Insights 
VT 
Australia’s full-time employment rose by 8.7K in September, an improvement from the previous month’s decrease of 40.9K. This change plays a role in the broader economic narrative and may influence policy decisions.
In currency markets, various dynamics are in play. The Australian dollar faced pressure due to job data, with expectations of an RBA rate cut. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen strengthened as a safe haven with USD/JPY under pressure.
Gold And Bitcoin Market Analysis
Gold continues its upward trajectory, with eyes on reaching $4,250 due to rate cut expectations and trade tensions. Bitcoin saw a 2% decline to around $110,500 amid market reset signals, which might aid future structural recovery.
Market insights include predictions and analyses for various currencies and commodities. Gold’s stability is noted amidst fiscal changes, while Lido DAO showed recovery after a V3 testnet launch. Additionally, various brokers for 2025 are assessed, covering diverse trading needs and geographical regions.
Provision of market information involves limitations and potential risks. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research, and no responsibility is accepted for investment decisions based on this information.
Strategies And Market Trends
The Australian jobs data is sending mixed signals, with a headline gain of 8.7k that hardly reverses the previous month’s loss of over 40k. Given the underlying softness and talk of an RBA rate cut, we should consider strategies that benefit from a big move in either direction. An options straddle on the AUD/USD could be a good way to trade the coming uncertainty.
The US Dollar’s weakness is the dominant theme, driven by a prolonged government shutdown and expectations of more Federal Reserve rate cuts. We saw how the record 35-day shutdown back in 2018-2019 created similar market jitters, and with the DXY index now below 98.00, selling dollar futures remains the path of least resistance. This weakness makes buying call options on EUR/USD and GBP/USD attractive.
Gold’s relentless march towards $4,250 is a direct result of this dollar weakness and fiscal fear. The rally that smashed through the 2024 records near $2,400 an ounce shows no signs of stopping as traders seek a reliable store of value. We believe buying long-dated call options on gold is the best way to maintain exposure to this powerful trend.
This flight to safety is also propping up the Japanese Yen, putting significant pressure on the USD/JPY pair. The market is showing a clear preference for safe-haven assets, a pattern we’ve seen during past periods of US policy uncertainty. Shorting USD/JPY through futures or buying put options is a direct play on this continuing risk aversion.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin appears to be resetting after its historic leverage flush, which could pave the way for a more stable recovery. The market has cleansed itself of excessive speculation, and the current price around $110,500 may present a new base. We can start cautiously positioning for a structural recovery by buying call options on Bitcoin futures.
