Bitcoin trades above $107,275, suggesting a bullish outlook if candle closes confirm upward momentum.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jun 27, 2025

    Bitcoin Futures are currently trading at $107,335, slightly exceeding the bullish threshold set at $107,275. The strategy recommends waiting for a 30-minute candle to close above this level for confirmation. If confirmed, the bullish profit targets are set at $107,540, $107,800, $108,115, $108,540, $109,000, $109,625, $110,715, and $111,000. The bearish threshold is positioned at $107,000, requiring a similar confirmation before considering short positions.

    If a candle closes below the bearish threshold, it would indicate rising bearish momentum. The corresponding profit targets are $106,715, $106,270, $105,775, and $105,425. The tradeCompass methodology focuses on risk management with partial profit-taking at institutional levels. It leverages Volume Profile, VWAP, and liquidity pools for better market insights. This analysis hinges on confirming sustained moves above or below key thresholds before actioning trades. Proper stop-loss protocols and disciplined trading strategies are also advised.

    At present, Bitcoin Futures hover just beyond the first bullish entry threshold, suggesting that optimistic sentiment may begin to gain traction—if, and only if, follow-through support materialises in upcoming candles. The outlined approach clearly relies on confirmation, and for good reason: intraday price action around these levels often generates misleading signals, particularly when volume fails to align with price movement.

    The price closing above $107,275—on a sustained 30-minute basis—is the signal we await. If that settles convincingly, the strategy turns to defined upper targets. These levels aren’t random figures; they tend to coincide with historical areas where large players enacted meaningful trades in prior sessions, and they reflect pockets with deep order interest, as extrapolated from the Volume Profile and liquidity studies.

    Moving to the lower end, a dip beneath $107,000 on a similar closing basis is no less important. That condition would validate a greater appetite for selling, with increasing probability for price to test lower value zones. Every level defined on the downside follows identifiable decision points where market participants have either added exposure or exited previously. It’s not about guessing direction; it’s about interpreting intent as expressed through price and transactional behaviour.


    The core technique—borrowed from institutional practice—pushes for early profit skimming instead of holding positions all the way through. That tactic isn’t a hedge against conviction, but one of prudence. These levels are often tested but not always cleanly surpassed, leading to price swings that could catch late entries off-guard.

    From our perspective, the tradeCompass approach requires watching more than just candles or directional bias; it’s about weighing price action relative to volume concentration and the VWAP trend underneath. Should price exceed a level without corresponding expansion in cumulative volume, that sets off a cautionary note. We’ve seen rallies reverse when liquidity dries up just past technical breakouts.

    As with any strategy, proper stop placement is non-negotiable. These are typically set just beyond the invalidation point of an idea—not based on arbitrary amounts we’re willing to lose, but based on structure that, if breached, discredits the original trade premise. Discipline means waiting for proof, not hope.

    Derivative-focused market participants should adopt a posture that’s reactive, not predictive. Acting prematurely simply invites drawdown. If one side doesn’t hold, it’s not a failed system—it just means the market hasn’t chosen, or isn’t ready. Plenty of false starts are expected; that’s part of trading around consolidations near key thresholds.

    In the week ahead, we’re watching not only confirmation from price but also how extensions develop once a level is taken. Lower volume around a breakout? We hesitate. A push that immediately retraces? That tells us momentum may not be genuine. But if liquidity builds behind direction and price holds above institutional profiles, then we follow through—always with an eye on the next reaction point.

    Each movement recorded or rejected within that zone can become the basis for the next intraday setup. This isn’t a game of chasing highs or lows; it’s a process of attending to what price confirms through structure. Delayed entries are fine. Misses happen. But the aim is not to catch everything—it’s to catch the parts where odds stack visibly in our favour.


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