Documents regarding a potential trade agreement between Ottawa and Washington have been exchanged, suggesting ongoing discussions

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jun 11, 2025

    Ottawa and Washington are exchanging documents concerning a potential US-Canada trade deal. Discussions have been ongoing, with expectations of an agreement before the G7 on June 15.

    However, the report indicates that more efforts are required to finalise the agreement. No deal is anticipated before the G7 meeting.

    The document detailing the trade deal is brief, reportedly fewer than five pages. It potentially includes military commitments and addresses steel and aluminium tariffs.

    Recent reports suggest the US and Mexico are nearing an agreement on tariffs in these areas. There is uncertainty regarding the commitments the American side is prepared to make.

    Canada has been lobbying for relief from tariffs. Nonetheless, the exact terms remain undisclosed.

    The article outlines an ongoing exchange of paperwork between two North American governments working towards a trade agreement. Talks are active and relatively advanced but remain incomplete. Although early expectations pointed to an agreement being struck ahead of the Group of Seven summit, it now appears that won’t happen. The primary takeaway is that more effort, possibly both political and administrative, is needed before anything can be signed.

    The document itself is notably short—under five pages. That size hints at a narrow scope or tightly focused terms, possibly limited to just a few subject areas. Within it, we understand there may be provisions concerning joint military responsibilities, as well as revisions to existing levies on metals such as steel and aluminium. Those tariffs have long been a sticking point, especially when applied to allies.

    Parallel discussions involve the American southern neighbour, where progress seems a bit quicker. There are hints of movement toward agreements on similar trade irritants. This regional approach to economic diplomacy suggests each relationship is being handled separately, despite overlapping interests. That, in turn, inserts more room for delay and concessions.

    Canadian officials are actively trying to negotiate an end to tariffs on their metals, though specifics of the proposals or discussions haven’t surfaced. There is hesitancy from the American delegation, or at the very least, a lack of clarity around what they’re willing to trade away. For traders interpreting all of this, the document’s brevity and the unresolved state of negotiations point to a deal that is not comprehensive, at least for now.

    So, what does all of this mean in practical terms? While we may not have final terms on paper, we do know what’s at stake. When any sort of tariff modification appears likely—even if not guaranteed—it opens a short-term opportunity. Particularly if geopolitical pressure leads to rapid adjustments post-summit.

    The current delay introduces uncertainty that’s likely to ripple through sectors tied to industrial metals and defence. Price action in metal futures may remain volatile, largely because headline risk is high and positions may shift quickly based on diplomatic statements rather than hard data. Traders should align their expectations accordingly, taking care not to interpret silence or brevity as stability.

    Meanwhile, because Mexico seems closer to sealing a deal, attention could drift southward. That might create temporary imbalances or a perception of uneven treatment. Corrections in contract pricing could follow whichever nation secures a better outcome first, though it may not be sustained if both ultimately end up with parallel arrangements.

    In summary, we’re looking at negotiations that are active but not decisive. Documents are being passed around, but nothing binding has emerged. Any short-term bets should take into account not just headline sentiment but also unfinished details—particularly around military involvement and sector-specific trade measures.

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