The United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC net positions currently stand at £-30.5K, compared to £-332K previously. This indicates a change in investor sentiment regarding the British pound.
The EUR/USD ended the week near 1.1640, recording a 0.7% loss. The GBP/USD has fallen below 1.3400, challenged by the strong performance of the US dollar. The AUD/USD has dropped following US dollar strengthening and disappointing Australian inflation data.
Gold And Cryptocurrency Market Update
Gold prices have surged above £4,500, anticipating a 4% weekly gain after US Nonfarm Payroll data. In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin maintains $90,000 but remains below the 50-day EMA. Ethereum holds steady above $3,000 despite ETF outflows, while XRP is under pressure from falling retail demand.
Looking ahead, the US CPI report might influence the dollar, while geopolitical factors may impact market movements. Multiple brokers with specific focuses are available for traders in 2026, offering opportunities for investors based on their personalised trading strategies.
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We’ve seen a massive shift in sentiment on the British Pound, with positioning data showing a dramatic change. Net short positions have been slashed from over £332k to just £30.5k, suggesting a major short squeeze could be on the horizon. This makes the current test of the 1.3380 level on GBP/USD, the 200-day moving average, a critical moment for the pair.
The US Dollar And CPI Report Impact
The US Dollar’s strength is facing a major test with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due this Tuesday. After December 2025’s 3.1% year-over-year inflation print, market consensus is looking for a drop to 2.9%, a result that could rapidly unwind long-dollar trades. The Fed’s cautious tone on hiring further complicates the outlook for continued dollar dominance.
Given this backdrop, buying out-of-the-money GBP/USD call options with a two-week expiry offers a low-cost way to position for a potential rebound. Implied volatility on these options has already ticked up to 9.5%, reflecting the market’s anticipation of a sharp move following the CPI data. This strategy would benefit from both a weaker dollar and the unwinding of remaining short pound positions.
The broader market is clearly nervous, with gold surging past $4,500 even as the dollar remains firm. This move, reminiscent of the risk-off rally in Q3 2025, is supported by continued strong demand, as central bank gold purchases hit a record in the last quarter. Look for opportunities in gold futures or options as a hedge against ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
This fear is also evident in cryptocurrencies, where institutional demand is fading and Bitcoin is struggling below its 50-day moving average near $90,000. The divergence between gold’s strength and crypto’s weakness suggests traders are favoring traditional safe havens over digital ones. Caution is warranted in this space until we see a significant return of institutional capital.