{"id":68786,"date":"2026-09-17T06:12:18","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T06:12:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-rises-after-hawkish-fomc-as-boj-decision-looms\/"},"modified":"2026-09-17T06:12:18","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T06:12:18","slug":"usd-jpy-rises-after-hawkish-fomc-as-boj-decision-looms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/analysis\/usd-jpy-rises-after-hawkish-fomc-as-boj-decision-looms\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY Mengukuh Selepas FOMC Bernada Hawkish ketika Keputusan BoJ Dinantikan"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/codeZDQ4ZmYzODY4YWU4YmM5YmMwNGZiZjE5YzUyMTZmNWVfNndMMDF3Sk4zMWdVNEtrSzE5NmRyZHF3UFdnTGJUVzNfVG9rZW46TkxTaGJpVGJJb2NHcTJ4SEloWWxxMDluZ05lXzE3ODk2MjMxNzU6MTc4OTYyNjc3NV9WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Perkara Utama<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USD\/JPY meningkat menghampiri kawasan 156.00 selepas Rizab Persekutuan (Fed) menaikkan kadar faedah sebanyak 25 mata asas (0.25 mata peratusan), sekali gus menyokong dolar AS.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fed menaikkan kadar faedah penanda aras (kadar rujukan utama) kepada 4.00%, dan pasaran sudah menjangka satu lagi kenaikan kadar tahun ini.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pengerusi Fed Kevin Warsh menekankan risiko inflasi (kenaikan harga barangan dan perkhidmatan), mengukuhkan jangkaan kadar faedah AS mungkin kekal tinggi lebih lama.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pasangan ini susut daripada paras tinggi selepas mesyuarat FOMC apabila pedagang mengalihkan tumpuan kepada keputusan dasar Bank of Japan (BoJ) pada 18 September.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>USD\/JPY sedang menguji kawasan 156.00, dengan paras ini menjadi titik rujukan penting jangka pendek menjelang mesyuarat BoJ.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pergerakan Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD\/JPY diniagakan sekitar <strong>156.130<\/strong>, turun <strong>0.10%<\/strong> dalam sesi terkini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pasangan ini pada awalnya naik selepas keputusan kadar Fed yang bersifat \u201chawkish\u201d (lebih cenderung menaikkan kadar untuk mengekang inflasi), mencecah paras tertinggi harian berhampiran <strong>156.314<\/strong> sebelum tekanan jualan muncul. Susulan itu, USD\/JPY berundur ke paras rendah sesi sekitar <strong>155.875<\/strong>, menandakan aktiviti ambil untung selepas FOMC (Jawatankuasa Pasaran Terbuka Persekutuan, panel Fed yang menetapkan dasar kadar).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD\/JPY pulih daripada paras rendah harian dan kembali di atas <strong>paras psikologi 156.00<\/strong> (angka bulat yang sering menjadi tumpuan pasaran). Kini pasangan ini sedikit di atas <strong>purata bergerak 9 tempoh<\/strong> (purata harga bagi 9 tempoh dagangan terkini, digunakan untuk baca hala tuju jangka pendek), menunjukkan momentum jangka pendek kembali stabil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Pedagang Memerhati<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tumpuan kini beralih daripada keputusan kadar Fed kepada langkah dasar seterusnya oleh BoJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Langkah Fed mengukuhkan jurang kadar faedah antara AS dan Jepun, sekali gus menyokong USD\/JPY. Jika kadar AS kekal tinggi lebih lama, ia boleh terus menyokong pasangan ini, terutamanya jika hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS (pulangan bon kerajaan AS) kekal tinggi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Bank of Japan is facing its toughest call in decades.<br><br>With the yen sliding, volatility spiking and regional growth fragile, the stakes couldn&#39;t be higher. Anthony Stephens has more. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JFgDEDbPzl\">https:\/\/t.co\/JFgDEDbPzl<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lrlldykU4v\">pic.twitter.com\/lrlldykU4v<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2100415491189686454?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 17, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Namun, jangkaan BoJ akan mengetatkan dasar (mengurangkan rangsangan, biasanya melalui kenaikan kadar atau mengurangkan sokongan pasaran) boleh mengehadkan kelemahan yen. Pasaran memerhati petunjuk \u201cnormalisasi dasar\u201d (kembali kepada dasar biasa selepas tempoh kadar sangat rendah) selepas kenaikan kadar yang dijangka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras Dagangan Utama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/USDJPY\/?exchange=OANDA\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDJPY chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"OANDA:USDJPY\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Paras<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Kawasan Harga<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Kepentingan<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan 2<\/td><td>156.30\u2013156.35<\/td><td>Zon paras tertinggi harian dan halangan kenaikan terdekat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rintangan 1<\/td><td>156.2<\/td><td>Kawasan pemulihan jangka pendek<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pivot<\/td><td>156<\/td><td>Paras psikologi utama (angka bulat yang menjadi tumpuan pasaran)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 1<\/td><td>155.9<\/td><td>Kawasan paras rendah sesi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sokongan 2<\/td><td>155.5<\/td><td>Sasaran penurunan jika tekanan jualan meningkat<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD\/JPY kekal berlegar sekitar <strong>pivot 156.00<\/strong> (paras rujukan yang sering menjadi penentu hala tuju jangka pendek).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kenaikan melepasi <strong>156.30<\/strong> boleh menandakan minat belian kembali, manakala penurunan di bawah <strong>155.90<\/strong> boleh membuka ruang kepada tekanan penurunan lanjut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tetapan Bullish dan Bearish<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/codeOGFjMzEyMGI2YjczYzM0MGM1M2UzMzRiNzdhMzcyZDJfNmpBUGJBMXdwTlBCQkxNSDlUR3g1b2dsNGl1WGhQekNfVG9rZW46TkkybWJrcVBpbzVHRHJ4b1JwUWx5NHhjZ2NnXzE3ODk2MjMxODk6MTc4OTYyNjc4OV9WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Senario<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Syarat<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Arah Berpotensi<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tetapan Bullish<\/td><td>USD\/JPY kekal di atas 156.00 dan menembusi 156.30<\/td><td>Membuka laluan ke 156.80 dan 157.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tetapan Bearish<\/td><td>USD\/JPY jatuh di bawah 155.90 dengan tekanan jualan berterusan<\/td><td>Berisiko turun ke 155.50 dan 155.00<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario bullish bergantung pada USD\/JPY mengekalkan zon sokongan 156.00 selepas lantunan harga, yang dipacu kenaikan kadar Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senario bearish berlaku jika pasangan ini gagal kekal di atas <strong>156.00<\/strong> dan memecah ke bawah <strong>155.90<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ini boleh menunjukkan pedagang menjangka yen mengukuh menjelang mesyuarat BoJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Penafian<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Paras harga dan senario pasaran di atas ialah penilaian penulis pada masa penulisan. Ia bukan nasihat kewangan atau saranan rasmi daripada VT Markets. Pedagang perlu membuat analisis sendiri dan mengurus risiko dengan teliti.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ramalan USD\/JPY: Apa Seterusnya?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Paras <strong>156.00<\/strong> kekal penting untuk USD\/JPY.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jika naik melepasi <strong>156.30<\/strong>, pemulihan boleh berlanjutan ke <strong>156.80\u2013157.00<\/strong>, khususnya jika jangkaan kadar AS kekal stabil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Namun, risiko penurunan masih wujud menjelang keputusan BoJ. Jika BoJ memberi isyarat lebih \u201chawkish\u201d (cenderung kepada pengetatan dasar), jangkaan kenaikan kadar seterusnya boleh meningkat, menguatkan yen dan menekan USD\/JPY. Ini boleh menarik pasangan ini ke bawah <strong>155.90<\/strong> dan menjadikan <strong>155.50<\/strong> sasaran seterusnya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dagangkan USD\/JPY dengan VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dagangkan USD\/JPY dengan VT Markets dan akses pasaran forex dengan spread kompetitif (beza harga beli dan jual), pilihan leveraj fleksibel (dagangan menggunakan pinjaman modal untuk gandakan pendedahan), serta platform dagangan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dengan VT Markets, pedagang boleh berdagang CFD USD\/JPY (kontrak perbezaan, iaitu produk yang menjejak pergerakan harga tanpa memiliki mata wang sebenar) bersama pasangan forex lain, indeks (bakul saham penanda aras), komoditi, emas dan pasaran CFD global dalam satu platform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa Dagangkan USD\/JPY sebagai CFD?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CFD USD\/JPY membolehkan pedagang memantau pergerakan antara pasangan mata wang paling aktif didagangkan di dunia tanpa memiliki mata wang asas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ini memberi lebih pilihan apabila pasaran bertindak balas terhadap data ekonomi, keputusan bank pusat, perkembangan geopolitik dan perubahan sentimen risiko (selera pasaran terhadap aset berisiko).<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Soalan Lazim (FAQ)<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mengapa USD\/JPY naik selepas keputusan Fed?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD\/JPY meningkat selepas Fed menaikkan kadar faedah 25 mata asas dan mengekalkan nada \u201chawkish\u201d, sekali gus menyokong dolar AS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apakah paras penting untuk USD\/JPY sekarang?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Kawasan 156.00<\/strong> ialah paras utama jangka pendek. Kekal di atasnya boleh menyokong pemulihan, manakala penembusan ke bawah boleh menambah tekanan penurunan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bagaimana keputusan BoJ boleh menjejaskan USD\/JPY?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jika BoJ mengambil pendirian lebih \u201chawkish\u201d, yen boleh disokong dan USD\/JPY tertekan. Jika BoJ lebih berhati-hati tentang pengetatan seterusnya, kenaikan yen mungkin terhad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Paras apa yang patut diperhatikan pedagang untuk USD\/JPY?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pedagang memerhati <strong>156.30<\/strong> sebagai rintangan terdekat dan <strong>155.90\u2013156.00<\/strong> sebagai zon sokongan utama berdasarkan struktur carta semasa.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY menguji 156 selepas Fed naikkan kadar 25 mata asas ke 4% dan kekal hawkish. Fokus kini pada BoJ 18 Sept; penembusan 156.30 kukuhkan kenaikan, bawah 155.90 jadikan risiko turun.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68785,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68786","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD\/JPY menguji 156 selepas Fed naikkan kadar 25 mata asas ke 4% dan kekal hawkish. 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