Johnson Controls is expected to rise towards 151.50, then correct, while delivering building systems worldwide

by VT Markets
/
Feb 18, 2026

Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) operates in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning and retrofitting building products and systems. It trades on the NYSE under “JCI” in the Industrials sector, and reports four segments: Building Solutions North America, Building Solutions EMEA/LA, Building Solutions Asia-Pacific, and Global Products.

On the weekly chart, the share price is described as being in a bullish Elliott Wave structure, with gains expected while pullbacks hold above the 1/06/2026 low. A move towards $151.52 is cited before a later correction.

Wave levels given are: I of (III) ended at $81.77 and II at $45.52 in July 2022. In III, ((1)) ended at $69.60 in January 2023 and ((2)) at $47.90 in October 2023, with price seen moving through (5) of ((3)).

Within ((3)), (1) reached $91.14, (2) fell to $68.03, (3) rose to $123.78, and (4) dipped to $108.41. The current (5) has met a minimum extension at $134.03, with $151.52 given as a possible further target.

A pullback labelled ((4)) is expected in 3, 7, or 11 swings, with confirmation linked to breaking a trendline through (2) and (4). If price breaks below the 1/06/2026 low, ((3)) is described as having ended at the last peak.

Given the ongoing bullish structure in JCI, the immediate strategy is to ride the current wave of momentum. We see the stock is in its final leg up towards a potential target near $151.50. For traders, this suggests maintaining or entering bullish positions, such as buying call options or implementing bull call spreads, to capitalize on this expected final push.

This technical strength is supported by solid fundamental tailwinds. Recent data from the U.S. Commerce Department showed non-residential construction spending rose a stronger-than-expected 1.2% in January 2026, directly benefiting JCI’s core business. This follows the company’s strong Q4 2025 earnings report, where demand for its smart building technology exceeded analyst forecasts.

The key level to watch in the coming weeks is the low established on January 6, 2026. As long as the price remains above this point, the bullish outlook is intact and we should not be looking to short the stock. Any minor dip should be viewed as a temporary pause rather than a reversal.

The primary opportunity we are anticipating is the larger correction, labeled as wave ((4)), which is expected after the current rally peaks. We are not selling into this strength but are instead preparing to act once the uptrend shows signs of exhaustion. This upcoming dip will present a more significant buying opportunity for a longer-term trade.

To prepare for this, we will patiently wait for the price to complete its move and then break the underlying trendline formed from the lows of October 2023 and mid-2025. Once this correction begins, strategies like selling cash-secured puts at defined support levels could be an effective way to enter a new long position at a better price. This approach allows us to get paid while waiting for our target entry zone.

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