Vietnam is urged by the US to lessen Chinese tech dependence during ongoing tariff negotiations and restructuring

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jun 16, 2025

    The United States is urging Vietnam to decrease its dependency on Chinese technology. This is part of ongoing tariff discussions between the two nations, with an aim to reform supply chains. This move would help lessen US reliance on Chinese components.

    The focus is on speeding up the US’s shift away from Chinese technology while boosting Vietnam’s manufacturing capabilities. Vietnam is a hub for major companies like Apple, Meta, and Google, though it often relies on Chinese-made components.

    Reducing Dependence On Chinese Products

    Reducing dependence on Chinese high-tech products is a priority for the US. Additionally, the US is urging Vietnam to take stronger action against origin washing practices amid rising tariffs. Vietnam had been subject to initial 46% tariffs since April, with negotiations ongoing until 8 July.

    To unpack what’s happening here, the United States is pressing Vietnam to limit its use of Chinese hardware and technology, particularly in exports that eventually land in American markets. This is partly to prevent Chinese goods from slipping into the US under the guise of being from Vietnam—what’s often called “origin washing”. By tightening oversight, Washington hopes to shut loopholes that undermine tariffs placed on goods made in China. These conversations come as tariffs set back in April—initially at 46%—remain temporary, ahead of a potential policy reset scheduled for 8 July.

    This puts Vietnam in a tight spot, given its increasingly important role in producing and assembling electronics for some of the biggest global tech firms. While its factories churn out phones, headsets, and components for names like Apple and Google, many of those items still draw heavily on parts made across the border. That makes supply-chain scrutiny tougher and leaves space for potentially risky overlaps. From Washington’s point of view, the goal seems simple: shift manufacturing southward, but only if the parts don’t quietly trace their way back up north again.

    Impact On Trade And Manufacturing

    As investors, we should care not only where things are being assembled, but where their most expensive parts begin life. If Vietnam wants favourable treatment in future trade deals, it may have to build more upstream capacity—chips, sensors, displays—on its own turf or with help from countries outside the crosshairs of US policy. We’re watching closely to see whether temporary tariffs roll over into something more permanent. The mood in DC doesn’t suggest much slack ahead.

    From a derivatives standpoint, this encourages us to keep a careful eye on contracts tied to large-cap tech firms sourcing hardware in Southeast Asia. If upcoming negotiations collapse and levies harden beyond 8 July, pricing pressure may ripple across OEMs, particularly those heavily dependent on cost-efficient assembly lines in northern Vietnam. Certain sector ETFs, especially those tracking emerging-market manufacturers, could be skewed if sourcing routes become more complicated or if licensing constraints bite harder than expected.

    It also pays to pay attention to volatility indicators on logistics and component exports in the region. We’re seeing growing differentiation between firms that own more of their supply stack and those that are still reliant on third-party, cross-border contractors. Recently, some parts distributors have hedged more aggressively against delay risk coming out of the Red River Delta area. For good reason too—a misstep here could mean higher insurance costs, passive margin spikes, or reduced liquidity in Q3 delivery windows.

    The next few weeks, then, will be about reading momentum in tariff updates and looking over short-dated hedging positions tied to manufacturing ETFs. It’s in these that speculation about further decoupling shows up earliest. We’re less concerned about demand declines, more about fragmentation in sourcing standards. The ongoing talks are, at their core, a message: proximity isn’t enough. The origin story of every chip and sensor is now fair game. Traders may do well to treat each headline out of Hanoi or Washington as potential fuel for sudden repricing.

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