual. Jika indeks terus naik, <strong>102.55<\/strong> menjadi kawasan seterusnya untuk diperhati bagi reaksi menurun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hala tuju dolar turut mempengaruhi pasangan FX utama (FX\u2014pasaran pertukaran mata wang asing). EURUSD masih tertekan tetapi boleh cuba pulih, dengan <strong>1.1350<\/strong> sebagai kawasan kenaikan terawal untuk dipantau. Jika jualan berterusan dahulu, <strong>1.1200 hingga 1.1150<\/strong> ialah zon sokongan (support\u2014kawasan harga yang sering menahan kejatuhan) di bawah. GBPUSD juga mencatat paras rendah baharu minggu lalu. Struktur lebih besar masih membuka ruang pemulihan ke <strong>1.3380<\/strong>, namun harga boleh memecah bawah <strong>1.31393<\/strong> sebelum lantunan lebih kukuh berlaku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emas Disokong Jangkaan Fed, Tetapi Ditekan Oleh Yield<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold Rises as Softer-Than-Expected Inflation Data Tempers Rate-Hike Bets <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CLcXGmwcKF\">https:\/\/t.co\/CLcXGmwcKF<\/a><\/p>&mdash; WSJ Markets (@WSJmarkets) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WSJmarkets\/status\/2106925391101219173?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 5, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/xau-usd-trading-a-beginners-guide-to-gold-vs-us-dollar\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Emas<\/a> pada awalnya melonjak selepas laporan pekerjaan yang lemah. Logam itu naik daripada sekitar <strong>$4,185 ke atas $4,227<\/strong> apabila yield dan dolar jatuh. Ini mencerminkan kos peluang (opportunity cost\u2014\u201ckerugian peluang\u201d apabila memegang aset yang tidak beri pulangan faedah) yang lebih rendah untuk memegang aset tanpa hasil (non-yielding asset\u2014aset seperti emas yang tidak bayar faedah), serta latar dolar yang lebih lemah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Namun, kenaikan tidak bertahan. Apabila yield melantun, emas berpatah balik dengan ketara dan jatuh ke kawasan <strong>$4,125 hingga $4,140<\/strong>. Emas kini terperangkap antara dua kuasa. Jangkaan lebih rendah untuk kenaikan kadar Fed dalam masa terdekat menyokong emas, tetapi yield jangka panjang yang kekal tinggi menekan kerana meningkatkan kos peluang memegang emas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dari sudut teknikal (technical\u2014analisis berdasarkan carta harga), <strong>$4,280<\/strong> ialah kawasan atas utama untuk dipantau jika emas mendatar (consolidate\u2014bergerak dalam julat sempit) dan melantun. Paras ini kurang relevan jika harga terlebih dahulu memecah bawah <strong>$4,111.31<\/strong>. Jika jualan berlanjutan, laporan ini mengenal pasti <strong>$4,080<\/strong> sebagai kawasan seterusnya yang berpotensi memunculkan belian.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P 500 Menerima Baik Penurunan Risiko Kenaikan Kadar<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Saham AS bertindak lebih positif terhadap perubahan jangkaan Fed. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/sp-500-trading-guide\/\">S&amp;P 500<\/a> melonjak daripada sekitar <strong>7,675 ke atas 7,750<\/strong> selepas NFP. Ia kemudian memadam sebahagian kenaikan tetapi ditutup sekitar <strong>7,720<\/strong>, masih lebih tinggi berbanding sebelum data. Indeks naik sekitar <strong>0.7% pada Jumaat<\/strong>, manakala Nasdaq meningkat kira-kira <strong>1.2%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">US stocks recovered from early losses to close slightly higher, with the S&amp;P 500 bouncing from a two-week low as a global bond selloff reversed course after sending US Treasury yields to multi-decade highs. Lisa Bernhard reports <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Kqd3P9o0WL\">https:\/\/t.co\/Kqd3P9o0WL<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/8D05e2hjSA\">pic.twitter.com\/8D05e2hjSA<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2105809990854615068?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Reaksi ini menunjukkan pelabur ekuiti masih melihat pertumbuhan pekerjaan yang perlahan sebagai sokongan selagi kelembapan kekal terkawal. Data pekerjaan lemah boleh membantu saham apabila ia mengurangkan peluang pengetatan lanjut tanpa memberi isyarat kepada kemelesetan mendadak. Jika pasaran buruh merosot lebih cepat, tumpuan boleh beralih kepada perbelanjaan isi rumah dan keuntungan syarikat yang lebih lemah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Buat masa ini, S&amp;P 500 terus menunjukkan tindak balas positif di sekitar <strong>7,635<\/strong>. Jika pergerakan mendatar berterusan, indeks boleh menguji paras lebih tinggi semula. Pedagang wajar memerhati yield; lonjakan semula yield jangka panjang boleh menekan penilaian saham, terutama saham pertumbuhan (growth shares\u2014syarikat yang dinilai berdasarkan pertumbuhan masa depan) yang sensitif kepada kadar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin Memadam Kenaikan Pasca-NFP<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/what-is-bitcoin-a-beginners-guide-to-bitcoin-trading\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BTCUSD<\/a> diniagakan sekitar <strong>$87,165<\/strong>, naik kira-kira 2.5% sekitar pembukaan pasaran AS, dan seketika menghampiri <strong>$87,220<\/strong> selepas laporan pekerjaan. Pergerakan itu kemudian berundur kuat apabila Bitcoin jatuh semula ke sekitar <strong>$84,000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Berbeza dengan saham, Bitcoin tidak menghasilkan pendapatan (earnings\u2014keuntungan syarikat) yang boleh dinilai semula melalui kadar faedah. Hubungannya dengan dasar Fed lebih melalui kecairan (liquidity\u2014wang mudah dalam sistem kewangan), dolar, dan selera risiko (risk appetite\u2014kesanggupan pelabur mengambil risiko). Jangkaan kadar lebih rendah boleh melonggarkan keadaan kewangan dan mendorong pelabur membeli aset lebih berisiko. Namun, pembalikan Jumaat menunjukkan jangkaan Fed yang lebih mudah sahaja tidak cukup untuk mengekalkan kenaikan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Struktur teknikal kekal penting selepas BTC mendapat sokongan sekitar <strong>$82,085<\/strong>. Jika Bitcoin turun lagi, <strong>$78,450<\/strong> dan <strong>$76,450<\/strong> ialah kawasan seterusnya yang berpotensi memunculkan belian.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDJPY Beralih Fokus Kepada Bank of Japan<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yen menambah satu lagi tema bank pusat minggu ini. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/a-complete-guide-to-vt-markets-forex-trading\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">USDJPY<\/a> menghampiri <strong>158.75<\/strong> sebelum bergerak lebih rendah dan kembali mendatar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The yen weakened against the dollar after a summary of opinions from the Bank of Japan\u2019s September meeting disappointed investors looking for signs that policymakers may be preparing for another move this month <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1OPs0LXqrO\">https:\/\/t.co\/1OPs0LXqrO<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2105518070613586358?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tumpuan kini beralih kepada Gabenor BOJ Kazuo Ueda yang dijadual berucap pada Selasa. Pedagang akan menilai komen beliau untuk petunjuk laluan kadar BOJ, terutama selepas Jepun mempercepat pengetatan dasar berikutan inflasi berterusan dan yen yang lemah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bagi USDJPY, <strong>155.85<\/strong> ialah kawasan bawah terawal untuk dipantau jika pasangan ini melemah. Jika harga pula melonjak, <strong>160.25<\/strong> menjadi rintangan (resistance\u2014kawasan harga yang sering menahan kenaikan) utama. Ujian zon ini boleh menarik perhatian kerana kedudukannya di atas julat terkini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Simbol Utama Untuk Dipantau<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">XAUUSD | USDX | SP500 | BTCUSD | USDJPY<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Peristiwa Akan Datang<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tarikh<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mata wang<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Peristiwa<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Unjuran<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sebelum<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ulasan penganalisis<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5 Okt<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>ISM Services PMI<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">55.1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">55.4<\/td><td>Aktiviti perkhidmatan boleh menunjukkan sama ada pertumbuhan pekerjaan yang lemah mencerminkan kelembapan ekonomi yang lebih meluas. Komponen pekerjaan dan harga perlu diberi perhatian.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6 Okt<\/td><td>JPY<\/td><td>Gabenor BOJ Ueda Berucap<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td>Perhatikan panduan mengenai inflasi, yen, dan masa bagi pengetatan BOJ seterusnya.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8 Okt<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>Minit Mesyuarat FOMC<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td>Fokus pada bagaimana pembuat dasar menilai risiko inflasi dan hujah untuk pengetatan lanjut pada mesyuarat September.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pergerakan Utama Minggu Ini<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">XAUUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac31bed7c2a5.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Jika emas terus bergerak mendatar, cari isyarat penurunan (bearish price action\u2014tanda harga cenderung turun) di 4280. Jangan gunakan kawasan ini jika harga terlebih dahulu memecah 4111.31 sebelum menguji 4280.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jika harga bergerak lebih rendah, cari isyarat belian (bullish price action\u2014tanda harga cenderung naik) di 4080.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDX<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac31bef5d3a9.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selepas menembusi swing high 101.473, USDX dijangka bergerak lebih rendah.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selepas NFP menunjukkan pasaran kerja yang lebih lemah, USDX dijangka turun tetapi penurunan tidak berterusan. Pantau pergerakan Isnin untuk melihat sama ada penjual muncul. Jika ya, perhatikan 101.00.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jika harga naik, cari isyarat penurunan di 102.55.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">SP500<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac31bf129086.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>SP500 sekali lagi meningkat dari kawasan 7635 yang dipantau.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jika harga mendatar seterusnya, SP500 boleh bergerak lebih tinggi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">BTCUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bitcoin-image-1024x576.png\" alt=\"bitcoin trading chart\" class=\"wp-image-69924\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>BTC mendapat sokongan di kawasan 82085 yang dipantau.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jika BTC turun, cari isyarat belian di 78450 atau 76450.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDJPY<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac31bf45c06f.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDJPY menghampiri 158.75 dan kemudian turun, menyebabkan harga perlu mendatar lagi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jika harga turun, pantau pergerakan harga di 155.85.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jika harga meningkat lagi, cari isyarat penurunan di 160.25. Kawasan ini penting untuk USDJPY.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kesimpulan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa dolar AS jatuh selepas laporan NFP September?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dolar AS pada awalnya melemah kerana NFP September meningkat hanya 29,000, jauh di bawah jangkaan sekitar 90,000. Kadar pengangguran juga naik daripada 4.1% kepada 4.2%. Data buruh yang lemah mengurangkan jangkaan kenaikan kadar Fed pada Oktober, sekali gus mengurangkan sokongan dolar daripada kadar faedah dalam masa terdekat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apa maksud data pekerjaan AS yang lemah untuk Fed?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Laporan pekerjaan September mengukuhkan alasan untuk Fed mengekalkan kadar tidak berubah pada mesyuarat Oktober. Jangkaan pasaran untuk satu lagi kenaikan kadar Oktober jatuh daripada sekitar 70% pada awal minggu lalu kepada kira-kira 22% selepas NFP. Namun inflasi, yield bon Perbendaharaan, dan data ekonomi yang masuk masih boleh mengubah hala tuju dasar sebelum mesyuarat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bolehkah harga emas naik minggu ini?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emas boleh disokong jika yield bon Perbendaharaan dan dolar AS menurun apabila pedagang menilai Fed kurang agresif. Namun, pergerakan Jumaat menunjukkan jangkaan kenaikan kadar yang lebih rendah sahaja mungkin tidak mencukupi. Emas naik melepasi $4,227 selepas NFP sebelum berpatah balik apabila yield pulih.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa S&amp;P 500 naik selepas data pekerjaan AS yang lemah?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P 500 pada awalnya mendapat manfaat kerana data pekerjaan yang lemah mengurangkan kebarangkalian kenaikan kadar Fed dalam masa terdekat. Kadar faedah yang dijangka lebih rendah boleh mengurangkan tekanan kepada penilaian saham. Jika pasaran buruh merosot lebih teruk, hubungan ini boleh berubah apabila pelabur lebih fokus kepada pertumbuhan dan keuntungan syarikat yang melemah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apa yang boleh menggerakkan Bitcoin minggu ini?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bitcoin sensitif kepada kecairan global, jangkaan kadar faedah AS, dolar, dan sentimen risiko. BTCUSD pada awalnya naik menghampiri $87,220 selepas NFP tetapi kemudian berpatah balik ke sekitar $84,000.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NFP AS mengecewakan: pekerjaan naik 29k, pengangguran 4.2%\u2014pasaran kini kurang yakin Fed naik kadar Oktober. Namun yield 10T melantun, menekan emas &#038; Bitcoin, sementara saham stabil; fokus ISM, minit FOMC, BOJ.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69139,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69140","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-week_ahead"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"NFP AS mengecewakan: pekerjaan naik 29k, pengangguran 4.2%\u2014pasaran kini kurang yakin Fed naik kadar Oktober. 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