{"id":69823,"date":"2026-10-21T02:42:46","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T02:42:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/markets-price-low-odds-of-fed-october-rate-rise-as-december-seen-as-final-hike\/"},"modified":"2026-10-21T02:42:46","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T02:42:46","slug":"markets-price-low-odds-of-fed-october-rate-rise-as-december-seen-as-final-hike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/markets-price-low-odds-of-fed-october-rate-rise-as-december-seen-as-final-hike\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 10\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\u202612\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc885 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 10\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 17%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c CPI\u00b7PPI \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4, \uace1\uc120\uc758 \ud6c4\ubc18\ubd80\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\uc554\uc2dc \uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc9c4\uc815\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ud56d\uacf5\uc694\uae08 \ub4f1 \uacf5\uae09 \uc694\uc778, \ub610\ub294 \uac1c\uc778 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\u00b7\uc8fc\uac70\u00b7\uc758\ub8cc \ub4f1 \ubd80\ubb38\ubcc4 \uac00\uaca9 \uacb0\uc815 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub418\ub294 \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uae08\ub9ac \uc870\uc815\uc758 \u2018\uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ucc3d\u2019\uc740 12\uc6d4\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uc774 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc758 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\uc2dd\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub354 \uba3c \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2027\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(FFR) \uc554\uc2dc\uce58\uac00 4.64%\ub85c, \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud3ed\uc774 75bp\uc5d0 \uc57d\uac04 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacfc\uac70(9\uc6d4\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud574) \ucd5c\ub300 100bp\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub358 \uac83\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \uac83\uc774\uba70, 2027\ub144 3~4\uc6d4\uc758 \uae30\uc800\ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd9c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3>\uac70\uc2dc \ud504\ub808\uc774\ubc0d\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc810<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc815\ud655\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc \ud504\ub808\uc774\ubc0d\/\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uad00\ub828 \ud1b5\uacc4 \ud655\uc778\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uac04\ub2e8\ud788 \ucffc\ub9ac\ub97c \uc810\uac80\ud574 \ubcf4\uc790.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uad00\ub828 \uac80\uc0c9 \ucffc\ub9ac \ubc0f \ud504\ub808\uc774\ubc0d<\/h3>\n\n<p>**\ucd5c\uc885 \uac80\uc0c9 \ucffc\ub9ac**<\/p>\n<p>* Fed funds futures rate probability pause historical data CPI base effects<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud544\uc694 \uc2dc \uac80\uc0c9 \ucffc\ub9ac\ub97c \ub2e4\ub4ec\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc2dc\uc810\uc774 2026\ub144\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c \ud1b5\uacc4\ub294 \ud45c\uc900\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c(\uc608: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 17%, \ud130\ubbf8\ub110 \uae08\ub9ac, \uc608\uc0c1 \ucd1d \uc778\uc0c1 \ud3ed 75bp, CPI\/PPI \uc218\uce58, SOFR\/\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \ub4f1)\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ub9ac\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c10\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc811\ub098\u201d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 17%\ub9cc \ubc18\uc601. CPI\u00b7PPI\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc815\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \uc644\ud654, 12\uc6d4\uc774 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \ucc3d. 2027\ub144 FFR 4.64%\ub85c \ucd1d 75bp \ubbf8\ub9cc \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc0ac.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69822,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69823","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c10\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc811\ub098\u201d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 17%\ub9cc \ubc18\uc601. 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