Nasdaq Futures are currently priced at $21,748, hovering around today’s VWAP, as a narrow trading range continues from yesterday. The doji-like formation indicates market indecision, with tight price action suggesting limited conviction for major moves.

A cautiously bullish outlook is identified above $21,750, close to the VWAP. Entering trades at this level offers higher reward versus risk potential, though it carries uncertainty due to tighter stop placements. Volume Profile showcases traded volume at specific prices, with high-volume areas serving as robust support and resistance.

Vwap Prediction

VWAP plays a role in predicting Nasdaq prices, helping define entry, exit, and stop-loss strategies through standard deviation bands. A bullish threshold is set above $21,750, with defined partial-profit targets at $21,763.5, $21,771, and $21,789.5. Additional runner targets aim for $21,840, $21,855, and an ambitious $22,000.

A bearish plan activates below $21,740, just beneath yesterday’s VWAP. Quick partial profit-taking manages risk, with targets at $21,734, $21,726, and $21,713, among others. Traders should consider taking profits at designated targets to mitigate risk and adjust stops as per their strategies.

This analysis is provided by tradeCompass, soon integrated with investingLive.com.

Following on from the observations above, it’s useful to unpack what these technical signals imply, as they shape the way we interpret current movements and act on them, particularly when the tools being used rely on price clustering and short-term support behaviours. When the market prints a doji candle pattern, and that occurs along an area where price has previously spent a large portion of time, that tends to signal a pause in intention—neither buying pressure nor selling activity is tipping the balance meaningfully. So, when futures hover around VWAP with little displacement, it often reveals a tired trend or developing hesitation ahead of a larger decision.

Here, that’s what’s taking place just above 21,700. There’s volume congestion in this zone, marked by blended efforts from both sides trying to push, but not decisively winning at the moment. The VWAP serves as a tether—think of it as an anchor point that recent trades swing around. And when prices lean toward the higher end of that value zone, say just above 21,750, there tends to be more interest in testing the previous highs or squeezing stops above familiar resistance stairs. That’s when scalps and intraday holds into modest profit bands are historically more efficient.

Looking ahead, the idea isn’t to expect an enormous range expansion but rather to watch for minor extensions that line up cleanly with earlier supply points. The upper targets—when price pushes above the neutral line—are not so exaggerated that they rely on emotional breakout scenarios. They are based on segmented ranges from recent sessions, and in our experience, those give a better feel for when the market may pause again before picking the next direction.

Downside Strategy

On the downside, the same applies in reverse. Sub-21,740 is not just a random breakdown line, it’s positioned beneath both an average and a local shelf of trading activity, which—if breached—tends to remove support layers. That’s exactly where faster downward fills can take place, and with them, lower support targets follow in sequence. It’s not about panic—it’s just about de-risking earlier instead of assuming those levels won’t be tested.

What we tend to do during weeks like this, when volatility compresses and price coils near VWAP, is focus more on the areas where price spent time rather than where large candles appeared. It’s about taking brief entries with narrower stops and exiting not necessarily because we think price will snap back violently, but simply to preserve margin conditions and avoid the sort of midday drift that eats into opportunity.

Thompsons’ structured exit zones are drawn from these value areas and allow us to structure trades so partials are taken before price enters less liquid territory. It’s also telling that upper targets don’t jump multiple zones, instead they adhere to measured steps, which invites shorter holding periods unless deeper commitment or volatility improvement occurs.

Ultimately, a session like this doesn’t warrant aggressive holding overnight nor blind shorting without breakdown evidence. What we do instead is let the tape show impatience—or lack of it—and use the standard deviation lines around VWAP simply to frame how wide the safe spaces really are.

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