{"id":68753,"date":"2026-09-23T10:53:56","date_gmt":"2026-09-23T10:53:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/uncategorized\/trump-xi-meeting-what-traders-need-to-watch-for-gold-usd-and-us-stocks\/"},"modified":"2026-09-23T10:53:56","modified_gmt":"2026-09-23T10:53:56","slug":"trump-xi-meeting-what-traders-need-to-watch-for-gold-usd-and-us-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/featured\/trump-xi-meeting-what-traders-need-to-watch-for-gold-usd-and-us-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Pertemuan Trump-Xi: Perkara yang Perlu Diberi Perhatian Pedagang terhadap Emas, USD dan Saham AS"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_6ab385ca71ec9.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump dan Xi bertemu pada Khamis, tetapi persoalan besar bukan sekadar sama ada mereka melanjutkan gencatan perang dagang AS-China. Yang lebih penting ialah <strong>berapa lama lanjutan itu<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wakil Perdagangan AS (USTR), Jamieson Greer, berkata Washington boleh menyokong lanjutan sekitar tiga hingga enam bulan, namun tiada persetujuan dimuktamadkan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ini membuka ruang kejutan. Dengan emas sekitar AS$4,350, dolar disokong oleh Fed yang kekal tegas (cenderung mengekalkan kadar faedah tinggi untuk membendung inflasi), dan saham AS yang mudah terkesan oleh berita AI serta perdagangan, perubahan kecil nada boleh menggerakkan pasaran hingga hujung bulan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jangkaan Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Xi tiba di Washington pada Rabu. Trump dijangka menyambutnya di Joint Base Andrews sebelum mesyuarat dua hala dan makan malam rasmi pada Khamis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jangkaan untuk kejayaan besar adalah rendah. Pasaran lebih melihat kepada lanjutan gencatan sedia ada dan dialog berterusan, bukannya perjanjian perdagangan menyeluruh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Xi rolls into Trump summit with China&#39;s trade engine roaring <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/T2Bq9NV9q8\">https:\/\/t.co\/T2Bq9NV9q8<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/T2Bq9NV9q8\">https:\/\/t.co\/T2Bq9NV9q8<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2101931950185279618?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 21, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Goldman Sachs melihat lanjutan sebagai senario asas, manakala MUFG menjangka kemajuan kecil tanpa kejayaan besar dalam isu sekatan teknologi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ini bermakna lanjutan itu sendiri mungkin tidak cukup untuk mengejutkan pasaran. <strong>Tempoh dan syarat lanjutan lebih penting.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tiga Isu Utama<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Unsur nadir (rare earths, iaitu kumpulan logam penting untuk elektronik, bateri dan industri pertahanan) kekal sebagai titik rundingan besar, terutama selepas sekatan eksport China mengganggu rantaian bekalan global (aliran bekalan bahan\/komponen dari pengeluar ke pengguna). Untuk memahami pergerakan bekalan komoditi dengan lebih menyeluruh, baca <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/commodity-trading-guide-2026-how-to-trade-commodity-markets-futures\/?utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">panduan dagangan komoditi<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>AI dan semikonduktor<\/strong> mungkin lebih besar kesannya kepada saham AS. Sebarang perubahan sekatan yang melibatkan cip canggih atau teknologi AI boleh segera menjejaskan saham semikonduktor dan Nasdaq (indeks saham yang sarat dengan syarikat teknologi).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">China&#39;s US ambassador warns on &#39;red lines&#39; ahead of Trump, Xi meeting <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/LBwFkRe2QS\">https:\/\/t.co\/LBwFkRe2QS<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/LBwFkRe2QS\">https:\/\/t.co\/LBwFkRe2QS<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2102571209363697968?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Iran juga faktor tidak menentu. China kekal pembeli penting minyak Iran, jadi perubahan pendirian Beijing boleh mempengaruhi pasaran tenaga. Lihat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/10-factors-that-affect-crude-oil-prices\/?utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">faktor yang mempengaruhi harga minyak mentah<\/a> untuk memahami bagaimana geopolitik boleh mencetus turun naik harga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Taiwan kekal sumber ketegangan, namun biasanya memerlukan perubahan besar dalam kenyataan politik untuk mencetus reaksi pasaran serta-merta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apa Yang Boleh Mengejutkan Pasaran?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lanjutan asas gencatan perang dagang mungkin sudah banyak dijangka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kejutan positif lebih besar ialah lanjutan lebih panjang, disertai kemajuan mengenai unsur nadir, pembelian pertanian, atau sekatan teknologi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">As Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in Washington, trade and AI are likely to top the agenda. What both sides want from their high-stakes summit. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CsUp8eisz7\">https:\/\/t.co\/CsUp8eisz7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2102534672542486965?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 22, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kejutan negatif ialah pertikaian baharu mengenai tarif (cukai ke atas import), semikonduktor atau eksport unsur nadir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ini mewujudkan situasi menarik. Jangkaan kejayaan besar rendah, tetapi jangkaan kestabilan berterusan agak tinggi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emas: Pantau AS$4,350<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emas diniagakan sekitar AS$4,350 dan menjadi antara pasaran paling menarik menjelang Khamis. Jika anda baru memantau logam berharga, mulakan dengan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/a-complete-beginners-guide-to-gold-trading\/?utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">panduan asas dagangan emas<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Biasanya, hubungan AS-China yang bertambah baik boleh mengurangkan permintaan aset selamat (safe-haven, iaitu aset yang dicari ketika pasaran berisiko). Kegagalan rundingan boleh memberi kesan sebaliknya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Chinese gold imports are at record levels this year, helped by a slump in international prices and a firmer yuan <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PVOx0vr2Qg\">https:\/\/t.co\/PVOx0vr2Qg<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2102246555545665588?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 22, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Namun, emas tidak sentiasa bergerak mengikut corak klasik \u201crisk-off\u201d (pelabur mengurangkan risiko dengan keluar dari aset berisiko) secara konsisten. Untuk pecahan terperinci keadaan harga semasa, rujuk <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/xauusd-price-forecast-gold-trading-analysis-charts-news\/?utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ramalan dan analisis harga XAU\/USD<\/a> (XAU\/USD ialah pasangan harga emas berbanding dolar AS).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dolar, hasil Perbendaharaan AS (Treasury yields, iaitu pulangan bon kerajaan AS) dan jangkaan dasar Fed kekal pemacu utama. Jadi pedagang perlu berhati-hati daripada menganggap sidang kemuncak yang mengecewakan semestinya menaikkan emas. Untuk melihat bagaimana emas bertahan ketika perubahan dasar wang, baca panduan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/gold-and-inflation-is-gold-really-an-inflation-hedge\/&amp;utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">emas dan inflasi<\/a>, serta <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/gold-vs-sp-500-2026-performance-comparison-investment-guide\/?utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">perbandingan Emas vs S&amp;P 500<\/a> (S&amp;P 500 ialah indeks saham utama AS).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oleh itu, reaksi sekitar <strong>AS$4,350 dan AS$4,400<\/strong> mungkin lebih penting daripada tajuk berita.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dolar AS: Jangan Lupa Fed<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dolar kekal disokong oleh pendirian Fed yang tegas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sidang kemuncak yang mengecewakan boleh mengukuhkan USD jika pasaran beralih kepada mod \u201crisk-off\u201d, manakala hasil yang lebih membina boleh mendorong sebahagian pelabur menutup posisi (unwinding, iaitu mengurangkan pegangan yang sebelum ini menyokong kenaikan dolar). Untuk strategi mengurus turun naik, baca <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/why-does-dxy-rise-in-uncertain-markets\/?utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">mengapa DXY naik ketika pasaran tidak pasti<\/a> dan pelajari <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/how-to-manage-risk-when-trading-dxy-cfds\/?utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cara urus risiko ketika berdagang CFD DXY<\/a> (CFD ialah kontrak derivatif yang menjejak pergerakan harga tanpa memiliki aset).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">China\u2019s central bank strengthened the yuan\u2019s reference rate for a fifth straight day, aiming to offset the dollar\u2019s recent gains ahead of President Xi Jinping\u2019s summit with US counterpart Donald Trump later this month <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IQQEgOo70B\">https:\/\/t.co\/IQQEgOo70B<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2099721156160786881?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 15, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Namun, dasar Fed dan hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS kekal pemacu asas yang lebih besar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Soalan penting ialah sama ada Khamis mencetuskan pergerakan USD yang benar-benar baharu, atau sekadar mempercepat trend sedia ada yang dipacu Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nasdaq: AI Mungkin Penentu<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nasdaq mungkin sangat sensitif terhadap perbincangan AI dan semikonduktor. Untuk memahami trend dagangan algoritma dan automatik (dagangan menggunakan peraturan komputer), baca analisis <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/ai-in-trading-how-its-transforming-stock-markets\/?utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AI dalam dagangan dan kesannya kepada pasaran saham<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pelonggaran sekatan teknologi boleh menyokong saham cip dan AI. Pendirian lebih keras dari mana-mana pihak boleh menekan sektor itu dengan cepat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Nasdaq reaches record high close, AI stocks rally <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/yZtwByAzBS\">https:\/\/t.co\/yZtwByAzBS<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/yZtwByAzBS\">https:\/\/t.co\/yZtwByAzBS<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2102613946800759058?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ini penting kerana indeks AS sudah memasuki sidang kemuncak dengan momentum kukuh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jika optimisme sudah \u201cdiambil kira dalam harga\u201d (priced in, iaitu pasaran sudah menjangka berita baik), perjanjian yang kelihatan positif pun boleh menghasilkan reaksi terhad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USD\/CNH: Pantau Tafsiran Pasaran<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD\/CNH boleh memberi petunjuk paling jelas tentang bagaimana pasaran menilai sidang kemuncak. Jika anda mahu berdagang pasangan mata wang, baca <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/a-complete-guide-to-vt-markets-forex-trading\/?utm_source=gemini\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">panduan lengkap dagangan forex<\/a> (forex ialah pasaran pertukaran mata wang asing).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yuan lebih kukuh dan USD\/CNH lebih rendah menunjukkan pedagang melihat hasilnya sebagai membina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD\/CNH lebih tinggi boleh menandakan kekecewaan atau kebimbangan baharu terhadap ketegangan perdagangan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Memantau USD\/CNH bersama Nasdaq boleh memberi isyarat yang lebih jelas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apa Yang Pedagang Perlu Pantau<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perkara utama adalah mudah:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"1\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Gencatan perdagangan:<\/strong> Tiga bulan, enam bulan atau lebih lama?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Unsur nadir:<\/strong> Ada komitmen eksport baharu?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Semikonduktor:<\/strong> Ada perubahan pada sekatan AS?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AI:<\/strong> Kerjasama bertambah atau sekatan bertambah?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Tarif:<\/strong> Ada tanda ketegangan meningkat atau reda?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Iran:<\/strong> Adakah pendirian China berubah?<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Paling penting, lihat reaksi pasaran selepas berita keluar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pengumuman positif tetapi saham jatuh atau yuan melemah menunjukkan pedagang tidak yakin. Perjanjian sederhana tetapi saham mengukuh dan yuan mengukuh menunjukkan butirannya lebih baik daripada jangkaan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kesimpulan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Khamis tidak perlu menghasilkan perjanjian besar untuk menggerakkan pasaran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lanjutan gencatan sedia ada sudah dijangka, jadi <strong>tempoh dan syarat lanjutan itu mungkin lebih penting daripada pengumuman itu sendiri<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Untuk emas, pantau AS$4,350 dan AS$4,400.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Untuk saham AS, pantau berita AI dan semikonduktor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Untuk reaksi segera pasaran, pantau USD\/CNH dan Nasdaq bersama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Soalan Lazim (FAQ)<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1) Apakah jangkaan utama untuk sidang kemuncak Trump-Xi?<\/strong> Jangkaan utama ialah lanjutan gencatan perang dagang AS-China, kemungkinan tiga hingga enam bulan, bersama dialog berterusan dan bukan perjanjian besar yang menyeluruh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>2) Bagaimana pasaran emas bertindak menjelang sidang kemuncak?<\/strong> Emas diniagakan sekitar AS$4,350 ketika pasaran menimbang ketegangan geopolitik berbanding dasar bank pusat. Walaupun hubungan diplomatik yang lebih baik biasanya mengurangkan permintaan aset selamat, emas tidak semestinya mengikut corak \u201crisk-off\u201d secara ketat pada 2026. Paras AS$4,350 dan AS$4,400 penting untuk dipantau.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>3) Mengapa AI dan semikonduktor penting untuk Nasdaq semasa mesyuarat ini?<\/strong> Saham AS dan indeks teknologi seperti Nasdaq sangat peka terhadap isu sekatan teknologi. Pelonggaran peraturan perdagangan bagi cip canggih atau AI boleh mengangkat saham semikonduktor, manakala sekatan lebih ketat boleh menekan sektor itu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>4) Apakah peranan Dolar AS semasa mesyuarat ini?<\/strong> Dolar AS terutama dipacu oleh dasar Fed yang tegas dan hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS. Sidang kemuncak yang mengecewakan boleh menguatkan dolar untuk jangka pendek jika pasaran beralih kepada \u201crisk-off\u201d, tetapi pemacu utama tetap dasar Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>5) Mengapa USD\/CNH penting untuk dipantau selepas berita keluar?<\/strong> USD\/CNH memberi isyarat jelas tentang tafsiran pasaran. USD\/CNH lebih rendah bermaksud yuan lebih kukuh dan pasaran melihat hasil sidang kemuncak sebagai positif. USD\/CNH lebih tinggi menunjukkan kekecewaan atau ketegangan perdagangan kembali meningkat.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Mula berdagang sekarang \u2014 klik <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/ms-asia\/trade-now\/\">di sini<\/a> untuk membuat akaun sebenar VT Markets anda.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pasaran bersiap sedia: sidang Trump-Xi mungkin hanya lanjutkan gencatan dagang\u2014isu sebenar tempohnya. Pantau unsur nadir, AI\/cip, Iran. 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