The actual trade balance for China surpassed forecasts, reaching USD 114.1 billion in December

by VT Markets
/
Jan 14, 2026

China’s trade balance for December stood at $114.1 billion, surpassing the expected $113.6 billion. This comes amidst various market movements and economic indicators being closely watched worldwide.

Gold prices rose to just over $4,620 per troy ounce, nearing the record high of $4,634.64, driven by increased safe-haven demand due to expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Meanwhile, meme coins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe saw gains between 7% and 14%, suggesting a potential upward trend.

Currency Market Movements

In the currency markets, the GBP/USD pair declined to around 1.3425, impacted by renewed demand for the US Dollar ahead of key US economic data releases. Similarly, the USD/JPY and USD/CHF pairs were influenced by the respective performances of the yen and inflation data.

Various recommendations about brokers for trading currencies such as EUR/USD and others in 2026 surfaced. Insights focused on attributes like low spreads, leverage, and regional suitability, underscoring the diverse preferences of currency traders.

Articles on the FXStreet platform include a disclaimer about risks and uncertainties inherent in financial markets. They urge individuals to conduct thorough research when contemplating investment decisions, highlighting the inherent risk involved in open markets.

The political pressure on the Federal Reserve, marked by grand jury subpoenas, has introduced a level of uncertainty we have not seen for many years. This event is a clear signal to anticipate higher market volatility, with VIX futures likely pricing in significant price swings. We should consider strategies that benefit from this, such as long straddles on major equity indices.

Strategies for Gold and US Dollar

With gold hitting fresh records over $4,600, it is clearly the market’s primary safe-haven asset right now. This rally is fueled by both the political uncertainty and growing bets on Fed rate cuts, creating a powerful tailwind. This momentum suggests that buying call options on gold futures or establishing bull call spreads could be effective ways to participate in further upside.

The US Dollar continues to strengthen against other major currencies, with the USD/JPY pair approaching the key psychological level of 160.00. This move is largely driven by interest rate differentials, a theme that also drove the market back in 2024. The upcoming US Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be critical, as any surprises could either accelerate this trend or trigger a sharp reversal.

While safe-haven assets are in demand, China’s trade balance came in much stronger than expected at $114.1 billion for December 2025. This robust export data, significantly higher than the figures posted through much of 2024, suggests that global demand is holding up better than feared. This may offer some support to commodity currencies and complicates a purely risk-off outlook.

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