The NASDAQ index declined after an early gain, while S&P and Dow also showed losses

    by VT Markets
    /
    Aug 11, 2025

    The NASDAQ index experienced an upward movement of near 100 points during its session highs but has since dropped. Presently, the NASDAQ trades down by 21 points, or 0.10%, at 21,429.93. Concurrently, the S&P index is down 0.12%, losing 4-7.73 points after increasing by 17.80 points earlier.

    The Dow industrial average, which had risen by 97.42 points, is now down 200.62 points or 0.45%. Major tech stocks have also seen declines; Apple fell by 0.78%, Amazon dropped by 0.80%, and Meta decreased by 0.21%.

    Nvidia And AMD Tariffs

    Nvidia, initially down by $2.45, has recovered to a $0.21 increase. Both Nvidia and AMD have announced a 15% tariff on chips exported to China. Despite this, AMD’s share saw a small rise of 0.28%.

    The NASDAQ’s failure to hold its gains today signals potential market exhaustion. We’re seeing sellers emerge after a strong rally, which could mean the easy money has been made for now. This kind of intraday reversal, especially after the strong performance we saw in July 2025, often precedes a period of increased choppiness.

    The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has reflected this nervousness, recently climbing from its summer lows near 15 to just over 19. This suggests traders are increasingly buying protection against a potential downturn. For us, this environment makes long volatility plays, like VIX calls or straddles on key stocks, more attractive.

    Market Volume And Volatility

    Seeing market leaders like Apple, which drove much of last week’s gains, trade lower is a significant warning sign. The new 15% tariffs on certain chip exports to China also create a specific headwind for Nvidia and AMD. We should be watching for continued weakness in these bellwether names as a cue for the broader market’s direction.

    We must remember that August has historically been a month of lower trading volumes and surprising volatility. With the next key Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due in two weeks and the Federal Reserve meeting in September, many are hesitant to take on big new positions before getting more clarity on inflation. This uncertainty is what we can trade around.

    Recent data shows the equity put/call ratio has ticked up to 1.15, meaning more bearish put options are being traded than bullish calls. This suggests we should consider buying protective puts on our long positions in indexes like the QQQ. Speculative traders might even consider puts on tech giants that are showing the first signs of cracking under pressure.

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