This week, platinum reached $1,650, driven by China’s launch of physically settled futures and options

    by VT Markets
    /
    Nov 29, 2025

    Platinum prices surged to $1,650 per troy ounce, marking the highest point in over a month. This rise was linked to China’s launch of physically settled futures and options, meant to boost transparency and participation across industrial, jewellery, and other sectors.

    These contracts are traded on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange and are expected to generate demand for Platinum and Palladium. The exchange’s daily publication of warehouse stocks aims to increase transparency, with contracts denominated in RMB allowing buyers to hedge against price volatility.

    The World Platinum Investment Council anticipates these futures contracts will appeal to end users in both the industrial and automotive sectors. The reason is the potential for physical delivery of Platinum and Palladium.

    The jewellery industry and other market participants might also find these futures and options contracts useful for hedging purposes. Options trading for these metals on the exchange will begin, offering further opportunities for engagement with market trends in China.

    The recent surge in platinum to a one-month high of $1,650 per ounce is a significant signal for derivative traders. This move is powered by both the launch of new futures in China and growing expectations of interest rate cuts. We should therefore anticipate increased volatility and bullish sentiment in the platinum market.

    The new physically settled platinum and palladium contracts on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange (GFE) are a major development. Initial trading volumes have been robust, with reports indicating over 50,000 contracts were traded in the first week, suggesting strong local participation. This creates a new source of physical demand that was not previously a major factor in daily price discovery.

    This launch introduces a new level of market transparency through daily reports on warehouse stocks. We are already seeing data that shows a net drawdown of 12,000 ounces from GFE-registered warehouses since trading began, indicating industrial users are actively taking delivery. Traders should monitor these daily figures closely as a direct indicator of physical demand in China.

    The macroeconomic environment is also supportive, with the Federal Reserve’s early November 2025 meeting minutes signaling a more dovish stance. Markets are now pricing in a 70% probability of a rate cut in the first quarter of 2026, which would likely weaken the US dollar and further boost commodity prices. This backdrop provides a tailwind for long positions in platinum.

    We saw a similar market evolution when Shanghai launched its physically-backed gold contracts over a decade ago, which eventually established the region as a primary price-setter. The GFE contracts for platinum could follow this path, shifting the center of gravity for pricing eastward. This structural change suggests the current price strength is not a temporary event.

    With options on these metals also now trading on the GFE, we expect implied volatility to rise in the coming weeks. For derivative traders, this could present opportunities to use strategies like long straddles to profit from expected price swings, regardless of the ultimate direction. The increased uncertainty makes options an attractive tool.

    This is not just speculative interest, as recent Chinese industrial output data for October 2025 showed a 4.9% year-over-year increase. This confirms that end-users in the automotive and industrial sectors have a real need to hedge their exposure and secure physical supply. We should consider this underlying industrial demand as a solid price floor for the foreseeable future.

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