The EIA reported a Natural Gas Storage Change of 104B in the US, exceeding forecasts

    by VT Markets
    /
    May 8, 2025

    The United States EIA reported a natural gas storage increase of 104 billion cubic feet, exceeding the anticipated 101 billion. This data point is part of regular reports tracking energy reserves, which are critical for assessing supply conditions.

    In foreign exchange, the AUD/USD pair experienced downward pressure, with prices testing the 0.6400 level. This was linked to the US Dollar’s strength and optimism surrounding trade situations. Meanwhile, EUR/USD moved to a four-week low around 1.1200 as the US Dollar rose amid US-China trade discussions.

    Gold and Ethereum Market Movements

    Gold prices also faced pressure, dropping near $3,300 per troy ounce due to the strong US Dollar and increasing Treasury yields, impacting demand for the metal. In contrast, Ethereum saw a 15% rise to reclaim $2,000, driven by positive sentiment from a US-UK trade agreement and reduced global trade tensions.

    The Federal Open Market Committee maintained the federal funds rate between 4.25%-4.50%, continuing its current stance. For trading EUR/USD, a list highlights top brokers offering competitive conditions, catering to both novice and seasoned traders.

    The 104 billion cubic feet build in natural gas storage, slightly higher than forecast, shows that inventories are being replenished at a quicker pace than many had positioned for. This oversupply, particularly at this time of year, gives utilities more flexibility going into shoulder season and can dampen any upward movement in futures pricing unless new weather-related demand emerges. For those leveraging contracts tied to heating fuels or LNG exposure, preserving margin at current levels is far less risky than attempting to pre-empt a seasonal pivot.

    In currency markets, persistent resilience in the US Dollar added stress on higher-beta counterparts. The AUD/USD slipping towards 0.6400 reflects market readiness to buy greenbacks when appetite for risk diminishes or when trade-linked indicators begin to show fewer downside surprises. Given that the move converges with optimism around macro deals—and less about internal shifts in Australia—it suggests much of this descent arrived externally. We should be watching commodities closely to gauge whether this strength in the Dollar will remain sticky or if it begins to fade against a backdrop of actual trade volumes.

    Implications of Federal Reserve’s Rate Decisions

    Then there’s the EUR/USD pair, slipping back towards levels not seen in weeks. This action wasn’t just a reflection of strength in the Dollar but an acknowledgement that inflation readings in parts of Europe haven’t warranted any rethinking of the European Central Bank’s path. With the Federal Open Market Committee leaving the rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, traders priced in fewer bets on divergence, but didn’t unwind Dollar longs. That adds to a positioning profile worth guarding against: short-term pullbacks in EUR/USD now need solid triggers to reverse.

    As for gold, a weakening around the $3,300 per troy ounce region makes sense. While precious metals often serve as a haven, they compete poorly when safe US assets begin to yield more. Treasury yields creeping higher do alter the cost-benefit outlook, and gold gave way mostly without resistance. We wouldn’t be layering in long gold structures until there’s clear softness in either rate expectations or industrial data. The relative calm in geopolitical headlines stripped gold of safety bids, reducing upside appeal in the short term.

    Meanwhile, Ethereum’s 15% bounce to above $2,000 stands out not only in terms of performance but also as a reaction unrelated to rate cycles. Traders increasing exposure here were likely emboldened by positive headlines, especially those concerning intercontinental trade cooperation. Tokens that are more influenced by sentiment and regulatory signals—than by traditional earnings or balance sheets—can move quickly when macro clouds lift. What matters now is follow-through. If flows remain consistent and tech-specific news confirms this upward break, there might be room to scale in further.

    We had Powell and the Fed electing to keep things as they are on rates. Although no surprises came out of the decision itself, the real tell has been in forward guidance, which barely changed tone. That keeps US Dollar strength intact and biases on the side of caution for trend reversal trades. No fresh liquidity injections or new hikes leaves markets moving on positioning rather than policy. In fact, this quiet hold from the Fed has emboldened Dollar bulls to maintain exposure, and that’s unlikely to fade unless macro indicators in other major regions outperform in the next fortnight.

    This type of backdrop—where rate settings are on hold, Dollar strength persists, and political tailwinds begin to support digital assets—will continue to drive sentiment. Structured options or directional spreads tied to FX pairs or commodities should be kept nimble, especially with few concrete catalysts on the immediate calendar. It would be wise to temper size until a firmer edge materialises.

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