Nvidia’s potential as a buy varies for traders and long-term investors, depending on market conditions

    by VT Markets
    /
    Sep 17, 2025

    Nvidia stock is being monitored closely due to its recent price movements and potential future trends. Currently trading near $175, the price has remained within a range of $164–$185 since its latest earnings report. The preceding trend was bullish, driven by AI demand, data centre growth, and strong earnings.

    Swing Trading Strategies

    Swing traders are focusing on the range of $164 to $185. At the upper end, $184–$185 is seen as a prime short setup, where selling pressure is anticipated. Conversely, the lower range of $164–$165 attracts long positions, aiming for a bounce back. This range-bound approach is expected to persist until a break occurs.

    For long-term investors, a key level is $147, marking where Nvidia broke out from its lengthy descending channel. A retest here might prompt significant institutional accumulation. While swing traders utilise the current range for potential quick gains, long-term investors are watching for potential pullbacks to $147 for strategic entry.

    Nvidia remains a strong player in the AI and semiconductor sectors. However, strategies differ: swing traders focus on short-term plays within the existing range, while long-term holders await deeper entry points. Timing is pivotal.

    Given Nvidia’s consolidation, we see a clear opportunity for option traders to capitalize on the defined price range. The stock has been trading tightly between $164 and $185 since its last earnings report, a pattern that formed after the 10-for-1 stock split we saw back in June of 2025. This tight range makes selling premium an attractive strategy for the coming weeks.

    Option Trading Opportunities

    For those expecting the stock to remain range-bound, an iron condor with strikes outside the $164-$185 channel could be effective. By selling a call spread above $185 and a put spread below $164, traders can collect premium from time decay. This approach is supported by relatively low market volatility, with the VIX hovering near a 52-week low of 12.8 in recent sessions.

    The fundamental picture supports this consolidation, as strong Q2 2025 earnings showing a 125% year-over-year revenue increase in the data center segment are being weighed against new competitive pressures. We’ve seen rivals like AMD and Intel announce updated AI accelerator chips over the summer, creating some uncertainty that is keeping the stock from breaking out. This battle between bullish results and a more competitive landscape reinforces the current trading range.

    Traders who are positioned for a potential breakdown should watch the $164 support level closely. A decisive move below this could be triggered by broader market fears, especially after the latest CPI report for August 2025 showed inflation ticking up slightly to 3.4%. A break of support could make buying put options or establishing put debit spreads a timely strategy to target the next major support zone.

    Conversely, a breakout above the $185 resistance would signal a continuation of the primary bullish trend. This could be sparked by a new product announcement or an upgrade from a major analyst firm. In that scenario, buying call options or call debit spreads would allow traders to participate in the upward momentum with defined risk.

    For traders with a longer-term view who align with institutional thinking, selling cash-secured puts around the $147 level is a compelling strategy. This level represents the major breakout point from earlier in 2025 and is a zone where we expect significant buying interest. Selling puts with expirations a few months out allows one to collect substantial premium while waiting for a potential deep pullback to a more attractive entry price.

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