In August, the trade balance for the UK outside the EU was £-8.294 billion compared to £-10.158 billion

    by VT Markets
    /
    Oct 16, 2025

    The United Kingdom recorded a trade deficit of £8.294 billion for August in its dealings outside the European Union, down from a previous deficit of £10.158 billion. This figure is part of a broader economic data release, which included a 0.1% increase in UK GDP and better-than-expected Manufacturing Production results for the same month.

    The GBP/USD exchange rate maintained its position above 1.3400 following the economic data release, as investors reacted to the recovery in the US Dollar. The financial markets also saw gold continuing to perform strongly, amidst ongoing US-China trade tensions and geopolitical risks.

    Dogecoin Price Stabilization

    Dogecoin’s price stabilised at around $0.19, despite a 5% correction earlier in the week. It was supported by noteworthy whale accumulation, offering a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency.

    Elsewhere, the S&P 500 experienced an “inside day” following previous tumultuous trading sessions, indicating uncertainty among traders. Across the broader financial environment, experts evaluated the status of forex brokers, highlighting different offerings for traders in 2025.

    It’s essential to perform individual research when investing, as the outlined economic indicators and market trends contain inherent risks and potential losses.

    The smaller-than-expected UK trade deficit for August 2025 shows the economy is holding up better than many thought. This builds on other positive data points like the recent manufacturing figures. With UK inflation reported at 3.1% last month, we see a case for the Bank of England to hold rates firm, supporting the pound.

    Buying Call Options

    We believe this makes buying call options on GBP/USD an attractive strategy, targeting strikes above the 1.3400 level mentioned in recent analysis. The recent strength suggests dips are being bought, so using options can limit downside risk while capturing potential upside. Consider short-dated contracts to play the current momentum.

    The dynamic in EUR/USD is all about central bank divergence, which is becoming more pronounced. The Federal Reserve’s September 2025 meeting signaled a continued dovish stance, while some ECB members are now pushing back against further rate cuts. This policy split could put a floor under the euro against the dollar.

    Gold remains a primary focus for us due to the flight to safety and a weakening US dollar outlook. The drop in US 10-year Treasury yields to below 3.5% this month reduces the appeal of holding bonds over bullion. This environment is similar to what we saw in 2020, just before gold made a significant move higher.

    We must also acknowledge the broader market indecision, reflected in the stock market’s recent whiplash from trade headlines. The VIX has been elevated, consistently sitting above 20, which tells us traders are still nervous and pricing in sudden moves. This suggests buying protection, like put options on major indices, could be a prudent hedge for any long positions.

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