The Euro fell to 1.1677 following the resignation of French Prime Minister Lecornu after less than a month in office. This marks the third resignation since December 2024, with the current President tasked with stabilising the country within 48 hours.

General Elections in the Netherlands are set for October 29, posing potential risks to the Euro. Despite this, the Euro’s broader outlook remains stable, with analysts suggesting buying on dips. Technical support and resistance levels are noted at 1.1680 and 1.1745 respectively.

Current market dynamics, including the Euro’s minor bearish momentum and moderated RSI decline, indicate potential trade opportunities. Analysts predict two-way trade movements, with additional resistance at 1.1810 and support at 1.1640, according to technical indicators.

In related news, the FXStreet Insights Team reports weak UK Pound performance and a continued rally in USD/JPY. Gold holds near record highs, while the publication highlights market opportunities and risks amidst Japan’s leadership changes.

FXStreet emphasises that the information provided involves risks and is not intended as investment advice. Thorough research is advised before any financial decisions, acknowledging the inherent risks in open markets.

The recent resignation of the French Prime Minister has us watching the EUR/USD closely, as the pair slipped below the 1.1700 level. President Macron’s looming Wednesday deadline to address this government instability creates significant short-term uncertainty for the Euro. Recent polling from early October 2025 showing the National Rally party ahead with 30% of voter intention only adds to this market nervousness.

We see further political headwinds with the Dutch general election scheduled for October 29. Current polls indicate the Euroskeptic PVV party is leading with roughly 25% of the vote, raising questions about the next coalition’s fiscal stance. This event will likely keep a lid on any significant Euro rallies and could weigh on the currency as the date approaches.

Despite the political noise, the fundamental picture for the Eurozone remains fairly supportive, suggesting these dips could be opportunities. The latest data for September 2025 showed Eurozone core inflation cooling to 2.1%, near the ECB’s target, while preliminary Q3 GDP registered a modest 0.2% expansion. This underlying economic stability contrasts sharply with the political turmoil, supporting the case for buying on weakness.

We can look back to the period before the 2017 French election for a possible playbook. The Euro was under pressure for months due to fears of a Euroskeptic victory, but it rallied sharply once the market-friendly outcome was secured. A similar scenario could unfold if Macron manages to stabilize the government, rewarding traders who bought into the weakness.

Given the high event risk, we should expect elevated implied volatility in EUR/USD options over the next few weeks. Buying short-dated puts with strikes around 1.1650 or 1.1600 offers a straightforward way to hedge or speculate on further downside ahead of Macron’s decision. A long straddle could also be used to trade the expected price jump, regardless of the ultimate direction.

For those who believe the fundamental story will eventually win out, selling puts with strike prices below the current market, perhaps near the 1.1600 support level, is an attractive strategy. This allows us to collect premium from the heightened volatility while setting a target to buy the Euro at a more attractive price. This approach aligns with the idea of buying into politically-driven dips.