Insights 
VT 
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil prices dropped on Tuesday during the early European session. WTI is trading at $60.61 per barrel, compared to Monday’s close of $60.90. Brent crude also decreased, trading at $64.50 after closing at $64.81 previously.
WTI Oil is a type of crude renowned for its low gravity and sulfur content, classifying it as “light” and “sweet.” It is sourced from the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, serving as a benchmark in the Oil market. WTI prices are regularly referenced in the media.
Supply And Demand Dynamics
Supply and demand are primary drivers of WTI Oil prices, influenced by global growth, political unrest, wars, and sanctions. The value of the US Dollar plays a role, as Oil is traded in USD. A weaker dollar can make Oil cheaper and vice versa.
Weekly Oil inventory reports from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) affect WTI prices. Drops in inventory typically signal increased demand and higher prices. OPEC’s production quotas are influential, as decreased quotas can raise prices, while increased production can lower them. OPEC+ includes 10 non-member countries, including Russia.
With WTI oil prices showing weakness around $60.61, we see a bearish sentiment taking hold. This follows a period of higher prices earlier in 2025, suggesting momentum is currently to the downside. Traders should be cautious as this could signal a broader shift in the market.
Concerns about global demand are a primary factor driving this weakness. Recent manufacturing data for October 2025 from China came in below expectations, with the Caixin PMI slipping to 49.8, indicating a slight contraction. This, combined with the U.S. Federal Reserve signaling that interest rates may remain elevated, is dampening the outlook for energy consumption.
Upcoming Events And Market Strategies
On the supply side, all eyes are on the upcoming OPEC+ meeting scheduled for early December 2025. While the group has maintained production cuts, there are growing whispers of disagreement between major producers about quotas for 2026. This uncertainty means we cannot rely on coordinated supply cuts to support prices as strongly as we could in the past.
The immediate focus this week will be on inventory data. We are watching for the API report later today, with market chatter forecasting a crude oil build of roughly 1.8 million barrels. If tomorrow’s official EIA report confirms a significant inventory increase, it could push WTI prices to test the psychological support level at $60.
Given this bearish outlook, we might consider buying put options with strike prices around $58 or $59 to profit from a potential further decline. A bear put spread could also be an effective strategy to limit upfront cost while targeting a downward move ahead of the OPEC+ meeting. This offers a defined-risk way to position for continued weakness.
The strengthening U.S. Dollar, with the Dollar Index (DXY) recently rising to over 107, is adding another layer of pressure by making oil more expensive in other currencies. We must remember the price shocks of 2022, reminding us that any unexpected geopolitical event could rapidly change this entire picture. For now, however, the path of least resistance appears to be lower.
