In October, Mexico’s early-month inflation rate was lower than expected, recorded at 0.28%

    by VT Markets
    /
    Oct 24, 2025

    In October, Mexico’s inflation for the first half of the month was recorded at 0.28%, which was below the forecast of 0.36%. This was part of an economic overview that included various currency performance updates and market trends from around the world.

    The US Dollar saw fluctuations, impacting pairs like USD/CHF and USD/CAD, as external economic factors unfolded. Gold traded around the $4,150 mark, while the cryptocurrency market showed mixed movements, with Bitcoin reaching near $110,000.

    Japan’s New Leadership And Currency Impact

    In Japan, the new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, took office, affecting the Yen’s steadiness. Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies, including Aster and Bitcoin, experienced price changes reflective of broader market sentiments.

    A selection of articles also examined Forex brokers, projecting which would be top choices in 2025 across various regions like MENA and Latam. Furthermore, the article detailed risks in open markets, urging due diligence in investment activities.

    With Mexico’s inflation coming in lower than expected today, October 23, 2025, we should anticipate potential weakness in the Mexican Peso. This data point could give Banxico room to pause its tightening cycle, making the Peso less attractive against currencies with hawkish central banks. Historically, we have seen periods of slowing inflation, like in late 2023, precede a weaker MXN, suggesting trades that favor a higher USD/MXN exchange rate.

    The situation with the British Pound looks similar, as softer UK inflation data increases bets on a Bank of England rate cut before the year is out. Recent statistics show UK CPI has fallen to 2.5%, putting it closer to the BoE’s target and giving doves the upper hand. Therefore, we should consider derivatives that profit from a fall in the Pound, such as buying puts on the GBP/USD pair.

    US CPI And Market Reactions

    All eyes are now on the upcoming US Consumer Price Index data, which is creating a cautious mood across markets. The US Dollar has been strong, but its momentum has stalled ahead of this key release, which will guide the Federal Reserve’s next move. We should prepare for a spike in volatility, and strategies like straddles on major pairs like EUR/USD could be used to trade a potential breakout in either direction.

    In Japan, the Yen continues its weak trend due to a policy clash between the new Prime Minister’s fiscal expansion goals and the Bank of Japan’s cautious monetary stance. This reminds us of the “Abenomics” period of the 2010s, which saw a significantly weaker Yen over several years. This fundamental backdrop makes shorting the Yen an attractive longer-term position, for instance through buying USD/JPY calls.

    Commodity markets are providing a buffer for some currencies, with rising oil prices supporting the Canadian Dollar and general commodity strength boosting the Australian Dollar. With WTI crude oil holding firmly above $95 a barrel for the past month, the support for the CAD is creating a stalemate against the strong US Dollar. This may keep USD/CAD range-bound, suggesting that selling options to collect premium could be a viable strategy in the coming weeks.

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