Bitcoin futures show bullish potential at 108,165; traders advised to follow outlined profit strategies

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jun 30, 2025

    Bitcoin futures are trading at 108,165, aligning with the bullish threshold for today. The tradeCompass methodology suggests long positions at this level.

    The bullish partial profit targets start at 108,380, the previous Thursday’s Value Area High. Additional targets are set incrementally, with notable levels including 109,085, below today’s Point of Control, and a runner potentially reaching 110,735.

    If the price falls below 107,650, bearish trades are advised. Partial profits can be taken starting from 107,380 near Friday’s VWAP lower standard deviation, with further exits at 106,750 aligning with June 20th’s POC.

    Within the current market context, Bitcoin futures are consolidating in a defined range, necessitating strategic profit-taking. The closely spaced targets reflect the multi-day range.

    Value Areas, VWAP, and the Point of Control (POC) are pivotal in this strategy. The Value Area encompasses roughly 70% of trading volume, with the POC acting as a magnet for price movements. VWAP indicates market sentiment, averaging prices based on volume.


    TradeCompass principles emphasize controlled entry, partial profits, and stop-loss management. It cautions against overtrading and stresses flexible entry confirmations according to personal risk tolerance.

    The analysis is for decision support and carries risk, including potential total investment loss, encouraging responsible trading.

    What the original section outlines is a structured, rules-based approach to positioning within a trading range that has held its shape over several sessions. Futures sit near the upper portion of this range, right around a level that’s previously been associated with robust demand. With value and control levels clearly mapped out, there’s minimal ambiguity in where price has congregated—this matters. Once again, we observe how previous session footprints continue to guide today’s thresholds.

    Given how compact the intraday bands are becoming, it’s quite evident that movement within these coordinates is being driven less by fresh flows and more by participants rotating around existing volume metrics. That’s confirmed by how the previous highs and Points of Control continue to overlap across several days. One shouldn’t interpret this as inactivity, rather the opposite—it’s more structured distribution. Price holding above the upper daily value extreme implies that, at least for now, there is comfort in these elevated regions.

    It’s worth noting that once the primary threshold was secured this morning, upside levels were clean and mechanical. First targets, while modest, sit just above the prior day’s upper value—offering early exits or trimming opportunities within an otherwise balanced zone. It’s exactly in these locations, where volume clears slightly and momentum wanes temporarily, that partial exits make sense. The mid-target near the POC today provides a logical next layer of resistance or digestion, and the upper target reflects stretched possibilities rather than baseline assumptions.

    On the other side, price dropping through the key mark near 107,650 would imply failure to defend upper structure. That invites a shift in orientation, with the checklist flipping accordingly—lower bands return to relevance. The first downside target lines up neatly with past session value metrics, specifically the standard deviation beneath the daily average, making it a very simple area to quantify risk and reward beneath. If sliding further, there’s a last core target that connects with the control point from several sessions ago, indicating renewed acceptance at lower ground.

    What becomes especially clear from this framework is that the plan works best when discretion is applied to execution rather than direction. The targets are specific, the triggers mechanical, but interpretations of weaker or firmer follow-through should influence exposure size and stop placement. We recognise the market isn’t presenting new highs or cascading lows—so this isn’t a trending phase. It’s an environment demanding deliberate, modest scale positioning with disciplined trimming.

    From a broader perspective, it’s the structure of rotations between high-volume areas and well-measured value regions being exploited. There’s no need to seek breakout trades in every move. Instead, participation within defined corridors enables tighter control. Temporary violations of support or resistance shouldn’t be overreacted to—rather, watched to see if they hold away from the zone or simply revert. If the latter happens consistently, adaptation is required.

    While data feeds shape entries, reaction areas such as VWAP deviations still carry weight for us, particularly due to their utility in fading unsustainable moves. Entries made near those bands, provided they’re aligned with confirmation principles, give both directional clarity and risk structuring. What matters more than catching the move is sticking to the behavioural checklist—only adjusting size, not method.

    With the strategy rooted so deeply in quantified behaviour—volume pockets, moving averages layered with volume measures—it’s clear that discretion comes most into play post-entry. Whether the move accelerates fast toward a mid-level target or stalls near initial take-profit zones, the responsibility here is acting rather than predicting. That’s why earlier targets matter—to reduce exposure, capture efficiency, and limit conviction-based errors.

    Thus, in the coming sessions, what counts is not just where we enter but how we respond when price lingers or pushes near major control levels. We don’t recommend guessing moves, but tracking them as they correlate with our known areas. And that’s where better trading often happens—not in ambition, but in how well reactions are managed across tight, instrument-specific boundaries.

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